🕰️ Time Machine

FIL-USD — Filecoin

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 13/09/2026

Last price (Close)
0.97 +21.02%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 4 days
17/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 08/09/2026
since +14.70%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 18/08/2026
0.61
Days: 26 trading / 26 calendar · return since: +57.94%
Last major high · 08/05/2026
1.32
Days: 128 trading / 128 calendar · return since: -26.48%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 120Trading📅 05/09/2026-8 (±3)Passed
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 120Calendar📅 05/09/2026-8 (±3)Passed
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Fib 21Trading📅 08/09/2026-5 (±1)Passed
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Fib 21Calendar📅 08/09/2026-5 (±1)Passed
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Cycle 30Trading📅 17/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Cycle 30Calendar📅 17/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 144Trading📅 29/09/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
High 08/05/2026 @ 1.32Cycle 144Calendar📅 29/09/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Cycle 45Trading📅 02/10/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Cycle 45Calendar📅 02/10/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Cycle 60Trading📅 17/10/2026+34 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/08/2026 @ 0.61Cycle 60Calendar📅 17/10/2026+34 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 11/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 08/09/2026
Shooting Star 08/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 08/09/2026
NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 08/09/2026
Failed Breakout 07/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 08/09/2026
Shooting Star 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 05/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 05/09/2026
Hammer Reversal 26/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.13% · Win 50% · DD -9.81%20 days: Avg -8.81% · Win 25% · DD -16.37%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/20252.35neutral+6.16%+2.89%-9.77%-9.77%+11.71%
202405/09/20243.36far below SMA50+9.08%+2.77%+17.39%-2.54%+17.39%
202305/09/20233.24far below SMA50-3.92%+3.93%-0.86%-6.60%+4.05%
202205/09/20226.13far below SMA50+3.82%-6.78%-6.73%-14.32%+6.72%
202105/09/2021113.60far above SMA50 · volume x4.2-27.39%-23.99%-46.79%-46.79%+0.00%
202005/09/202019.89neutral+0.20%-9.95%-17.80%-21.02%+2.90%
201905/09/20193.70far below SMA50+12.93%+11.75%-9.71%-13.27%+20.79%
201805/09/20183.97far below SMA50-1.87%-5.65%+3.77%-16.65%+7.97%
Passed 08/09/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 50% · DD -6.66%20 days: Avg -6.12% · Win 50% · DD -14.33%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/20252.44neutral+7.40%+5.53%-9.26%-13.25%+7.40%
202408/09/20243.41far below SMA50+9.43%+5.70%+21.20%+0.00%+23.20%
202308/09/20233.23far below SMA50-1.48%+3.24%+2.55%-6.23%+4.47%
202208/09/20225.86far below SMA50+1.24%-10.41%+0.01%-10.41%+11.60%
202108/09/202188.21far above SMA50 · volume x2.6-11.28%-4.36%-37.15%-37.15%+0.41%
202008/09/202020.08neutral-9.44%-5.83%-11.53%-24.42%+1.18%
201908/09/20194.18neutral+4.17%-5.76%-21.79%-23.20%+6.97%
201808/09/20183.31far below SMA50+16.96%+23.84%+6.98%+0.00%+29.54%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -8.05% · Win 25% · DD -13.85%20 days: Avg -4.70% · Win 50% · DD -15.43%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/20252.57neutral-11.94%-14.73%-11.11%-17.61%+0.22%
202417/09/20243.46neutral+7.62%+21.20%+7.12%+0.00%+21.20%
202317/09/20233.34neutral-3.36%-3.87%+3.31%-5.03%+3.69%
202217/09/20225.91far below SMA50-6.62%-3.02%-7.45%-11.17%+0.00%
202117/09/202185.70far above SMA50-12.97%-31.01%-16.62%-35.31%+0.00%
202017/09/202018.57neutral-11.94%-18.28%+5.02%-18.28%+19.49%
201917/09/20194.21volume x1.8-14.76%-18.73%-19.40%-36.04%+0.00%
201817/09/20183.33far below SMA50+6.10%+4.01%+1.56%+0.00%+28.60%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.07% · Win 62% · DD -6.80%20 days: Avg +7.04% · Win 50% · DD -11.93%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/20252.21neutral+4.62%+3.97%-30.76%-33.78%+8.80%
202429/09/20244.09far above SMA50-10.77%-14.38%-7.79%-14.38%+0.00%
202329/09/20233.34neutral-0.77%-3.26%-4.34%-4.89%+3.66%
202229/09/20225.78neutral-3.08%-6.06%-13.76%-13.76%+0.00%
202129/09/202157.07far below SMA50+21.85%+34.42%+10.34%+0.00%+39.06%
202029/09/202021.54far above SMA50 · volume x1.7+0.11%+3.16%+57.30%-9.61%+175.11%
201929/09/20193.33far below SMA50-13.50%+10.00%+26.50%-19.01%+32.08%
201829/09/20183.38far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+13.73%+4.68%+18.81%+0.00%+19.63%
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.19% · Win 50% · DD -9.46%20 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 62% · DD -11.49%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/10/20252.39neutral-4.28%-30.37%-36.25%-38.59%+0.90%
202402/10/20243.55neutral+4.64%+1.89%+7.16%-1.36%+12.31%
202302/10/20233.34neutral+3.38%-3.79%+2.45%-4.80%+3.38%
202202/10/20225.38far below SMA50+1.75%-4.32%-7.95%-8.04%+4.20%
202102/10/202169.96neutral+2.13%-0.27%-5.89%-10.00%+13.43%
202002/10/202020.71volume x1.7-5.84%+32.17%+14.78%-5.98%+186.15%
201902/10/20193.25far below SMA50+4.51%+18.05%+27.14%-17.06%+35.26%
201802/10/20183.60far below SMA50-6.08%+12.17%+0.44%-6.08%+12.22%
Upcoming 17/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 50% · DD -9.41%20 days: Avg +11.16% · Win 75% · DD -10.95%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/10/20251.47far below SMA50+3.80%+11.95%+29.90%-6.65%+29.90%
202417/10/20243.64neutral+4.32%-2.16%+2.03%-10.26%+9.33%
202317/10/20233.21neutral+6.44%+11.94%+35.07%-1.10%+35.07%
202217/10/20225.26neutral-5.82%-0.32%+11.03%-5.91%+17.35%
202117/10/202163.42far below SMA50+3.82%-12.79%-2.35%-12.79%+5.40%
202017/10/202041.98far above SMA50 · volume x3.3-43.37%-16.04%-24.36%-43.37%+0.00%
201917/10/20193.83neutral+7.82%+19.79%+29.52%-3.34%+63.33%
201817/10/20183.65neutral-0.88%+6.47%+8.46%-4.19%+13.79%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+32.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -42.1% · from 52w low: +57.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+14.70% · +22.52% · +28.79% · +22.99%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+25.90% · +32.41% · +14.81%
Distance from 52w high / low-42.09% · +57.94%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.06 · 1.63x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+31.14%
vs SPY (20d)+30.54%
vs SMH (20d)+32.29%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2000.77 · 0.73 · 0.84
52w high / low1.67 · 0.61