🕰️ Time Machine

FHI — Federated Hermes

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
61.06 -0.20%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 5 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 03/09/2026
since -1.77%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 01/07/2026
54.44
Days: 49 trading / 71 calendar · return since: +12.16%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
67.20
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -9.14%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 01/07/2026 @ 54.44Cycle 45Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 67.20Fib 21Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±1)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 67.20Cycle 30Calendar📅 04/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 67.20Cycle 30Trading📅 17/09/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 67.20Cycle 45Calendar📅 19/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/07/2026 @ 54.44Cycle 60Trading📅 25/09/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/07/2026 @ 54.44Cycle 90Calendar📅 29/09/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 67.20Cycle 60Calendar📅 04/10/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 67.20Cycle 45Trading📅 08/10/2026+20 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 67.20Cycle 60Trading📅 29/10/2026+35 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/07/2026 @ 54.44Cycle 90Trading📅 06/11/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 04/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 56% · DD -2.69%20 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 33% · DD -4.62%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202552.58near 52w high+0.44%-0.06%-3.35%-3.35%+2.89%
202403/09/202434.80neutral-1.58%+2.47%+4.22%-3.45%+7.18%
202301/09/202335.35neutral-2.26%-2.04%-6.45%-6.45%+0.00%
202202/09/202233.56neutral+6.35%+5.93%-0.48%-2.68%+6.35%
202103/09/202132.60neutral-2.24%-8.77%-0.67%-9.45%+0.09%
202003/09/202023.79neutral-5.51%-5.59%-7.78%-13.03%+0.00%
201903/09/201931.73neutral+1.61%+2.14%-0.19%-0.19%+5.61%
201804/09/201822.86near 52w low+3.41%+6.43%+6.30%+0.00%+10.10%
201701/09/201727.45neutral-1.97%+3.50%+10.05%-2.95%+10.05%
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.26% · Win 56% · DD -2.92%20 days: Avg +0.40% · Win 33% · DD -4.88%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202553.55near 52w high+1.03%-0.45%-4.07%-5.10%+1.03%
202404/09/202434.75neutral-1.93%+2.96%+5.01%-3.31%+7.34%
202305/09/202334.69neutral+0.43%-0.12%-6.20%-6.20%+1.59%
202202/09/202233.56neutral+6.35%+5.93%-0.48%-2.68%+6.35%
202103/09/202132.60neutral-2.24%-8.77%-0.67%-9.45%+0.09%
202004/09/202023.50neutral-2.47%-9.83%-4.09%-11.96%+0.00%
201904/09/201932.21neutral+3.29%+0.19%-4.44%-4.44%+4.04%
201804/09/201822.86near 52w low+3.41%+6.43%+6.30%+0.00%+10.10%
201705/09/201726.84neutral+2.65%+5.96%+12.22%-0.75%+12.56%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.13% · Win 30% · DD -3.47%20 days: Avg +0.61% · Win 40% · DD -5.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/202552.55near 52w high · volume x1.5-2.06%-3.29%-0.69%-3.29%+1.45%
202417/09/202435.66near 52w high+4.60%+1.71%+4.49%+0.00%+4.60%
202318/09/202334.63neutral+0.23%-4.50%-3.70%-6.04%+1.76%
