🕰️ Time Machine
HGV — Hilton Grand Vacations
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
39.20 -2.66%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 7 days
21/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 28/08/2026
since -10.52%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/03/2026
37.46
Days: 113 trading / 164 calendar · return since: +4.64%
Last major high · 25/06/2026
55.40
Days: 53 trading / 77 calendar · return since: -29.24%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 37.46 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +7 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 23/09/2026 | +13 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 37.46 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 26/09/2026 | +16 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 37.46 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 23/10/2026 | +31 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 23/10/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 02/11/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 03/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 28/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 28/08/2026
● Doji After Run 24/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 28/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 28/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.62% · Win 33% · DD -4.20%20 days: Avg -2.01% · Win 33% · DD -7.54%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 47.74 | neutral | -1.30% | -5.30% | -8.90% | -10.14% | +0.52% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 37.98 | neutral | -0.92% | -5.40% | -0.29% | -8.03% | +1.58% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 43.59 | neutral | -3.90% | -4.24% | -10.12% | -10.12% | +2.62% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 42.20 | neutral | -7.23% | -5.40% | -18.36% | -20.26% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 43.19 | neutral | +1.46% | +4.65% | +15.61% | -0.19% | +15.61% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 23.31 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -2.45% | -0.90% | -5.71% | -13.17% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 28/08/2019 | 32.28 | neutral | +4.09% | +5.08% | -0.09% | -0.09% | +5.17% |
| 2018 | 28/08/2018 | 32.61 | neutral | +0.18% | -5.40% | +1.07% | -5.40% | +1.93% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 35.47 | neutral | +1.80% | +2.37% | +8.74% | -0.48% | +8.74% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.29% · Win 44% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 67% · DD -5.43%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 43.60 | neutral | -0.64% | +0.57% | -1.90% | -6.26% | +0.57% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 37.16 | volume x2.4 | +2.40% | -1.59% | +4.33% | -5.73% | +4.33% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 40.13 | neutral | +0.80% | -5.78% | -7.05% | -8.05% | +1.42% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 37.24 | neutral | -5.56% | -2.58% | +1.24% | -11.68% | +1.85% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 45.08 | neutral | +8.96% | +7.48% | +3.15% | +0.00% | +10.76% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 20.24 | neutral | +8.60% | +7.46% | +5.29% | +0.00% | +13.19% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 33.49 | near 52w high | -4.18% | -4.03% | +2.54% | -4.63% | +3.22% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 33.24 | neutral | -0.42% | -8.18% | -10.14% | -12.55% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 37.97 | near 52w high · volume x2.9 | +2.16% | +4.00% | +5.95% | +0.00% | +5.95% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 44% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg +1.53% · Win 78% · DD -4.78%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 43.64 | neutral | -4.19% | -3.37% | +0.32% | -6.35% | +0.48% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 37.62 | neutral | -3.46% | -3.54% | +0.19% | -6.88% | +3.06% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 39.78 | neutral | +2.31% | -4.88% | -7.39% | -7.39% | +2.31% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 33.97 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -3.18% | +3.36% | +9.86% | -3.18% | +11.66% |
| 2021 | 23/09/2021 | 48.43 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -1.78% | +0.17% | +1.67% | -3.99% | +3.10% |
| 2020 | 23/09/2020 | 20.46 | neutral | +2.54% | +11.39% | +11.34% | +0.00% | +11.97% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 33.29 | near 52w high | -3.88% | -3.21% | +3.66% | -4.06% | +3.84% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 32.73 | neutral | +0.03% | -6.51% | -10.05% | -11.18% | +1.13% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 38.44 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +0.49% | +1.95% | +4.14% | +0.00% | +4.66% |
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.76% · Win 33% · DD -4.14%20 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 56% · DD -5.73%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 43.49 | neutral | +0.55% | -6.02% | +4.09% | -6.02% | +5.98% |
| 2024 | 26/09/2024 | 37.87 | neutral | -6.31% | -7.50% | -1.06% | -7.50% | +2.38% |
| 2023 | 26/09/2023 | 39.18 | far below SMA50 | -1.20% | -0.87% | -6.13% | -6.99% | +3.88% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 33.65 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +0.95% | +4.49% | +10.31% | -2.26% | +12.72% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 49.93 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.13% | -4.47% | -0.16% | -6.87% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 21.09 | neutral | +2.28% | +8.25% | +10.43% | -0.52% | +10.67% |
| 2019 | 26/09/2019 | 32.25 | neutral | -0.59% | -0.93% | +7.72% | -0.96% | +7.72% |
| 2018 | 26/09/2018 | 32.96 | neutral | -1.97% | -10.86% | -20.45% | -20.45% | +0.42% |
| 2017 | 26/09/2017 | 38.57 | near 52w high | +2.72% | +2.05% | +3.34% | +0.00% | +4.30% |
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 67% · DD -4.25%20 days: Avg +4.03% · Win 78% · DD -5.17%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 45.18 | neutral | -8.76% | -12.08% | -18.13% | -18.13% | +0.97% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 36.64 | neutral | +3.30% | +9.66% | +11.30% | +0.00% | +19.32% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 36.44 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.93% | -6.01% | -0.96% | -8.26% | +2.22% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 37.12 | neutral | +5.71% | -0.35% | +13.20% | -0.70% | +19.18% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 49.38 | near 52w high | +1.82% | +10.73% | +7.96% | -0.65% | +11.38% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 23.29 | neutral | -11.55% | +2.66% | +18.42% | -11.55% | +20.18% |
| 2019 | 23/10/2019 | 34.47 | near 52w high | +0.09% | +3.97% | +0.58% | +0.00% | +4.09% |
| 2018 | 23/10/2018 | 28.28 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -4.92% | +5.73% | +2.02% | -7.28% | +12.34% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 39.67 | near 52w high | +2.17% | +2.75% | +1.92% | +0.00% | +5.70% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.46% · Win 56% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg +5.36% · Win 56% · DD -5.52%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 41.85 | neutral | -4.13% | -8.43% | -0.07% | -11.61% | +2.34% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 37.44 | neutral | +13.70% | +11.78% | +11.16% | +0.00% | +18.22% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 35.71 | near 52w low · volume x2.9 | -6.38% | -1.09% | +2.44% | -6.38% | +4.31% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 37.16 | neutral | +8.15% | +14.80% | +18.00% | -0.81% | +19.05% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 51.29 | near 52w high | +0.80% | +1.40% | -11.58% | -11.58% | +7.23% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 21.92 | neutral | +24.91% | +26.55% | +28.33% | +0.00% | +33.39% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 35.34 | near 52w high | +0.93% | -0.54% | -2.97% | -2.97% | +1.53% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 30.94 | neutral | -10.37% | -4.33% | +5.33% | -12.25% | +5.33% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 40.64 | near 52w high · volume x2.4 | +0.98% | +0.02% | -2.36% | -4.04% | +3.17% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-15.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -29.2% · from 52w low: +6.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -7.04% · -12.87% · -12.71% · -23.39% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -9.58% · -15.79% · -15.00% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -29.24% · +6.55% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.25 · 0.78x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -10.64% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -10.82% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -8.52% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 43.36 · 46.55 · 46.12 |
| 52w high / low | 55.40 · 36.79 |