🕰️ Time Machine
MCY — Mercury General
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
101.48 +0.42%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 11 days
21/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 09/09/2026
since +0.42%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 23/07/2026
100.75
Days: 34 trading / 49 calendar · return since: +0.72%
Last major high · 07/07/2026
113.06
Days: 46 trading / 65 calendar · return since: -10.24%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 100.75 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 113.06 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 05/09/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 100.75 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 06/09/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 113.06 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 09/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 100.75 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 21/09/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 100.75 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 25/09/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 113.06 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/09/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 113.06 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 05/10/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 100.75 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | +26 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 23/07/2026 @ 100.75 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 21/10/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 113.06 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 11/11/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 03/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 44% · DD -3.59%20 days: Avg -2.32% · Win 33% · DD -5.47%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 77.02 | near 52w high | +1.10% | +1.24% | +9.26% | +0.00% | +10.53% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 64.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -7.52% | -6.75% | -0.42% | -9.45% | +1.70% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 28.67 | neutral | -0.14% | +0.36% | -1.97% | -2.86% | +3.53% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 32.92 | far below SMA50 | +4.34% | +0.90% | -12.90% | -12.90% | +4.79% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 59.05 | neutral | -1.51% | -3.06% | -3.64% | -4.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 44.89 | neutral | -1.92% | -1.69% | -6.62% | -6.93% | +0.18% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 53.95 | neutral | +2.43% | +4.22% | +2.67% | +0.00% | +4.77% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 54.18 | far above SMA50 | -1.57% | -6.73% | -7.91% | -7.91% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 57.33 | neutral | +1.10% | -0.16% | +0.66% | -4.50% | +1.80% |
Passed 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.05% · Win 44% · DD -2.89%20 days: Avg -0.91% · Win 44% · DD -4.85%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 77.43 | near 52w high | +2.91% | +3.11% | +12.73% | +0.00% | +12.73% |
| 2024 | 05/09/2024 | 63.22 | neutral | -7.96% | -4.49% | +0.73% | -8.34% | +2.95% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 27.89 | neutral | +4.73% | +2.70% | +0.96% | -0.14% | +6.43% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 32.48 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.20% | -1.90% | -8.43% | -11.72% | +6.21% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 59.05 | neutral | -1.51% | -3.06% | -3.64% | -4.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 44.97 | neutral | -1.71% | -3.60% | -6.13% | -7.10% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 05/09/2019 | 55.55 | neutral | -0.67% | +0.09% | -2.22% | -2.75% | +1.75% |
| 2018 | 05/09/2018 | 53.72 | neutral | -0.70% | -5.12% | -5.46% | -7.12% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 55.74 | neutral | +4.70% | +2.86% | +3.29% | -1.78% | +4.70% |
Passed 06/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.98% · Win 33% · DD -2.85%20 days: Avg -0.54% · Win 44% · DD -4.70%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 77.43 | near 52w high | +2.91% | +3.11% | +12.73% | +0.00% | +12.73% |
| 2024 | 06/09/2024 | 62.02 | neutral | -5.30% | -2.64% | +5.53% | -6.56% | +5.53% |
| 2023 | 06/09/2023 | 27.85 | neutral | +5.89% | +2.52% | +0.56% | +0.00% | +6.58% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 32.48 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +3.20% | -1.90% | -8.43% | -11.72% | +6.21% |
| 2021 | 07/09/2021 | 57.97 | neutral | +0.16% | -2.32% | -1.90% | -2.91% | +0.86% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 44.97 | neutral | -1.71% | -3.60% | -6.13% | -7.10% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 06/09/2019 | 56.26 | neutral | -1.30% | -0.32% | -2.73% | -3.97% | +0.47% |
| 2018 | 06/09/2018 | 53.54 | neutral | +0.13% | -5.28% | -5.71% | -6.81% | +0.13% |
| 2017 | 06/09/2017 | 56.55 | neutral | +1.88% | +1.63% | +1.26% | -3.18% | +3.20% |
