🕰️ Time Machine
MAT — Mattel
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
13.81 +0.36%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 07/09/2026
since -2.33%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 09/07/2026
12.73
Days: 44 trading / 63 calendar · return since: +8.48%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
15.65
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -11.76%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -4 (±1) | Passed |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 07/09/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 02/10/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/07/2026 @ 12.73 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 07/10/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 08/10/2026 | +20 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 05/08/2026 @ 15.65 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +35 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Hammer Reversal 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 11/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 04/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 02/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 24/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.42% · Win 44% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg -1.22% · Win 33% · DD -6.87%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 18.23 | neutral | -1.65% | -5.43% | -5.21% | -8.61% | +3.24% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 18.70 | neutral | -0.59% | +2.99% | +2.30% | -2.51% | +4.49% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 22.32 | neutral | -4.53% | -3.99% | -2.42% | -5.60% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 22.08 | neutral | +6.66% | -1.36% | -13.59% | -15.08% | +6.66% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 21.51 | neutral | -4.70% | -6.56% | -14.69% | -14.69% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 10.97 | neutral | +0.36% | +6.29% | +10.12% | -1.46% | +10.12% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 9.35 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +14.22% | +23.74% | +21.18% | +0.00% | +23.85% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 15.56 | neutral | +1.41% | +6.81% | -1.99% | -1.99% | +6.81% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 16.48 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.46% | -9.77% | -6.67% | -11.89% | +0.00% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 44% · DD -4.20%20 days: Avg -2.37% · Win 33% · DD -6.75%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 18.65 | neutral | -3.49% | -7.08% | -7.67% | -10.67% | +0.91% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 18.71 | neutral | -2.57% | +3.79% | +1.44% | -2.57% | +4.44% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 22.25 | neutral | -3.55% | -3.82% | -4.13% | -5.30% | +0.22% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 22.08 | neutral | +6.66% | -1.36% | -13.59% | -15.08% | +6.66% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 21.51 | neutral | -4.70% | -6.56% | -14.69% | -14.69% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 10.81 | neutral | +1.48% | +7.31% | +13.23% | +0.00% | +13.23% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 9.74 | far below SMA50 | +12.11% | +17.25% | +9.34% | +0.00% | +18.89% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 15.56 | neutral | +1.41% | +6.81% | -1.99% | -1.99% | +6.81% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 16.21 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -3.15% | -7.16% | -3.27% | -10.43% | +0.00% |
Passed 07/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 44% · DD -3.37%20 days: Avg -1.18% · Win 33% · DD -6.61%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 18.50 | neutral | -5.84% | -7.68% | -2.32% | -9.95% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 06/09/2024 | 18.44 | neutral | +3.09% | +4.28% | +4.45% | -1.14% | +5.97% |
| 2023 | 07/09/2023 | 21.55 | volume x2.6 | -1.44% | -0.09% | -3.81% | -3.81% | +2.65% |
| 2022 | 07/09/2022 | 22.62 | neutral | +2.17% | -7.34% | -12.95% | -17.11% | +4.11% |
| 2021 | 07/09/2021 | 21.19 | neutral | -4.15% | -7.27% | -12.55% | -13.40% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 10.85 | neutral | +1.84% | +4.15% | +12.90% | +0.00% | +12.90% |
| 2019 | 06/09/2019 | 9.93 | far below SMA50 | +14.00% | +14.30% | +11.08% | +0.00% | +16.62% |
| 2018 | 07/09/2018 | 15.68 | neutral | +4.27% | +5.42% | -7.40% | -7.40% | +5.99% |
| 2017 | 07/09/2017 | 15.56 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +1.80% | -3.60% | +0.00% | -6.68% | +3.47% |