202216/09/202233.83volume x5.3+0.03%-2.10%-6.33%-7.18%+5.08%
202117/09/202130.96volume x3.0+0.58%+5.39%+6.65%-4.65%+8.30%
202017/09/202022.46neutral-7.88%-5.25%+19.50%-7.88%+19.50%
201917/09/201932.41neutral-0.31%-2.28%-4.63%-5.25%+0.49%
201817/09/201824.28volume x1.6+2.39%-0.41%-6.80%-7.54%+3.67%
201718/09/201728.41neutral+3.63%+6.34%+10.81%+0.00%+10.81%
201616/09/201631.82near 52w high-1.32%-6.88%-13.20%-13.20%+0.53%
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.72% · Win 20% · DD -4.48%20 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 40% · DD -6.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/202552.70near 52w high · volume x5.1-1.39%-1.82%-2.26%-3.57%+0.44%
202419/09/202436.38near 52w high+1.92%-0.58%+5.55%-1.10%+5.55%
202319/09/202334.65neutral-1.79%-6.09%-2.66%-6.09%+1.70%
202219/09/202235.55neutral-6.61%-6.05%-10.01%-11.67%+0.00%
202120/09/202129.74volume x1.6+7.94%+8.88%+9.85%-0.74%+12.74%
202018/09/202022.46volume x2.6-7.30%-2.32%+18.30%-7.88%+19.50%
201919/09/201932.57neutral-0.71%-5.43%-4.42%-5.71%+0.00%
201819/09/201824.97neutral-2.76%-1.48%-7.85%-10.09%+0.80%
201719/09/201728.44volume x1.6+3.27%+5.91%+9.32%+0.00%+10.69%
201619/09/201631.94near 52w high-6.95%-8.27%-13.93%-13.93%+0.16%
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.16% · Win 40% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 40% · DD -4.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/09/202551.61neutral-0.47%+1.80%-2.71%-2.71%+2.56%
202425/09/202436.96near 52w high-1.27%-2.14%+2.90%-2.57%+4.92%
202325/09/202334.71neutral-4.72%-1.53%-9.48%-9.48%+0.00%
202226/09/202233.20neutral+0.60%-3.16%-4.10%-6.99%+2.02%
202124/09/202131.14neutral+4.78%+7.67%+6.39%+0.00%+7.67%
202025/09/202020.82far below SMA50+5.38%+22.67%+19.69%+0.00%+28.91%
201925/09/201932.38neutral-4.94%-3.03%-1.79%-5.16%+0.25%
201825/09/201824.59neutral-1.18%-0.94%-7.40%-8.70%+1.38%
201725/09/201729.44neutral+2.62%+4.25%+5.67%-0.24%+7.24%
201626/09/201629.72near 52w low-1.41%-4.04%-7.27%-7.67%+0.40%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 40% · DD -3.20%20 days: Avg -0.30% · Win 40% · DD -5.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202551.92near 52w high+0.08%+0.44%-5.60%-7.26%+1.95%
202430/09/202436.77near 52w high-1.06%+0.57%+8.38%-2.07%+8.38%
202329/09/202333.87neutral+1.03%-2.42%-6.91%-10.07%+1.03%
202229/09/202232.80neutral+0.67%-2.59%-0.37%-5.85%+3.26%
202129/09/202132.23volume x1.5+0.43%-0.03%-0.31%-2.08%+4.03%
202029/09/202021.32far below SMA50+3.47%+23.03%+10.41%-0.19%+25.89%
201930/09/201932.41neutral-5.25%-3.27%-4.54%-5.92%+0.00%
201828/09/201824.12neutral+3.28%-6.92%+3.11%-8.08%+3.36%
201729/09/201729.70near 52w high+2.12%+5.32%+3.40%+0.00%+6.30%
201629/09/201629.27near 52w low+0.75%-5.16%-10.56%-10.56%+1.23%
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 50% · DD -3.09%20 days: Avg +1.82% · Win 60% · DD -5.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/10/202551.74near 52w high-1.35%-0.44%-6.30%-8.58%+2.30%
202404/10/202436.88near 52w high-0.60%+4.93%+9.92%-2.36%+9.92%
202304/10/202332.98neutral+1.39%-0.79%-4.46%-7.64%+3.76%
202204/10/202233.87neutral-7.29%-4.07%+3.90%-8.83%+4.34%
202104/10/202132.38neutral+0.99%+0.90%+6.58%-2.53%+6.58%
202005/10/202022.54neutral+15.88%+14.06%+8.43%-2.13%+19.08%
