🕰️ Time Machine
HWM — Howmet Aerospace
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
185.91 -3.82%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
30/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 16/10/2026
since -15.86%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 09/06/2026
243.68
Days: 95 trading / 136 calendar · return since: -23.71%
Last major high · 06/08/2026
310.00
Days: 55 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -40.03%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | -5 (±3) | Passed |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/10/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 31/10/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/11/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 04/12/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 06/12/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 14/12/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 20/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 16/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 16/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 16/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 16/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 14/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 16/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 12/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 05/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.89% · Win 44% · DD -4.43%20 days: Avg +5.02% · Win 78% · DD -6.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 188.83 | near 52w high | +1.51% | +5.97% | +8.94% | -2.51% | +9.48% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 103.70 | near 52w high | +1.55% | -0.84% | +10.76% | -3.84% | +10.76% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 46.42 | neutral | -3.92% | -6.18% | +4.98% | -7.17% | +4.98% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 32.94 | neutral | -0.03% | +7.47% | +11.27% | -2.52% | +11.27% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 31.64 | neutral | -0.98% | -3.73% | +5.63% | -7.14% | +5.63% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 18.30 | neutral | +1.58% | +3.55% | +3.01% | -8.85% | +3.55% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 19.62 | neutral | +7.50% | +6.45% | +15.04% | +0.00% | +15.32% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 17.52 | neutral | -2.85% | -9.59% | -8.14% | -15.85% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 21.00 | neutral | -0.80% | -11.10% | -6.27% | -11.17% | +0.62% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.82% · Win 33% · DD -5.73%20 days: Avg +5.32% · Win 78% · DD -5.96%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 191.68 | near 52w high | +4.39% | +5.26% | +5.08% | -1.04% | +9.49% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 105.31 | near 52w high | -2.35% | -3.96% | +10.01% | -5.31% | +10.01% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 44.60 | neutral | -2.35% | -2.24% | +12.99% | -3.39% | +12.99% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 32.93 | neutral | +7.50% | +7.96% | +11.42% | +0.00% | +16.44% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 31.33 | neutral | -2.78% | -5.23% | +2.11% | -6.22% | +6.68% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 18.59 | neutral | +1.94% | -7.21% | +20.28% | -10.27% | +23.72% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 21.10 | near 52w high | -0.98% | +0.07% | +7.31% | -1.82% | +7.34% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 17.02 | neutral | -6.94% | -11.22% | -9.11% | -13.38% | +1.49% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 20.84 | neutral | -10.38% | -8.80% | -12.23% | -12.23% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.22% · Win 80% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg +9.31% · Win 80% · DD -2.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/10/2025 | 201.77 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | +1.96% | -0.17% | +1.46% | -2.17% | +4.01% |
| 2024 | 30/10/2024 | 101.14 | volume x1.7 | +13.57% | +14.55% | +15.47% | -1.40% | +17.19% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 43.60 | neutral | +11.77% | +15.58% | +19.27% | +0.00% | +20.81% |
| 2022 | 31/10/2022 | 35.55 | volume x1.9 | +3.10% | +3.21% | +4.82% | -0.79% | +7.86% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 29.69 | neutral | +12.57% | +7.75% | -3.94% | -3.94% | +12.57% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 17.25 | neutral | +9.28% | +29.62% | +36.00% | +0.00% | +46.32% |
