🕰️ Time Machine
MBIN — Merchants Bancorp
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
48.04 +2.94%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 13 days
13/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 22/07/2026
since -0.19%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 15/05/2026
44.19
Days: 47 trading / 73 calendar · return since: +8.71%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
50.26
Days: 65 trading / 97 calendar · return since: -4.41%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 21/04/2026 @ 50.26 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 17/07/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 50.26 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 20/07/2026 | -7 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 44.19 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 22/07/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 44.19 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 13/08/2026 | +13 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 44.19 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 13/08/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 50.26 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 19/08/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/04/2026 @ 50.26 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 44.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 22/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 22/07/2026
● Shooting Star 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 17/07/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 02/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/06/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 29/06/2026
● Shooting Star 25/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 17/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 50% · DD -5.44%20 days: Avg +1.99% · Win 38% · DD -7.91%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/07/2025 | 35.16 | neutral | -1.91% | -16.67% | -6.14% | -17.01% | +1.02% |
| 2024 | 17/07/2024 | 48.20 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.60% | -6.64% | -15.39% | -18.30% | +9.11% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 28.05 | far above SMA50 | +4.28% | +12.69% | +9.63% | +0.00% | +13.44% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 22.97 | neutral | +5.22% | +17.24% | +24.16% | +0.00% | +24.16% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 26.23 | neutral | -1.09% | -6.89% | -7.62% | -11.13% | +1.65% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 11.15 | neutral | +2.99% | +10.23% | +20.93% | -1.14% | +20.93% |
| 2019 | 17/07/2019 | 11.23 | neutral | +0.59% | +6.17% | -5.22% | -5.22% | +6.65% |
| 2018 | 17/07/2018 | 18.26 | neutral | +4.24% | -10.51% | -4.45% | -10.51% | +4.42% |
Passed 20/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.62% · Win 50% · DD -7.20%20 days: Avg +0.18% · Win 38% · DD -8.63%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 34.61 | neutral | +1.30% | -12.74% | -6.79% | -15.69% | +2.63% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 48.95 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.44% | -16.63% | -10.81% | -19.55% | +7.44% |
| 2023 | 20/07/2023 | 29.31 | far above SMA50 | +2.90% | +6.21% | +1.71% | -2.42% | +8.56% |
| 2022 | 20/07/2022 | 24.33 | neutral | +3.99% | +13.85% | +17.14% | -1.19% | +17.26% |
| 2021 | 20/07/2021 | 25.83 | neutral | +1.42% | -9.73% | -7.69% | -9.73% | +3.25% |
| 2020 | 20/07/2020 | 11.02 | neutral | +4.30% | +14.16% | +20.27% | +0.00% | +22.32% |
| 2019 | 19/07/2019 | 11.21 | neutral | +1.25% | +6.48% | -8.50% | -8.50% | +6.84% |
| 2018 | 20/07/2018 | 18.56 | near 52w high | -3.74% | -6.57% | -3.84% | -11.96% | +2.73% |
In window 22/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.49% · Win 50% · DD -7.54%20 days: Avg -0.75% · Win 38% · DD -8.72%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/07/2025 | 34.84 | neutral | -10.28% | -11.57% | -7.15% | -16.25% | +1.95% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 49.20 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +5.89% | -19.57% | -11.04% | -19.96% | +6.89% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 28.60 | far above SMA50 | +7.45% | +8.53% | +4.41% | +0.00% | +11.26% |
| 2022 | 22/07/2022 | 24.04 | neutral | +10.07% | +13.44% | +16.72% | +0.00% | +18.68% |
| 2021 | 22/07/2021 | 25.78 | neutral | -0.98% | -9.57% | -10.27% | -10.27% | +3.44% |
| 2020 | 22/07/2020 | 11.12 | neutral | +13.67% | +13.55% | +16.85% | +0.00% | +21.22% |
| 2019 | 22/07/2019 | 11.44 | neutral | -1.98% | +1.63% | -9.73% | -10.31% | +4.72% |
| 2018 | 23/07/2018 | 18.77 | near 52w high | -6.07% | -8.38% | -5.79% | -12.96% | +1.56% |
