🕰️ Time Machine
MARA — MARA Holdings, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
7.02 -3.17%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 6 days
02/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 22/10/2026
since -3.17%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 19/08/2026
8.68
Days: 46 trading / 65 calendar · return since: -19.12%
Last major high · 21/09/2026
13.98
Days: 24 trading / 32 calendar · return since: -49.79%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 19/08/2026 @ 8.68 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 18/10/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/09/2026 @ 13.98 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 20/10/2026 | -3 (±1) | Passed |
| High 21/09/2026 @ 13.98 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 19/08/2026 @ 8.68 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 21/09/2026 @ 13.98 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 02/11/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/09/2026 @ 13.98 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 05/11/2026 | +13 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/08/2026 @ 8.68 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/08/2026 @ 8.68 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 17/11/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/09/2026 @ 13.98 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 20/11/2026 | +28 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/09/2026 @ 13.98 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 23/11/2026 | +21 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/09/2026 @ 13.98 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 15/12/2026 | +36 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/08/2026 @ 8.68 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 28/12/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Doji After Run 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Gap Day 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 18/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 18/10/2026
● Gap Day 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 18/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 09/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 01/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 18/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.12% · Win 56% · DD -8.68%20 days: Avg -3.40% · Win 56% · DD -15.19%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 19.57 | far above SMA50 | -0.15% | -6.64% | -38.73% | -38.73% | +5.93% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 18.88 | far above SMA50 | -9.64% | -14.67% | +11.60% | -17.90% | +33.63% |
| 2023 | 18/10/2023 | 7.74 | far below SMA50 | +22.35% | +15.25% | +32.30% | -0.39% | +32.30% |
| 2022 | 18/10/2022 | 11.38 | neutral | +29.70% | +7.38% | -16.52% | -16.52% | +29.70% |
| 2021 | 18/10/2021 | 51.45 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +6.30% | +7.89% | +7.68% | -3.87% | +47.89% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 2.34 | volume x2.1 | +8.55% | -10.26% | +5.98% | -10.26% | +28.21% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 1.62 | neutral | -4.94% | -14.81% | -29.63% | -29.63% | +0.62% |
| 2018 | 18/10/2018 | 2.44 | far below SMA50 | +4.92% | +4.92% | +9.84% | -4.92% | +42.62% |
| 2017 | 18/10/2017 | 6.08 | neutral | +10.53% | +21.05% | -13.16% | -14.47% | +21.05% |
Passed 20/10/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.04% · Win 30% · DD -11.68%20 days: Avg -7.76% · Win 30% · DD -19.01%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 20.73 | far above SMA50 | -5.64% | -14.09% | -44.48% | -44.48% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 18.71 | far above SMA50 | +1.23% | -17.16% | -3.21% | -17.16% | +34.85% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 7.76 | far below SMA50 | +14.18% | +21.26% | +28.87% | +0.00% | +31.96% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 10.92 | far below SMA50 | +25.00% | -3.75% | -26.47% | -26.47% | +35.16% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 53.07 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -5.71% | +21.84% | -3.99% | -6.80% | +43.38% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 2.46 | volume x2.9 | +12.20% | -9.76% | +26.02% | -14.63% | +26.02% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 1.63 | neutral | -4.29% | -12.88% | -36.81% | -36.81% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 2.52 | far below SMA50 | +4.76% | +4.76% | +6.35% | -7.94% | +38.10% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 6.08 | neutral | -7.89% | -5.26% | -8.55% | -14.47% | +21.05% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 39.68 | near 52w high | -11.29% | -15.32% | -15.32% | -21.37% | +0.00% |
