🕰️ Time Machine

IPGP — IPG Photonics

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
78.33 -2.44%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 2 days
14/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 28/08/2026
since +2.35%
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 05/05/2026
86.00
Days: 88 trading / 128 calendar · return since: -8.92%
Last major high · 03/06/2026
135.00
Days: 68 trading / 99 calendar · return since: -41.98%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 03/06/2026 @ 135.00Cycle 60Trading📅 28/08/2026-8 (±2)Passed
High 03/06/2026 @ 135.00Cycle 90Calendar📅 01/09/2026-9 (±3)Passed
Low 05/05/2026 @ 86.00Cycle 120Calendar📅 02/09/2026-8 (±3)Passed
Low 05/05/2026 @ 86.00Cycle 90Trading📅 14/09/2026+2 (±3)In window
Low 05/05/2026 @ 86.00Cycle 144Calendar📅 26/09/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
High 03/06/2026 @ 135.00Cycle 120Calendar📅 01/10/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
High 03/06/2026 @ 135.00Cycle 90Trading📅 12/10/2026+22 (±3)Upcoming
High 03/06/2026 @ 135.00Cycle 144Calendar📅 25/10/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming
Low 05/05/2026 @ 86.00Cycle 120Trading📅 26/10/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 14/09/2026
NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 14/09/2026
Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 14/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 01/09/2026
Gap Day 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 28/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 44% · DD -4.14%20 days: Avg -0.10% · Win 44% · DD -5.70%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/202584.98near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.84%-5.93%-5.33%-6.75%+0.00%
202428/08/202469.34far below SMA50-5.48%-6.58%+7.47%-10.14%+7.47%
202328/08/2023105.65far below SMA50+0.76%-5.85%-7.84%-7.84%+2.57%
202229/08/202291.97neutral-3.81%-3.45%-7.23%-8.48%+1.07%
202127/08/2021172.43far below SMA50+1.04%+0.66%-4.77%-7.45%+1.83%
202028/08/2020159.65neutral+1.88%+2.02%+4.74%-1.17%+5.73%
201928/08/2019117.90far below SMA50+13.97%+24.53%+13.72%-0.54%+26.27%
201828/08/2018170.66far below SMA50-5.61%-7.75%-8.91%-8.91%+2.82%
201728/08/2017169.77near 52w high+1.27%+4.84%+7.25%+0.00%+10.36%
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.16% · Win 67% · DD -4.49%20 days: Avg -0.24% · Win 44% · DD -6.05%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202580.17neutral+2.20%+1.93%-1.22%-1.62%+5.11%
202430/08/202468.37far below SMA50 · volume x1.9-8.56%+0.59%+8.70%-8.86%+9.54%
202301/09/2023108.11neutral-6.84%-7.24%-6.81%-9.93%+0.00%
202201/09/202290.47volume x1.7+1.89%-2.67%-6.76%-6.96%+2.74%
202101/09/2021169.84far below SMA50+2.59%+1.11%-6.74%-6.74%+3.39%
202001/09/2020160.82neutral+2.53%+4.69%+5.69%-1.88%+5.69%
201930/08/2019123.73neutral+11.88%+17.56%+9.59%-5.23%+20.32%
201831/08/2018175.48far below SMA50-10.12%-10.21%-11.32%-11.41%+0.00%
201701/09/2017175.03near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.18%+4.65%+6.70%-1.78%+7.04%
Passed 02/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.24% · Win 56% · DD -4.26%20 days: Avg +0.47% · Win 44% · DD -5.60%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202580.17neutral+2.20%+1.93%-1.22%-1.62%+5.11%
202403/09/202465.43near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.77%+5.17%+9.81%-4.77%+14.46%
202301/09/2023108.11neutral-6.84%-7.24%-6.81%-9.93%+0.00%
202202/09/202289.45neutral+3.91%-0.41%-1.50%-5.90%+3.91%
202102/09/2021173.36far below SMA50-0.50%-3.92%-7.06%-8.63%+1.29%
202002/09/2020168.45neutral-5.43%+0.21%+2.70%-6.33%+2.70%
201903/09/2019117.26far below SMA50+21.76%+20.99%+12.88%+0.00%+26.96%
201831/08/2018175.48far below SMA50-10.12%-10.21%-11.32%-11.41%+0.00%
201701/09/2017175.03near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.18%+4.65%+6.70%-1.78%+7.04%
In window 14/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 50% · DD -3.33%20 days: Avg -0.25% · Win 50% · DD -6.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202580.34volume x1.5+1.27%-1.83%+3.58%-1.83%+9.77%
202413/09/202467.67neutral+3.81%+10.67%+11.76%+0.00%+11.76%
202314/09/202399.86far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-1.68%+1.97%-6.46%-6.46%+1.97%
202214/09/202287.59volume x1.8+1.22%-0.64%-5.22%-5.22%+4.27%
202114/09/2021173.18neutral-7.23%-7.04%-9.20%-11.54%+0.00%
202014/09/2020162.88neutral-3.13%+2.66%+11.68%-3.13%+11.68%
201913/09/2019146.34far above SMA50-9.06%-9.23%-7.06%-14.77%+0.00%
201814/09/2018159.41near 52w low · far below SMA50+6.23%-2.10%-13.69%-17.35%+6.23%
201714/09/2017179.92near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.82%+2.09%+9.29%+0.00%+9.29%
201614/09/201681.08near 52w high+0.20%+2.70%+2.80%-0.42%+5.32%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 50% · DD -3.78%20 days: Avg +2.89% · Win 70% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202580.45neutral+5.23%+0.29%+7.67%-1.96%+9.62%