Upcoming 13/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.61% · Win 50% · DD -4.37%20 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 50% · DD -5.09%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/08/2025 | 33.13 | neutral | -2.14% | -0.48% | -3.14% | -4.77% | +0.48% |
| 2024 | 13/08/2024 | 41.08 | neutral | +6.33% | +10.88% | +3.09% | -0.73% | +12.88% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 30.75 | neutral | -5.46% | -6.21% | -7.38% | -8.07% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 12/08/2022 | 28.42 | far above SMA50 | -1.27% | -2.92% | -5.42% | -7.78% | +0.39% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 24.23 | neutral | -2.83% | +0.22% | +2.34% | -4.54% | +2.34% |
| 2020 | 13/08/2020 | 13.11 | far above SMA50 | -1.32% | +3.20% | +1.98% | -2.95% | +4.88% |
| 2019 | 13/08/2019 | 11.49 | neutral | -8.70% | -11.72% | -0.58% | -11.89% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 13/08/2018 | 17.15 | neutral | +3.15% | +2.18% | +8.55% | +0.00% | +8.55% |
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.80% · Win 38% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg +2.48% · Win 62% · DD -3.82%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/08/2025 | 32.35 | neutral | +1.36% | -0.65% | -2.11% | -2.47% | +2.91% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 43.77 | neutral | +5.32% | +3.95% | +4.06% | -3.24% | +5.94% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 29.86 | neutral | -2.95% | -1.00% | -5.96% | -7.03% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 28.06 | far above SMA50 | -1.67% | -5.56% | -8.05% | -10.94% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 19/08/2021 | 23.13 | far below SMA50 | +1.56% | +5.82% | +7.15% | +0.00% | +7.20% |
| 2020 | 19/08/2020 | 12.99 | neutral | +3.69% | +5.18% | +8.44% | -2.05% | +8.44% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 10.33 | near 52w low | +0.13% | +0.00% | +10.72% | -1.94% | +12.08% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 17.69 | neutral | -0.94% | -1.36% | +5.62% | -2.90% | +6.41% |
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 38% · DD -3.65%20 days: Avg -2.07% · Win 25% · DD -5.74%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 32.42 | neutral | +1.33% | -0.31% | -0.90% | -2.68% | +2.10% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 45.85 | neutral | -7.46% | -1.91% | -1.73% | -7.63% | +3.08% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 29.17 | neutral | -1.95% | -3.63% | -4.70% | -7.03% | +1.34% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 26.97 | volume x2.2 | -1.37% | -4.82% | -15.00% | -15.00% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 24.45 | neutral | -0.87% | -0.25% | +7.16% | -1.45% | +7.98% |
| 2020 | 31/08/2020 | 13.59 | far above SMA50 | -2.89% | +0.99% | -2.46% | -6.10% | +5.77% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 10.57 | neutral | +4.48% | +9.46% | +4.72% | -2.33% | +9.46% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 17.41 | neutral | +6.13% | +8.12% | -3.66% | -3.66% | +8.12% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 50% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 38% · DD -4.85%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 32.06 | neutral | -0.28% | +0.19% | -0.06% | -3.59% | +1.53% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 44.24 | neutral | -2.40% | +0.41% | +1.04% | -2.42% | +3.68% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 27.83 | neutral | -1.83% | -1.08% | -4.28% | -4.96% | +0.83% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 24.02 | neutral | -1.25% | -3.58% | -0.33% | -4.83% | +2.66% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 24.73 | neutral | +9.51% | +12.99% | +15.44% | +0.00% | +15.44% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 12.94 | neutral | +3.40% | +7.62% | +19.73% | +0.00% | +19.73% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 11.07 | neutral | -4.64% | -7.16% | -1.63% | -7.16% | +0.24% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 17.42 | neutral | -6.28% | -5.05% | -13.59% | -15.81% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.7% · from 52w low: +67.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -3.36% · +0.04% · -3.92% · -2.99% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.28% · +0.06% · +16.78% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -6.66% · +67.10% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.47 · 0.03x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +0.68% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -4.82% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +9.99% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 48.66 · 48.01 · 41.14 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 51.47 · 28.75 |
|---|
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