In window 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.26% · Win 30% · DD -13.64%20 days: Avg -11.07% · Win 30% · DD -20.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 20.07 | far above SMA50 | -5.93% | -17.19% | -40.81% | -42.65% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 18.71 | far above SMA50 | +1.23% | -17.16% | -3.21% | -17.16% | +34.85% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 7.76 | far below SMA50 | +14.18% | +21.26% | +28.87% | +0.00% | +31.96% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 11.70 | neutral | +18.38% | -7.35% | -36.15% | -36.15% | +26.15% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 50.91 | far above SMA50 | -1.02% | +26.28% | +1.08% | -2.85% | +49.46% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 2.84 | far above SMA50 · volume x4.2 | -17.25% | -17.25% | +1.76% | -26.06% | +9.15% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 1.63 | neutral | -4.29% | -12.88% | -36.81% | -36.81% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 2.60 | far below SMA50 | -10.77% | +12.31% | -1.54% | -10.77% | +33.85% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 6.08 | neutral | -7.89% | -5.26% | -8.55% | -14.47% | +21.05% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 39.68 | near 52w high | -11.29% | -15.32% | -15.32% | -21.37% | +0.00% |
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.16% · Win 40% · DD -11.41%20 days: Avg -8.16% · Win 40% · DD -19.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 19.15 | neutral | -1.41% | -10.55% | -42.04% | -42.04% | +2.14% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 18.97 | far above SMA50 | -0.16% | -14.39% | +4.69% | -18.29% | +33.00% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 8.75 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | +1.14% | +5.60% | +21.60% | -2.29% | +21.60% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 11.70 | neutral | +18.38% | -7.35% | -36.15% | -36.15% | +26.15% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 49.46 | far above SMA50 | +5.62% | +29.03% | +10.55% | +0.00% | +53.84% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 3.00 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.6 | -24.00% | -16.67% | +3.00% | -30.00% | +3.33% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 1.32 | far below SMA50 · volume x7.6 | +12.12% | +9.09% | -25.00% | -25.00% | +18.18% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 2.60 | far below SMA50 | -10.77% | +12.31% | -1.54% | -10.77% | +33.85% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 5.92 | neutral | +8.11% | -3.38% | -1.35% | -12.16% | +24.32% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 39.68 | near 52w high | -11.29% | -15.32% | -15.32% | -21.37% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.91% · Win 40% · DD -12.25%20 days: Avg +40.25% · Win 40% · DD -19.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 17.81 | neutral | -12.52% | -35.37% | -33.13% | -43.46% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 16.11 | neutral | +19.49% | +30.79% | +59.09% | -3.79% | +70.20% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 9.86 | neutral | -6.39% | -1.01% | +38.95% | -13.29% | +38.95% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 10.92 | neutral | -12.00% | -23.90% | -43.13% | -46.06% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 63.34 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +20.13% | -12.58% | -19.81% | -22.32% | +20.13% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 2.10 | neutral | +5.24% | +18.10% | +194.76% | +0.00% | +199.05% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 1.38 | far below SMA50 | -3.62% | -17.39% | -5.07% | -28.26% | +4.35% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 2.64 | far below SMA50 | +10.61% | +1.52% | -7.58% | -12.12% | +31.82% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 5.96 | volume x8.3 | -12.08% | -9.40% | +232.21% | -12.75% | +336.91% |
| 2016 | 02/11/2016 | 32.48 | near 52w low | +14.29% | +20.20% | -13.79% | -13.79% | +20.69% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.86% · Win 40% · DD -16.66%20 days: Avg +33.90% · Win 40% · DD -22.37%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 17.13 | neutral | -15.88% | -35.20% | -27.38% | -41.21% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 16.24 | neutral | +55.36% | +22.29% | +59.85% | +0.00% | +68.84% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 9.24 | neutral | -0.65% | +15.15% | +65.37% | -7.47% | +65.37% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 10.84 | neutral | -9.87% | -31.09% | -43.36% | -45.66% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 63.82 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +18.96% | -14.32% | -34.49% | -34.75% | +19.23% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 