🕰️ Time Machine

HWM — Howmet Aerospace

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
229.62 -1.29%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 6 days
18/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 04/09/2026
since -11.44%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/06/2026
243.68
Days: 64 trading / 93 calendar · return since: -5.77%
Last major high · 06/08/2026
310.00
Days: 24 trading / 35 calendar · return since: -25.93%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68Cycle 60Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00Fib 21Trading📅 04/09/2026-3 (±1)Passed
High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00Cycle 30Calendar📅 05/09/2026-5 (±2)Passed
Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68Cycle 90Calendar📅 07/09/2026-3 (±3)In window
High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00Cycle 30Trading📅 18/09/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00Cycle 45Calendar📅 20/09/2026+10 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00Cycle 60Calendar📅 05/10/2026+25 (±2)Upcoming
Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68Cycle 120Calendar📅 07/10/2026+27 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00Cycle 45Trading📅 09/10/2026+21 (±2)Upcoming
Low 09/06/2026 @ 243.68Cycle 90Trading📅 16/10/2026+26 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 310.00Cycle 60Trading📅 30/10/2026+36 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 07/09/2026
Doji After Run 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 07/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 07/09/2026
Volume Climax 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 07/09/2026
Gap Day 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 07/09/2026
NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 04/09/2026
Volume Climax 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 03/09/2026
Gap Day 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 03/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.79% · Win 44% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg +0.55% · Win 67% · DD -4.65%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/2025174.49neutral+5.34%+6.25%+11.67%+0.00%+12.46%
202403/09/202493.02volume x1.5+0.14%+1.69%+8.49%-1.70%+8.49%
202301/09/202349.69near 52w high-3.72%-5.23%-8.59%-8.59%+0.00%
202202/09/202235.02neutral+5.71%-2.28%-8.37%-11.68%+5.71%
202103/09/202131.37neutral+2.81%-1.37%+1.63%-2.45%+5.20%
202003/09/202017.73neutral+0.39%-0.17%+0.85%-7.28%+5.92%
201903/09/201919.92near 52w high+2.81%+4.85%-2.77%-2.77%+5.12%
201804/09/201816.94far above SMA50+0.59%+4.07%+0.45%-2.49%+4.07%
201701/09/201719.56neutral-2.08%-0.67%+1.61%-4.90%+5.02%
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.33% · Win 56% · DD -2.06%20 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 67% · DD -4.55%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/2025179.53neutral+2.61%+6.86%+6.43%-0.74%+9.30%
202404/09/202494.35near 52w high-0.28%+0.35%+7.36%-3.08%+7.36%
202305/09/202348.31neutral-1.22%-2.46%-5.78%-5.98%+0.25%
202202/09/202235.02neutral+5.71%-2.28%-8.37%-11.68%+5.71%
202103/09/202131.37neutral+2.81%-1.37%+1.63%-2.45%+5.20%
202004/09/202017.70neutral+3.90%-4.63%+2.71%-7.12%+6.10%
201904/09/201919.92near 52w high+3.50%+5.12%-6.85%-6.85%+5.12%
201804/09/201816.94far above SMA50+0.59%+4.07%+0.45%-2.49%+4.07%
201705/09/201718.70volume x2.0+3.16%+6.36%+7.13%-0.53%+9.84%
