🕰️ Time Machine

MCD — McDonald's

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
253.37 -0.04%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 03/09/2026
since -2.41%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 23/07/2026
260.96
Days: 34 trading / 49 calendar · return since: -2.91%
Last major high · 16/06/2026
289.29
Days: 59 trading / 86 calendar · return since: -12.42%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 23/07/2026 @ 260.96Cycle 30Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±2)Passed
Low 23/07/2026 @ 260.96Cycle 45Calendar📅 06/09/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 16/06/2026 @ 289.29Cycle 60Trading📅 11/09/2026+1 (±2)In window
High 16/06/2026 @ 289.29Cycle 90Calendar📅 14/09/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 260.96Cycle 60Calendar📅 21/09/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 260.96Cycle 45Trading📅 25/09/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
High 16/06/2026 @ 289.29Cycle 120Calendar📅 14/10/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 260.96Cycle 60Trading📅 16/10/2026+26 (±2)Upcoming
Low 23/07/2026 @ 260.96Cycle 90Calendar📅 21/10/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming
High 16/06/2026 @ 289.29Cycle 90Trading📅 23/10/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 06/09/2026
NR7 Compression 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 06/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 03/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.61% · Win 44% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg -1.35% · Win 44% · DD -3.96%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/2025316.39near 52w high-3.30%-3.61%-5.02%-5.02%+0.19%
202403/09/2024285.52neutral+2.01%+2.88%+6.12%+0.00%+6.65%
202301/09/2023280.94neutral-0.42%-1.15%-8.25%-8.25%+1.36%
202202/09/2022254.51neutral+2.30%+0.98%-7.53%-9.34%+2.30%
202103/09/2021238.82near 52w high+1.00%+0.11%+1.78%-1.10%+3.89%
202003/09/2020213.80near 52w high+1.96%+3.03%+4.15%-0.97%+5.15%
201903/09/2019217.13near 52w high-3.43%-3.35%-3.74%-4.48%+1.34%
201804/09/2018161.72neutral+1.79%-2.44%+2.14%-2.44%+3.44%
201701/09/2017159.81near 52w high+1.08%-1.96%-1.78%-4.04%+1.08%
Passed 06/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.20% · Win 67% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg -0.59% · Win 44% · DD -3.83%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/2025314.38near 52w high-2.86%-3.82%-4.26%-4.61%+0.00%
202406/09/2024289.51near 52w high+2.42%+2.53%+4.92%+0.00%+5.18%
202306/09/2023275.44neutral+2.30%+0.64%-7.13%-7.61%+3.38%
202206/09/2022254.39neutral-0.02%+0.40%-6.25%-9.30%+2.35%
202107/09/2021236.19near 52w high+2.09%+1.82%+3.82%+0.00%+5.05%
202004/09/2020211.73near 52w high+4.17%+2.21%+6.77%+0.00%+6.77%
201906/09/2019220.03near 52w high-4.64%-4.84%-3.79%-6.25%+0.00%
201806/09/2018163.74neutral-0.82%-1.80%+1.26%-3.65%+2.17%
201706/09/2017158.22near 52w high · volume x1.5-0.77%+1.05%-0.64%-3.08%+2.09%
In window 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.58% · Win 60% · DD -2.35%20 days: Avg -1.13% · Win 50% · DD -4.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/2025308.43neutral-2.36%-1.99%-4.74%-4.74%+0.00%
202411/09/2024290.23near 52w high+0.62%+3.53%+4.69%+0.00%+4.92%
202311/09/2023279.76neutral-0.73%-3.57%-10.67%-11.27%+1.79%