2.50 | far above SMA50 | -8.00% | +23.60% | +116.00% | -12.40% | +151.20% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 1.44 | far below SMA50 | -12.50% | -31.25% | -12.50% | -31.25% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 2.92 | volume x3.0 | -4.11% | -12.33% | -20.55% | -20.55% | +19.18% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 5.72 | far below SMA50 | -4.90% | +2.10% | +257.34% | -9.09% | +355.24% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 33.76 | neutral | +9.00% | -7.58% | -21.33% | -21.33% | +16.11% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +18.11% · Win 40% · DD -19.48%20 days: Avg +29.86% · Win 30% · DD -24.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 14.41 | far below SMA50 | -22.97% | -22.90% | -17.83% | -30.12% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 25.23 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -21.28% | -1.03% | -7.77% | -28.22% | +8.68% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 9.18 | neutral | +15.90% | +34.86% | +62.20% | -0.11% | +82.79% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 9.77 | far below SMA50 | -23.54% | -38.79% | -48.11% | -48.82% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 75.92 | far above SMA50 | -27.98% | -32.31% | -51.48% | -51.48% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 2.30 | neutral | +34.35% | +86.09% | +106.52% | +0.00% | +173.04% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 1.26 | far below SMA50 | -21.43% | +6.35% | -12.70% | -21.43% | +11.11% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 2.80 | neutral | -8.57% | -14.29% | -25.71% | -28.57% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 5.44 | far below SMA50 | +7.35% | +183.09% | +326.47% | -2.94% | +378.68% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 36.80 | neutral | -15.22% | -20.00% | -33.04% | -33.04% | +6.52% |
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +38.85% · Win 60% · DD -9.00%20 days: Avg +50.61% · Win 40% · DD -17.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 11.51 | far below SMA50 | -2.61% | +3.48% | -7.12% | -12.51% | +8.34% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 18.11 | volume x2.1 | +45.89% | +38.76% | +35.84% | +0.00% | +51.41% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 10.00 | far above SMA50 | +12.80% | +48.60% | +98.80% | +0.00% | +98.80% |
| 2022 | 17/11/2022 | 8.03 | far below SMA50 | -22.54% | -13.95% | -51.68% | -51.68% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/11/2021 | 50.95 | neutral | +2.83% | -3.69% | -30.30% | -30.30% | +7.32% |
| 2020 | 17/11/2020 | 3.10 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.9 | +58.39% | +85.81% | +165.48% | -6.77% | +165.48% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 1.03 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +35.92% | +26.21% | -3.88% | -3.88% | +35.92% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 2.68 | neutral | -11.94% | -8.96% | -37.31% | -37.31% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 5.56 | far below SMA50 | +368.35% | +235.25% | +356.12% | +0.00% | +368.35% |
| 2016 | 17/11/2016 | 34.72 | neutral | -12.90% | -23.04% | -19.82% | -29.95% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +34.65% · Win 60% · DD -6.89%20 days: Avg +50.65% · Win 30% · DD -16.12%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/11/2025 | 10.24 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +15.33% | +14.65% | -0.59% | -5.37% | +21.78% |
| 2024 | 20/11/2024 | 22.63 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +18.96% | +9.54% | -9.99% | -9.99% | +21.17% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 10.64 | far above SMA50 | +16.35% | +43.61% | +106.48% | -3.10% | +106.48% |
| 2022 | 21/11/2022 | 6.19 | far below SMA50 | -4.85% | -6.46% | -36.83% | -37.48% | +11.63% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 54.68 | far above SMA50 | -6.02% | -23.54% | -40.62% | -40.62% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 20/11/2020 | 3.39 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | +85.25% | +62.54% | +239.23% | +0.00% | +239.23% |
| 2019 | 20/11/2019 | 0.99 | far below SMA50 | +27.27% | +27.27% | -2.02% | -2.02% | +41.41% |
| 2018 | 20/11/2018 | 2.48 | far below SMA50 | +6.45% | -9.68% | -30.65% | -32.26% | +6.45% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 5.84 | volume x3.8 | +163.70% | +250.00% | +298.63% | -2.74% | +345.89% |
| 2016 | 21/11/2016 | 33.60 | neutral | -12.86% | -21.43% | -17.14% | -27.62% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 23/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +10.86% · Win 40% · DD -8.35%20 days: Avg +25.81% · Win 30% · DD -19.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 11.21 | far below SMA50 | +6.24% | +9.28% | -12.04% | -13.56% | +11.24% |