In window 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.27% · Win 50% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg -2.06% · Win 40% · DD -6.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 18.00 | neutral | -3.72% | -7.44% | +0.56% | -7.44% | +2.28% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 18.23 | neutral | +6.53% | +2.96% | +5.65% | +0.00% | +7.19% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 21.31 | neutral | +0.56% | +1.31% | -2.16% | -3.10% | +3.80% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 23.55 | neutral | -7.52% | -16.31% | -17.49% | -20.38% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 19.99 | neutral | +1.95% | -0.90% | -4.90% | -8.20% | +3.45% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 11.01 | neutral | +5.90% | +2.91% | +13.44% | -0.36% | +14.44% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 10.92 | neutral | +4.58% | +0.64% | -2.47% | -2.47% | +6.04% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 15.78 | neutral | +5.32% | +1.77% | -8.24% | -8.24% | +5.32% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 15.58 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -4.56% | -5.58% | +0.13% | -6.80% | +3.34% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 31.94 | near 52w high | -0.63% | -2.07% | -5.13% | -5.89% | +0.53% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.10% · Win 40% · DD -4.68%20 days: Avg -2.06% · Win 30% · DD -6.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 17.24 | neutral | -0.70% | +0.23% | +3.60% | -3.36% | +6.79% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 19.26 | neutral | -0.52% | -0.67% | -3.12% | -3.12% | +1.45% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 21.43 | volume x1.7 | +0.75% | +1.63% | -4.20% | -6.25% | +3.22% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 20.90 | volume x2.7 | -4.78% | -9.38% | -5.98% | -10.29% | +4.21% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 20.38 | volume x2.2 | -2.80% | -8.19% | -3.53% | -9.96% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 11.86 | volume x3.8 | -4.47% | +0.51% | +4.47% | -4.81% | +6.32% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 11.57 | neutral | -5.01% | -2.07% | -1.47% | -7.95% | +0.86% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 16.50 | neutral | -3.03% | -3.39% | -12.67% | -15.70% | +0.73% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 14.87 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -1.08% | +3.43% | +5.92% | -2.35% | +5.92% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 31.24 | near 52w high | +2.34% | -3.07% | -3.65% | -5.76% | +2.78% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.84% · Win 30% · DD -5.74%20 days: Avg -1.34% · Win 30% · DD -7.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 17.08 | volume x1.7 | -1.05% | +5.74% | +7.79% | -2.46% | +7.79% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 19.54 | neutral | -2.56% | -2.92% | -4.61% | -4.61% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 21.40 | neutral | -0.84% | -0.33% | +0.00% | -6.12% | +3.36% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 21.78 | neutral | -9.50% | -12.40% | -8.59% | -13.91% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 20.10 | neutral | -3.33% | -8.71% | -0.25% | -8.71% | +1.19% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 11.66 | volume x2.4 | -2.83% | +3.60% | +8.06% | -3.17% | +8.15% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 11.51 | neutral | -5.13% | -5.73% | -3.39% | -7.47% | +1.39% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 16.62 | neutral | -3.67% | -8.78% | -11.13% | -16.31% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 15.05 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.4 | -0.47% | +4.19% | +3.59% | -3.52% | +4.65% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 31.74 | near 52w high | -1.45% | -3.06% | -4.91% | -7.25% | +1.17% |
Upcoming 02/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 60% · DD -2.52%20 days: Avg +3.83% · Win 70% · DD -5.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/10/2025 | 17.22 | neutral | +5.11% | +5.11% | +7.96% | -0.70% | +11.67% |
| 2024 | 02/10/2024 | 18.98 | neutral | +1.48% | -1.48% | +7.17% | -6.32% | +7.17% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 21.78 | near 52w high | -4.27% | -5.74% | -13.82% | -15.38% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 03/10/2022 | 19.08 | far below SMA50 | +1.83% | +4.35% | -0.63% | -2.41% | +5.40% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 18.71 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +1.60% | +5.08% | +16.57% | -1.92% | +16.57% |
| 2020 | 02/10/2020 | 12.08 | volume x3.0 | +3.39% | +4.30% | +13.99% | +0.00% | +18.13% |
| 2019 | 02/10/2019 | 10.65 | neutral | +0.00% | +7.98% | +12.86% | -5.45% | +12.86% |
| 2018 | 02/10/2018 | 15.25 | volume x1.6 | -5.05% | -2.69% | -9.57% | -12.52% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 15.38 | neutral | +1.43% | +2.41% | +1.30% | -8.97% | +3.84% |
| 2016 | 03/10/2016 | 30.77 | near 52w low | -1.53% | -1.92% | +2.47% | -4.32% | +7.54% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.26% · Win 60% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 60% · DD -6.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 18.06 | volume x2.0 | -5.32% | +1.94% | +1.77% | -5.32% | +6.48% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 19.26 | neutral | -0.21% | -1.04% | +3.37% | -7.68% | +5.82% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 21.37 | neutral | -2.15% | -1.54% | -9.55% | -13.76% | +0.14% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 19.64 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.7 | +0.66% | +0.97% | -3.51% | -5.19% | +2.39% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 18.35 | far below SMA50 | +2.89% | +9.26% | +17.66% | +0.00% | +18.86% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 12.24 | volume x2.9 | +3.02% | +2.37% | +13.81% | +0.00% | +16.58% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 11.03 | neutral | +5.80% | +1.81% | +7.80% | -8.70% | +8.98% |
