🕰️ Time Machine
MBIN — Merchants Bancorp
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
48.97 -0.17%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in 4 days
27/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 22/10/2026
since -0.17%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 23/07/2026
46.10
Days: 65 trading / 92 calendar · return since: +6.23%
Last major high · 29/07/2026
56.87
Days: 61 trading / 86 calendar · return since: -13.89%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 46.10 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 46.10 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | -2 (±3) | In window |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 56.87 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 56.87 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 27/10/2026 | +4 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 46.10 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 20/11/2026 | +28 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 56.87 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 26/11/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 46.10 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 56.87 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/12/2026 | +29 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 22/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 14/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 16/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 05/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.51% · Win 62% · DD -4.79%20 days: Avg +5.85% · Win 75% · DD -5.15%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 31.22 | volume x2.3 | +2.64% | +0.18% | +2.77% | -0.98% | +5.33% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 44.72 | volume x1.6 | -0.04% | -19.59% | -8.88% | -19.59% | +0.76% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 27.23 | neutral | -2.17% | +8.96% | +16.27% | -3.12% | +17.26% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 24.41 | neutral | -1.93% | -1.88% | +0.20% | -6.80% | +2.13% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 27.83 | far above SMA50 | +2.59% | +6.42% | +12.65% | -0.72% | +14.95% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 14.35 | near 52w high | +7.94% | +0.23% | +17.65% | -1.95% | +17.65% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 10.60 | neutral | +2.77% | +0.69% | +10.44% | -0.19% | +11.95% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 15.91 | neutral | -5.40% | -7.08% | -4.27% | -7.83% | +0.00% |
In window 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 50% · DD -4.22%20 days: Avg +8.73% · Win 75% · DD -4.28%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 32.12 | neutral | +0.84% | -1.99% | -2.96% | -3.08% | +2.37% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 43.17 | neutral | +1.67% | -15.80% | -8.48% | -16.70% | +3.54% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 26.45 | neutral | +10.81% | +17.96% | +25.14% | -0.26% | +25.14% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 23.63 | neutral | +2.29% | +0.04% | +5.46% | -3.72% | +5.50% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 28.47 | far above SMA50 | -1.08% | +9.72% | +12.88% | -1.08% | +12.88% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 14.70 | near 52w high | -4.04% | -0.23% | +22.95% | -4.26% | +27.66% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 10.82 | neutral | +1.73% | +9.67% | +10.35% | -1.36% | +11.83% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 15.31 | far below SMA50 | -3.53% | -0.96% | +4.53% | -3.74% | +7.18% |
In window 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.28% · Win 50% · DD -4.96%20 days: Avg +7.95% · Win 75% · DD -5.02%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 32.44 | neutral | -2.13% | -1.42% | -4.07% | -4.07% | +1.36% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 44.05 | neutral | -18.21% | -15.98% | -11.46% | -18.37% | +1.48% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 26.64 | neutral | +11.37% | +19.86% | +25.71% | -0.98% | +25.71% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 23.63 | neutral | +2.29% | +0.04% | +5.46% | -3.72% | +5.50% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 28.55 | far above SMA50 | +3.74% | +12.05% | +10.93% | -1.35% | +12.56% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 15.15 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -4.67% | -3.17% | +19.41% | -7.09% | +23.90% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 10.76 | neutral | +1.98% | +7.81% | +13.14% | -0.81% | +13.14% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 15.31 | far below SMA50 | -3.53% | -0.96% | +4.53% | -3.74% | +7.18% |
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.15% · Win 78% · DD -4.20%20 days: Avg +7.36% · Win 67% · DD -4.46%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 32.36 | neutral | -3.07% | -1.89% | -3.15% | -6.00% | +0.34% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 43.89 | neutral | -17.18% | -6.58% | -5.63% | -18.07% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 29.31 | volume x2.1 | +6.45% | +7.81% | +12.18% | +0.00% | +15.05% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 24.45 | neutral | -6.95% | +1.96% | +3.60% | -6.95% | +3.60% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 28.39 | far above SMA50 | +10.28% | +11.04% | +14.06% | -0.80% | +15.14% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 14.41 | neutral | +5.28% | +14.11% | +26.93% | -2.31% | +30.26% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 11.01 | neutral | +7.81% | +5.94% | +12.23% | -3.03% | +12.23% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 15.19 | far below SMA50 | -2.54% | +0.75% | -0.04% | -2.98% | +8.03% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 11.20 | near 52w high | +5.77% | +4.23% | +6.01% | +0.00% | +7.50% |