| 2024 | 22/11/2024 | 26.03 | far above SMA50 | -1.54% | -8.34% | -26.05% | -26.05% | +5.34% |
| 2023 | 22/11/2023 | 10.92 | far above SMA50 | +9.62% | +42.03% | +126.92% | +0.00% | +126.92% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 6.48 | far below SMA50 | -4.17% | -16.82% | -43.36% | -43.67% | +6.64% |
| 2021 | 23/11/2021 | 52.12 | neutral | -2.55% | -10.51% | -34.52% | -37.70% | +0.52% |
| 2020 | 23/11/2020 | 4.92 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.9 | +25.81% | +5.28% | +183.94% | -13.01% | +183.94% |
| 2019 | 22/11/2019 | 1.09 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +20.18% | -0.92% | -12.84% | -12.84% | +28.44% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 2.32 | far below SMA50 | +6.90% | -13.79% | -32.76% | -32.76% | +13.79% |
| 2017 | 22/11/2017 | 8.72 | far above SMA50 · volume x9.7 | +91.28% | +110.09% | +124.77% | +0.00% | +198.62% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 29.12 | volume x2.2 | -3.85% | -7.69% | -15.93% | -16.48% | +3.85% |
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.95% · Win 30% · DD -14.60%20 days: Avg +24.99% · Win 40% · DD -17.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/12/2025 | 10.70 | far below SMA50 | -5.33% | -12.80% | +3.83% | -16.07% | +3.83% |
| 2024 | 16/12/2024 | 24.56 | far above SMA50 | -21.62% | -31.72% | -25.49% | -31.72% | +0.16% |
| 2023 | 15/12/2023 | 18.29 | far above SMA50 | +46.04% | +25.37% | -5.63% | -5.63% | +69.87% |
| 2022 | 15/12/2022 | 4.34 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -15.44% | -21.20% | +92.86% | -27.42% | +92.86% |
| 2021 | 15/12/2021 | 38.73 | far below SMA50 | -11.88% | -11.21% | -27.45% | -27.45% | +1.73% |
| 2020 | 15/12/2020 | 7.07 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +97.60% | +53.89% | +245.69% | +0.00% | +273.27% |
| 2019 | 16/12/2019 | 0.99 | far below SMA50 | -4.04% | -11.11% | +0.00% | -11.11% | +10.10% |
| 2018 | 14/12/2018 | 1.72 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -2.33% | -16.28% | -11.63% | -16.28% | +6.98% |
| 2017 | 15/12/2017 | 22.96 | far above SMA50 | -22.65% | -24.74% | -39.55% | -39.55% | +10.45% |
| 2016 | 15/12/2016 | 24.96 | neutral | -1.92% | +10.26% | +17.31% | -1.92% | +31.41% |
Upcoming 28/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +21.50% · Win 50% · DD -10.42%20 days: Avg +12.77% · Win 50% · DD -15.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/12/2025 | 9.49 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.64% | +15.38% | +9.27% | -5.37% | +19.70% |
| 2024 | 27/12/2024 | 18.44 | far below SMA50 | +11.44% | -5.86% | -0.11% | -9.06% | +11.44% |
| 2023 | 28/12/2023 | 28.11 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -14.19% | -32.48% | -34.12% | -44.33% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 28/12/2022 | 3.15 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +24.13% | +123.17% | +154.60% | +0.00% | +185.71% |
| 2021 | 28/12/2021 | 35.14 | far below SMA50 | -2.87% | -15.82% | -38.93% | -38.93% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 28/12/2020 | 12.25 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +10.94% | +113.47% | +44.08% | -14.78% | +115.43% |
| 2019 | 27/12/2019 | 0.90 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +7.78% | +1.11% | +12.22% | -2.22% | +21.11% |
| 2018 | 28/12/2018 | 1.60 | far below SMA50 | +5.00% | -5.00% | -10.00% | -10.00% | +7.50% |
| 2017 | 28/12/2017 | 17.24 | far above SMA50 | -8.82% | -3.25% | -27.38% | -27.38% | +0.23% |
| 2016 | 28/12/2016 | 25.76 | neutral | +27.33% | +24.22% | +18.01% | +0.00% | +32.30% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-34.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -65.7% · from 52w low: +5.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -6.77% · -27.25% · -44.06% · -40.61% |
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| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -25.91% · -34.04% · -35.51% |
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| Distance from 52w high / low | -65.71% · +5.41% |
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| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.64 · 0.97x |
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Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -38.68% |
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| vs SPY (20d) | -42.59% |
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| vs SMH (20d) | -30.98% |
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Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 9.47 · 10.64 · 10.89 |
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| 52w high / low | 20.47 · 6.66 |
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