📡 MP — MP Materials
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 09/06/2026
Last price (Close)
54.30 -5.70%
Next window · Short 21 · active
09/06/2026
Last window · Gann 30 · 07/06/2026
since -5.70%
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/03/2026
44.43
Days: 49 trading / 71 calendar · return since: +22.21%
Last major high · 08/05/2026
76.80
Days: 21 trading / 32 calendar · return since: -29.30%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Short 13 | Trading | 28/05/2026 | -8 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Gann 45 | Trading | 03/06/2026 | -4 (±2) | Passed |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Gann 30 | Calendar | 07/06/2026 | -2 (±2) | Active now |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Short 21 | Trading | 09/06/2026 | +0 (±1) | Active now |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Gann 30 | Trading | 22/06/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Gann 45 | Calendar | 22/06/2026 | +13 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Gann 60 | Trading | 24/06/2026 | +11 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Gann 90 | Calendar | 28/06/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Gann 60 | Calendar | 07/07/2026 | +28 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Gann 45 | Trading | 13/07/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Gann 60 | Trading | 03/08/2026 | +39 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Gann 90 | Trading | 05/08/2026 | +41 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 28/05/2026 · High Short 13/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +4.32% · Win 60% · DD -6.50%20 days: Avg +15.36% · Win 60% · DD -10.18%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/05/2025 | 19.60 | far below SMA50 | +25.41% | +30.82% | +83.62% | +0.00% | +92.55% |
| 2024 | 28/05/2024 | 16.70 | neutral | -7.72% | -13.23% | -24.61% | -26.47% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 26/05/2023 | 21.68 | far below SMA50 | +0.78% | +0.37% | +1.15% | -4.43% | +7.66% |
| 2022 | 27/05/2022 | 40.13 | far below SMA50 | -0.07% | -14.85% | -10.79% | -20.01% | +4.98% |
| 2021 | 28/05/2021 | 28.08 | far below SMA50 | +17.52% | +18.48% | +27.42% | +0.00% | +27.99% |
Passed 03/06/2026 · Low Gann 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +7.10% · Win 60% · DD -7.02%20 days: Avg +7.53% · Win 60% · DD -9.67%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/06/2025 | 22.00 | neutral | +23.77% | +61.27% | +47.14% | +0.00% | +71.55% |
| 2024 | 03/06/2024 | 16.13 | neutral | -7.07% | -17.36% | -14.82% | -23.87% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 02/06/2023 | 22.07 | volume x1.6 | -0.95% | +3.17% | +4.94% | -2.90% | +5.75% |
| 2022 | 03/06/2022 | 38.71 | far below SMA50 | -3.93% | -14.85% | -19.81% | -19.81% | +8.83% |
| 2021 | 03/06/2021 | 31.36 | neutral | +4.53% | +3.28% | +20.22% | -1.75% | +20.22% |
Active now 07/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 20% · DD -8.71%20 days: Avg +3.69% · Win 60% · DD -11.49%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/06/2025 | 25.70 | far above SMA50 | +18.87% | +42.26% | +21.36% | -0.23% | +46.85% |
| 2024 | 07/06/2024 | 14.84 | neutral | -8.09% | -9.77% | -4.04% | -17.25% | +1.01% |
| 2023 | 07/06/2023 | 22.52 | volume x1.6 | +0.00% | -2.58% | +11.06% | -4.84% | +11.06% |
| 2022 | 07/06/2022 | 42.13 | neutral | -16.69% | -21.03% | -23.00% | -28.51% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 07/06/2021 | 33.00 | neutral | +0.82% | -4.36% | +13.09% | -6.64% | +14.24% |
