🕰️ Time Machine

MCRI — Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
120.69 +1.28%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 1 days
28/07/2026
Last window
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 30/03/2026
89.22
Days: 80 trading / 119 calendar · return since: +35.27%
Last major high · 11/02/2026
101.07
Days: 112 trading / 166 calendar · return since: +19.41%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 30/03/2026 @ 89.22Cycle 120Calendar📅 28/07/2026+1 (±3)In window
High 11/02/2026 @ 101.07Cycle 120Trading📅 06/08/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 89.22Cycle 90Trading📅 10/08/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/02/2026 @ 101.07Cycle 180Calendar📅 10/08/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 89.22Cycle 144Calendar📅 21/08/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/02/2026 @ 101.07Cycle 144Trading📅 10/09/2026+32 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/03/2026 @ 89.22Cycle 120Trading📅 22/09/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 13/07/2026
Failed Breakout 26/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.84% · Win 50% · DD -3.16%20 days: Avg +2.36% · Win 60% · DD -3.82%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/07/2025104.35far above SMA50-2.82%-7.40%-0.27%-7.40%+0.61%
202429/07/202478.06near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.9-9.15%-6.83%-4.52%-9.15%+0.67%
202328/07/202368.73neutral-0.97%-0.19%-3.20%-4.16%+0.86%
202228/07/202264.02neutral+1.66%+2.97%+1.16%-1.77%+6.47%
202128/07/202162.13neutral+2.54%+8.00%+8.13%+0.00%+9.45%
202028/07/202035.22neutral+7.30%+24.70%+25.13%+0.00%+26.49%
201929/07/201947.73near 52w high · volume x1.5-7.37%-4.65%-6.62%-8.53%+0.02%
201827/07/201847.10volume x2.6+1.78%-2.57%+1.21%-3.06%+1.78%
201728/07/201733.79near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-0.95%+1.95%+1.33%-2.75%+3.31%
201628/07/201623.40near 52w high-1.37%+2.44%+1.28%-1.37%+3.42%
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 70% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg +1.22% · Win 50% · DD -2.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/08/202599.60neutral+1.52%+1.53%+4.42%-2.98%+5.91%
202406/08/202472.06neutral+2.23%+3.41%+4.87%+0.00%+5.78%
202307/08/202368.32neutral-0.45%-3.59%-4.10%-4.10%+0.75%
202205/08/202264.04neutral+4.61%+4.73%-6.32%-6.32%+6.43%
202106/08/202165.68neutral-0.52%-1.43%-0.82%-3.78%+3.53%
202006/08/202039.80neutral+10.50%+10.28%+15.68%+0.00%+20.25%
201906/08/201945.27volume x2.1+1.10%+0.51%-4.93%-6.85%+1.10%
201806/08/201847.90near 52w high-4.68%-1.84%-2.92%-4.68%+0.00%
201707/08/201733.87near 52w high+2.95%+1.48%+5.08%+0.00%+5.08%
201605/08/201623.54near 52w high+1.70%+2.29%+1.23%-1.15%+2.80%
Upcoming 10/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 50% · DD -2.04%20 days: Avg -0.68% · Win 40% · DD -3.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/08/202596.63neutral+4.49%+7.70%+5.95%+0.00%+9.17%
202409/08/202473.11neutral+2.38%+1.55%+3.81%-0.52%+4.26%
202310/08/202368.83neutral-3.88%-2.88%-6.01%-6.53%+0.00%
202210/08/202265.39neutral+1.13%-3.82%-8.87%-9.56%+4.24%
202110/08/202165.87neutral-4.05%+3.23%-2.96%-4.05%+3.23%
