🕰️ Time Machine
HTH — Hilltop Holdings Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
36.36 -2.47%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 3 days
28/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 21/10/2026
since -0.38%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 23/07/2026
37.35
Days: 65 trading / 92 calendar · return since: -2.65%
Last major high · 04/08/2026
40.37
Days: 57 trading / 80 calendar · return since: -9.93%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 37.35 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 37.35 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | -2 (±3) | In window |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 40.37 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 40.37 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 02/11/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 37.35 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 20/11/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 37.35 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 40.37 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 02/12/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 40.37 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 10/12/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Gap Day 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 12/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 06/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 30/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.91% · Win 56% · DD -4.66%20 days: Avg +4.54% · Win 89% · DD -5.50%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 31.04 | neutral | +4.51% | +4.51% | +8.42% | +0.00% | +9.23% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 32.57 | neutral | -6.14% | -4.76% | +0.34% | -7.25% | +5.74% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 28.21 | neutral | -2.52% | -2.27% | +2.27% | -3.86% | +5.88% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 26.36 | neutral | +6.22% | +9.83% | +17.45% | -4.78% | +17.45% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 33.62 | neutral | +3.15% | +5.41% | +10.64% | +0.00% | +13.41% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 22.13 | neutral | -1.94% | +3.07% | +8.36% | -3.93% | +8.36% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 23.82 | neutral | +0.76% | -0.42% | +5.88% | -1.93% | +7.39% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 19.52 | near 52w low | -8.15% | +1.84% | +2.00% | -11.94% | +4.25% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 26.33 | neutral | -3.19% | -9.04% | -14.55% | -15.80% | +0.00% |
In window 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.65% · Win 80% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +5.16% · Win 90% · DD -3.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 32.17 | neutral | +0.40% | +1.34% | +1.15% | +0.00% | +5.68% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 30.70 | neutral | +1.99% | -0.36% | +4.12% | -1.60% | +12.18% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 27.18 | volume x1.8 | +0.48% | +9.90% | +13.70% | -0.22% | +15.21% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 27.57 | volume x1.8 | +6.02% | +4.35% | +5.52% | +0.00% | +14.85% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 34.38 | neutral | +1.31% | +8.96% | +6.94% | -1.75% | +10.91% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 22.22 | neutral | -4.23% | +2.34% | +8.15% | -4.32% | +10.23% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 23.92 | neutral | -0.63% | +5.35% | +1.91% | -2.34% | +6.94% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 17.92 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.87% | +12.61% | +7.74% | -4.07% | +13.56% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 26.03 | neutral | -2.42% | -9.76% | -11.67% | -14.83% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 24.51 | near 52w high | +0.78% | +1.75% | +14.02% | -1.75% | +14.10% |
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.77% · Win 90% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +4.57% · Win 70% · DD -2.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 32.30 | neutral | +0.93% | +4.97% | +8.49% | +0.00% | +8.49% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 31.31 | neutral | -2.30% | +5.50% | +4.82% | -2.30% | +10.00% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 27.31 | near 52w low | +9.37% | +5.90% | +8.00% | +0.00% | +14.66% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 29.23 | far above SMA50 | -1.57% | +5.89% | -0.72% | -5.10% | +8.33% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 34.83 | neutral | +7.55% | +8.07% | +0.35% | +0.00% | +9.47% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 21.28 | neutral | +6.86% | +12.31% | +17.46% | -0.09% | +19.01% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 23.77 | neutral | +6.02% | +6.44% | +1.96% | -1.72% | +7.61% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 19.51 | volume x1.9 | +3.43% | +0.77% | -0.32% | -2.06% | +4.31% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 25.40 | volume x1.7 | -7.52% | -12.32% | -8.97% | -12.72% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 24.40 | near 52w high | -0.41% | +10.14% | +14.57% | -1.31% | +16.05% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.90% · Win 70% · DD -1.45%20 days: Avg +4.73% · Win 70% · DD -2.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 32.74 | neutral | +3.47% | -0.55% | +5.87% | -0.62% | +7.03% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 30.66 | neutral | +6.62% | +4.85% | +3.90% | -0.23% | +12.33% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 28.89 | neutral | -0.80% | +6.30% | +7.07% | -0.80% | +8.39% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 27.95 | neutral | +2.72% | +11.67% | +6.20% | -0.75% | +13.29% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 36.59 | neutral | +3.74% | +2.84% | -7.14% | -7.14% | +4.21% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 23.01 | far above SMA50 | +2.61% | +6.44% | +9.06% | -1.17% | +10.06% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 24.45 | near 52w high · volume x3.2 | +4.21% | +0.89% | -0.34% | -3.99% | +4.62% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 19.99 | neutral | -0.50% | -3.46% | -1.91% | -4.42% | +1.80% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 23.74 | neutral | -6.61% | -3.96% | +5.34% | -6.61% | +5.59% |