202212/09/2022260.37near 52w high-1.29%-6.38%-9.76%-11.38%+0.00%
202110/09/2021239.18near 52w high+1.38%+3.03%+3.56%-0.04%+3.82%
202011/09/2020218.00near 52w high+1.04%+0.08%+3.13%-1.39%+3.89%
201911/09/2019210.20neutral+0.11%+1.16%+1.25%-1.87%+2.15%
201811/09/2018164.62neutral-4.16%+1.09%+3.16%-4.16%+3.16%
201711/09/2017161.53near 52w high-3.00%-3.26%-0.87%-5.06%+0.00%
201612/09/2016115.95near 52w high-0.64%+0.50%-1.07%-2.19%+1.22%
Upcoming 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.45% · Win 60% · DD -2.54%20 days: Avg -0.92% · Win 50% · DD -3.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/2025302.07neutral+0.30%+0.30%-0.65%-2.73%+1.05%
202413/09/2024296.53near 52w high+0.10%+2.41%+2.87%-1.52%+2.87%
202314/09/2023284.76near 52w high-4.75%-6.73%-13.54%-13.54%+0.00%
202214/09/2022255.72neutral-1.81%-7.34%-7.30%-9.77%+0.50%
202114/09/2021241.13near 52w high-0.26%+1.09%+1.41%-0.85%+2.98%
202014/09/2020220.56near 52w high-1.88%-0.14%+2.52%-2.53%+2.68%
201913/09/2019209.81neutral-0.20%+1.60%-0.38%-1.69%+2.34%
201814/09/2018160.84neutral+2.77%+4.01%+1.85%-1.91%+5.59%
201714/09/2017157.00near 52w high+1.29%+0.31%+4.40%-2.32%+4.40%
201614/09/2016115.18near 52w high+1.52%+0.00%-0.41%-1.54%+1.89%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 50% · DD -2.73%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 60% · DD -3.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025302.99neutral+0.00%-2.29%+1.58%-3.03%+1.68%
202420/09/2024296.83near 52w high · volume x2.1+2.31%+2.33%+6.65%+0.00%+6.65%
202321/09/2023271.22neutral-2.08%-7.00%-4.73%-9.23%+0.37%
202221/09/2022251.08neutral-5.63%-4.78%-0.13%-8.10%+0.00%
202121/09/2021240.50near 52w high+1.36%+1.96%+0.94%+0.00%+3.25%
202021/09/2020216.41near 52w high+1.78%+4.46%+4.43%-0.67%+6.11%
201920/09/2019209.39volume x1.9+1.80%+1.10%-0.43%-1.49%+2.54%
201821/09/2018165.30volume x2.6+1.20%+0.77%+1.32%-1.41%+2.74%
201721/09/2017159.03near 52w high-0.97%-0.14%+4.70%-3.57%+4.70%
201621/09/2016116.93near 52w high-1.50%-3.01%-4.85%-4.86%+0.37%
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.60% · Win 60% · DD -2.69%20 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 50% · DD -3.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/09/2025302.30neutral-0.80%-2.81%+1.54%-2.81%+2.58%
202425/09/2024300.47near 52w high+1.09%+1.12%-0.63%-0.63%+5.35%
202325/09/2023269.78neutral-4.46%-7.36%-5.57%-8.74%+0.00%
202226/09/2022243.76neutral-3.45%-3.61%+4.74%-5.34%+4.74%
202124/09/2021246.42near 52w high-1.42%+0.52%-3.24%-3.24%+0.77%
202025/09/2020218.18near 52w high+2.06%+3.05%+4.83%+0.00%+5.25%
201925/09/2019212.63near 52w high-2.99%+0.09%-6.31%-6.31%+0.98%
201825/09/2018166.41neutral-0.74%+2.06%+6.45%-2.07%+6.45%
201725/09/2017156.26near 52w high+0.45%+2.47%+4.53%-1.86%+6.55%
201626/09/2016116.53near 52w high-1.62%-1.56%-2.54%-5.11%+0.30%
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.31% · Win 60% · DD -2.68%20 days: Avg +2.09% · Win 70% · DD -3.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/2025304.56neutral+0.96%+0.60%+0.75%-2.69%+1.82%
202414/10/2024309.84near 52w high+1.63%-4.21%-2.68%-5.91%+2.17%
202313/10/2023248.31neutral+3.95%+3.00%+7.85%+0.00%+8.30%
202214/10/2022243.16neutral+4.68%+12.90%+11.61%+0.00%+14.49%
202114/10/2021244.55near 52w high-1.29%+0.39%+2.29%-3.32%+4.15%