202010/08/202042.12far above SMA50+4.72%+4.32%+7.60%+0.00%+13.63%
201909/08/201945.64neutral-0.81%-4.34%-4.14%-7.60%+0.28%
201810/08/201845.89neutral+1.48%+3.88%-1.85%-2.22%+3.88%
201710/08/201734.69near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.04%-1.33%-1.18%-1.82%+2.59%
201610/08/201623.81near 52w high+1.55%-1.09%+0.88%-1.09%+1.64%
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.71% · Win 50% · DD -2.88%20 days: Avg -1.19% · Win 40% · DD -3.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/08/2025102.37neutral+2.69%-0.19%+0.15%-0.95%+3.05%
202421/08/202475.36neutral+0.27%+0.49%+2.12%-2.91%+2.12%
202321/08/202365.87neutral+1.43%-0.53%-2.13%-2.33%+2.93%
202222/08/202265.61neutral-4.76%-9.86%-9.16%-10.04%+0.00%
202120/08/202164.74neutral+4.03%+0.62%-0.65%-3.06%+5.04%
202021/08/202043.41far above SMA50+10.25%+6.63%+1.84%+0.00%+10.25%
201921/08/201945.41neutral-1.94%-5.00%-1.70%-7.13%+1.63%
201821/08/201847.17near 52w high-0.45%-3.56%-3.50%-4.88%+1.06%
201721/08/201734.37near 52w high-0.49%+3.55%+3.93%-0.90%+3.93%
201622/08/201623.94near 52w high-1.50%+0.71%-2.80%-6.39%+0.96%
Upcoming 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 50% · DD -2.37%20 days: Avg +1.66% · Win 50% · DD -3.50%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/2025102.40neutral-0.98%+0.87%-4.28%-4.28%+3.36%
202410/09/202474.82neutral+1.86%+3.39%+2.09%-0.67%+5.95%
202311/09/202364.29neutral+1.90%-2.16%-2.66%-3.98%+4.08%
202209/09/202261.67neutral-4.30%-11.19%-3.52%-12.10%+0.88%
202110/09/202162.76neutral+5.82%+7.68%+8.17%+0.00%+11.78%
202010/09/202045.28far above SMA50+1.70%-2.21%+2.34%-2.56%+4.15%
201910/09/201944.01volume x1.6+3.68%-1.34%-5.89%-5.98%+4.86%
201810/09/201845.04neutral+0.09%-0.67%-1.40%-1.44%+2.13%
201711/09/201734.93near 52w high+0.69%+7.16%+14.74%-0.14%+14.74%
201609/09/201623.31near 52w high-1.76%+2.66%+6.95%-3.86%+7.98%
Upcoming 22/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.28% · Win 50% · DD -2.09%20 days: Avg +1.76% · Win 30% · DD -3.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/2025103.22neutral+1.83%-2.73%-6.49%-8.36%+2.54%
202423/09/202476.46near 52w high+3.68%+0.12%-3.44%-3.44%+3.68%
202322/09/202363.00neutral-1.43%-0.98%-6.30%-7.95%+0.43%
202222/09/202255.91near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.06%+9.16%+27.29%-3.04%+27.29%
202122/09/202165.82neutral+3.81%+2.75%+3.04%+0.00%+6.58%
202022/09/202046.52far above SMA50-5.16%-1.93%-2.19%-5.16%+0.15%
201923/09/201943.60neutral-4.38%-3.90%-1.83%-5.30%+0.00%
201821/09/201845.54volume x2.3-0.20%-2.53%-0.97%-2.66%+1.84%
201722/09/201737.06near 52w high · volume x3.0+6.66%+8.15%+10.36%+0.00%+12.09%
201622/09/201624.01near 52w high+2.67%+4.71%-1.83%-1.83%+5.29%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -11.2% · from 52w low: +36.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.90% · -2.56% · -7.62% · +2.40%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-3.97% · -2.71% · +15.60%
Distance from 52w high / low-11.21% · +36.95%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.98 · 0.01x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-2.82%
vs SPY (20d)-8.26%
vs SMH (20d)+6.67%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200125.68 · 124.05 · 104.40
52w high / low135.93 · 88.13