🕰️ Time Machine

MAT — Mattel

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
16.41 -3.13%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
29/10/2026
Last window
—
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 09/07/2026
12.73
Days: 75 trading / 106 calendar · return since: +28.91%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
15.65
Days: 56 trading / 79 calendar · return since: +4.86%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 60Trading📅 29/10/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 90Calendar📅 03/11/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 120Calendar📅 06/11/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 90Trading📅 13/11/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 144Calendar📅 30/11/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 120Calendar📅 03/12/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65Cycle 90Trading📅 11/12/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73Cycle 120Trading📅 29/12/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Shooting Star 09/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.39% · Win 50% · DD -4.78%20 days: Avg +4.59% · Win 80% · DD -5.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202519.03neutral+0.16%+3.00%+11.61%-3.68%+11.61%
202429/10/202419.83near 52w high+1.92%-4.99%-6.05%-7.67%+2.77%
202330/10/202318.77far below SMA50+2.45%-2.82%+0.80%-3.09%+3.46%
202228/10/202218.67near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.16%-8.09%-4.23%-10.77%+1.55%
202129/10/202121.81neutral-0.37%+4.22%+0.23%-2.57%+4.81%
202029/10/202014.00far above SMA50+2.43%-3.21%+13.86%-3.29%+13.86%
201929/10/201910.56volume x2.0+16.76%+13.73%+10.04%+0.00%+16.76%
201829/10/201813.34far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+6.90%+1.50%+2.10%-3.45%+8.47%
201730/10/201715.58volume x2.6-16.17%+13.22%+17.07%-16.30%+20.73%
201628/10/201631.73near 52w high-4.00%-2.68%+0.44%-5.29%+3.35%
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.72% · Win 50% · DD -3.58%20 days: Avg +3.89% · Win 70% · DD -4.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202518.44neutral+3.90%+1.52%+10.20%-0.60%+15.18%
202404/11/202420.01near 52w high-2.80%-7.95%-6.05%-8.50%+1.00%
202303/11/202319.42neutral-4.79%-3.50%+0.41%-6.33%+0.41%
202203/11/202217.70near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5-1.58%-2.37%+4.80%-5.88%+4.80%
202103/11/202121.42neutral+5.32%+6.07%+0.47%-0.98%+6.72%
202003/11/202013.97far above SMA50+0.00%+3.79%+11.45%-3.08%+14.10%
201904/11/201912.15far above SMA50-0.33%-3.46%-8.15%-8.15%+1.48%
201802/11/201814.47neutral-6.36%-5.11%-3.59%-10.99%+0.00%
201703/11/201713.12near 52w low · far below SMA50+11.43%+42.38%+28.43%-0.46%+43.37%
201603/11/201630.05near 52w low+2.13%+5.86%+0.91%+0.00%+9.12%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.16% · Win 50% · DD -3.32%20 days: Avg +3.57% · Win 50% · DD -4.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/202518.67neutral+4.77%+1.77%+13.28%-0.54%+13.77%
202406/11/202418.80volume x1.6-0.05%-2.39%+5.11%-2.61%+5.64%
202306/11/202319.23neutral-5.15%-4.32%-1.72%-5.41%+1.40%
202207/11/202217.70near 52w low · far below SMA50-5.88%-4.80%+0.11%-5.88%+4.80%
202105/11/202121.73neutral+4.60%+4.23%-1.43%-3.36%+5.20%
202006/11/202014.24near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.30%+5.62%+8.36%-4.92%+11.94%
201906/11/201912.00neutral-0.25%-3.58%-2.17%-7.00%+2.67%
201806/11/201814.31neutral-6.08%-9.99%-3.77%-9.99%+0.98%
201706/11/201713.06near 52w low · far below SMA50+35.07%+43.41%+22.13%+0.00%+44.03%
201607/11/201630.85near 52w low+3.76%+1.67%-4.24%-4.24%+6.29%
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.19% · Win 60% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg -0.65% · Win 60% · DD -6.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/11/202519.56neutral-2.86%+7.98%+3.32%-5.06%+8.59%
202413/11/202418.79neutral-2.34%-0.21%+2.82%-2.55%+5.69%
202313/11/202318.24far below SMA50+0.88%+3.73%+1.92%-0.27%+6.91%
202214/11/202216.66near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.14%+8.52%+4.80%+0.00%+11.34%
202112/11/202122.73near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.35%-3.83%-11.35%-11.35%+0.57%
