🕰️ Time Machine

LRCX — Lam Research

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
284.78 -10.95%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in 4 days
31/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 17/07/2026
since -9.10%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/03/2026
194.08
Days: 95 trading / 140 calendar · return since: +46.73%
Last major high · 25/02/2026
256.68
Days: 103 trading / 152 calendar · return since: +10.95%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 09/03/2026 @ 194.08Cycle 90Trading📅 17/07/2026-5 (±3)Passed
High 25/02/2026 @ 256.68Cycle 144Calendar📅 19/07/2026-8 (±3)Passed
Low 09/03/2026 @ 194.08Cycle 144Calendar📅 31/07/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 256.68Cycle 120Trading📅 19/08/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 256.68Cycle 180Calendar📅 24/08/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/03/2026 @ 194.08Cycle 120Trading📅 31/08/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/03/2026 @ 194.08Cycle 180Calendar📅 05/09/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 25/02/2026 @ 256.68Cycle 144Trading📅 23/09/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 31/07/2026
NR7 Compression 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 19/07/2026
Gap Day 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 19/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
NR7 Compression 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026
Gap Day 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 17/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.79% · Win 78% · DD -3.00%20 days: Avg +3.11% · Win 67% · DD -4.95%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/2025100.79far above SMA50-2.99%-5.90%+6.54%-5.90%+6.54%
202417/07/202496.77volume x2.2-5.97%-4.80%-12.64%-22.70%+0.97%
202317/07/202366.01near 52w high-3.19%+8.85%+1.08%-6.75%+9.27%
202218/07/202242.32neutral+8.10%+18.82%+22.24%+0.00%+25.69%
202116/07/202158.85neutral+8.80%+8.31%-1.37%-1.37%+10.42%
202017/07/202034.63near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.16%+8.92%+7.90%-0.16%+11.17%
201917/07/201919.17neutral+13.18%+8.81%+3.54%+0.00%+13.18%
201817/07/201817.72neutral-2.17%+7.56%-0.31%-2.51%+7.56%
201717/07/201715.70neutral+4.55%+1.58%+1.00%-5.15%+7.24%
Passed 19/07/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.66% · Win 67% · DD -4.38%20 days: Avg +1.80% · Win 44% · DD -5.23%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/07/2025100.66near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.68%-4.26%-1.14%-5.78%+6.68%
202419/07/202491.71neutral-2.45%-16.80%-5.01%-18.43%+6.54%
202319/07/202364.01near 52w high+0.35%+7.15%+0.97%-3.84%+12.68%
202219/07/202244.69neutral+0.06%+12.46%+14.19%+0.00%+19.00%
202119/07/202159.15neutral+8.26%+8.50%-0.45%-1.88%+9.85%
202020/07/202035.38near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.22%+7.82%+7.16%-2.27%+8.82%
201919/07/201919.85neutral+6.19%+2.83%+3.35%-2.49%+9.33%
201819/07/201817.82neutral-0.54%+4.98%-2.21%-3.05%+6.96%
201719/07/201716.42near 52w high+2.50%-7.72%-0.61%-9.33%+2.50%
Upcoming 31/07/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.19% · Win 20% · DD -6.91%20 days: Avg -3.96% · Win 30% · DD -8.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202531/07/202594.84volume x2.7+4.54%+13.22%+9.75%+0.00%+13.22%
202431/07/202492.12volume x1.7-18.80%-8.24%-12.61%-18.80%+0.00%
202331/07/202371.85near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.83%-7.14%-7.26%-10.05%+0.00%
202201/08/202250.28neutral+1.34%+2.88%-11.59%-11.59%+5.78%
202130/07/202163.74neutral+1.66%-8.94%-4.36%-11.21%+1.94%
202031/07/202037.72near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.25%-0.93%-6.99%-9.47%+2.07%
201931/07/201920.86near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.5-5.84%-4.85%-2.56%-7.23%+0.89%
201831/07/201819.06neutral-2.48%-7.32%-8.66%-10.87%+0.00%
201731/07/201715.95neutral-2.27%-0.57%+0.76%-6.62%+2.73%
201601/08/20169.08near 52w high+2.13%-0.06%+3.91%-2.09%+3.91%
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.82% · Win 60% · DD -4.39%20 days: Avg -0.57% · Win 40% · DD -8.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/08/2025100.33neutral+3.29%-2.58%+21.50%-3.29%+21.50%
202419/08/202488.13neutral-7.08%-13.11%-12.81%-16.99%+0.00%
202318/08/202365.29neutral+1.12%+7.51%-2.35%-4.28%+7.57%