In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.89% · Win 60% · DD -3.22%20 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 40% · DD -4.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/09/2025 | 78.07 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | -0.14% | +4.82% | +10.09% | -0.26% | +11.81% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 60.41 | neutral | -1.56% | +3.93% | +4.56% | -4.07% | +8.34% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 28.09 | neutral | +4.34% | +1.82% | +2.18% | -0.30% | +5.67% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 33.92 | far below SMA50 | -4.67% | -10.41% | -15.68% | -15.68% | +1.70% |
| 2021 | 09/09/2021 | 58.47 | neutral | -0.85% | -2.17% | -2.39% | -3.74% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 09/09/2020 | 44.74 | neutral | -2.31% | -6.53% | -7.44% | -7.44% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 55.15 | volume x1.7 | +1.15% | +1.35% | -1.23% | -2.04% | +2.49% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 52.97 | neutral | -3.80% | -3.61% | -4.37% | -5.81% | +1.20% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 57.11 | neutral | +0.42% | +0.41% | -0.32% | -0.34% | +2.19% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 54.64 | near 52w high | -0.52% | +1.50% | +1.57% | -1.80% | +3.70% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.55% · Win 50% · DD -1.96%20 days: Avg +0.64% · Win 40% · DD -2.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 82.09 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.1 | +1.16% | +5.04% | -3.14% | -4.20% | +5.90% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 60.05 | volume x2.9 | +5.30% | +8.39% | +12.06% | +0.00% | +13.46% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 28.05 | neutral | +1.82% | +0.39% | +8.81% | -1.25% | +11.52% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 29.99 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.37% | -0.57% | +0.97% | -5.54% | +3.20% |
| 2021 | 21/09/2021 | 56.01 | neutral | +0.82% | +0.43% | -2.05% | -2.80% | +1.54% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 42.73 | volume x1.5 | -1.97% | -2.62% | -5.52% | -5.52% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 55.44 | volume x2.0 | +0.13% | -2.42% | -1.89% | -3.66% | +0.79% |
| 2018 | 21/09/2018 | 50.54 | volume x6.5 | -0.75% | -1.50% | -0.24% | -3.03% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 21/09/2017 | 56.31 | neutral | +0.80% | +0.36% | +0.32% | -1.01% | +1.39% |
| 2016 | 21/09/2016 | 55.18 | near 52w high | +0.63% | -2.05% | -2.90% | -2.90% | +1.52% |
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 50% · DD -1.76%20 days: Avg -0.52% · Win 40% · DD -3.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/09/2025 | 81.78 | near 52w high | +2.81% | +1.30% | -3.51% | -3.84% | +6.30% |
| 2024 | 25/09/2024 | 63.55 | neutral | +0.27% | +2.49% | +4.19% | -1.15% | +7.21% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 28.37 | neutral | -2.01% | +1.30% | +3.81% | -2.36% | +10.26% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 29.41 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -3.43% | -0.51% | -1.50% | -3.67% | +5.24% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 55.97 | neutral | -0.13% | +0.57% | +1.18% | -2.73% | +1.61% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 41.20 | neutral | +0.29% | -0.97% | +1.07% | -2.01% | +1.67% |
| 2019 | 25/09/2019 | 55.48 | neutral | -3.73% | -3.53% | -2.18% | -3.73% | +0.72% |
| 2018 | 25/09/2018 | 50.44 | neutral | -2.24% | -0.12% | -1.07% | -2.84% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 56.80 | neutral | +0.51% | -1.09% | -1.80% | -1.87% | +0.51% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 54.83 | near 52w high | -1.04% | +0.07% | -5.38% | -6.71% | +1.28% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.76% · Win 50% · DD -1.86%20 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 50% · DD -4.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 84.78 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.97% | -3.75% | -9.40% | -9.40% | +2.54% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 62.98 | neutral | -0.25% | +4.46% | +7.72% | -0.25% | +8.18% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 28.03 | neutral | +1.28% | +6.06% | +5.78% | -1.18% | +11.59% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 28.42 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.32% | +7.11% | +2.39% | -0.32% | +8.90% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 55.67 | neutral | +1.40% | -0.45% | +1.87% | -2.21% | +2.14% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 41.37 | neutral | -1.33% | -1.50% | -2.95% | -2.95% | +0.65% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 55.88 | neutral | -3.63% | -2.88% | -15.34% | -15.34% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 49.33 | neutral | +1.48% | +0.08% | +18.59% | -0.65% | +18.59% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 56.69 | neutral | -0.65% | -1.68% | -1.15% | -1.68% | +0.71% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 54.85 | near 52w high | -0.89% | +0.15% | -8.02% | -8.02% | +0.15% |
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 50% · DD -2.83%20 days: Avg +3.81% · Win 50% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 86.23 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.87% | -7.79% | -11.60% | -11.60% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 65.09 | near 52w high | -0.05% | +3.38% | +0.80% | -3.49% | +10.40% |
| 2023 | 05/10/2023 | 28.16 | neutral | +1.63% | +8.38% | +31.43% | +0.00% | +33.35% |