| 2016 | 02/11/2016 | 24.08 | near 52w high | +5.81% | +13.97% | +19.22% | +0.00% | +19.22% |
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.23% · Win 70% · DD -2.18%20 days: Avg +2.46% · Win 60% · DD -3.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/11/2025 | 33.11 | neutral | +3.65% | +3.84% | +4.80% | +0.00% | +6.52% |
| 2024 | 20/11/2024 | 31.29 | neutral | +1.63% | +0.13% | -7.83% | -7.83% | +4.35% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 30.63 | neutral | -4.15% | +2.09% | +12.83% | -4.24% | +12.83% |
| 2022 | 21/11/2022 | 29.17 | neutral | -0.27% | -2.54% | -0.51% | -2.67% | +2.16% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 36.42 | neutral | -4.89% | -3.27% | -6.56% | -7.41% | +2.33% |
| 2020 | 20/11/2020 | 24.16 | far above SMA50 | -0.29% | +5.17% | +10.89% | -0.29% | +13.82% |
| 2019 | 20/11/2019 | 23.85 | neutral | +2.94% | +2.94% | +6.37% | -1.89% | +7.92% |
| 2018 | 20/11/2018 | 19.08 | neutral | +2.62% | -4.93% | -11.01% | -11.22% | +2.73% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 23.12 | neutral | +4.45% | +4.93% | +8.26% | -0.48% | +9.43% |
| 2016 | 21/11/2016 | 27.88 | near 52w high | -0.29% | +3.95% | +7.32% | -0.29% | +7.32% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.93% · Win 60% · DD -2.50%20 days: Avg +2.85% · Win 70% · DD -4.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 34.65 | near 52w high | -0.06% | +0.58% | -1.47% | -1.47% | +1.79% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 31.65 | neutral | +0.57% | -0.22% | -10.05% | -10.05% | +1.64% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 29.45 | neutral | +8.66% | +17.08% | +19.56% | +0.00% | +20.41% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 29.80 | neutral | -4.26% | -4.06% | +1.68% | -4.73% | +1.68% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 34.03 | neutral | +1.70% | +3.17% | +3.79% | -0.91% | +4.03% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 24.09 | neutral | +5.48% | +7.64% | +12.79% | +0.00% | +14.45% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 24.63 | near 52w high | +0.73% | +4.30% | +1.58% | -2.80% | +4.51% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 19.54 | neutral | -8.85% | -8.85% | -7.06% | -15.05% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 24.87 | volume x1.7 | -3.94% | -3.86% | +1.85% | -5.15% | +2.17% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 28.09 | near 52w high | +3.88% | +3.49% | +5.87% | +0.00% | +7.30% |
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.15% · Win 70% · DD -2.62%20 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 60% · DD -4.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/12/2025 | 34.47 | near 52w high | +0.06% | +1.07% | -1.54% | -1.54% | +2.32% |
| 2024 | 02/12/2024 | 31.69 | neutral | +1.51% | +0.25% | -9.66% | -10.16% | +1.51% |
| 2023 | 01/12/2023 | 30.76 | neutral | +4.23% | +10.89% | +13.17% | +0.00% | +15.28% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 29.41 | neutral | -2.14% | -3.03% | +2.52% | -3.47% | +3.03% |
| 2021 | 02/12/2021 | 35.16 | neutral | -2.33% | +0.68% | -0.06% | -4.10% | +0.68% |
| 2020 | 02/12/2020 | 25.41 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.02% | +4.60% | +8.26% | +0.00% | +8.50% |
| 2019 | 02/12/2019 | 24.29 | neutral | +3.50% | +5.02% | +2.63% | -1.44% | +5.97% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 19.54 | neutral | -9.62% | -10.39% | -7.78% | -15.05% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/12/2017 | 24.94 | neutral | -5.25% | -1.32% | +1.76% | -5.41% | +1.88% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 28.14 | near 52w high | +5.97% | +3.73% | +6.86% | +0.00% | +7.11% |
Upcoming 10/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 50% · DD -2.72%20 days: Avg +3.69% · Win 60% · DD -3.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/12/2025 | 35.27 | near 52w high | -0.79% | -1.70% | -0.91% | -3.88% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 10/12/2024 | 31.97 | volume x1.8 | -2.85% | -8.82% | -15.08% | -15.08% | +0.63% |
| 2023 | 11/12/2023 | 32.04 | far above SMA50 | +5.96% | +10.30% | +7.52% | -0.37% | +10.67% |
| 2022 | 09/12/2022 | 28.78 | neutral | -0.90% | +3.20% | +6.53% | -1.18% | +6.53% |
| 2021 | 10/12/2021 | 34.31 | neutral | +1.34% | +1.95% | +8.92% | -1.72% | +8.92% |
| 2020 | 10/12/2020 | 26.03 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.61% | +4.92% | +12.33% | -0.38% | +12.33% |
| 2019 | 10/12/2019 | 25.07 | near 52w high | +2.67% | -0.96% | -0.96% | -2.15% | +2.67% |
| 2018 | 10/12/2018 | 17.81 | near 52w low | +0.00% | -6.79% | +7.80% | -6.79% | +7.80% |
| 2017 | 11/12/2017 | 23.59 | neutral | +6.02% | +6.87% | +11.40% | +0.00% | +12.08% |
| 2016 | 09/12/2016 | 29.82 | near 52w high | -2.11% | +0.00% | -0.67% | -3.29% | +1.64% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -10.0% · from 52w low: +14.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.33% · -0.05% · -5.71% · -7.15% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.84% · -4.34% · -3.49% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -10.02% · +14.52% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.86 · 1.78x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.32% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -4.23% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +7.38% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 37.04 · 38.01 · 37.67 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 40.41 · 31.75 |
|---|
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