| 2019 | 30/10/2019 | 21.11 | near 52w high | +6.94% | +7.23% | +13.63% | -0.22% | +13.74% |
| 2018 | 30/10/2018 | 15.11 | neutral | +6.51% | +2.38% | +6.00% | +0.00% | +8.29% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 19.00 | neutral | +3.60% | -3.77% | -1.99% | -6.15% | +3.60% |
| 2016 | 01/11/2016 | 14.51 | near 52w low | -7.50% | +5.78% | +2.43% | -8.35% | +9.08% |
Upcoming 31/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.94% · Win 80% · DD -1.99%20 days: Avg +8.21% · Win 70% · DD -3.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/10/2025 | 205.95 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +0.40% | -1.23% | -3.44% | -4.15% | +1.90% |
| 2024 | 31/10/2024 | 99.72 | neutral | +11.53% | +13.62% | +18.80% | +0.00% | +18.86% |
| 2023 | 31/10/2023 | 44.10 | neutral | +9.46% | +16.92% | +17.11% | +0.00% | +19.44% |
| 2022 | 31/10/2022 | 35.55 | volume x1.9 | +3.10% | +3.21% | +4.82% | -0.79% | +7.86% |
| 2021 | 01/11/2021 | 30.50 | neutral | +7.48% | +8.43% | -7.71% | -7.71% | +9.58% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 17.25 | neutral | +9.28% | +29.62% | +36.00% | +0.00% | +46.32% |
| 2019 | 31/10/2019 | 21.07 | near 52w high | +5.31% | +10.09% | +12.78% | +0.00% | +13.98% |
| 2018 | 31/10/2018 | 15.59 | volume x2.0 | +4.29% | +0.35% | +5.28% | -2.12% | +5.28% |
| 2017 | 31/10/2017 | 19.26 | neutral | +0.08% | -7.42% | -3.95% | -7.42% | +2.19% |
| 2016 | 01/11/2016 | 14.51 | near 52w low | -7.50% | +5.78% | +2.43% | -8.35% | +9.08% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.39% · Win 70% · DD -1.59%20 days: Avg +8.31% · Win 70% · DD -3.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 205.02 | near 52w high | +1.95% | -1.80% | -5.18% | -5.18% | +2.36% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 99.84 | neutral | +14.95% | +13.43% | +19.39% | +0.00% | +19.39% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 47.98 | neutral | +3.38% | +7.38% | +10.39% | +0.00% | +10.39% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 36.04 | neutral | +3.86% | +2.94% | +6.94% | +0.00% | +8.44% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 31.00 | volume x1.8 | +3.23% | +1.03% | -6.26% | -11.58% | +7.74% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 18.17 | neutral | +22.62% | +27.63% | +37.86% | +0.00% | +38.91% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 22.07 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +2.61% | +8.00% | +6.74% | +0.00% | +8.80% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 15.92 | neutral | -3.28% | -2.02% | +0.43% | -4.43% | +3.66% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 19.43 | neutral | -4.34% | -5.88% | -2.41% | -8.45% | +1.07% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 13.56 | near 52w low | +7.23% | +13.20% | +15.19% | -1.92% | +16.73% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.93% · Win 70% · DD -2.64%20 days: Avg +3.07% · Win 60% · DD -4.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 198.74 | neutral | -2.57% | -0.75% | +4.56% | -3.90% | +6.76% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 118.38 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.06% | -4.18% | -6.84% | -9.03% | +1.44% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 52.60 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.27% | +0.34% | +2.89% | -0.80% | +3.06% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 37.67 | near 52w high | +0.53% | +3.53% | +4.57% | -0.24% | +4.59% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 28.13 | volume x1.7 | +9.60% | +5.51% | +12.44% | -2.56% | +12.48% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 23.46 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +9.04% | +14.28% | +19.22% | +0.00% | +19.22% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 23.74 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.19% | +2.23% | -0.29% | -2.07% | +2.71% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 16.47 | neutral | -7.40% | -10.85% | -13.59% | -24.86% | +0.19% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 18.87 | neutral | -0.08% | +1.54% | +10.73% | -1.95% | +12.23% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 14.79 | neutral | +8.30% | +7.62% | -3.01% | -3.01% | +13.07% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.10% · Win 60% · DD -3.46%20 days: Avg +3.12% · Win 60% · DD -5.