| 2022 | 05/10/2022 | 29.82 | far below SMA50 | -0.64% | +1.54% | +10.87% | -5.00% | +10.87% |
| 2021 | 05/10/2021 | 56.25 | volume x1.5 | +0.52% | -2.47% | -1.92% | -3.22% | +1.08% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 41.61 | volume x1.6 | +0.00% | -2.98% | -0.99% | -3.51% | +0.07% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 54.10 | neutral | +0.04% | +0.54% | -10.35% | -12.55% | +1.72% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 49.78 | neutral | -1.55% | +1.29% | +20.61% | -1.55% | +22.98% |
| 2017 | 05/10/2017 | 56.51 | neutral | -1.19% | -0.04% | -0.80% | -1.36% | +4.00% |
| 2016 | 05/10/2016 | 54.05 | near 52w high | +1.44% | -0.87% | +0.02% | -6.66% | +3.83% |
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 30% · DD -4.36%20 days: Avg +7.57% · Win 70% · DD -4.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 78.64 | neutral | +0.34% | -1.41% | +11.08% | -3.06% | +11.08% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 67.75 | near 52w high | -2.27% | +6.07% | +9.85% | -3.16% | +10.97% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 30.69 | neutral | -4.04% | -1.14% | +16.36% | -4.04% | +22.35% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 30.58 | neutral | -5.26% | -5.17% | +20.86% | -7.16% | +22.50% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 55.30 | neutral | +2.41% | -1.46% | -4.56% | -4.56% | +2.82% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 41.36 | neutral | +0.68% | -1.57% | +8.68% | -2.93% | +8.68% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 54.00 | neutral | +0.50% | -12.07% | -8.85% | -12.43% | +1.91% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 49.99 | neutral | -0.18% | +22.46% | +18.62% | -1.64% | +22.76% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 56.35 | neutral | -1.01% | +4.29% | -1.70% | -1.70% | +4.29% |
| 2016 | 17/10/2016 | 54.73 | near 52w high | -5.21% | -0.48% | +5.35% | -7.82% | +5.35% |
Upcoming 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.07% · Win 60% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +8.98% · Win 70% · DD -3.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 79.96 | neutral | -3.94% | -0.24% | +11.38% | -4.66% | +11.38% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 66.44 | near 52w high | +2.11% | +0.17% | +11.14% | -1.25% | +13.15% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 30.29 | neutral | -2.11% | +20.30% | +19.05% | -2.77% | +23.97% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 28.86 | near 52w low | +0.83% | +27.44% | +27.58% | -1.63% | +29.80% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 56.01 | neutral | +1.25% | -0.20% | -6.57% | -7.55% | +1.52% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 40.82 | neutral | -1.64% | +0.61% | +10.31% | -1.64% | +13.65% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 55.03 | neutral | -14.03% | -14.07% | -10.36% | -14.07% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 50.11 | neutral | +16.74% | +21.13% | +15.25% | -1.88% | +22.47% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 56.36 | neutral | -0.57% | -1.60% | -2.80% | -2.80% | +4.28% |
| 2016 | 21/10/2016 | 51.15 | near 52w low | -1.37% | +7.17% | +14.80% | -1.37% | +14.80% |
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 50% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 50% · DD -2.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/11/2025 | 86.96 | near 52w high | +2.41% | +7.03% | +4.23% | +0.00% | +7.36% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 75.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.78% | +3.45% | -4.19% | -4.19% | +5.03% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 36.06 | far above SMA50 | +0.00% | +3.13% | +8.74% | -0.97% | +10.57% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 37.46 | far above SMA50 | -1.71% | -3.90% | -5.66% | -5.66% | +0.05% |
| 2021 | 11/11/2021 | 53.30 | neutral | -1.82% | -2.10% | -1.67% | -4.28% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 11/11/2020 | 43.67 | neutral | +3.11% | +5.84% | +6.55% | +0.00% | +6.85% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 48.78 | near 52w low | +1.13% | -0.57% | +1.82% | -1.09% | +2.85% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 59.97 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.70% | -9.24% | -7.50% | -9.24% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 55.62 | volume x1.6 | -1.51% | -1.33% | -4.12% | -4.12% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 57.28 | near 52w high | +2.51% | +3.56% | +6.27% | +0.00% | +6.27% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-4.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -10.2% · from 52w low: +36.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.39% · -3.42% · -3.83% · +0.45% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -2.42% · -4.51% · +4.75% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -10.24% · +36.60% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.67 · 0.01x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -1.85% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.94% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +0.10% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 104.00 · 106.27 · 96.87 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 113.06 · 74.29 |
|---|
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