📡 HOG — Harley-Davidson

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/06/2026

Last price (Close)
24.42 -4.20%
Next window · Short 21 · active
10/06/2026
Last window · Short 13 · 29/05/2026
since +0.99%
Trend
Strong uptrend

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/03/2026
17.09
Days: 57 trading / 83 calendar · return since: +42.89%
Last major high · 11/05/2026
26.99
Days: 21 trading / 30 calendar · return since: -9.52%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Short 13Trading29/05/2026-8 (±1)Passed
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Short 21Calendar01/06/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Short 21Trading10/06/2026+0 (±1)Active now
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Gann 30Calendar10/06/2026+0 (±2)Active now
Low 19/03/2026 @ 17.09Gann 60Trading15/06/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 17.09Gann 90Calendar17/06/2026+7 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Gann 30Trading23/06/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Gann 45Calendar25/06/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Gann 60Calendar10/07/2026+30 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Gann 45Trading14/07/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 17.09Gann 120Calendar17/07/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 17.09Gann 90Trading27/07/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 26.99Gann 60Trading04/08/2026+39 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 29/05/2026 · High Short 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.23% · Win 67% · DD -3.42%20 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 44% · DD -4.77%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/05/202524.39neutral+0.05%+2.57%-2.43%-3.96%+5.00%
202429/05/202434.02far below SMA50+4.40%-0.77%-1.33%-3.93%+8.58%
202330/05/202332.02far below SMA50+7.09%+9.73%+7.53%-2.84%+10.92%
202227/05/202236.34neutral-2.42%-14.70%-11.30%-16.19%+0.00%
202128/05/202148.47neutral-2.68%-2.69%-4.82%-9.41%+1.05%
202029/05/202021.34volume x3.2+19.12%+17.53%+6.51%+0.00%+29.66%
201929/05/201933.27neutral+3.31%+3.85%+7.24%-1.65%+10.13%
201829/05/201842.36neutral-1.24%+3.24%-1.60%-3.12%+9.41%
201730/05/201753.01neutral-1.77%+1.28%+2.83%-1.77%+6.07%
Passed 01/06/2026 · High Short 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.41% · Win 67% · DD -2.63%20 days: Avg +1.98% · Win 67% · DD -3.70%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/06/202523.67neutral+5.58%+3.00%+5.83%-1.77%+7.39%
202431/05/202435.88neutral-3.73%-8.91%-9.39%-9.39%+2.95%
202301/06/202331.33far below SMA50+11.79%+10.96%+12.98%+0.00%+13.36%
202201/06/202233.85neutral+3.99%-4.87%-6.47%-10.43%+6.77%
202101/06/202148.43neutral-0.91%-1.34%-4.43%-9.34%+1.14%
202001/06/202022.73far above SMA50+21.73%+10.07%+4.88%+0.00%+21.73%
201931/05/201932.72near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.90%+5.87%+9.50%+0.00%+11.98%
201801/06/201840.68near 52w low+4.84%+12.93%+3.44%+0.00%+12.93%
201701/06/201753.31neutral-0.86%+2.96%+1.44%-2.33%+5.48%
Active now 10/06/2026 · High Short 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.97% · Win 50% · DD -4.44%20 days: Avg +1.18% · Win 50% · DD -5.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/06/202525.42neutral-7.79%-8.54%-1.22%-8.54%+0.43%
202410/06/202434.18neutral-1.84%-2.95%-5.62%-6.88%+0.00%
202309/06/202333.73neutral+1.84%+0.24%+6.61%-1.30%+7.77%
202210/06/202232.60far below SMA50-5.55%+0.67%-0.89%-6.99%+0.67%
202110/06/202146.55neutral-4.10%+1.16%-2.19%-5.97%+2.32%
202010/06/202025.71far above SMA50-2.96%-9.02%+0.16%-11.59%+0.16%
201910/06/201935.06neutral-1.43%+0.68%+1.11%-1.45%+4.51%
201811/06/201842.77neutral+6.55%-2.81%+2.15%-3.39%+7.41%
201709/06/201753.28neutral+4.15%+4.24%-1.48%-1.48%+5.54%