202219/08/202247.68neutral-4.92%-9.77%-13.84%-13.84%+0.29%
202119/08/202157.71neutral+1.42%+4.32%+5.52%-1.94%+6.71%
202019/08/202037.22near 52w high-5.48%-2.55%-17.81%-21.01%+0.00%
201919/08/201920.81near 52w high-3.23%+2.35%+13.81%-3.98%+13.81%
201820/08/201817.13neutral+2.88%+0.40%-9.67%-11.60%+2.88%
201718/08/201716.05neutral-1.64%+3.97%+10.77%-1.64%+10.77%
201619/08/20169.32near 52w high+0.67%+1.26%-0.79%-2.16%+1.55%
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.37% · Win 50% · DD -4.80%20 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 50% · DD -7.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/2025101.28neutral-4.20%+4.24%+30.26%-4.20%+30.53%
202423/08/202484.74far below SMA50-3.11%-13.34%-7.19%-13.67%+0.00%
202324/08/202365.59neutral+7.08%+1.97%-5.33%-6.66%+7.08%
202224/08/202246.30neutral-5.42%-5.15%-16.13%-16.13%+3.28%
202124/08/202158.56neutral+3.29%-0.35%+2.65%-0.35%+5.17%
202024/08/202035.10neutral-4.18%-13.76%-9.21%-16.25%+3.33%
201923/08/201920.04neutral+5.05%+14.95%+18.89%-0.31%+18.89%
201824/08/201817.25neutral+0.37%-7.54%-9.65%-12.20%+2.17%
201724/08/201715.88neutral+4.51%+4.36%+11.57%-0.60%+11.94%
201624/08/20169.27near 52w high+0.68%+0.95%+0.33%-1.63%+2.09%
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.69% · Win 50% · DD -6.23%20 days: Avg +0.99% · Win 50% · DD -7.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/2025100.15neutral+4.91%+19.03%+31.15%-3.12%+32.00%
202430/08/202482.10far below SMA50-10.56%-7.62%-0.30%-10.90%+3.54%
202331/08/202370.24near 52w high · volume x1.8-4.77%-11.02%-10.50%-13.46%+0.00%
202231/08/202243.79neutral+0.29%-5.22%-15.05%-15.05%+2.94%
202131/08/202160.48neutral-3.52%+1.10%-5.94%-5.94%+2.21%
202031/08/202033.63volume x1.7-10.00%-8.15%+0.80%-12.59%+7.84%
201930/08/201921.05near 52w high+9.42%+11.61%+10.34%+0.00%+15.35%
201831/08/201817.31neutral-7.87%-11.52%-12.60%-13.43%+0.00%
201731/08/201716.60near 52w high-0.14%+4.50%+11.78%-1.13%+11.78%
201631/08/20169.33near 52w high+0.27%+0.37%+0.23%-2.29%+1.40%
Upcoming 05/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.43% · Win 40% · DD -5.00%20 days: Avg +3.08% · Win 60% · DD -6.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/2025102.95near 52w high+13.61%+23.28%+41.91%+0.00%+43.06%
202405/09/202475.59far below SMA50-1.08%+4.70%+7.63%-3.22%+12.46%
202305/09/202370.08near 52w high-6.58%-10.52%-11.53%-13.26%+0.00%
202206/09/202242.68neutral-1.09%-5.11%-5.76%-13.91%+5.63%
202103/09/202161.07neutral-0.32%-3.41%-9.70%-9.70%+1.22%
202004/09/202033.31neutral-8.32%-5.45%+3.13%-11.75%+3.13%
201905/09/201922.67near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8+3.59%+4.46%+1.53%+0.00%+7.10%
201805/09/201817.20neutral-11.99%-10.34%-10.94%-12.90%+0.00%
201705/09/201716.41near 52w high+4.89%+8.22%+12.96%+0.00%+13.62%
201606/09/20169.37near 52w high-1.98%-1.51%+1.54%-2.69%+1.54%
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 60% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 50% · DD -6.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/09/2025131.93near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.69%+6.59%+10.15%-2.69%+13.28%
202423/09/202478.41neutral+4.08%+2.81%-7.10%-7.10%+9.30%
202322/09/202361.91neutral+1.24%+1.45%-3.03%-3.03%+5.79%
202223/09/202238.06near 52w low · far below SMA50-3.83%-1.50%-2.96%-17.24%+5.27%
202123/09/202161.26neutral-6.86%-9.04%-9.11%-10.91%+0.92%
202023/09/202031.70neutral+5.05%+9.49%+16.09%+0.00%+18.90%
201923/09/201923.82near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.51%-2.07%+0.60%-3.94%+2.11%
201824/09/201815.47near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.91%-5.60%-6.77%-11.06%+0.00%
201722/09/201717.67near 52w high+4.70%+4.58%+16.19%-4.12%+16.19%
201623/09/20169.18near 52w high+3.19%+9.34%+6.35%-0.40%+11.30%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-15.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -35.1% · from 52w low: +213.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-9.10% · -18.71% · -29.13% · +13.43%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-17.18% · -15.76% · +19.95%
Distance from 52w high / low-35.06% · +213.15%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg24.36 · 0.65x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-23.99%
vs SPY (20d)-29.58%
vs SMH (20d)-14.22%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200343.87 · 338.04 · 237.42
52w high / low438.50 · 90.94