🕰️ Time Machine

MAT — Mattel

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
13.81 +0.36%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 07/09/2026
since -2.33%
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/07/2026
12.73
Days: 44 trading / 63 calendar · return since: +8.48%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
15.65
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -11.76%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Fib 21Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±1)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 30Calendar📅 04/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 60Calendar📅 07/09/2026-3 (±2)Passed
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 45Trading📅 11/09/2026+1 (±2)In window
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 30Trading📅 17/09/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 45Calendar📅 19/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 60Trading📅 02/10/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 60Calendar📅 04/10/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 90Calendar📅 07/10/2026+27 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 45Trading📅 08/10/2026+20 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 60Trading📅 29/10/2026+35 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Hammer Reversal 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 04/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
NR7 Compression 02/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 24/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 44% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg -1.22% · Win 33% · DD -6.87%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202518.23neutral-1.65%-5.43%-5.21%-8.61%+3.24%
202403/09/202418.70neutral-0.59%+2.99%+2.30%-2.51%+4.49%
202301/09/202322.32neutral-4.53%-3.99%-2.42%-5.60%+0.00%
202202/09/202222.08neutral+6.66%-1.36%-13.59%-15.08%+6.66%
202103/09/202121.51neutral-4.70%-6.56%-14.69%-14.69%+0.00%
202003/09/202010.97neutral+0.36%+6.29%+10.12%-1.46%+10.12%
201903/09/20199.35near 52w low · far below SMA50+14.22%+23.74%+21.18%+0.00%+23.85%
201804/09/201815.56neutral+1.41%+6.81%-1.99%-1.99%+6.81%
201701/09/201716.48near 52w low · far below SMA50-5.46%-9.77%-6.67%-11.89%+0.00%
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 44% · DD -4.20%20 days: Avg -2.37% · Win 33% · DD -6.75%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202518.65neutral-3.49%-7.08%-7.67%-10.67%+0.91%
202404/09/202418.71neutral-2.57%+3.79%+1.44%-2.57%+4.44%
202305/09/202322.25neutral-3.55%-3.82%-4.13%-5.30%+0.22%
202202/09/202222.08neutral+6.66%-1.36%-13.59%-15.08%+6.66%
202103/09/202121.51neutral-4.70%-6.56%-14.69%-14.69%+0.00%
202004/09/202010.81neutral+1.48%+7.31%+13.23%+0.00%+13.23%
201904/09/20199.74far below SMA50+12.11%+17.25%+9.34%+0.00%+18.89%
201804/09/201815.56neutral+1.41%+6.81%-1.99%-1.99%+6.81%
201705/09/201716.21near 52w low · far below SMA50-3.15%-7.16%-3.27%-10.43%+0.00%
Passed 07/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 44% · DD -3.37%20 days: Avg -1.18% · Win 33% · DD -6.61%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202518.50neutral-5.84%-7.68%-2.32%-9.95%+0.00%
202406/09/202418.44neutral+3.09%+4.28%+4.45%-1.14%+5.97%
202307/09/202321.55volume x2.6-1.44%-0.09%-3.81%-3.81%+2.65%
202207/09/202222.62neutral+2.17%-7.34%-12.95%-17.11%+4.11%
202107/09/202121.19neutral-4.15%-7.27%-12.55%-13.40%+0.00%
202008/09/202010.85neutral+1.84%+4.15%+12.90%+0.00%+12.90%
201906/09/20199.93far below SMA50+14.00%+14.30%+11.08%+0.00%+16.62%