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 67% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +4.14% · Win 56% · DD -4.29%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/11/2025 | 30.42 | neutral | +7.46% | +13.05% | +15.74% | +0.00% | +21.31% |
| 2024 | 20/11/2024 | 38.19 | far below SMA50 | +8.22% | +3.90% | -5.67% | -5.67% | +9.14% |
| 2023 | 20/11/2023 | 33.49 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -0.30% | +5.26% | +24.80% | -1.82% | +24.80% |
| 2022 | 21/11/2022 | 24.94 | neutral | +0.20% | -0.48% | -4.06% | -4.06% | +2.61% |
| 2021 | 19/11/2021 | 31.67 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.95% | -3.49% | -5.56% | -7.75% | +3.22% |
| 2020 | 20/11/2020 | 17.97 | far above SMA50 | -1.19% | +0.67% | +5.60% | -1.52% | +9.73% |
| 2019 | 20/11/2019 | 11.93 | neutral | +1.79% | +0.39% | +9.70% | -0.56% | +9.92% |
| 2018 | 20/11/2018 | 15.61 | neutral | +0.13% | -7.77% | -16.42% | -16.42% | +2.48% |
| 2017 | 20/11/2017 | 11.79 | neutral | +0.40% | +9.22% | +13.11% | -0.79% | +18.61% |
Upcoming 26/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.64% · Win 56% · DD -3.55%20 days: Avg +3.60% · Win 67% · DD -5.15%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 32.82 | neutral | +5.51% | +9.57% | +3.03% | -0.40% | +12.44% |
| 2024 | 26/11/2024 | 41.68 | neutral | -3.17% | -6.48% | -11.16% | -13.57% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 32.88 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.44% | +12.44% | +31.63% | +0.00% | +31.63% |
| 2022 | 25/11/2022 | 25.33 | neutral | +0.16% | -1.88% | -2.85% | -5.54% | +1.03% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 30.81 | neutral | -2.90% | -3.12% | +3.93% | -5.15% | +3.93% |
| 2020 | 25/11/2020 | 18.21 | far above SMA50 | -2.82% | +3.77% | +2.12% | -2.82% | +8.28% |
| 2019 | 26/11/2019 | 12.12 | neutral | -1.65% | +1.21% | +7.67% | -2.15% | +9.55% |
| 2018 | 26/11/2018 | 15.19 | volume x1.9 | +2.59% | -9.35% | -13.67% | -16.40% | +4.87% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 11.87 | neutral | +6.74% | +17.63% | +11.72% | -0.34% | +17.74% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.17% · Win 56% · DD -3.60%20 days: Avg +2.59% · Win 67% · DD -4.99%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 33.04 | neutral | +3.59% | +11.43% | +2.17% | -0.11% | +11.67% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 41.28 | neutral | -5.52% | -6.56% | -11.57% | -12.73% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 33.65 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.31% | +19.08% | +26.80% | +0.00% | +28.97% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 25.59 | volume x1.6 | -3.48% | -2.62% | -5.09% | -6.50% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 30.41 | volume x1.9 | -0.53% | -3.40% | +5.96% | -3.91% | +5.96% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 17.76 | far above SMA50 | +1.88% | +4.84% | +3.41% | -0.34% | +11.05% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 11.99 | neutral | +1.11% | +4.57% | +9.71% | -1.06% | +10.77% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 15.93 | neutral | -16.91% | -12.48% | -15.71% | -20.29% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 12.22 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +9.11% | +13.70% | +7.63% | +0.00% | +14.40% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.48% · Win 56% · DD -2.78%20 days: Avg +3.04% · Win 56% · DD -3.73%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 34.63 | neutral | +3.84% | +5.49% | -0.19% | -3.92% | +6.56% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 40.36 | neutral | -3.42% | -9.35% | -8.71% | -10.74% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 34.67 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +6.63% | +17.00% | +16.39% | +0.00% | +25.18% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 24.85 | neutral | -0.12% | -2.83% | -1.94% | -3.72% | +0.89% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 29.91 | volume x2.5 | -0.22% | -0.07% | +4.87% | -2.32% | +7.70% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 17.89 | far above SMA50 | +5.89% | +7.05% | +6.37% | +0.00% | +10.26% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 11.92 | neutral | +2.91% | +9.98% | +10.77% | +0.00% | +11.39% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 14.57 | volume x2.2 | -2.38% | -9.40% | -3.71% | -12.84% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 12.67 | volume x2.2 | +10.21% | +4.46% | +3.46% | +0.00% | +10.31% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -13.9% · from 52w low: +61.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.41% · +0.10% · -6.01% · -11.60% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -0.38% · -4.85% · +3.69% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -13.89% · +61.24% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.38 · 0.71x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.62% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -4.53% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +7.08% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 49.16 · 51.47 · 47.23 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 56.87 · 30.37 |
|---|
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