| 2018 | 04/10/2018 | 14.52 | volume x1.8 | -3.65% | -2.27% | -1.72% | -8.13% | +2.20% |
| 2017 | 04/10/2017 | 15.72 | neutral | -0.38% | -0.57% | -13.80% | -13.80% | +1.59% |
| 2016 | 04/10/2016 | 30.21 | near 52w low | -2.55% | +1.66% | +2.71% | -2.55% | +9.53% |
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 60% · DD -2.88%20 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 60% · DD -7.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/10/2025 | 18.00 | neutral | -1.11% | +4.56% | +1.83% | -5.00% | +6.83% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 19.35 | neutral | -2.33% | -4.81% | +3.41% | -8.11% | +5.32% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 20.65 | neutral | -2.08% | -0.92% | -5.96% | -10.75% | +3.63% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 19.84 | neutral | -0.96% | -0.10% | -11.69% | -11.69% | +1.36% |
| 2021 | 07/10/2021 | 19.20 | neutral | +2.66% | +5.89% | +11.82% | -1.67% | +13.59% |
| 2020 | 07/10/2020 | 12.35 | neutral | +0.73% | +0.81% | +10.04% | +0.00% | +15.55% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 11.20 | neutral | +2.95% | +0.89% | +8.48% | -10.09% | +8.48% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 14.55 | volume x1.7 | -0.96% | -3.09% | -1.99% | -8.32% | +1.99% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 15.55 | neutral | +1.22% | +2.70% | -15.63% | -16.14% | +2.70% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 30.06 | near 52w low | +0.13% | +8.95% | +1.33% | -2.06% | +10.08% |
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.01% · Win 30% · DD -3.43%20 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -7.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/10/2025 | 18.41 | neutral | -2.99% | -0.60% | +3.53% | -7.12% | +4.45% |
| 2024 | 08/10/2024 | 19.26 | neutral | -3.12% | -5.97% | +4.93% | -7.68% | +5.82% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 20.85 | neutral | -1.53% | -4.89% | -7.77% | -11.61% | +2.64% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 19.84 | neutral | -0.96% | -0.10% | -11.69% | -11.69% | +1.36% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 19.01 | neutral | +3.42% | +7.57% | +14.31% | -0.68% | +14.73% |
| 2020 | 08/10/2020 | 12.60 | far above SMA50 | -1.67% | +2.54% | +13.81% | -1.67% | +13.81% |
| 2019 | 08/10/2019 | 10.96 | neutral | +4.01% | -3.65% | +12.50% | -8.12% | +12.50% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 14.55 | volume x1.7 | -0.96% | -3.09% | -1.99% | -8.32% | +1.99% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 15.60 | neutral | +0.96% | -0.90% | -16.28% | -16.41% | +2.37% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 30.06 | near 52w low | +0.13% | +8.95% | +1.33% | -2.06% | +10.08% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.39% · Win 50% · DD -4.78%20 days: Avg +4.59% · Win 80% · DD -5.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 19.03 | neutral | +0.16% | +3.00% | +11.61% | -3.68% | +11.61% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 19.83 | near 52w high | +1.92% | -4.99% | -6.05% | -7.67% | +2.77% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 18.77 | far below SMA50 | +2.45% | -2.82% | +0.80% | -3.09% | +3.46% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 18.67 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -6.16% | -8.09% | -4.23% | -10.77% | +1.55% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 21.81 | neutral | -0.37% | +4.22% | +0.23% | -2.57% | +4.81% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 14.00 | far above SMA50 | +2.43% | -3.21% | +13.86% | -3.29% | +13.86% |
| 2019 | 29/10/2019 | 10.56 | volume x2.0 | +16.76% | +13.73% | +10.04% | +0.00% | +16.76% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 13.34 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +6.90% | +1.50% | +2.10% | -3.45% | +8.47% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 15.58 | volume x2.6 | -16.17% | +13.22% | +17.07% | -16.30% | +20.73% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 31.73 | near 52w high | -4.00% | -2.68% | +0.44% | -5.29% | +3.35% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -38.6% · from 52w low: +8.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -5.67% · -9.32% · -5.73% · -3.76% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -5.68% · -4.30% · -16.10% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -38.57% · +8.48% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.43 · 0.96x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -3.66% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -3.84% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -1.54% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 14.64 · 14.43 · 16.46 |
| 52w high / low | 22.48 · 12.73 |