202426/09/202474.52neutral-2.87%-0.55%+1.88%-3.58%+2.28%
202326/09/202397.37far below SMA50+3.03%-1.20%-5.39%-6.51%+4.58%
202226/09/202284.17near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.68%+2.93%+2.39%-1.37%+8.51%
202127/09/2021164.20near 52w low-6.71%-3.78%-2.78%-6.71%+0.54%
202025/09/2020164.98neutral+2.33%+9.73%+21.34%+0.00%+21.34%
201926/09/2019134.08neutral-3.95%-3.07%+3.74%-6.98%+4.15%
201826/09/2018155.46near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.26%-15.25%-16.62%-16.62%+2.15%
201726/09/2017182.08near 52w high+2.97%+5.92%+15.04%+0.00%+15.04%
201626/09/201682.52near 52w high-0.56%+3.48%+1.64%-1.24%+3.48%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.13% · Win 60% · DD -3.91%20 days: Avg +2.78% · Win 60% · DD -4.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/202579.52neutral+10.37%+8.43%+8.61%+0.00%+10.90%
202401/10/202471.85neutral+3.62%+4.58%+18.37%+0.00%+18.37%
202302/10/2023100.75neutral-5.18%-5.82%-16.91%-16.91%+0.00%
202230/09/202284.35near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.69%-0.05%+3.57%-1.58%+8.28%
202101/10/2021161.12near 52w low-0.99%+2.46%-1.31%-4.92%+2.46%
202001/10/2020173.00neutral+3.95%+7.50%+8.12%-2.41%+16.64%
201901/10/2019132.36neutral-5.77%-0.39%-5.98%-5.98%+8.67%
201801/10/2018155.62near 52w low-12.97%-12.81%-15.61%-16.70%+1.16%
201702/10/2017186.76near 52w high+3.87%+6.39%+11.17%+0.00%+12.15%
201630/09/201682.35near 52w high+3.17%+1.01%+17.72%-0.68%+17.72%
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.41% · Win 80% · DD -2.23%20 days: Avg +6.69% · Win 90% · DD -2.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202583.22neutral+4.78%+4.69%+4.03%-0.02%+7.85%
202411/10/202475.63neutral-0.05%+1.57%+10.88%-1.34%+13.38%
202312/10/202393.41neutral-1.66%-5.77%-4.43%-10.38%+2.92%
202212/10/202283.02near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.75%+4.30%+1.25%+0.00%+5.88%
202112/10/2021157.25near 52w low+4.38%+0.79%+7.17%-0.15%+12.78%
202012/10/2020181.91near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.52%+7.38%+12.33%-0.01%+12.33%
201911/10/2019136.01neutral-0.92%+5.19%+8.26%-8.50%+12.57%
201812/10/2018137.58far below SMA50-3.87%-2.05%+0.15%-5.78%+6.00%
201712/10/2017196.64near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.14%+6.16%+11.23%+0.00%+12.79%
201612/10/201683.35near 52w high-0.23%+1.84%+16.02%-1.56%+16.39%
Upcoming 25/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.94% · Win 90% · DD -3.44%20 days: Avg +3.66% · Win 80% · DD -5.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/202586.62near 52w high-1.73%+1.52%-13.46%-16.35%+3.61%
202425/10/202476.82neutral+7.12%+9.16%+1.26%-5.31%+11.62%
202325/10/202389.56neutral-2.84%+2.57%+6.77%-6.53%+7.98%
202225/10/202287.62neutral-2.44%-3.34%+3.67%-4.06%+9.32%
202125/10/2021159.64neutral+2.27%+6.75%+2.86%-1.65%+11.09%
202026/10/2020195.33near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.40%+4.61%+3.93%-5.09%+7.38%
201925/10/2019143.07neutral-2.36%+2.92%-2.55%-13.01%+7.01%
201825/10/2018133.31far below SMA50+6.29%+5.76%+3.32%-3.15%+9.39%
201725/10/2017206.96near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.25%+7.17%+15.71%-0.25%+19.00%
201625/10/201684.39near 52w high+12.88%+12.29%+15.07%+0.00%+15.65%
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.18% · Win 80% · DD -3.41%20 days: Avg +4.44% · Win 80% · DD -5.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202587.12near 52w high-1.40%-0.63%-12.09%-16.83%+3.02%
202425/10/202476.82neutral+7.12%+9.16%+1.26%-5.31%+11.62%
202326/10/202388.02far below SMA50+0.16%+1.42%+8.28%-4.90%+9.87%
202226/10/202286.59neutral+1.51%-2.92%+6.70%-2.92%+10.62%
202126/10/2021158.50near 52w low+11.89%+6.32%+3.73%-0.94%+11.89%
202026/10/2020195.33near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.40%+4.61%+3.93%-5.09%+7.38%
201925/10/2019143.07neutral-2.36%+2.92%-2.55%-13.01%+7.01%
201826/10/2018134.76far below SMA50+8.21%+2.25%+4.73%-4.19%+8.21%
201726/10/2017208.75near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.68%+4.78%+15.95%-1.11%+17.98%
201626/10/201684.88near 52w high+10.60%+13.93%+14.42%+0.00%+14.99%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-11.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -49.7% · from 52w low: +12.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.42% · +5.55% · -10.29% · -34.73%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.79% · -11.76% · -22.79%
Distance from 52w high / low-49.73% · +12.85%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.13 · 0.59x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-8.21%
vs SPY (20d)-8.40%
vs SMH (20d)-6.09%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20077.71 · 88.77 · 101.45
52w high / low155.82 · 69.41