202014/10/2020227.62near 52w high+0.25%-5.68%-4.22%-6.62%+0.89%
201914/10/2019208.38neutral+0.71%-7.97%-7.55%-9.46%+0.71%
201815/10/2018163.67neutral+1.81%+5.84%+12.65%+0.00%+13.61%
201713/10/2017165.37near 52w high+0.56%+0.01%+0.13%-1.23%+3.27%
201614/10/2016114.09near 52w high-0.14%-1.74%+0.11%-3.09%+0.78%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 60% · DD -2.79%20 days: Avg +2.24% · Win 70% · DD -3.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/2025305.33neutral+0.54%-0.95%+0.74%-2.93%+1.57%
202416/10/2024312.92near 52w high-4.59%-6.84%-4.98%-6.84%+1.16%
202316/10/2023249.94near 52w low+1.92%+4.08%+7.71%+0.00%+7.71%
202217/10/2022246.48neutral+3.59%+10.62%+10.46%+0.00%+12.95%
202115/10/2021242.25near 52w high-1.57%+1.36%+3.48%-2.41%+5.14%
202016/10/2020229.37near 52w high-0.29%-7.14%-7.01%-7.33%+0.00%
201916/10/2019208.30neutral-4.36%-5.48%-6.39%-9.43%+0.74%
201816/10/2018164.07neutral+7.97%+8.79%+12.15%+0.00%+13.33%
201716/10/2017165.01near 52w high-1.01%+0.74%+1.43%-1.01%+3.49%
201617/10/2016112.41near 52w high+1.03%+0.14%+4.85%-1.64%+4.85%
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 50% · DD -3.57%20 days: Avg +1.54% · Win 60% · DD -3.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/2025307.48neutral-0.35%-2.69%-0.94%-3.61%+0.86%
202421/10/2024314.89near 52w high-5.75%-7.00%-7.56%-7.56%+0.00%
202320/10/2023258.11neutral-0.91%+3.78%+6.83%-1.30%+6.98%
202221/10/2022254.55neutral+7.85%+7.88%+7.39%+0.00%+9.37%
202121/10/2021241.40near 52w high+1.70%+5.00%+5.00%-2.06%+5.51%
202021/10/2020228.19near 52w high-5.92%-5.84%-5.55%-6.85%+0.42%
201921/10/2019209.85neutral-8.61%-10.10%-7.42%-10.10%+0.00%
201822/10/2018166.63volume x1.5+3.96%+8.26%+12.06%+0.00%+12.58%
201720/10/2017166.30near 52w high · volume x1.7-0.55%+1.41%+0.25%-1.78%+2.69%
201621/10/2016113.93near 52w high · volume x2.1-1.61%-2.54%+5.33%-2.54%+5.33%
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.51% · Win 50% · DD -2.35%20 days: Avg +2.14% · Win 60% · DD -2.37%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/2025306.97neutral-1.48%-2.79%-0.92%-3.45%+0.99%
202423/10/2024298.57volume x5.6-2.36%-1.53%-2.57%-2.63%+1.01%
202323/10/2023254.75near 52w low+2.12%+5.56%+9.53%+0.00%+9.53%
202224/10/2022255.32neutral+6.79%+8.26%+7.52%+0.00%+9.04%
202122/10/2021238.44near 52w high+2.98%+6.82%+5.67%-0.85%+6.82%
202023/10/2020228.71near 52w high-6.87%-5.31%-6.39%-7.06%+0.00%
201923/10/2019199.21volume x2.1-1.16%-2.52%-2.55%-5.30%+0.00%
201823/10/2018177.15near 52w high · volume x3.1+0.76%+3.14%+3.70%-2.21%+5.89%
201723/10/2017163.34near 52w high · volume x1.9+1.77%+4.12%+2.20%+0.00%+4.55%
201624/10/2016113.57near 52w high-0.88%-0.66%+5.22%-2.23%+5.66%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-5.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -25.9% · from 52w low: +0.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.90% · -4.41% · -7.45% · -10.82%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-4.05% · -5.66% · -14.17%
Distance from 52w high / low-25.86% · +0.32%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.82 · 0.40x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-5.55%
vs SPY (20d)-5.60%
vs SMH (20d)-3.83%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200264.07 · 268.58 · 295.20
52w high / low341.75 · 252.55