Passed 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.56% · Win 56% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg +1.01% · Win 67% · DD -4.41%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/2025178.20neutral+4.25%+6.75%+6.20%+0.00%+10.12%
202405/09/202494.21near 52w high+0.02%+3.42%+6.94%-2.94%+7.52%
202305/09/202348.31neutral-1.22%-2.46%-5.78%-5.98%+0.25%
202206/09/202234.73neutral+1.35%-1.30%-3.51%-10.94%+6.59%
202103/09/202131.37neutral+2.81%-1.37%+1.63%-2.45%+5.20%
202004/09/202017.70neutral+3.90%-4.63%+2.71%-7.12%+6.10%
201905/09/201919.95near 52w high+3.88%+4.34%-6.77%-6.96%+5.00%
201805/09/201816.99far above SMA50+2.39%+2.98%+0.54%-2.80%+3.75%
201705/09/201718.70volume x2.0+3.16%+6.36%+7.13%-0.53%+9.84%
In window 07/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.00% · Win 56% · DD -1.63%20 days: Avg +1.69% · Win 56% · DD -3.81%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/2025179.43neutral+5.47%+7.09%+6.16%-0.25%+9.36%
202406/09/202491.44volume x1.9+4.20%+6.57%+11.58%+0.00%+11.58%
202307/09/202348.20neutral-2.30%-4.42%-5.33%-5.77%+0.00%
202207/09/202235.36neutral-0.11%-5.46%-5.74%-12.53%+4.69%
202107/09/202131.26neutral+1.06%-2.11%+2.72%-2.11%+5.57%
202008/09/202017.30neutral+5.26%-1.27%+1.33%-4.97%+8.55%
201906/09/201919.93near 52w high+4.23%+2.81%-5.77%-6.89%+5.08%
201807/09/201816.81neutral+3.51%+4.38%-0.36%-1.73%+4.88%
201707/09/201718.60neutral+4.53%+10.43%+10.68%+0.00%+10.68%
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.12% · Win 44% · DD -4.68%20 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 56% · DD -5.44%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/09/2025191.84near 52w high-1.04%-0.40%-0.08%-4.04%+2.29%
202418/09/202494.68near 52w high+5.32%+6.98%+11.23%+0.00%+11.23%
202318/09/202347.09neutral-1.68%-3.55%-5.29%-5.78%+0.06%
202219/09/202234.22neutral-9.29%-6.22%-3.77%-9.61%+0.18%
202117/09/202130.99volume x2.3+1.74%+4.65%+1.10%-1.26%+6.49%
202018/09/202017.70volume x2.4-5.82%+1.02%+5.03%-7.12%+5.82%
201918/09/201920.94near 52w high-3.00%-11.39%+0.73%-11.39%+2.01%
201818/09/201817.63far above SMA50-3.96%-3.48%-3.48%-7.92%+1.78%
201718/09/201719.43neutral+3.12%+2.29%+7.22%-1.82%+8.76%
Upcoming 20/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 44% · DD -3.95%20 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 44% · DD -4.69%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/2025190.23near 52w high · volume x2.0+1.53%-0.52%-0.29%-3.23%+3.15%
202420/09/202497.45near 52w high · volume x2.6+1.81%+4.70%+8.30%+0.00%+8.99%
202320/09/202346.54neutral-0.99%-1.76%-4.71%-4.71%+0.00%
202220/09/202234.28neutral-9.28%-2.25%-1.95%-9.77%+0.00%
202120/09/202130.94neutral+6.66%+3.04%-0.13%-1.10%+6.66%
202021/09/202016.88neutral+1.84%+7.70%+10.25%-2.61%+10.96%
201920/09/201920.49near 52w high · volume x1.5-2.28%-8.35%+1.09%-9.43%+4.27%
201820/09/201817.33neutral-3.01%-1.73%-2.52%-6.33%+3.54%
201720/09/201720.09neutral+0.69%+2.18%+2.63%-5.04%+5.19%
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 67% · DD -2.48%20 days: Avg +2.22% · Win 44% · DD -5.89%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/2025190.48near 52w high-0.26%+1.07%+8.54%-3.35%+8.54%
202404/10/2024102.03near 52w high+1.75%+3.44%-1.96%-2.26%+4.20%
202305/10/202345.63neutral-0.39%-4.21%+5.74%-5.57%+5.74%
202205/10/202233.33neutral-3.66%+2.73%+6.03%-3.66%+9.48%
202105/10/202132.11neutral-2.18%-3.83%-4.45%-8.50%+0.09%
202005/10/202018.18neutral+0.06%+2.37%-1.82%-8.25%+4.24%
201904/10/201918.78neutral+8.00%+10.29%+16.54%+0.00%+16.54%
201805/10/201816.75neutral-1.05%+0.18%-2.83%-12.00%+7.14%
201705/10/201720.59neutral+2.64%-0.63%-5.77%-9.39%+2.64%