201613/06/201643.86near 52w high+5.59%-3.35%+13.13%-3.35%+23.69%
Upcoming 15/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.15% · Win 40% · DD -4.74%20 days: Avg +1.82% · Win 60% · DD -5.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/06/202524.38neutral-3.28%+2.75%-2.01%-4.63%+4.72%
202414/06/202432.52far below SMA50+4.61%-0.52%+11.72%-2.12%+11.72%
202315/06/202334.58neutral-3.38%+1.82%+2.05%-3.38%+5.12%
202215/06/202232.20far below SMA50-1.58%-1.68%+1.15%-5.84%+1.93%
202115/06/202147.63neutral-3.34%-3.13%-6.59%-8.10%+0.00%
202015/06/202025.02far above SMA50-1.88%-4.72%+9.35%-9.15%+9.35%
201914/06/201934.64neutral+5.77%+3.44%+5.05%-0.23%+5.77%
201815/06/201845.94volume x2.6-3.77%-8.40%-6.53%-10.06%+0.00%
201715/06/201754.89volume x1.9+2.44%-1.48%-5.96%-8.27%+2.44%
201615/06/201644.15near 52w high+4.51%+0.41%+9.94%-3.99%+22.88%
Upcoming 17/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.63% · Win 60% · DD -3.72%20 days: Avg +4.19% · Win 70% · DD -4.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/06/202523.44neutral-0.81%+8.49%+0.94%-0.81%+8.92%
202417/06/202433.55neutral-1.13%-4.71%+7.81%-5.13%+8.29%
202316/06/202334.35neutral-1.57%+5.82%+4.51%-2.74%+5.82%
202217/06/202230.79near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.59%+5.78%+12.02%+0.00%+12.02%
202117/06/202144.64neutral+5.49%+5.26%-3.58%-3.58%+6.00%
202017/06/202024.95far above SMA50-6.25%-7.21%+18.96%-8.90%+18.96%
201917/06/201934.56neutral+2.14%+3.24%+5.90%+0.00%+6.02%
201818/06/201845.57neutral-8.78%-7.97%-6.41%-9.33%+0.24%
201716/06/201755.49volume x2.0+0.09%-2.65%-6.29%-9.26%+1.33%
201617/06/201645.13near 52w high-3.50%+20.21%+8.00%-6.07%+20.21%
Upcoming 23/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.43% · Win 60% · DD -4.13%20 days: Avg +2.15% · Win 70% · DD -6.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/06/202523.54neutral+0.25%+4.59%+3.87%-1.23%+8.45%
202424/06/202434.02neutral-4.91%-6.44%+1.82%-6.44%+6.79%
202323/06/202333.41neutral+5.39%+6.08%+11.64%+0.00%+11.64%
202223/06/202231.69far below SMA50-0.09%+2.34%+9.21%-0.88%+11.39%
202123/06/202145.61neutral+0.46%-2.83%-12.23%-12.23%+3.75%
202023/06/202024.72far above SMA50-3.84%+3.52%+15.82%-8.05%+20.06%
201924/06/201935.30neutral+1.08%+0.42%+3.34%-2.89%+3.77%
201822/06/201844.21neutral-4.82%-1.85%-6.24%-6.54%+0.00%
201723/06/201755.54volume x1.7-2.74%-5.49%-12.71%-13.11%+0.00%
201623/06/201646.86near 52w high-3.33%+3.99%+6.96%-9.54%+15.77%
Upcoming 25/06/2026 · High Gann 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.68% · Win 60% · DD -3.04%20 days: Avg +3.70% · Win 80% · DD -4.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/06/202523.25neutral+9.38%+8.00%+3.18%+0.00%+9.81%
202425/06/202433.17neutral-3.62%-2.74%+2.11%-4.04%+9.53%
202326/06/202333.81neutral+7.51%+6.36%+10.29%+0.00%+10.32%
202224/06/202232.80neutral-2.47%-2.87%+5.12%-4.24%+7.62%
202125/06/202147.32neutral-1.10%-2.58%-13.74%-15.41%+0.00%
202025/06/202024.41neutral-3.97%+8.15%+19.09%-6.88%+21.59%
201925/06/201935.19neutral-0.06%+1.28%+1.42%-2.59%+4.09%
201825/06/201841.57volume x1.9+0.89%+5.10%+7.36%-0.60%+7.36%
201726/06/201755.10volume x1.7-0.49%-5.64%-12.63%-12.63%+0.00%
201624/06/201643.55near 52w low+24.57%+11.71%+14.79%-2.66%+24.57%
Upcoming 10/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.07% · Win 70% · DD -4.00%20 days: Avg +0.80% · Win 40% · DD -4.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/07/202525.11neutral-5.77%-4.46%-4.06%-8.60%+3.62%
202410/07/202432.26neutral+12.12%+4.99%+9.02%+0.00%+18.94%
202310/07/202335.44neutral-0.42%+5.25%+0.42%-0.42%+9.26%
202211/07/202231.86neutral+3.58%+8.22%+19.96%-1.41%+19.96%
202109/07/202145.53volume x1.6-5.47%-10.81%-12.54%-14.34%+1.25%
202010/07/202026.40far above SMA50+8.45%+10.11%-0.72%-1.89%+12.42%
201910/07/201935.64neutral+0.62%+0.14%-6.40%-6.57%+2.78%