Active now 09/06/2026 · High Short 21/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.07% · Win 40% · DD -10.51%20 days: Avg +1.16% · Win 60% · DD -11.80%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/06/2025 | 27.69 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | +25.14% | +26.07% | +8.45% | -7.40% | +36.29% |
| 2024 | 10/06/2024 | 14.99 | neutral | -11.07% | -18.08% | -4.40% | -18.08% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 09/06/2023 | 21.86 | neutral | +4.16% | -1.97% | +15.78% | -1.97% | +15.78% |
| 2022 | 09/06/2022 | 38.47 | neutral | -15.83% | -7.15% | -23.03% | -23.03% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 09/06/2021 | 33.68 | far above SMA50 | -1.40% | +0.77% | +9.00% | -8.52% | +11.94% |
Upcoming 22/06/2026 · High Gann 30/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.43% · Win 67% · DD -6.55%20 days: Avg +16.23% · Win 83% · DD -7.89%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/06/2025 | 36.56 | far above SMA50 | -9.00% | -14.69% | +64.33% | -17.86% | +72.92% |
| 2024 | 21/06/2024 | 13.68 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.5 | -6.94% | +3.95% | +4.09% | -10.23% | +14.18% |
| 2023 | 22/06/2023 | 21.94 | neutral | +4.15% | +13.99% | +8.07% | -2.32% | +17.96% |
| 2022 | 22/06/2022 | 33.27 | far below SMA50 | +2.52% | -2.49% | -10.85% | -14.73% | +7.84% |
| 2021 | 22/06/2021 | 32.22 | neutral | +10.58% | +13.35% | +7.73% | +0.00% | +18.19% |
| 2020 | 22/06/2020 | 10.00 | near 52w high | -0.31% | +0.50% | +24.00% | -2.20% | +24.00% |
Upcoming 24/06/2026 · Low Gann 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 67% · DD -6.64%20 days: Avg +21.40% · Win 83% · DD -8.25%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/06/2025 | 34.91 | far above SMA50 | -9.80% | -13.98% | +75.14% | -13.98% | +81.09% |
| 2024 | 24/06/2024 | 13.39 | far below SMA50 | -4.41% | +6.35% | +5.30% | -8.29% | +16.65% |
| 2023 | 23/06/2023 | 21.45 | neutral | +6.67% | +17.72% | +11.05% | -0.09% | +20.65% |
| 2022 | 24/06/2022 | 35.72 | volume x3.8 | -11.65% | -17.11% | -12.74% | -20.58% | +0.45% |
| 2021 | 24/06/2021 | 34.90 | far above SMA50 | +8.02% | +5.62% | +2.01% | -6.53% | +9.11% |
| 2020 | 24/06/2020 | 9.78 | near 52w high | +1.94% | +2.25% | +47.65% | +0.00% | +52.15% |
Upcoming 28/06/2026 · Low Gann 90/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +10.78% · Win 67% · DD -4.70%20 days: Avg +19.75% · Win 83% · DD -6.50%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/06/2025 | 32.90 | far above SMA50 | -5.62% | +47.48% | +94.86% | -8.72% | +94.86% |
| 2024 | 28/06/2024 | 12.73 | far below SMA50 | +11.70% | +20.19% | +5.50% | +0.00% | +22.70% |
| 2023 | 28/06/2023 | 22.52 | neutral | +7.90% | +14.92% | +3.60% | +0.00% | +14.92% |
| 2022 | 28/06/2022 | 35.80 | neutral | -15.87% | -18.10% | -12.88% | -20.75% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 28/06/2021 | 35.78 | far above SMA50 | +4.30% | -0.11% | +0.73% | -8.83% | +6.43% |
| 2020 | 29/06/2020 | 9.97 | near 52w high | +0.81% | +0.31% | +26.69% | -0.69% | +49.26% |
Upcoming 07/07/2026 · High Gann 60/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +15.81% · Win 50% · DD -5.40%20 days: Avg +16.57% · Win 50% · DD -10.80%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/07/2025 | 31.05 | far above SMA50 | +56.26% | +90.05% | +110.69% | -3.29% | +110.69% |
| 2024 | 08/07/2024 | 14.22 | neutral | +7.59% | +0.14% | -26.02% | -26.02% | +9.85% |
| 2023 | 07/07/2023 | 25.01 | far above SMA50 | -1.52% | -5.20% | -6.60% | -11.56% | +3.48% |
