🕰️ Time Machine
HLIT — Harmonic Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
12.00 +3.09%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 10/09/2026
since +3.09%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/07/2026
10.45
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: +14.83%
Last major high · 13/08/2026
15.06
Days: 20 trading / 29 calendar · return since: -20.32%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 10.45 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Fib 13 | Trading | 📅 01/09/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Fib 21 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 10.45 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 10.45 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 14/09/2026 | +1 (±1) | In window |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 10.45 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 10.45 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 12/10/2026 | +31 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 10.45 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 13/08/2026 @ 15.06 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +40 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Shooting Star 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
● Hammer Reversal 02/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 01/09/2026
● Doji After Run 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 01/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 01/09/2026
● Hammer Reversal 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.46% · Win 22% · DD -5.09%20 days: Avg -2.49% · Win 33% · DD -6.73%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 9.49 | neutral | +4.53% | +6.64% | +4.32% | +0.00% | +10.54% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 14.34 | far above SMA50 | -1.95% | -3.49% | -0.77% | -7.11% | +2.23% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 10.27 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.19% | -3.41% | -8.67% | -8.67% | +4.19% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 11.22 | far above SMA50 | -1.96% | -1.43% | +2.85% | -3.74% | +6.68% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 9.39 | neutral | -2.02% | -2.02% | -3.09% | -6.71% | +0.43% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 5.88 | neutral | -4.08% | -6.29% | -11.39% | -11.39% | +1.87% |
| 2019 | 27/08/2019 | 6.55 | neutral | -0.31% | +3.21% | +1.98% | -0.92% | +5.34% |
| 2018 | 27/08/2018 | 5.50 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.91% | -4.55% | +0.00% | -8.18% | +0.91% |
| 2017 | 28/08/2017 | 3.25 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.54% | -10.77% | -7.69% | -13.85% | +4.62% |
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.89% · Win 33% · DD -6.27%20 days: Avg -0.28% · Win 44% · DD -7.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 9.60 | neutral | +3.23% | +4.06% | +6.04% | +0.00% | +9.27% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 14.45 | far above SMA50 | -7.54% | -6.92% | +0.83% | -7.82% | +0.83% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 10.60 | far below SMA50 | -5.09% | -7.08% | -10.94% | -11.60% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 10.97 | neutral | +0.27% | +8.30% | +19.14% | -1.55% | +19.14% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 9.20 | neutral | -2.61% | -1.85% | -4.89% | -5.00% | +2.50% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 5.93 | neutral | -6.24% | -4.22% | -5.90% | -12.14% | +1.01% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 6.59 | neutral | +0.15% | +3.95% | -0.15% | -1.97% | +4.70% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 5.45 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.12% | -4.59% | +0.73% | -7.34% | +1.83% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 3.40 | far below SMA50 | -13.24% | -17.65% | -7.35% | -17.65% | +0.00% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.58% · Win 44% · DD -5.71%20 days: Avg -0.89% · Win 22% · DD -7.24%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 9.77 | neutral | +0.72% | +2.66% | +8.50% | +0.00% | +8.50% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 14.16 | neutral | -4.10% | -4.03% | -1.48% | -5.93% | +2.90% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 10.60 | far below SMA50 | -5.09% | -7.08% | -10.94% | -11.60% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 11.00 | neutral | +0.55% | +8.82% | +17.82% | -1.82% | +18.82% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 9.20 | neutral | +0.00% | -4.67% | -6.41% | -6.41% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 5.64 | neutral | -2.30% | +1.42% | -2.13% | -7.62% | +6.21% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 6.49 | neutral | +2.62% | +4.01% | -5.08% | -5.08% | +6.32% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 5.55 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -5.41% | -6.67% | -0.90% | -9.01% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 3.40 | far below SMA50 | -13.24% | -17.65% | -7.35% | -17.65% | +0.00% |