201807/09/201815.68neutral+4.27%+5.42%-7.40%-7.40%+5.99%
201707/09/201715.56near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.80%-3.60%+0.00%-6.68%+3.47%
In window 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.27% · Win 50% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg -2.06% · Win 40% · DD -6.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202518.00neutral-3.72%-7.44%+0.56%-7.44%+2.28%
202411/09/202418.23neutral+6.53%+2.96%+5.65%+0.00%+7.19%
202311/09/202321.31neutral+0.56%+1.31%-2.16%-3.10%+3.80%
202212/09/202223.55neutral-7.52%-16.31%-17.49%-20.38%+0.00%
202110/09/202119.99neutral+1.95%-0.90%-4.90%-8.20%+3.45%
202011/09/202011.01neutral+5.90%+2.91%+13.44%-0.36%+14.44%
201911/09/201910.92neutral+4.58%+0.64%-2.47%-2.47%+6.04%
201811/09/201815.78neutral+5.32%+1.77%-8.24%-8.24%+5.32%
201711/09/201715.58near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.56%-5.58%+0.13%-6.80%+3.34%
201612/09/201631.94near 52w high-0.63%-2.07%-5.13%-5.89%+0.53%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.10% · Win 40% · DD -4.68%20 days: Avg -2.06% · Win 30% · DD -6.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/202517.24neutral-0.70%+0.23%+3.60%-3.36%+6.79%
202417/09/202419.26neutral-0.52%-0.67%-3.12%-3.12%+1.45%
202318/09/202321.43volume x1.7+0.75%+1.63%-4.20%-6.25%+3.22%
202216/09/202220.90volume x2.7-4.78%-9.38%-5.98%-10.29%+4.21%
202117/09/202120.38volume x2.2-2.80%-8.19%-3.53%-9.96%+0.00%
202017/09/202011.86volume x3.8-4.47%+0.51%+4.47%-4.81%+6.32%
201917/09/201911.57neutral-5.01%-2.07%-1.47%-7.95%+0.86%
201817/09/201816.50neutral-3.03%-3.39%-12.67%-15.70%+0.73%
201718/09/201714.87near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.1-1.08%+3.43%+5.92%-2.35%+5.92%
201616/09/201631.24near 52w high+2.34%-3.07%-3.65%-5.76%+2.78%
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.84% · Win 30% · DD -5.74%20 days: Avg -1.34% · Win 30% · DD -7.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/202517.08volume x1.7-1.05%+5.74%+7.79%-2.46%+7.79%
202419/09/202419.54neutral-2.56%-2.92%-4.61%-4.61%+0.00%
202319/09/202321.40neutral-0.84%-0.33%+0.00%-6.12%+3.36%
202219/09/202221.78neutral-9.50%-12.40%-8.59%-13.91%+0.00%
202120/09/202120.10neutral-3.33%-8.71%-0.25%-8.71%+1.19%
202018/09/202011.66volume x2.4-2.83%+3.60%+8.06%-3.17%+8.15%
201919/09/201911.51neutral-5.13%-5.73%-3.39%-7.47%+1.39%
201819/09/201816.62neutral-3.67%-8.78%-11.13%-16.31%+0.00%
201719/09/201715.05near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.4-0.47%+4.19%+3.59%-3.52%+4.65%
201619/09/201631.74near 52w high-1.45%-3.06%-4.91%-7.25%+1.17%
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 60% · DD -2.52%20 days: Avg +3.83% · Win 70% · DD -5.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/10/202517.22neutral+5.11%+5.11%+7.96%-0.70%+11.67%
202402/10/202418.98neutral+1.48%-1.48%+7.17%-6.32%+7.17%
202302/10/202321.78near 52w high-4.27%-5.74%-13.82%-15.38%+0.00%
202203/10/202219.08far below SMA50+1.83%+4.35%-0.63%-2.41%+5.40%
202101/10/202118.71far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+1.60%+5.08%+16.57%-1.92%+16.57%
202002/10/202012.08volume x3.0+3.39%+4.30%+13.99%+0.00%+18.13%
201902/10/201910.65neutral+0.00%+7.98%+12.86%-5.45%+12.86%
201802/10/201815.25volume x1.6-5.05%-2.69%-9.57%-12.52%+0.00%
201702/10/201715.38neutral+1.43%+2.41%+1.30%-8.97%+3.84%
201603/10/201630.77near 52w low-1.53%-1.92%+2.47%-4.32%+7.54%
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.26% · Win 60% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 60% · DD -6.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/10/202518.06volume x2.0-5.32%+1.94%+1.77%-5.32%+6.48%
