🕰️ Time Machine
MP — MP Materials
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
51.32 -5.49%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 120 · 05/09/2026
since -5.89%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/07/2026
37.81
Days: 30 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +35.73%
Last major high · 08/05/2026
76.80
Days: 85 trading / 125 calendar · return since: -33.18%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 37.81 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/08/2026 | -9 (±1) | Passed |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 05/09/2026 | -5 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 37.81 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +0 (±2) | In window |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 37.81 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 17/09/2026 | +5 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 37.81 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 29/09/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 37.81 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +15 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/07/2026 @ 37.81 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | +30 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 29/10/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Doji After Run 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 05/09/2026
● Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 05/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 26/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
● Shooting Star 18/08/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 12/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 12/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.87% · Win 67% · DD -5.27%20 days: Avg +3.90% · Win 67% · DD -8.08%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/08/2025 | 71.40 | far above SMA50 | -10.11% | -11.72% | +8.03% | -12.55% | +8.03% |
| 2024 | 27/08/2024 | 12.80 | neutral | +9.14% | +8.12% | +26.25% | -2.34% | +26.25% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 19.83 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.57% | +7.82% | -3.08% | -3.08% | +13.97% |
| 2022 | 26/08/2022 | 36.28 | neutral | -11.47% | -8.88% | -22.91% | -22.91% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 27/08/2021 | 33.72 | neutral | +1.93% | +5.63% | +4.06% | -7.62% | +5.63% |
| 2020 | 27/08/2020 | 12.70 | volume x1.6 | +14.96% | +10.24% | +11.02% | +0.00% | +20.79% |
Passed 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 50% · DD -3.87%20 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 33% · DD -9.09%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 63.05 | neutral | +0.73% | +16.13% | +13.40% | -0.97% | +22.33% |
| 2024 | 05/09/2024 | 13.69 | neutral | +0.73% | +3.73% | +23.89% | -0.73% | +34.33% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 21.53 | neutral | -0.70% | -5.95% | -18.25% | -18.25% | +4.97% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 31.23 | neutral | +3.65% | +1.99% | -1.63% | -13.48% | +8.52% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 34.37 | neutral | +3.64% | -7.94% | -10.18% | -10.18% | +3.64% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 15.16 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -3.69% | -4.35% | -6.40% | -10.95% | +1.19% |
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.91% · Win 50% · DD -6.02%20 days: Avg -2.20% · Win 33% · DD -10.04%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 62.44 | neutral | +7.00% | +14.08% | +13.05% | +0.00% | +23.53% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 13.86 | neutral | +2.53% | +15.44% | +22.66% | -0.51% | +32.68% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 21.64 | neutral | -3.74% | -8.50% | -22.18% | -22.46% | +4.44% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 33.89 | neutral | -7.41% | -14.75% | -12.42% | -20.27% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 34.11 | neutral | +0.00% | +0.12% | -11.43% | -13.31% | +4.43% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 14.02 | far above SMA50 | +5.49% | -0.93% | -2.85% | -3.71% | +9.42% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 50% · DD -6.94%20 days: Avg +1.47% · Win 33% · DD -10.06%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 63.51 | neutral | +15.29% | +8.06% | +23.35% | +0.00% | +23.35% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 13.79 | neutral | +2.97% | +22.55% | +25.96% | +0.00% | +33.36% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 21.38 | neutral | -5.29% | -10.10% | -18.24% | -21.52% | +5.71% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 33.06 | neutral | -2.60% | -15.40% | -8.29% | -18.27% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 35.62 | neutral | -11.17% | -1.49% | -13.25% | -16.98% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 14.00 | far above SMA50 | +7.50% | +0.71% | -0.71% | -3.57% | +9.57% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.60% · Win 33% · DD -7.43%20 days: Avg +4.67% · Win 33% · DD -9.66%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 66.81 | neutral | +6.62% | +1.23% | +34.49% | +0.00% | +47.66% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 14.21 | neutral | +12.60% | +23.43% | +24.56% | -2.25% | +29.42% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 20.83 | neutral | -4.94% | -11.04% | -12.15% | -19.44% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 31.38 | volume x2.6 | -7.93% | -13.00% | -13.16% | -13.89% | +2.61% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 34.11 | volume x2.0 | +0.12% | -6.51% | -0.38% | -13.31% | +2.87% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 14.79 | far above SMA50 | -6.09% | -3.72% | -5.34% | -9.06% | +1.76% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.32% · Win 50% · DD -7.16%20 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 67% · DD -8.14%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 68.63 | volume x1.5 | +4.18% | +14.15% | +3.18% | -2.27% | +43.74% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 18.39 | far above SMA50 | -5.49% | -3.15% | +1.36% | -7.78% | +3.32% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 18.64 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -6.87% | -6.71% | -7.62% | -10.68% | +3.43% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 27.81 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +10.46% | +4.53% | +13.74% | -2.84% | +13.74% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 35.09 | neutral | -12.03% | -11.94% | +8.58% | -15.73% | +8.58% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 14.15 | neutral | +0.28% | +1.20% | -9.54% | -9.54% | +1.20% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.06% · Win 67% · DD -4.84%20 days: Avg -1.08% · Win 50% · DD -7.03%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 68.18 | neutral | +9.02% | +39.43% | -3.83% | -3.83% | +44.69% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 17.65 | far above SMA50 | +1.08% | +0.62% | +6.97% | -3.91% | +7.65% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 19.10 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -12.15% | -11.36% | -13.61% | -13.61% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 27.02 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +13.95% | +8.70% | +14.88% | +0.00% | +17.06% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 32.19 | neutral | -8.14% | +1.24% | +1.77% | -8.14% | +18.36% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 13.98 | neutral | -3.22% | -2.29% | -12.66% | -12.66% | +2.43% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.20% · Win 50% · DD -4.29%20 days: Avg -1.72% · Win 50% · DD -7.97%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 67.63 | neutral | +4.38% | +32.86% | -4.94% | -4.94% | +45.87% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 17.54 | far above SMA50 | -3.08% | +0.91% | +8.27% | -3.31% | +8.32% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 18.53 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -9.12% | -1.24% | -10.52% | -10.96% | +1.73% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 27.30 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.72% | -0.18% | +10.73% | -0.18% | +15.86% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 31.89 | neutral | -5.27% | +6.55% | +6.15% | -7.28% | +19.47% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 14.24 | volume x2.8 | -4.35% | -1.69% | -20.01% | -21.14% | +0.56% |
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.46% · Win 50% · DD -10.38%20 days: Avg +4.83% · Win 50% · DD -11.75%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 69.80 | neutral | -7.89% | -21.30% | -8.95% | -25.57% | +1.45% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 18.30 | far above SMA50 | +3.77% | +1.69% | -1.53% | -2.35% | +11.53% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 16.65 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.42% | -6.31% | -2.28% | -10.27% | +4.20% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 30.37 | neutral | -0.46% | +3.98% | +7.61% | -4.58% | +16.50% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 36.51 | far above SMA50 | -7.29% | +0.27% | +16.95% | -10.27% | +27.06% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 13.42 | neutral | -15.13% | -11.10% | +17.21% | -17.44% | +17.21% |
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +10.27% · Win 67% · DD -6.87%20 days: Avg +20.78% · Win 67% · DD -6.87%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/10/2025 | 64.29 | neutral | -14.56% | -7.11% | -6.44% | -19.19% | +0.98% |
| 2024 | 29/10/2024 | 18.99 | far above SMA50 | -2.00% | +4.53% | +6.64% | -5.27% | +9.74% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 16.58 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.91% | -9.83% | -3.38% | -9.89% | +0.84% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 30.23 | neutral | +4.47% | +17.04% | +3.21% | -4.13% | +17.04% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 33.85 | neutral | +8.15% | +37.05% | +34.03% | -0.03% | +37.05% |
| 2020 | 29/10/2020 | 11.39 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +4.74% | +19.93% | +90.61% | -2.72% | +95.70% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (+0.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -48.8% · from 52w low: +35.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -6.18% · -13.47% · -5.16% · -11.91% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -8.84% · +0.02% · -10.84% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -48.81% · +35.73% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.29 · 1.20x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -3.08% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -3.27% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -0.96% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 56.29 · 51.31 · 57.56 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 100.25 · 37.81 |
|---|
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