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.32% · Win 50% · DD -3.14%20 days: Avg +4.90% · Win 60% · DD -4.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 9.84 | neutral | +1.93% | +0.51% | +5.18% | +0.00% | +8.64% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 13.58 | volume x2.3 | +0.07% | +6.04% | -1.55% | -2.50% | +7.29% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10.06 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.09% | -4.47% | -9.15% | -9.15% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 11.00 | neutral | +8.00% | +0.64% | +20.73% | -1.82% | +25.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 8.88 | neutral | +1.13% | +1.35% | -2.59% | -3.04% | +3.60% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 5.43 | neutral | +2.03% | -1.29% | +14.36% | -4.05% | +14.36% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 6.66 | neutral | +1.35% | -1.95% | -9.01% | -9.01% | +3.60% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 5.28 | neutral | -1.52% | +4.17% | +8.14% | -4.36% | +9.28% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 2.95 | far below SMA50 | -5.08% | +0.00% | +5.08% | -5.08% | +10.17% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 5.01 | near 52w high | -7.39% | -8.18% | +17.76% | -8.18% | +18.36% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.73% · Win 50% · DD -4.09%20 days: Avg +4.34% · Win 50% · DD -5.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 9.91 | neutral | +3.03% | +1.61% | -2.02% | -2.02% | +7.87% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 13.81 | neutral | +2.32% | +4.85% | -2.53% | -4.13% | +5.50% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 9.92 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.82% | -5.44% | -5.54% | -7.86% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 11.06 | neutral | +8.23% | +4.34% | +21.97% | -2.35% | +24.32% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 9.20 | volume x1.6 | -4.67% | -1.09% | -5.98% | -6.41% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 5.51 | neutral | +3.81% | -5.44% | +17.06% | -5.44% | +17.06% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 6.82 | neutral | -1.76% | -5.28% | -11.73% | -11.73% | +1.17% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 5.20 | neutral | -2.88% | +3.85% | +5.77% | -2.88% | +10.96% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 2.90 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.72% | +3.45% | +8.62% | -3.45% | +12.07% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 5.01 | near 52w high | -7.39% | -8.18% | +17.76% | -8.18% | +18.36% |
In window 14/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.67% · Win 60% · DD -3.12%20 days: Avg +6.19% · Win 70% · DD -4.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 10.00 | neutral | +2.90% | +0.40% | -0.70% | -2.90% | +6.90% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 13.41 | volume x2.2 | +4.77% | +8.05% | +1.94% | -1.27% | +8.65% |
| 2023 | 14/09/2023 | 9.89 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -3.24% | -4.45% | +1.42% | -7.58% | +1.42% |
| 2022 | 14/09/2022 | 10.91 | neutral | +7.79% | +19.16% | +25.21% | +0.00% | +26.03% |
| 2021 | 14/09/2021 | 8.93 | volume x1.8 | -1.90% | -1.12% | +2.58% | -3.58% | +2.58% |
| 2020 | 14/09/2020 | 5.60 | neutral | +0.71% | -4.64% | +15.18% | -6.96% | +15.18% |
| 2019 | 13/09/2019 | 6.87 | neutral | +0.44% | -2.47% | -10.92% | -12.37% | +0.44% |
| 2018 | 14/09/2018 | 5.33 | neutral | +1.31% | +3.19% | -0.75% | -5.25% | +8.26% |
| 2017 | 14/09/2017 | 2.90 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +0.00% | +3.45% | +8.62% | -3.45% | +12.07% |