202404/10/202419.26neutral-0.21%-1.04%+3.37%-7.68%+5.82%
202304/10/202321.37neutral-2.15%-1.54%-9.55%-13.76%+0.14%
202204/10/202219.64far below SMA50 · volume x2.7+0.66%+0.97%-3.51%-5.19%+2.39%
202104/10/202118.35far below SMA50+2.89%+9.26%+17.66%+0.00%+18.86%
202005/10/202012.24volume x2.9+3.02%+2.37%+13.81%+0.00%+16.58%
201904/10/201911.03neutral+5.80%+1.81%+7.80%-8.70%+8.98%
201804/10/201814.52volume x1.8-3.65%-2.27%-1.72%-8.13%+2.20%
201704/10/201715.72neutral-0.38%-0.57%-13.80%-13.80%+1.59%
201604/10/201630.21near 52w low-2.55%+1.66%+2.71%-2.55%+9.53%
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 60% · DD -2.88%20 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 60% · DD -7.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/10/202518.00neutral-1.11%+4.56%+1.83%-5.00%+6.83%
202407/10/202419.35neutral-2.33%-4.81%+3.41%-8.11%+5.32%
202306/10/202320.65neutral-2.08%-0.92%-5.96%-10.75%+3.63%
202207/10/202219.84neutral-0.96%-0.10%-11.69%-11.69%+1.36%
202107/10/202119.20neutral+2.66%+5.89%+11.82%-1.67%+13.59%
202007/10/202012.35neutral+0.73%+0.81%+10.04%+0.00%+15.55%
201907/10/201911.20neutral+2.95%+0.89%+8.48%-10.09%+8.48%
201808/10/201814.55volume x1.7-0.96%-3.09%-1.99%-8.32%+1.99%
201706/10/201715.55neutral+1.22%+2.70%-15.63%-16.14%+2.70%
201607/10/201630.06near 52w low+0.13%+8.95%+1.33%-2.06%+10.08%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.01% · Win 30% · DD -3.43%20 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -7.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/202518.41neutral-2.99%-0.60%+3.53%-7.12%+4.45%
202408/10/202419.26neutral-3.12%-5.97%+4.93%-7.68%+5.82%
202309/10/202320.85neutral-1.53%-4.89%-7.77%-11.61%+2.64%
202207/10/202219.84neutral-0.96%-0.10%-11.69%-11.69%+1.36%
202108/10/202119.01neutral+3.42%+7.57%+14.31%-0.68%+14.73%
202008/10/202012.60far above SMA50-1.67%+2.54%+13.81%-1.67%+13.81%
201908/10/201910.96neutral+4.01%-3.65%+12.50%-8.12%+12.50%
201808/10/201814.55volume x1.7-0.96%-3.09%-1.99%-8.32%+1.99%
201709/10/201715.60neutral+0.96%-0.90%-16.28%-16.41%+2.37%
201607/10/201630.06near 52w low+0.13%+8.95%+1.33%-2.06%+10.08%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.39% · Win 50% · DD -4.78%20 days: Avg +4.59% · Win 80% · DD -5.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202519.03neutral+0.16%+3.00%+11.61%-3.68%+11.61%
202429/10/202419.83near 52w high+1.92%-4.99%-6.05%-7.67%+2.77%
202330/10/202318.77far below SMA50+2.45%-2.82%+0.80%-3.09%+3.46%
202228/10/202218.67near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.16%-8.09%-4.23%-10.77%+1.55%
202129/10/202121.81neutral-0.37%+4.22%+0.23%-2.57%+4.81%
202029/10/202014.00far above SMA50+2.43%-3.21%+13.86%-3.29%+13.86%
201929/10/201910.56volume x2.0+16.76%+13.73%+10.04%+0.00%+16.76%
201829/10/201813.34far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+6.90%+1.50%+2.10%-3.45%+8.47%
201730/10/201715.58volume x2.6-16.17%+13.22%+17.07%-16.30%+20.73%
201628/10/201631.73near 52w high-4.00%-2.68%+0.44%-5.29%+3.35%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -38.6% · from 52w low: +8.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-5.67% · -9.32% · -5.73% · -3.76%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-5.68% · -4.30% · -16.10%
Distance from 52w high / low-38.57% · +8.48%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.43 · 0.96x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-3.66%
vs SPY (20d)-3.84%
vs SMH (20d)-1.54%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20014.64 · 14.43 · 16.46
52w high / low22.48 · 12.73