🕰️ Time Machine

JEF — Jefferies

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
44.79 -1.86%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 3 days
26/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 21/10/2026
since -0.53%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/06/2026
46.61
Days: 82 trading / 116 calendar · return since: -3.90%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
57.84
Days: 62 trading / 87 calendar · return since: -22.56%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 28/07/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026-2 (±2)In window
High 28/07/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026+3 (±3)In window
Low 29/06/2026 @ 46.61Cycle 120Calendar📅 27/10/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 46.61Cycle 90Trading📅 04/11/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 46.61Cycle 144Calendar📅 20/11/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/11/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 57.84Cycle 90Trading📅 03/12/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 46.61Cycle 120Trading📅 17/12/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Gap Day 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 21/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 12/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 07/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.55% · Win 60% · DD -2.54%20 days: Avg +6.57% · Win 70% · DD -3.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202555.07far below SMA50+0.78%-3.76%-2.64%-4.07%+7.88%
202421/10/202465.37near 52w high-0.66%-2.36%+13.48%-2.36%+14.09%
202320/10/202332.26neutral-1.80%+8.09%+9.53%-1.80%+9.53%
202221/10/202231.41neutral+4.51%+3.68%+15.48%+0.00%+15.70%
202121/10/202140.50near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.56%+2.57%-4.59%-4.59%+4.20%
202021/10/202019.21far above SMA50-4.93%+2.04%+17.03%-4.93%+19.68%
201921/10/201917.93neutral+1.01%+3.89%+6.45%-0.43%+6.45%
201822/10/201818.67near 52w low-1.34%+3.21%+2.52%-3.84%+5.66%
201720/10/201723.28near 52w high-0.96%-1.00%-3.38%-3.69%+0.19%
201624/10/201616.86near 52w high-0.85%-0.90%+11.84%-4.89%+11.84%
In window 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.30% · Win 80% · DD -2.19%20 days: Avg +8.85% · Win 80% · DD -2.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202556.57neutral-6.47%-1.34%-1.46%-6.61%+5.02%
202425/10/202464.02neutral+0.31%+11.68%+23.32%-0.30%+23.32%
202326/10/202332.22neutral+3.82%+4.41%+9.73%-1.68%+9.73%
202226/10/202232.15neutral+1.75%+0.56%+13.02%-0.59%+13.02%
202126/10/202141.20near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.65%-1.11%-5.67%-7.61%+2.41%
202026/10/202018.96neutral+0.81%+11.14%+18.71%-3.68%+21.25%
201925/10/201918.08neutral+1.00%+3.07%+10.56%-1.27%+10.56%
201826/10/201818.23near 52w low+4.32%+8.01%+6.42%+0.00%+8.25%
201726/10/201722.85neutral-0.31%+2.08%+0.59%-1.88%+2.08%
201626/10/201616.83near 52w high-2.55%+4.52%+13.30%-4.73%+13.30%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.54% · Win 70% · DD -1.96%20 days: Avg +9.49% · Win 70% · DD -2.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202556.57neutral-6.47%-1.34%-1.46%-6.61%+5.02%
202428/10/202464.94near 52w high-1.71%+14.01%+22.97%-1.71%+22.97%
202327/10/202331.68far below SMA50+10.07%+8.07%+10.42%+0.00%+11.60%
202227/10/202232.36neutral-1.24%+8.38%+13.59%-1.24%+13.59%
202127/10/202140.33near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.62%-0.28%-4.69%-5.62%+4.62%
202027/10/202018.68neutral+4.91%+18.37%+22.59%-2.25%+23.05%
201928/10/201918.11neutral+2.85%+2.64%+11.34%-1.43%+11.34%
201826/10/201818.23near 52w low+4.32%+8.01%+6.42%+0.00%+8.25%
201727/10/201723.06neutral-0.04%-0.39%-0.35%-2.76%+1.16%
201627/10/201616.75near 52w high-3.26%+7.96%+14.11%-4.28%+14.11%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.44% · Win 70% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg +8.23% · Win 80% · DD -2.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202553.00far below SMA50+6.21%+1.16%+11.01%-0.24%+12.09%
202404/11/202463.83neutral+16.00%+16.21%+22.70%+0.00%+25.11%
202303/11/202334.87neutral-1.82%+1.33%+6.57%-3.53%+6.57%
202204/11/202232.56neutral+11.23%+11.38%+6.91%-0.70%+12.89%
202104/11/202141.54near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.81%-6.99%-11.78%-13.12%+0.00%
202004/11/202019.60neutral+14.20%+14.69%+15.08%+0.00%+17.29%