| 2016 | 14/09/2016 | 4.66 | near 52w low | +2.15% | +25.11% | +19.31% | -1.29% | +27.25% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.57% · Win 60% · DD -2.79%20 days: Avg +10.76% · Win 80% · DD -3.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 9.90 | neutral | +7.07% | +3.94% | +5.05% | -1.92% | +7.98% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 14.23 | neutral | -2.39% | -4.50% | +1.55% | -6.96% | +2.39% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 9.61 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.77% | -4.89% | +9.89% | -4.89% | +13.74% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 11.54 | volume x1.8 | +12.31% | +16.90% | +31.20% | +0.00% | +31.20% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 9.00 | neutral | -2.11% | -3.89% | +3.22% | -4.33% | +6.11% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 5.21 | far below SMA50 | +5.95% | +23.80% | +35.70% | +0.00% | +35.70% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 6.68 | neutral | -6.89% | -9.88% | -3.14% | -9.88% | +0.30% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 5.50 | near 52w high | +0.00% | +0.91% | +0.00% | -5.27% | +4.91% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 2.95 | far below SMA50 | +6.78% | +5.08% | +6.78% | -0.68% | +10.17% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 4.60 | near 52w low | +25.22% | +28.26% | +17.39% | +0.00% | +28.91% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.46% · Win 40% · DD -3.62%20 days: Avg +7.91% · Win 70% · DD -3.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 10.07 | neutral | +6.16% | -3.57% | +3.77% | -3.57% | +6.16% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 14.49 | neutral | -5.04% | -5.66% | +2.00% | -8.63% | +2.00% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 9.37 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.64% | -0.75% | +9.93% | -2.45% | +16.65% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 11.80 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +12.46% | +13.56% | +31.27% | +0.00% | +31.27% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 9.10 | neutral | -5.38% | -4.95% | -3.08% | -5.38% | +4.95% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 5.34 | neutral | +6.18% | +20.79% | +27.53% | +0.00% | +32.40% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 6.70 | neutral | -7.91% | -8.66% | -4.93% | -10.15% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 5.45 | near 52w high | +4.59% | -4.40% | +0.55% | -4.40% | +5.87% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 3.05 | far below SMA50 | +1.64% | +6.56% | -1.64% | -3.93% | +6.56% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 4.66 | near 52w low | +25.32% | +21.67% | +13.73% | +0.00% | +27.25% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.38% · Win 70% · DD -4.06%20 days: Avg +2.05% · Win 60% · DD -7.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 10.60 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -2.36% | -3.40% | -2.08% | -8.40% | +0.85% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 13.95 | neutral | -4.16% | +1.51% | -20.43% | -20.43% | +6.24% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 9.44 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -3.18% | +10.49% | +3.07% | -3.18% | +15.78% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 13.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +1.61% | +3.06% | +19.74% | -0.84% | +19.74% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 8.81 | neutral | -1.82% | +5.22% | +2.95% | -2.27% | +8.40% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 5.48 | neutral | +13.32% | +17.52% | +11.50% | +0.00% | +29.01% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 6.16 | far below SMA50 | -1.62% | +1.79% | +26.30% | -2.27% | +26.30% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 5.49 | near 52w high | +4.01% | -3.64% | +1.46% | -5.10% | +5.10% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 3.15 | neutral | -1.59% | +1.59% | -6.35% | -9.52% | +3.17% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 5.93 | near 52w high | -0.34% | -10.29% | -15.68% | -18.21% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.03% · Win 70% · DD -2.60%20 days: Avg +6.84% · Win 70% · DD -6.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 9.93 | neutral | +3.63% | +5.44% | +1.61% | +0.00% | +7.75% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 13.67 | neutral | +5.71% | +8.12% | -11.85% | -19.82% | +8.41% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 10.03 | volume x2.5 | +8.97% | +0.90% | +6.18% | -3.69% | +9.97% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 13.66 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.78% | +12.66% | -3.81% | -3.81% | +14.57% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 9.16 | volume x1.5 | -1.20% | -4.04% | +16.27% | -4.04% | +17.90% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 6.45 | neutral | -1.09% | +5.58% | +0.16% | -7.91% | +9.61% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 6.12 | neutral | +6.86% | +4.08% | +31.05% | +0.00% | +31.05% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 5.29 | neutral | +0.38% | +2.84% | +11.91% | +0.00% | +16.45% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 3.15 | neutral | -6.35% | -7.94% | +20.63% | -9.52% | +23.81% |
