🕰️ Time Machine

HGV — Hilton Grand Vacations

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
39.20 -2.66%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 7 days
21/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 28/08/2026
since -10.52%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 30/03/2026
37.46
Days: 113 trading / 164 calendar · return since: +4.64%
Last major high · 25/06/2026
55.40
Days: 53 trading / 77 calendar · return since: -29.24%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40Cycle 45Trading📅 28/08/2026-8 (±2)Passed
Low 30/03/2026 @ 37.46Cycle 120Trading📅 21/09/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40Cycle 60Trading📅 21/09/2026+7 (±2)Upcoming
High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40Cycle 90Calendar📅 23/09/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 37.46Cycle 180Calendar📅 26/09/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 37.46Cycle 144Trading📅 23/10/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40Cycle 120Calendar📅 23/10/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/06/2026 @ 55.40Cycle 90Trading📅 02/11/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 03/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 28/08/2026
NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 28/08/2026
Doji After Run 24/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 28/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.62% · Win 33% · DD -4.20%20 days: Avg -2.01% · Win 33% · DD -7.54%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/202547.74neutral-1.30%-5.30%-8.90%-10.14%+0.52%
202428/08/202437.98neutral-0.92%-5.40%-0.29%-8.03%+1.58%
202328/08/202343.59neutral-3.90%-4.24%-10.12%-10.12%+2.62%
202229/08/202242.20neutral-7.23%-5.40%-18.36%-20.26%+0.00%
202127/08/202143.19neutral+1.46%+4.65%+15.61%-0.19%+15.61%
202028/08/202023.31far above SMA50 · volume x2.1-2.45%-0.90%-5.71%-13.17%+0.00%
201928/08/201932.28neutral+4.09%+5.08%-0.09%-0.09%+5.17%
201828/08/201832.61neutral+0.18%-5.40%+1.07%-5.40%+1.93%
201728/08/201735.47neutral+1.80%+2.37%+8.74%-0.48%+8.74%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.29% · Win 44% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 67% · DD -5.43%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/202543.60neutral-0.64%+0.57%-1.90%-6.26%+0.57%
202420/09/202437.16volume x2.4+2.40%-1.59%+4.33%-5.73%+4.33%
202321/09/202340.13neutral+0.80%-5.78%-7.05%-8.05%+1.42%
202221/09/202237.24neutral-5.56%-2.58%+1.24%-11.68%+1.85%
202121/09/202145.08neutral+8.96%+7.48%+3.15%+0.00%+10.76%
202021/09/202020.24neutral+8.60%+7.46%+5.29%+0.00%+13.19%
201920/09/201933.49near 52w high-4.18%-4.03%+2.54%-4.63%+3.22%
201821/09/201833.24neutral-0.42%-8.18%-10.14%-12.55%+0.00%
201721/09/201737.97near 52w high · volume x2.9+2.16%+4.00%+5.95%+0.00%+5.95%
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 44% · DD -3.40%20 days: Avg +1.53% · Win 78% · DD -4.78%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/09/202543.64neutral-4.19%-3.37%+0.32%-6.35%+0.48%
202423/09/202437.62neutral-3.46%-3.54%+0.19%-6.88%+3.06%
202322/09/202339.78neutral+2.31%-4.88%-7.39%-7.39%+2.31%
202223/09/202233.97near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.8-3.18%+3.36%+9.86%-3.18%+11.66%
202123/09/202148.43near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-1.78%+0.17%+1.67%-3.99%+3.10%
202023/09/202020.46neutral+2.54%+11.39%+11.34%+0.00%+11.97%
201923/09/201933.29near 52w high-3.88%-3.21%+3.66%-4.06%+3.84%
201824/09/201832.73neutral+0.03%-6.51%-10.05%-11.18%+1.13%
201722/09/201738.44near 52w high · volume x1.7+0.49%+1.95%+4.14%+0.00%+4.66%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.76% · Win 33% · DD -4.14%20 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 56% · DD -5.73%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202543.49neutral+0.55%-6.02%+4.09%-6.02%+5.98%
202426/09/202437.87neutral-6.31%-7.50%-1.06%-7.50%+2.38%
202326/09/202339.18far below SMA50-1.20%-0.87%-6.13%-6.99%+3.88%
202226/09/202233.65near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5+0.95%+4.49%+10.31%-2.26%+12.72%
202127/09/202149.93near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.13%-4.47%-0.16%-6.87%+0.00%
202025/09/202021.09neutral+2.28%+8.25%+10.43%-0.52%+10.67%
201926/09/201932.25neutral-0.59%-0.93%+7.72%-0.96%+7.72%
201826/09/201832.96neutral-1.97%-10.86%-20.45%-20.45%+0.42%
201726/09/201738.57near 52w high+2.72%+2.05%+3.34%+0.00%+4.30%
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.90% · Win 67% · DD -4.25%20 days: Avg +4.03% · Win 78% · DD -5.17%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/202545.18neutral-8.76%-12.08%-18.13%-18.13%+0.97%
202423/10/202436.64neutral+3.30%+9.66%+11.30%+0.00%+19.32%
202323/10/202336.44near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.93%-6.01%-0.96%-8.26%+2.22%
202224/10/202237.12neutral+5.71%-0.35%+13.20%-0.70%+19.18%
202122/10/202149.38near 52w high+1.82%+10.73%+7.96%-0.65%+11.38%
202023/10/202023.29neutral-11.55%+2.66%+18.42%-11.55%+20.18%
201923/10/201934.47near 52w high+0.09%+3.97%+0.58%+0.00%+4.09%
201823/10/201828.28near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.92%+5.73%+2.02%-7.28%+12.34%
201723/10/201739.67near 52w high+2.17%+2.75%+1.92%+0.00%+5.70%
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.46% · Win 56% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg +5.36% · Win 56% · DD -5.52%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202541.85neutral-4.13%-8.43%-0.07%-11.61%+2.34%
202401/11/202437.44neutral+13.70%+11.78%+11.16%+0.00%+18.22%
202302/11/202335.71near 52w low · volume x2.9-6.38%-1.09%+2.44%-6.38%+4.31%
202202/11/202237.16neutral+8.15%+14.80%+18.00%-0.81%+19.05%
202102/11/202151.29near 52w high+0.80%+1.40%-11.58%-11.58%+7.23%
202002/11/202021.92neutral+24.91%+26.55%+28.33%+0.00%+33.39%
201901/11/201935.34near 52w high+0.93%-0.54%-2.97%-2.97%+1.53%
201802/11/201830.94neutral-10.37%-4.33%+5.33%-12.25%+5.33%
201702/11/201740.64near 52w high · volume x2.4+0.98%+0.02%-2.36%-4.04%+3.17%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-15.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -29.2% · from 52w low: +6.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-7.04% · -12.87% · -12.71% · -23.39%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-9.58% · -15.79% · -15.00%
Distance from 52w high / low-29.24% · +6.55%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.25 · 0.78x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-10.64%
vs SPY (20d)-10.82%
vs SMH (20d)-8.52%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20043.36 · 46.55 · 46.12
52w high / low55.40 · 36.79