🕰️ Time Machine
HCI — HCI Group, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
204.06 -1.27%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 3 days
28/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 12/10/2026
since +3.30%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 07/05/2026
144.75
Days: 117 trading / 169 calendar · return since: +40.97%
Last major high · 07/08/2026
198.98
Days: 54 trading / 77 calendar · return since: +2.55%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 07/08/2026 @ 198.98 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 07/05/2026 @ 144.75 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +3 (±3) | In window |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 198.98 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 02/11/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/05/2026 @ 144.75 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 03/11/2026 | +11 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 198.98 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 05/11/2026 | +13 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/05/2026 @ 144.75 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 02/12/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 198.98 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 05/12/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 198.98 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 15/12/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Shooting Star 22/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 19/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Gap Day 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Doji After Run 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 07/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.39% · Win 56% · DD -4.15%20 days: Avg +6.80% · Win 78% · DD -6.59%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 188.09 | neutral | +4.15% | +8.46% | +0.27% | -3.56% | +9.73% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 111.65 | far above SMA50 | +7.35% | +3.86% | +6.31% | +0.00% | +8.37% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 57.82 | neutral | -0.22% | -1.78% | +31.30% | -1.87% | +35.56% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 36.55 | far below SMA50 | -6.84% | -8.95% | +2.33% | -22.22% | +5.96% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 133.94 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.12% | -5.07% | -10.61% | -10.61% | +1.96% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 47.87 | neutral | -2.55% | +3.61% | +7.31% | -2.55% | +8.19% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 40.47 | neutral | +2.52% | -0.74% | +10.33% | -0.74% | +13.54% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 42.48 | neutral | +2.12% | +2.35% | +27.57% | -1.37% | +27.57% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 38.03 | neutral | +2.58% | +1.76% | -13.62% | -16.38% | +2.68% |
In window 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +10.09% · Win 70% · DD -4.80%20 days: Avg +8.50% · Win 60% · DD -6.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 201.74 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.19% | -7.13% | -12.75% | -15.54% | +2.19% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 117.10 | far above SMA50 | -4.11% | -2.20% | -3.16% | -7.45% | +1.37% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 56.74 | neutral | +10.49% | +33.42% | +54.55% | +0.00% | +54.83% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 35.10 | far below SMA50 | +1.71% | +21.51% | +4.93% | -1.42% | +23.11% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 131.83 | far above SMA50 | +1.62% | +1.69% | -11.78% | -11.78% | +3.59% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 47.44 | neutral | +3.12% | +12.18% | +12.36% | -0.97% | +13.59% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 40.84 | neutral | +4.92% | +10.19% | +13.20% | +0.00% | +13.20% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 44.70 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +22.44% | +19.83% | -2.30% | +24.81% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 38.36 | neutral | -15.38% | -13.89% | -20.17% | -20.44% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 26.46 | near 52w low | +5.56% | +22.75% | +27.96% | -2.57% | +27.96% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.01% · Win 70% · DD -5.37%20 days: Avg +7.21% · Win 70% · DD -6.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 202.18 | near 52w high | -6.72% | -14.06% | -12.25% | -15.72% | +1.96% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 112.02 | neutral | +5.96% | +0.31% | +10.86% | -3.25% | +10.86% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 62.20 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +22.06% | +31.45% | +38.82% | +0.00% | +41.24% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 37.09 | far below SMA50 | +0.84% | +6.74% | +3.39% | -6.71% | +16.50% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 135.39 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -11.57% | -3.04% | -17.48% | -18.20% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 48.20 | neutral | +6.58% | +9.94% | +8.45% | -0.41% | +11.80% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 42.37 | neutral | +5.38% | +6.37% | +9.16% | +0.00% | +10.25% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 45.10 | near 52w high | +20.16% | +19.17% | +24.39% | -0.89% | +24.39% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 36.91 | volume x2.1 | -11.00% | -17.31% | -18.22% | -18.22% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 02/11/2016 | 26.52 | near 52w low | +12.86% | +20.55% | +25.00% | -2.79% | +28.09% |
