🕰️ Time Machine

KALU — Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
162.19 -10.19%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in 4 days
31/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 120 · 18/07/2026
since +2.80%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 20/03/2026
105.45
Days: 86 trading / 129 calendar · return since: +53.81%
Last major high · 12/02/2026
150.00
Days: 111 trading / 165 calendar · return since: +8.13%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 20/03/2026 @ 105.45Cycle 120Calendar📅 18/07/2026-9 (±3)Passed
Low 20/03/2026 @ 105.45Cycle 90Trading📅 31/07/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/02/2026 @ 150.00Cycle 120Trading📅 07/08/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/03/2026 @ 105.45Cycle 144Calendar📅 11/08/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/02/2026 @ 150.00Cycle 180Calendar📅 11/08/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
High 12/02/2026 @ 150.00Cycle 144Trading📅 11/09/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
Low 20/03/2026 @ 105.45Cycle 120Trading📅 14/09/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 31/07/2026
Gap Day 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
NR7 Compression 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
Gap Day 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
Doji After Run 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 07/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.67% · Win 67% · DD -5.41%20 days: Avg -3.49% · Win 33% · DD -7.83%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/202589.68far above SMA50-6.73%-16.93%-15.29%-18.51%+3.30%
202418/07/202496.04neutral-18.04%-21.41%-26.24%-30.33%+1.22%
202318/07/202376.06far above SMA50+7.32%+8.60%-0.95%-0.95%+10.36%
202218/07/202272.59near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.20%+4.37%+8.74%-2.22%+9.30%
202119/07/2021109.31far below SMA50+10.99%+10.71%+12.65%+0.00%+19.79%
202017/07/202068.57neutral-2.52%-8.81%-2.42%-8.81%+4.94%
201918/07/201995.11volume x1.6+1.05%+0.82%-5.63%-5.63%+2.05%
201818/07/2018109.24neutral+2.53%+3.02%-3.99%-3.99%+3.02%
201718/07/201793.03near 52w high+5.31%+4.54%+1.77%+0.00%+5.31%
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.21% · Win 40% · DD -4.71%20 days: Avg -1.41% · Win 50% · DD -6.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/07/202577.31volume x1.9-4.81%-2.29%+1.54%-6.30%+2.92%
202431/07/202478.69far below SMA50-15.67%-13.61%-6.65%-15.67%+0.00%
202331/07/202381.20far above SMA50-3.82%-5.20%-9.26%-10.89%+0.74%
202201/08/202274.96far below SMA50-3.26%+4.19%+0.23%-6.31%+7.19%
202130/07/2021121.68neutral+0.42%+4.73%+3.09%-2.24%+6.96%
202031/07/202061.95far below SMA50+7.73%+7.01%+6.46%+0.00%+15.04%
201931/07/201996.27volume x2.2-4.70%-4.70%-9.02%-10.79%+0.00%
201831/07/2018111.62neutral-0.48%-2.99%-1.72%-6.50%+0.33%
201731/07/201797.29near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.64%-1.86%-1.36%-3.40%+0.21%
201601/08/201682.88near 52w high+1.70%+2.65%+2.56%-1.25%+3.20%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 40% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 50% · DD -3.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/202573.59neutral+2.65%+2.98%+5.20%-1.56%+8.13%
202407/08/202466.36far below SMA50+2.44%+8.80%+4.66%+0.00%+13.28%
202307/08/202378.10neutral-1.43%-4.15%-4.33%-7.35%+0.00%