201904/11/201918.62neutral-0.21%+2.46%+7.17%-2.31%+8.67%
201805/11/201819.27neutral-0.74%-0.67%-6.04%-6.04%+2.83%
201703/11/201723.05neutral-0.35%-2.41%+2.49%-2.72%+3.42%
201604/11/201616.03near 52w low+16.02%+17.20%+28.20%+0.00%+28.20%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.35% · Win 70% · DD -1.78%20 days: Avg +1.63% · Win 70% · DD -3.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/202553.64neutral+7.31%+10.22%+15.49%+0.00%+17.90%
202420/11/202474.91near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.37%+4.11%+0.47%+0.00%+9.13%
202320/11/202334.90neutral-0.77%+4.99%+11.46%-0.77%+11.46%
202221/11/202235.42far above SMA50+0.73%-3.08%-4.99%-5.83%+2.86%
202119/11/202137.85neutral-3.08%-2.30%-8.59%-8.59%+2.10%
202020/11/202022.16near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.94%+1.38%+1.38%-1.94%+2.67%
201920/11/201919.42near 52w high · volume x1.5+3.55%+3.30%+4.78%+0.00%+6.40%
201820/11/201818.56neutral+6.17%-5.64%-18.19%-18.19%+6.17%
201720/11/201722.93neutral+3.47%+1.44%+0.74%-1.01%+3.94%
201621/11/201618.85near 52w high+1.28%+9.12%+13.74%-0.14%+13.96%
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 50% · DD -3.73%20 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 50% · DD -5.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/11/202556.85neutral+2.74%+8.76%+12.31%-0.11%+12.31%
202425/11/202479.48near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.93%-1.32%-1.12%-5.31%+2.86%
202324/11/202335.04neutral+3.77%+5.28%+13.90%-1.17%+13.90%
202225/11/202236.43far above SMA50-1.00%-6.25%-8.32%-9.37%+0.00%
202124/11/202138.22neutral-2.60%-4.13%-3.35%-9.48%+0.00%
202025/11/202022.70near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.26%-0.21%-0.29%-4.25%+0.04%
201925/11/201920.03near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.00%+0.24%+1.00%-1.00%+3.15%
201826/11/201819.28neutral+0.37%-14.02%-19.45%-23.91%+2.18%
201724/11/201722.99neutral+2.92%+1.64%+2.46%-0.47%+3.70%
201625/11/201619.11near 52w high+5.62%+12.41%+10.55%-1.17%+12.41%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.15% · Win 50% · DD -3.50%20 days: Avg +0.89% · Win 80% · DD -4.90%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/202558.41neutral+5.86%+4.50%+8.65%+0.00%+9.42%
202403/12/202477.95near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.62%+1.59%+1.37%-3.45%+4.87%
202304/12/202336.83volume x1.9-0.22%+3.58%+8.25%-1.68%+10.64%
202202/12/202236.07far above SMA50-5.30%-7.34%-9.30%-9.30%+0.00%
202103/12/202136.43neutral+0.50%-1.76%+3.67%-5.04%+3.67%
202003/12/202022.41near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.07%-0.17%+5.89%-2.18%+5.89%
201903/12/201919.83near 52w high+1.25%+4.19%+4.97%+0.00%+4.97%
201803/12/201819.35neutral-14.34%-18.73%-19.70%-24.19%+0.00%
201704/12/201723.62near 52w high · volume x2.1-1.25%-1.63%+1.53%-3.15%+1.87%
201602/12/201620.19near 52w high+6.43%+4.31%+3.60%+0.00%+6.43%
Upcoming 17/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.16% · Win 70% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg +4.93% · Win 80% · DD -3.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/12/202561.04neutral+4.60%+3.96%+3.95%+0.00%+8.55%
202417/12/202479.19near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.76%-0.21%-4.34%-10.49%+2.68%
202318/12/202338.15far above SMA50+6.40%+4.51%+2.96%+0.00%+6.82%
202216/12/202233.42volume x3.1-0.06%-2.12%+13.61%-2.12%+15.76%
202117/12/202135.79volume x3.5+4.41%+5.53%+0.45%-3.34%+10.66%
202017/12/202022.37near 52w high+1.15%+6.07%+10.38%-2.01%+14.40%
201917/12/201920.66near 52w high-2.08%+0.74%+3.70%-2.50%+3.70%
201817/12/201815.75near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.88%+0.57%+12.90%-6.88%+12.90%
201718/12/201723.15neutral+2.59%+3.21%+6.84%-0.58%+8.20%
201616/12/201621.00near 52w high · volume x1.6+0.34%-0.68%-1.11%-2.60%+1.83%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -32.7% · from 52w low: +26.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.02% · +0.92% · -6.06% · -18.10%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.67% · -8.54% · -12.63%
Distance from 52w high / low-32.75% · +26.06%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.53 · 0.89x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-0.68%
vs SPY (20d)-4.59%
vs SMH (20d)+7.02%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20045.09 · 48.97 · 51.26
52w high / low66.60 · 35.53