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 196.27 | neutral | -0.19% | +0.88% | +8.48% | -2.70% | +8.48% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 120.09 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.34% | -10.33% | -6.10% | -10.33% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 52.91 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.42% | +0.53% | -0.28% | -1.38% | +2.46% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 38.54 | near 52w high | +0.88% | -2.49% | +2.62% | -2.49% | +2.62% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 29.06 | volume x1.6 | +6.19% | +3.10% | +11.25% | +0.00% | +11.25% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 25.37 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.18% | +7.49% | +10.01% | +0.00% | +12.50% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 23.25 | near 52w high | +3.00% | +1.48% | +3.86% | +0.00% | +4.88% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 15.99 | neutral | -2.83% | -14.05% | -9.06% | -22.59% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 18.96 | neutral | -1.21% | +3.56% | +13.14% | -2.43% | +13.14% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 15.54 | neutral | +6.52% | -1.18% | -2.76% | -8.49% | +7.60% |
Upcoming 06/12/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.44% · Win 60% · DD -3.08%20 days: Avg +5.07% · Win 70% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/12/2025 | 190.98 | neutral | +3.84% | +6.55% | +12.41% | +0.00% | +12.41% |
| 2024 | 06/12/2024 | 118.31 | near 52w high | -4.12% | -6.32% | -5.62% | -8.98% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 06/12/2023 | 52.31 | near 52w high | +3.63% | +0.78% | +2.91% | +0.00% | +3.63% |
| 2022 | 06/12/2022 | 37.87 | near 52w high | +3.54% | +1.08% | +3.83% | -0.77% | +4.44% |
| 2021 | 06/12/2021 | 30.43 | volume x1.5 | -1.15% | -3.84% | +10.19% | -3.84% | +10.19% |
| 2020 | 07/12/2020 | 25.58 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.81% | +3.44% | +9.58% | -0.51% | +11.57% |
| 2019 | 06/12/2019 | 23.79 | near 52w high | +2.03% | +1.19% | +1.26% | -0.81% | +2.51% |
| 2018 | 06/12/2018 | 15.74 | neutral | -2.87% | -14.47% | -5.46% | -21.38% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 06/12/2017 | 18.50 | volume x1.6 | +4.35% | +8.29% | +22.71% | +0.00% | +22.71% |
| 2016 | 06/12/2016 | 15.58 | neutral | +4.28% | -1.08% | -1.08% | -8.76% | +7.28% |
Upcoming 14/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.09% · Win 60% · DD -4.55%20 days: Avg +6.31% · Win 90% · DD -5.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/12/2025 | 197.24 | neutral | +5.54% | +5.36% | +11.67% | -3.07% | +11.67% |
| 2024 | 13/12/2024 | 113.43 | neutral | -2.29% | -2.78% | +7.43% | -5.06% | +7.43% |
| 2023 | 14/12/2023 | 52.78 | near 52w high · volume x2.5 | +1.31% | +2.54% | +1.67% | -0.34% | +5.29% |
| 2022 | 14/12/2022 | 39.00 | near 52w high | +0.13% | +1.00% | +4.49% | -3.64% | +4.49% |
| 2021 | 14/12/2021 | 29.68 | neutral | +3.07% | +6.57% | +14.25% | -1.42% | +14.59% |
| 2020 | 14/12/2020 | 26.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.31% | +4.33% | +4.92% | -1.31% | +7.68% |
| 2019 | 13/12/2019 | 24.27 | near 52w high | -0.82% | -2.46% | -6.54% | -8.85% | +0.47% |
| 2018 | 14/12/2018 | 15.14 | neutral | -13.98% | -14.59% | +1.67% | -18.24% | +1.67% |
| 2017 | 14/12/2017 | 19.16 | neutral | +7.24% | +9.04% | +21.69% | +0.00% | +23.41% |
| 2016 | 14/12/2016 | 15.91 | neutral | -3.52% | -9.88% | +1.83% | -10.65% | +1.83% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-21.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -40.0% · from 52w low: +1.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -15.86% · -17.47% · -20.03% · -32.92% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -15.34% · -21.84% · -25.40% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -40.03% · +1.30% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 8.22 · 1.86x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -14.65% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -18.56% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -6.95% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 219.58 · 237.86 · 249.21 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 310.00 · 183.52 |
|---|
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