| 2022 | 07/07/2022 | 32.44 | far below SMA50 | -12.55% | -8.57% | +8.08% | -12.55% | +8.08% |
| 2021 | 07/07/2021 | 36.52 | far above SMA50 | -4.11% | -4.96% | -2.44% | -10.68% | +4.30% |
| 2020 | 07/07/2020 | 10.05 | near 52w high | -0.50% | +23.38% | +15.72% | -0.70% | +48.06% |
Upcoming 13/07/2026 · High Gann 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.23% · Win 67% · DD -5.65%20 days: Avg +11.57% · Win 67% · DD -9.89%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/07/2025 | 48.52 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +21.62% | +32.13% | +49.81% | +0.00% | +53.17% |
| 2024 | 12/07/2024 | 15.62 | neutral | -8.51% | -11.01% | -28.68% | -32.84% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 13/07/2023 | 25.88 | far above SMA50 | -6.72% | -9.85% | -11.51% | -14.53% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 13/07/2022 | 29.32 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.59% | +6.38% | +31.38% | -3.24% | +34.00% |
| 2021 | 13/07/2021 | 35.74 | far above SMA50 | -6.18% | +0.84% | +5.62% | -8.73% | +9.51% |
| 2020 | 13/07/2020 | 10.00 | near 52w low | +12.80% | +30.90% | +22.80% | +0.00% | +48.80% |
Upcoming 03/08/2026 · High Gann 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 67% · DD -3.85%20 days: Avg +3.27% · Win 67% · DD -6.15%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/08/2025 | 65.42 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +11.11% | +10.38% | +2.89% | +0.00% | +17.06% |
| 2024 | 02/08/2024 | 11.17 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x3.5 | -0.27% | +6.45% | +15.49% | -6.09% | +17.99% |
| 2023 | 03/08/2023 | 22.12 | neutral | +3.53% | -3.71% | -5.33% | -11.30% | +5.61% |
| 2022 | 03/08/2022 | 34.68 | neutral | +11.07% | +3.49% | +0.89% | -0.61% | +13.29% |
| 2021 | 03/08/2021 | 37.37 | far above SMA50 | +1.02% | -11.67% | -10.17% | -17.29% | +4.74% |
| 2020 | 03/08/2020 | 11.65 | neutral | +5.41% | +4.72% | +15.88% | -1.63% | +15.88% |
Upcoming 05/08/2026 · Low Gann 90/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.75% · Win 50% · DD -6.31%20 days: Avg +1.68% · Win 33% · DD -9.22%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/08/2025 | 68.39 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +9.59% | +1.32% | -3.51% | -3.51% | +11.98% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10.52 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.6 | +5.89% | +18.54% | +23.19% | -0.29% | +25.29% |
| 2023 | 04/08/2023 | 23.36 | volume x2.7 | -1.16% | -11.94% | -7.92% | -16.01% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 38.48 | far above SMA50 | -1.20% | -8.76% | -16.53% | -16.53% | +2.10% |
| 2021 | 05/08/2021 | 36.15 | neutral | +5.23% | -11.09% | -4.26% | -14.50% | +8.27% |
| 2020 | 05/08/2020 | 12.00 | neutral | -0.83% | +1.42% | +19.08% | -4.50% | +19.08% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-11.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -45.8% · from 52w low: +133.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -24.83% · -18.94% · -19.45% · -5.09% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -13.50% · -11.43% · -13.28% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -45.84% · +133.45% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 4.79 · 1.38x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | — |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | — |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | — |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 62.78 · 61.31 · 62.62 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 100.25 · 23.26 |
|---|