🕰️ Time Machine

FIL-USD — Filecoin

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026

Last price (Close)
0.69 +2.18%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 6 days
05/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 21/07/2026
since -9.81%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 06/06/2026
0.68
Days: 54 trading / 54 calendar · return since: +2.46%
Last major high · 08/05/2026
1.32
Days: 83 trading / 83 calendar · return since: -47.46%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 06/06/2026 @ 0.68Cycle 45Trading📅 21/07/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 06/06/2026 @ 0.68Cycle 45Calendar📅 21/07/2026-9 (±2)Passed
Low 06/06/2026 @ 0.68Cycle 60Trading📅 05/08/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 0.68Cycle 60Calendar📅 05/08/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 90Trading📅 06/08/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 90Calendar📅 06/08/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 0.68Cycle 90Trading📅 04/09/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
Low 06/06/2026 @ 0.68Cycle 90Calendar📅 04/09/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 120Trading📅 05/09/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 120Calendar📅 05/09/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 28/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 27/07/2026
NR7 Compression 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 16/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 21/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 11/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 21/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.91% · Win 50% · DD -10.38%20 days: Avg +5.22% · Win 38% · DD -14.77%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/20252.93far above SMA50-8.97%-18.09%-10.25%-22.34%+0.16%
202421/07/20244.78neutral-2.73%-11.86%-20.89%-32.09%+0.00%
202321/07/20234.47neutral-3.19%-4.80%-7.54%-8.56%+2.08%
202221/07/20225.63neutral-5.78%+74.65%+47.24%-7.03%+74.65%
202121/07/202146.17far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+6.41%+13.06%+44.50%-1.19%+49.98%
202021/07/202014.81neutral+16.74%+12.49%+30.88%+0.00%+32.94%
201921/07/20194.30far below SMA50+3.25%+7.36%-9.59%-14.37%+11.94%
201821/07/20187.33neutral-0.27%-25.50%-32.58%-32.58%+8.07%
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.19% · Win 50% · DD -8.02%20 days: Avg +0.62% · Win 38% · DD -13.51%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/08/20252.33neutral+12.61%+5.67%-6.20%-6.20%+17.43%
202405/08/20243.24far below SMA50 · volume x2.9+16.49%+8.05%+28.26%+0.00%+30.91%
202305/08/20234.10neutral+0.84%-6.11%-21.10%-21.10%+1.33%
202205/08/20228.34far above SMA50-0.61%+1.55%-23.74%-25.11%+13.42%
202105/08/202157.84neutral+15.34%+26.52%+32.07%+0.00%+38.27%
202005/08/202018.00far above SMA50+7.69%-4.93%+23.30%-6.05%+23.30%
201905/08/20194.70far below SMA50 · volume x1.7-17.40%-16.23%-5.84%-17.56%+2.27%
201805/08/20186.39neutral-22.58%-32.05%-21.82%-32.06%+0.00%
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.95% · Win 38% · DD -11.19%20 days: Avg -7.25% · Win 38% · DD -16.98%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/08/20252.38neutral+4.06%+6.45%-2.28%-8.03%+15.13%
202406/08/20243.50far below SMA50-0.19%+0.19%+12.48%-4.15%+21.44%
202306/08/20234.15neutral-1.16%-10.32%-21.52%-22.13%+0.00%
202206/08/20229.46far above SMA50 · volume x1.5-11.67%-10.96%-40.34%-40.34%+0.00%
202106/08/202164.13far above SMA50 · volume x2.0+12.20%+14.60%+12.96%+0.00%+24.73%
202006/08/202019.69far above SMA50-12.45%-12.07%+9.01%-14.11%+12.72%
201906/08/20194.61far below SMA50-6.48%-8.10%-0.01%-15.94%+4.27%
201806/08/20186.30far below SMA50-19.66%-27.40%-28.28%-31.12%+0.00%
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.43% · Win 50% · DD -9.75%20 days: Avg -8.91% · Win 25% · DD -15.38%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/20252.26neutral+8.25%+11.14%-1.80%-1.80%+15.71%
202404/09/20243.39far below SMA50+6.22%+7.91%+13.75%-3.54%+14.04%
202304/09/20233.17far below SMA50+2.16%+1.79%+1.16%-4.66%+6.21%
202204/09/20226.26neutral+1.93%-4.85%-11.00%-16.15%+4.45%
202104/09/202194.90far above SMA50 · volume x2.8-6.67%-14.81%-33.30%-33.30%+19.71%
202004/09/202020.95far above SMA50-3.04%-13.47%-20.81%-25.01%+0.00%
201904/09/20193.97neutral-1.26%+9.53%-19.11%-19.11%+12.66%
201804/09/20184.11far below SMA50-18.77%-8.64%-0.20%-19.48%+4.31%
Upcoming 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.13% · Win 50% · DD -9.81%20 days: Avg -8.81% · Win 25% · DD -16.37%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/20252.35neutral+6.16%+2.89%-9.77%-9.77%+11.71%
202405/09/20243.36far below SMA50+9.08%+2.77%+17.39%-2.54%+17.39%
202305/09/20233.24far below SMA50-3.92%+3.93%-0.86%-6.60%+4.05%
202205/09/20226.13far below SMA50+3.82%-6.78%-6.73%-14.32%+6.72%
202105/09/2021113.60far above SMA50 · volume x4.2-27.39%-23.99%-46.79%-46.79%+0.00%
202005/09/202019.89neutral+0.20%-9.95%-17.80%-21.02%+2.90%
201905/09/20193.70far below SMA50+12.93%+11.75%-9.71%-13.27%+20.79%
201805/09/20183.97far below SMA50-1.87%-5.65%+3.77%-16.65%+7.97%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -62.7% · from 52w low: +5.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-5.70% · -5.66% · -12.03% · -25.90%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-6.51% · -8.72% · -25.88%
Distance from 52w high / low-62.70% · +5.33%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.03 · 1.41x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-5.97%
vs SPY (20d)-10.98%
vs SMH (20d)+1.09%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.74 · 0.76 · 0.93
52w high / low1.86 · 0.66