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.17% · Win 60% · DD -4.14%20 days: Avg +8.34% · Win 70% · DD -5.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 202.18 | near 52w high | -6.72% | -14.06% | -12.25% | -15.72% | +1.96% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 112.29 | neutral | +1.99% | -3.10% | +6.33% | -3.48% | +10.59% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 62.69 | far above SMA50 | +20.75% | +34.24% | +36.18% | -0.21% | +40.14% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 36.70 | far below SMA50 | +13.11% | +5.81% | +4.21% | -5.72% | +17.74% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 134.33 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.67% | -3.76% | -13.86% | -17.56% | +0.60% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 48.28 | neutral | +10.07% | +9.76% | +9.04% | -0.58% | +11.61% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 42.85 | volume x1.7 | +5.02% | +5.42% | +8.01% | +0.00% | +9.02% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 45.10 | near 52w high | +20.16% | +19.17% | +24.39% | -0.89% | +24.39% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 32.46 | far below SMA50 · volume x4.3 | +1.76% | -5.76% | -5.35% | -7.00% | +1.76% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 25.78 | near 52w low | +20.71% | +24.01% | +26.67% | +0.00% | +31.76% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.38% · Win 60% · DD -3.88%20 days: Avg +6.55% · Win 70% · DD -4.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 203.61 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -6.96% | -14.94% | -14.83% | -16.32% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 115.36 | neutral | +0.28% | -4.59% | +2.32% | -6.05% | +7.65% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 62.56 | far above SMA50 | +22.57% | +33.95% | +36.35% | +0.00% | +40.43% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 35.70 | far below SMA50 | +19.47% | +6.68% | +5.07% | -3.08% | +21.04% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 134.71 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.80% | -8.02% | -15.38% | -17.79% | +0.31% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 48.00 | volume x1.6 | +5.92% | +7.85% | +11.00% | +0.00% | +12.26% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 42.91 | neutral | +5.36% | +6.09% | +7.88% | +0.00% | +8.87% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 44.70 | near 52w high | +22.44% | +24.81% | +20.28% | +0.00% | +25.51% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 31.80 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +1.42% | -3.55% | -5.45% | -5.45% | +3.87% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 27.93 | neutral | +16.29% | +15.48% | +18.22% | +0.00% | +21.62% |
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.19% · Win 30% · DD -6.38%20 days: Avg -0.33% · Win 60% · DD -7.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/12/2025 | 176.99 | neutral | -1.88% | +4.10% | +8.31% | -4.01% | +10.71% |
| 2024 | 02/12/2024 | 123.75 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | -5.79% | -9.49% | -5.83% | -11.92% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 01/12/2023 | 85.91 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.90% | -0.28% | +2.94% | -1.77% | +2.94% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 37.86 | neutral | -8.58% | -12.73% | +4.65% | -12.73% | +8.87% |
| 2021 | 02/12/2021 | 115.35 | neutral | -11.52% | -21.21% | -27.58% | -27.58% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 02/12/2020 | 52.24 | neutral | +0.71% | -0.48% | +0.11% | -2.34% | +1.21% |
| 2019 | 02/12/2019 | 45.84 | neutral | +1.64% | +2.14% | -0.41% | -0.81% | +3.86% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 55.71 | far above SMA50 | -3.81% | -9.01% | -11.81% | -12.49% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/12/2017 | 29.85 | far below SMA50 | +1.98% | -1.84% | +5.76% | -3.12% | +5.76% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 32.35 | near 52w high | +9.43% | +16.88% | +20.53% | +0.00% | +22.04% |
Upcoming 05/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 40% · DD -5.40%20 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 50% · DD -6.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/12/2025 | 170.17 | neutral | +10.17% | +11.62% | +2.71% | -0.16% | +15.15% |
| 2024 | 05/12/2024 | 116.60 | neutral | -2.89% | -4.59% | -2.17% | -6.52% | +1.60% |
| 2023 | 05/12/2023 | 84.87 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.70% | +2.82% | +5.62% | -0.57% | +9.79% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 37.13 | neutral | -6.22% | -6.22% | +8.48% | -11.02% | +11.02% |
| 2021 | 06/12/2021 | 113.64 | neutral | -13.46% | -24.39% | -28.32% | -28.32% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 52.87 | neutral | -3.35% | -0.53% | -1.63% | -3.50% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 05/12/2019 | 45.47 | neutral | +2.44% | +3.47% | -0.31% | -0.40% | +4.71% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 53.39 | far above SMA50 | +0.49% | -5.83% | -4.59% | -8.69% | +1.93% |
| 2017 | 05/12/2017 | 29.73 | far below SMA50 | +2.52% | -2.12% | +5.08% | -2.72% | +6.19% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 32.71 | near 52w high | +9.29% | +15.71% | +21.03% | +0.00% | +21.03% |
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.26% · Win 60% · DD -3.17%20 days: Avg +3.28% · Win 60% · DD -5.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/12/2025 | 186.92 | neutral | +3.73% | +2.47% | -5.60% | -7.07% | +4.83% |
| 2024 | 16/12/2024 | 112.00 | neutral | +3.79% | +4.04% | +8.39% | -2.68% | +8.39% |
| 2023 | 15/12/2023 | 85.67 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -1.49% | +3.23% | +2.99% | -1.49% | +8.77% |
| 2022 | 15/12/2022 | 34.02 | neutral | +13.58% | +16.37% | +33.30% | -2.88% | +33.30% |
| 2021 | 15/12/2021 | 93.68 | far below SMA50 | -8.38% | -7.74% | -21.52% | -21.52% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 15/12/2020 | 52.86 | neutral | -3.48% | -1.44% | +3.29% | -3.48% | +3.44% |
| 2019 | 16/12/2019 | 46.82 | neutral | -1.17% | -2.50% | -3.16% | -7.09% | +1.69% |
| 2018 | 14/12/2018 | 52.68 | volume x1.8 | -7.46% | -3.55% | -9.00% | -10.00% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 15/12/2017 | 29.30 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.0 | -0.92% | +7.75% | +20.72% | -0.92% | +20.72% |
| 2016 | 15/12/2016 | 37.98 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | +2.58% | +3.95% | +3.40% | -0.45% | +6.40% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+8.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -3.1% · from 52w low: +41.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +2.78% · +6.45% · +16.65% · +12.36% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +6.32% · +8.76% · +19.98% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -3.06% · +40.97% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 5.22 · 1.03x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +22.03% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +18.12% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +29.73% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 191.93 · 187.62 · 170.07 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 210.50 · 144.75 |
|---|
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