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 67% · DD -3.14%20 days: Avg +1.70% · Win 56% · DD -6.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/10/2025191.46near 52w high+0.82%+2.99%+7.08%-3.85%+7.98%
202407/10/2024102.83near 52w high-0.18%+3.39%-2.91%-3.02%+3.39%
202306/10/202345.96neutral-3.46%-5.48%+4.40%-6.24%+4.98%
202207/10/202232.54neutral-0.77%+8.70%+10.88%-1.32%+12.14%
202107/10/202132.14neutral-3.89%-4.42%-3.48%-8.59%+0.00%
202007/10/202018.11neutral+0.83%+0.17%+0.33%-7.90%+4.64%
201907/10/201918.98neutral+8.44%+9.25%+16.28%+0.00%+16.28%
201808/10/201817.94volume x2.2-8.21%-8.33%-11.02%-17.86%+0.00%
201706/10/201720.78neutral+0.22%+0.26%-6.27%-10.22%+1.70%
Upcoming 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.89% · Win 44% · DD -4.43%20 days: Avg +5.02% · Win 78% · DD -6.56%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/2025188.83near 52w high+1.51%+5.97%+8.94%-2.51%+9.48%
202409/10/2024103.70near 52w high+1.55%-0.84%+10.76%-3.84%+10.76%
202309/10/202346.42neutral-3.92%-6.18%+4.98%-7.17%+4.98%
202210/10/202232.94neutral-0.03%+7.47%+11.27%-2.52%+11.27%
202108/10/202131.64neutral-0.98%-3.73%+5.63%-7.14%+5.63%
202009/10/202018.30neutral+1.58%+3.55%+3.01%-8.85%+3.55%
201909/10/201919.62neutral+7.50%+6.45%+15.04%+0.00%+15.32%
201809/10/201817.52neutral-2.85%-9.59%-8.14%-15.85%+0.00%
201709/10/201721.00neutral-0.80%-11.10%-6.27%-11.17%+0.62%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.82% · Win 33% · DD -5.73%20 days: Avg +5.32% · Win 78% · DD -5.96%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025191.68near 52w high+4.39%+5.26%+5.08%-1.04%+9.49%
202416/10/2024105.31near 52w high-2.35%-3.96%+10.01%-5.31%+10.01%
202316/10/202344.60neutral-2.35%-2.24%+12.99%-3.39%+12.99%
202217/10/202232.93neutral+7.50%+7.96%+11.42%+0.00%+16.44%
202115/10/202131.33neutral-2.78%-5.23%+2.11%-6.22%+6.68%
202016/10/202018.59neutral+1.94%-7.21%+20.28%-10.27%+23.72%
201916/10/201921.10near 52w high-0.98%+0.07%+7.31%-1.82%+7.34%
201816/10/201817.02neutral-6.94%-11.22%-9.11%-13.38%+1.49%
201716/10/201720.84neutral-10.38%-8.80%-12.23%-12.23%+0.00%
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.22% · Win 80% · DD -1.47%20 days: Avg +9.31% · Win 80% · DD -2.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/10/2025201.77near 52w high · volume x2.2+1.96%-0.17%+1.46%-2.17%+4.01%
202430/10/2024101.14volume x1.7+13.57%+14.55%+15.47%-1.40%+17.19%
202330/10/202343.60neutral+11.77%+15.58%+19.27%+0.00%+20.81%
202231/10/202235.55volume x1.9+3.10%+3.21%+4.82%-0.79%+7.86%
202129/10/202129.69neutral+12.57%+7.75%-3.94%-3.94%+12.57%
202030/10/202017.25neutral+9.28%+29.62%+36.00%+0.00%+46.32%
201930/10/201921.11near 52w high+6.94%+7.23%+13.63%-0.22%+13.74%
201830/10/201815.11neutral+6.51%+2.38%+6.00%+0.00%+8.29%
201730/10/201719.00neutral+3.60%-3.77%-1.99%-6.15%+3.60%
201601/11/201614.51near 52w low-7.50%+5.78%+2.43%-8.35%+9.08%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-15.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -25.9% · from 52w low: +27.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-9.23% · -14.75% · -18.47% · -15.05%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-12.99% · -15.92% · -6.66%
Distance from 52w high / low-25.93% · +27.83%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg10.44 · 0.59x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-16.72%
vs SPY (20d)-16.74%
vs SMH (20d)-14.86%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200263.90 · 273.10 · 246.00
52w high / low310.00 · 179.62