202208/08/202272.52far below SMA50+7.69%+4.34%-2.04%-4.12%+10.80%
202106/08/2021122.19neutral+4.29%-0.86%+0.34%-2.65%+6.51%
202007/08/202066.74neutral-0.67%-4.17%-3.43%-4.79%+6.79%
201907/08/201991.75neutral+0.00%-1.07%-0.13%-6.40%+3.83%
201807/08/2018111.08neutral-2.52%-2.21%-3.65%-6.04%+0.58%
201707/08/201795.69near 52w high-0.22%-0.90%+3.07%-1.79%+3.07%
201608/08/201684.29near 52w high+0.94%+0.64%+5.55%-0.95%+5.55%
Upcoming 11/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.42% · Win 40% · DD -4.23%20 days: Avg -2.04% · Win 40% · DD -5.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/08/202572.44far below SMA50+2.77%+8.48%+2.84%+0.00%+9.84%
202412/08/202467.88far below SMA50+4.23%+9.40%-1.61%-1.61%+10.74%
202311/08/202376.22neutral+0.25%-4.88%-0.58%-5.06%+2.45%
202211/08/202276.60neutral+4.90%+3.33%+0.86%-9.23%+4.90%
202111/08/2021130.15neutral-7.01%-6.02%-6.83%-8.61%+0.00%
202011/08/202071.27volume x1.5-6.76%-6.48%-15.86%-15.86%+0.00%
201912/08/201992.98neutral-0.25%-6.69%+6.01%-7.64%+6.01%
201810/08/2018110.88neutral-3.66%-1.58%-5.30%-5.87%+0.00%
201711/08/201795.47near 52w high-0.79%+0.65%+1.90%-1.56%+3.60%
201611/08/201685.53near 52w high-0.96%-0.42%-1.82%-2.39%+4.48%
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.19% · Win 40% · DD -6.94%20 days: Avg -1.41% · Win 60% · DD -7.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202577.37neutral+1.93%-4.34%+0.26%-4.45%+6.06%
202411/09/202468.31far below SMA50+2.74%+2.80%+5.42%+0.00%+7.13%
202311/09/202375.78neutral+0.01%-5.07%-9.83%-11.41%+6.36%
202212/09/202283.86far above SMA50 · volume x1.7-13.58%-26.01%-16.94%-26.84%+0.00%
202110/09/2021119.94volume x1.8-6.66%-8.88%-8.48%-12.40%+0.02%
202011/09/202057.19near 52w low · far below SMA50+4.88%-11.70%+9.76%-11.70%+9.76%
201911/09/201999.99volume x1.6-0.49%-1.04%-3.43%-5.48%+0.00%
201811/09/2018104.00neutral+4.87%+5.71%+1.45%+0.00%+7.72%
201711/09/201797.28near 52w high+1.17%+5.92%+7.60%-1.39%+9.14%
201612/09/201684.43near 52w low+0.24%+0.68%+0.08%-2.90%+4.49%
Upcoming 14/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.21% · Win 40% · DD -6.70%20 days: Avg -1.83% · Win 50% · DD -7.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202577.36neutral-2.06%-1.58%+3.27%-4.43%+6.08%
202413/09/202468.89far below SMA50+1.86%+6.23%+3.85%+0.00%+6.23%
202314/09/202380.60neutral-9.40%-9.02%-13.73%-16.71%+0.00%
202214/09/202277.48volume x1.7-13.47%-19.66%-12.60%-20.82%+0.00%
202114/09/2021116.50neutral-9.81%-3.17%-6.35%-9.81%+2.98%
202014/09/202059.60neutral-8.15%-10.29%+3.09%-15.27%+5.32%
201913/09/201999.62neutral-2.35%-0.66%+0.03%-5.13%+0.28%
201814/09/2018107.61neutral+2.51%+1.35%-5.83%-5.83%+4.11%
201714/09/201795.93near 52w high+5.37%+7.27%+10.79%+0.00%+10.79%
201614/09/201682.11near 52w low+4.12%+7.44%-0.85%-0.85%+7.44%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-7.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -17.2% · from 52w low: +127.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+3.24% · +1.87% · -10.37% · -5.74%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-4.63% · -7.78% · +20.71%
Distance from 52w high / low-17.23% · +127.03%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg8.82 · 0.05x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-5.24%
vs SPY (20d)-10.82%
vs SMH (20d)+4.54%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200170.06 · 175.88 · 134.37
52w high / low195.96 · 71.44