202013/11/202013.77far above SMA50+9.22%+12.49%+18.66%+0.00%+18.66%
201913/11/201911.97neutral-3.34%-1.34%+6.77%-6.77%+6.77%
201813/11/201813.44neutral-4.17%+1.34%-10.12%-10.12%+3.79%
201713/11/201717.64far above SMA50 · volume x2.5+6.18%+3.40%-17.12%-17.12%+6.63%
201614/11/201632.01near 52w high-2.02%-0.21%-6.25%-7.71%+2.44%
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.10% · Win 30% · DD -7.00%20 days: Avg -4.34% · Win 20% · DD -10.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/12/202520.96far above SMA50-2.53%-2.53%-4.63%-5.53%+1.29%
202429/11/202419.02neutral+1.79%-0.79%-7.05%-7.05%+4.42%
202330/11/202319.00neutral+0.53%+0.42%-0.63%-2.16%+2.63%
202230/11/202218.23neutral-4.88%-5.98%-1.21%-10.92%+1.76%
202130/11/202121.21neutral+2.26%-4.86%-0.19%-5.00%+3.16%
202030/11/202015.49near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.39%+5.49%+11.49%-0.39%+16.98%
201929/11/201911.70neutral+3.16%+14.02%+16.84%-4.62%+18.97%
201830/11/201813.90volume x2.0-7.19%-19.64%-29.78%-33.38%+0.36%
201730/11/201718.25far above SMA50-15.67%-11.01%-15.73%-19.89%+0.00%
201630/11/201631.57near 52w high-6.37%-6.08%-12.48%-12.61%+0.00%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.37% · Win 20% · DD -6.43%20 days: Avg -3.00% · Win 30% · DD -9.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/202521.23near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-1.46%-4.19%-5.61%-6.74%+0.00%
202403/12/202418.80neutral+1.22%-0.74%-5.69%-5.96%+5.64%
202304/12/202319.50neutral-3.03%-0.72%-5.95%-5.95%+0.00%
202202/12/202218.55neutral-7.60%-9.87%-3.56%-12.45%+0.00%
202103/12/202121.00neutral+1.19%-1.76%+3.52%-4.05%+4.19%
202003/12/202015.57near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.35%+15.29%+10.79%-0.90%+16.38%
201903/12/201911.16volume x1.5+6.81%+16.22%+19.18%+0.00%+24.73%
201803/12/201813.95neutral-9.25%-22.15%-33.55%-33.62%+0.00%
201704/12/201716.85neutral-8.78%-11.93%-4.21%-13.23%+0.00%
201602/12/201629.96near 52w low-1.57%-3.84%-4.94%-8.04%+0.00%
Upcoming 11/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.44% · Win 40% · DD -6.35%20 days: Avg +4.58% · Win 70% · DD -6.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/12/202520.99near 52w high-2.53%-3.48%+2.24%-5.67%+5.57%
202411/12/202419.19neutral-5.42%-6.20%-4.01%-7.87%+0.68%
202311/12/202318.91neutral+2.38%+1.00%-2.38%-3.86%+2.38%
202212/12/202217.39neutral-5.41%-2.13%+15.64%-6.61%+15.64%
202110/12/202121.25neutral-2.92%-0.66%+2.92%-5.18%+5.18%
202011/12/202015.95near 52w high · far above SMA50+13.61%+10.47%+20.06%+0.00%+20.06%
201911/12/201912.24neutral+6.62%+11.19%+14.95%+0.00%+16.50%
201811/12/201812.66near 52w low-14.22%-21.48%-6.00%-26.86%+0.71%
201711/12/201715.37neutral-3.45%+2.28%+2.02%-4.88%+5.79%
201612/12/201629.41near 52w low-3.57%-5.37%+0.34%-6.32%+5.20%
Upcoming 29/12/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.71% · Win 80% · DD -1.85%20 days: Avg +4.60% · Win 70% · DD -3.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/12/202519.98neutral+6.46%+8.66%+1.85%-0.70%+10.91%
202430/12/202417.68neutral+3.28%+1.02%+7.81%+0.00%+7.81%
202329/12/202318.88neutral-2.01%-5.30%-3.81%-7.79%+0.00%
202229/12/202218.01neutral+10.55%+12.49%+12.94%-0.94%+12.94%
202129/12/202121.17neutral+5.20%+3.87%-6.19%-7.37%+7.79%
202029/12/202017.27far above SMA50+4.81%+9.55%+4.57%-0.12%+10.89%
201930/12/201913.67far above SMA50+3.73%+7.39%+6.22%-2.71%+7.39%
201828/12/20189.94far below SMA50+12.78%+24.25%+23.34%-6.74%+27.46%
201729/12/201715.38neutral+2.80%-1.69%+3.97%-1.69%+15.47%
201629/12/201627.63near 52w low+10.28%+6.84%-4.74%-5.94%+14.22%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+10.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -27.0% · from 52w low: +32.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-4.59% · -1.68% · +23.48% · +7.89%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+2.55% · +10.13% · +5.07%
Distance from 52w high / low-27.00% · +32.34%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.53 · 0.47x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+28.86%
vs SPY (20d)+24.95%
vs SMH (20d)+36.56%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20016.00 · 14.90 · 15.62
52w high / low22.48 · 12.40