201810/07/201843.69neutral-2.38%+2.15%-0.14%-5.13%+3.20%
201710/07/201752.49neutral-0.93%-7.64%-8.44%-8.94%+0.00%
201611/07/201648.65neutral+0.19%+2.75%+10.91%-1.13%+10.91%
Upcoming 14/07/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.31% · Win 60% · DD -3.93%20 days: Avg +0.91% · Win 40% · DD -5.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/07/202524.63neutral-4.26%-4.34%-1.91%-6.82%+5.64%
202415/07/202435.19neutral+0.40%+7.42%-0.94%-3.75%+9.04%
202314/07/202335.99neutral+3.61%+7.59%-4.78%-4.78%+7.59%
202214/07/202231.41neutral+12.38%+17.67%+26.01%+0.00%+26.01%
202114/07/202144.49neutral-8.63%-12.32%-5.91%-12.34%+0.00%
202014/07/202027.36far above SMA50+3.03%+6.21%+1.90%-5.34%+8.48%
201915/07/201936.39neutral-5.80%-2.23%-8.90%-8.90%+0.58%
201813/07/201842.93neutral-3.05%+3.38%+0.75%-3.45%+5.03%
201714/07/201751.62neutral-6.51%-5.35%-7.90%-8.33%+0.74%
201614/07/201648.54neutral+3.36%+5.09%+10.80%-0.91%+11.17%
Upcoming 17/07/2026 · Low Gann 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 60% · DD -4.34%20 days: Avg +2.21% · Win 30% · DD -5.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/202523.66neutral+1.39%+2.83%+16.48%-3.00%+16.48%
202417/07/202436.17neutral-6.36%+3.68%-0.53%-6.36%+6.08%
202317/07/202335.29neutral+5.70%+9.41%-1.50%-2.89%+9.72%
202218/07/202233.00neutral+4.48%+14.27%+23.33%+0.00%+23.33%
202116/07/202143.04neutral-5.65%-7.95%-4.97%-9.39%+1.77%
202017/07/202028.63far above SMA50+1.54%-9.08%-2.34%-9.54%+2.27%
201917/07/201935.86neutral-0.47%-0.22%-11.18%-11.18%+1.73%
201817/07/201842.65neutral+4.64%+0.56%-2.46%-2.98%+5.72%
201717/07/201752.00neutral-6.77%-6.40%-7.88%-9.00%+0.00%
201618/07/201648.74neutral+2.56%+5.99%+13.15%-0.98%+13.15%
Upcoming 27/07/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.76% · Win 40% · DD -4.34%20 days: Avg +1.58% · Win 50% · DD -6.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/07/202523.56neutral+0.89%+2.55%+22.45%-2.59%+22.45%
202426/07/202436.83volume x2.3-2.82%-3.86%+3.53%-5.35%+4.18%
202327/07/202337.70volume x2.8-0.29%-5.86%-11.96%-13.16%+2.71%
202227/07/202234.30neutral+9.48%+13.32%+19.13%+0.00%+23.21%
202127/07/202139.62far below SMA50+0.71%+1.99%+2.55%-1.56%+5.65%
202027/07/202029.28far above SMA50-10.25%-6.97%-1.47%-11.54%+0.00%
201926/07/201935.90neutral-2.48%-5.74%-14.43%-14.43%+0.00%
201827/07/201844.38neutral-0.72%-2.55%-3.45%-7.62%+0.00%
201727/07/201750.26neutral-4.52%-5.85%-6.09%-6.78%+0.00%
201627/07/201650.58neutral+2.08%+5.32%+5.54%+0.00%+9.04%
Upcoming 04/08/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.56% · Win 60% · DD -3.12%20 days: Avg +1.95% · Win 50% · DD -3.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/08/202523.77neutral+1.64%+16.45%+23.22%+0.00%+23.22%
202405/08/202435.76neutral-2.52%+2.91%+4.22%-2.52%+7.13%
202304/08/202337.55neutral-8.74%-10.47%-8.89%-12.81%+0.00%
202204/08/202237.11far above SMA50+6.66%+13.88%+3.02%+0.00%+13.88%
202104/08/202139.00far below SMA50+7.33%+3.36%+2.21%+0.00%+7.33%
202004/08/202025.90neutral+7.64%+8.07%+8.30%+0.00%+11.39%
201905/08/201933.30neutral-0.45%-2.22%-6.82%-8.74%+3.15%
201803/08/201844.06neutral-1.84%-4.09%-3.27%-6.95%+0.00%
201704/08/201748.34neutral-1.65%-3.02%-2.01%-3.08%+0.00%
201604/08/201653.13neutral+1.22%+0.77%-0.45%-1.51%+3.80%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -21.9% · from 52w low: +42.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.48% · +1.90% · -2.85% · +38.10%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.19% · +3.41% · +4.05%
Distance from 52w high / low-21.86% · +42.89%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.88 · 0.98x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-0.93%
vs SPY (20d)-1.12%
vs SMH (20d)-4.57%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20024.37 · 23.62 · 23.47
52w high / low31.25 · 17.09