201904/10/201930.78neutral+3.25%+1.95%+5.69%-0.94%+5.69%
201804/10/201824.75neutral-7.80%-8.85%-0.08%-10.42%+3.92%
201704/10/201730.10near 52w high+3.12%+3.95%+3.79%-0.63%+4.88%
201604/10/201628.90near 52w low-3.18%-3.88%-9.27%-9.41%+2.04%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.46% · Win 40% · DD -3.35%20 days: Avg +2.77% · Win 60% · DD -6.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/202552.39near 52w high-0.38%-2.62%-4.16%-9.72%+0.29%
202408/10/202436.04near 52w high+3.39%+5.97%+12.21%-0.08%+12.49%
202309/10/202334.18neutral-2.43%-8.07%-3.98%-10.88%+0.00%
202207/10/202232.10neutral-1.28%-1.59%+10.28%-3.80%+10.28%
202108/10/202133.53near 52w high-1.52%-1.19%+4.04%-5.88%+4.04%
202008/10/202024.61volume x1.7+9.06%+0.85%+3.62%-7.84%+9.06%
201908/10/201930.86volume x1.6+0.16%+2.50%+10.30%-1.20%+10.30%
201808/10/201824.93neutral-9.23%-8.78%-0.76%-11.07%+3.17%
201709/10/201730.69near 52w high+2.57%+1.37%+3.58%-2.54%+3.58%
201607/10/201628.31near 52w low · volume x1.6-2.44%-3.07%-7.42%-8.30%+0.74%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.72% · Win 100% · DD -0.85%20 days: Avg +8.19% · Win 100% · DD -0.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202547.68neutral+5.31%+6.37%+6.26%-0.80%+6.37%
202429/10/202439.71near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.0+1.84%+6.44%+8.75%+0.00%+8.75%
202330/10/202331.35near 52w low+4.69%+2.66%+0.25%+0.00%+5.43%
202228/10/202235.34volume x2.4+0.17%+1.05%+6.64%-2.09%+7.55%
202129/10/202133.31near 52w high · volume x1.6+4.73%+8.18%+4.22%+0.00%+8.60%
202029/10/202022.74neutral+12.14%+21.82%+28.72%+0.00%+32.75%
201929/10/201931.32neutral+8.68%+8.15%+7.66%+0.00%+9.24%
201829/10/201825.26neutral-2.06%+0.69%+6.78%-2.34%+8.58%
201730/10/201730.23near 52w high+5.16%+1.59%+6.36%+0.00%+6.36%
201628/10/201626.84near 52w low · volume x2.1-2.35%+10.26%+6.26%-3.28%+12.80%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.05% · Win 50% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg +5.54% · Win 90% · DD -2.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/202549.85neutral-0.63%-3.96%+2.71%-3.96%+2.71%
202406/11/202441.87near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.22%-0.33%+4.22%-1.10%+4.22%
202306/11/202332.82neutral-1.94%-2.24%-2.89%-4.24%+0.71%
202207/11/202235.46neutral-1.64%+5.05%+5.75%-1.64%+8.04%
202105/11/202134.61near 52w high+3.29%+0.12%+1.27%-2.69%+3.70%
202006/11/202024.05neutral+14.59%+10.02%+21.29%+0.00%+21.83%
201906/11/201933.74neutral+0.72%-0.06%+0.30%-2.21%+1.40%
201806/11/201824.96neutral+2.55%+4.94%+2.11%+0.00%+9.88%
201706/11/201731.79near 52w high-3.39%-1.17%+8.02%-3.39%+8.02%
201607/11/201625.29near 52w low · volume x1.7+13.96%+8.11%+12.65%-1.54%+13.96%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -9.1% · from 52w low: +30.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.54% · -6.19% · -3.08% · +5.53%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-3.52% · -0.26% · +8.06%
Distance from 52w high / low-9.14% · +30.86%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.29 · 0.02x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.10%
vs SPY (20d)-1.19%
vs SMH (20d)+0.85%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20063.29 · 61.22 · 56.50
52w high / low67.20 · 46.66