| 2016 | 12/10/2016 | 5.56 | neutral | -2.88% | -7.37% | -3.78% | -14.57% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.94% · Win 30% · DD -7.25%20 days: Avg +3.52% · Win 50% · DD -9.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 10.29 | neutral | +1.07% | +3.50% | -6.61% | -6.61% | +3.98% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 14.30 | neutral | +1.05% | -19.02% | -13.85% | -23.36% | +3.64% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 10.43 | neutral | +1.25% | -6.71% | +1.73% | -6.71% | +5.75% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 13.98 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +8.30% | +10.52% | -4.08% | -6.58% | +11.95% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 9.27 | neutral | +0.22% | -2.16% | +16.18% | -5.18% | +16.50% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 6.40 | neutral | +10.47% | -7.19% | -2.19% | -7.19% | +10.47% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 6.64 | volume x1.7 | -2.56% | +16.42% | +22.29% | -4.07% | +23.95% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 5.53 | neutral | -0.54% | -0.54% | +7.23% | -4.16% | +11.39% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 3.20 | neutral | -1.56% | -7.81% | +21.88% | -10.94% | +21.88% |
| 2016 | 17/10/2016 | 5.45 | neutral | -0.92% | -6.42% | -7.34% | -17.43% | +1.83% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.81% · Win 60% · DD -8.62%20 days: Avg +2.82% · Win 50% · DD -10.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 10.37 | neutral | +0.10% | +0.68% | -11.28% | -11.28% | +3.18% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 14.54 | neutral | -23.66% | -20.01% | -16.02% | -24.62% | +1.93% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 10.56 | neutral | -7.86% | +4.45% | +3.31% | -7.86% | +5.59% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 14.90 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.03% | -6.38% | -1.34% | -12.35% | +5.03% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 9.29 | neutral | -2.37% | +15.61% | +19.27% | -5.38% | +19.27% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 6.78 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -9.88% | -7.08% | -2.95% | -12.39% | +4.28% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 6.56 | neutral | +18.60% | +21.65% | +20.73% | -2.90% | +25.46% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 5.51 | neutral | +1.09% | +9.80% | +1.27% | -3.81% | +11.80% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 3.15 | volume x1.6 | -6.35% | +22.22% | +31.75% | -9.52% | +31.75% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 5.45 | neutral | -8.26% | -12.84% | -16.51% | -17.43% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.38% · Win 60% · DD -4.25%20 days: Avg +1.79% · Win 60% · DD -4.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10.18 | neutral | -5.60% | -13.06% | -4.81% | -13.06% | +0.79% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 12.02 | far below SMA50 | +2.50% | +0.50% | +6.74% | -0.83% | +7.90% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 11.03 | far above SMA50 | -3.81% | -1.09% | -6.98% | -6.98% | +1.36% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 13.50 | neutral | -0.67% | +6.22% | +0.89% | -3.26% | +13.63% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 10.74 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.28% | +3.17% | -1.30% | -2.33% | +5.40% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 6.18 | neutral | +1.29% | +5.02% | +16.34% | -1.13% | +16.34% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 7.87 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.18% | +1.02% | +1.78% | -0.38% | +4.96% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 5.94 | near 52w high | -0.17% | -8.25% | -8.42% | -8.42% | +2.53% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 3.85 | far above SMA50 | +1.30% | +7.79% | +6.49% | -1.30% | +18.18% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 4.90 | neutral | +3.06% | -5.10% | +7.14% | -8.16% | +9.18% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -32.1% · from 52w low: +41.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +3.36% · -2.28% · -8.26% · -18.92% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.97% · -2.54% · +4.93% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -32.13% · +41.68% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.39 · 0.77x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -5.91% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -6.50% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -4.76% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 12.24 · 12.31 · 11.44 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 17.68 · 8.47 |
|---|
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