🕰️ Time Machine
MP — MP Materials
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
43.13 -3.40%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 1 days
28/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 15/07/2026
since -12.80%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/03/2026
44.43
Days: 80 trading / 119 calendar · return since: -2.93%
Last major high · 08/05/2026
76.80
Days: 52 trading / 80 calendar · return since: -43.84%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 15/07/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 28/07/2026 | +1 (±3) | In window |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 06/08/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 06/08/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 10/08/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 21/08/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 05/09/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 08/05/2026 @ 76.80 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 18/09/2026 | +38 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/03/2026 @ 44.43 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 22/09/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 28/07/2026
● Doji After Run 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 15/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 15/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 15/07/2026
● Gap Day 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 15/07/2026
● Hammer Reversal 29/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 15/07/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.20% · Win 67% · DD -4.42%20 days: Avg +7.69% · Win 67% · DD -8.44%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/07/2025 | 58.22 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.8 | +3.19% | +3.50% | +28.74% | +0.00% | +28.74% |
| 2024 | 15/07/2024 | 15.30 | neutral | -6.93% | -12.22% | -27.19% | -31.44% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 14/07/2023 | 24.63 | neutral | -3.74% | -3.41% | -6.25% | -10.19% | +0.93% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 28.76 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -1.04% | +16.72% | +32.20% | -1.04% | +36.61% |
| 2021 | 15/07/2021 | 34.46 | neutral | -0.44% | +10.53% | +10.39% | -5.34% | +13.58% |
| 2020 | 15/07/2020 | 10.99 | neutral | +35.40% | +10.10% | +8.28% | -2.64% | +35.40% |
In window 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 50% · DD -7.74%20 days: Avg -1.14% · Win 33% · DD -11.65%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 64.11 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.04% | +13.38% | +12.79% | -6.01% | +19.45% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 13.43 | neutral | -21.67% | -17.05% | -3.95% | -21.89% | +0.67% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 23.79 | neutral | -1.81% | -2.94% | -17.53% | -17.53% | +0.25% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 32.92 | neutral | +6.50% | +14.85% | +15.34% | +0.00% | +19.35% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 36.45 | far above SMA50 | -2.25% | +4.22% | -8.72% | -15.20% | +7.38% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 12.63 | neutral | -7.92% | -4.20% | -4.75% | -9.26% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 06/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.96% · Win 50% · DD -6.99%20 days: Avg +2.88% · Win 33% · DD -9.81%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/08/2025 | 67.51 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +11.69% | +0.98% | -4.93% | -4.93% | +13.44% |
| 2024 | 06/08/2024 | 10.98 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +4.19% | +12.11% | +27.23% | -4.46% | +27.23% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 22.73 | neutral | +1.01% | -9.50% | -5.28% | -13.68% | +1.58% |
| 2022 | 05/08/2022 | 38.48 | far above SMA50 | -1.20% | -8.76% | -16.53% | -16.53% | +2.10% |
| 2021 | 06/08/2021 | 37.14 | volume x2.1 | -1.05% | -16.77% | -7.46% | -16.77% | +5.39% |
| 2020 | 06/08/2020 | 11.75 | neutral | +3.83% | +4.17% | +24.26% | -2.47% | +24.26% |
Upcoming 10/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.61% · Win 17% · DD -8.72%20 days: Avg -0.48% · Win 33% · DD -11.36%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/08/2025 | 72.69 | far above SMA50 | -0.66% | -0.52% | -13.12% | -13.72% | +5.35% |
| 2024 | 09/08/2024 | 11.14 | far below SMA50 | +6.73% | +16.25% | +21.99% | +0.00% | +25.40% |
| 2023 | 10/08/2023 | 22.90 | neutral | -6.99% | -14.06% | -6.46% | -14.32% | +0.83% |
| 2022 | 10/08/2022 | 38.52 | far above SMA50 | -6.83% | -3.53% | -15.19% | -18.93% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/08/2021 | 37.75 | neutral | -12.56% | -11.81% | -13.17% | -18.12% | +0.77% |
| 2020 | 10/08/2020 | 12.28 | neutral | -0.65% | -1.95% | +23.05% | -3.09% | +23.45% |
Upcoming 21/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.82% · Win 67% · DD -4.52%20 days: Avg +4.82% · Win 67% · DD -4.66%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/08/2025 | 68.28 | far above SMA50 | +7.64% | -7.66% | +7.23% | -8.55% | +7.64% |
| 2024 | 21/08/2024 | 13.18 | neutral | -5.16% | +3.87% | +7.74% | -5.31% | +7.81% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 20.57 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -3.60% | +4.67% | -1.56% | -4.62% | +9.87% |
| 2022 | 22/08/2022 | 34.51 | neutral | +4.09% | -9.50% | -7.71% | -9.50% | +10.03% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 30.91 | far below SMA50 | +9.09% | +11.19% | +2.36% | +0.00% | +15.24% |
| 2020 | 21/08/2020 | 12.00 | neutral | +12.17% | +26.33% | +20.83% | +0.00% | +27.83% |
Upcoming 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 50% · DD -3.87%20 days: Avg +0.14% · Win 33% · DD -9.09%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 63.05 | neutral | +0.73% | +16.13% | +13.40% | -0.97% | +22.33% |
| 2024 | 05/09/2024 | 13.69 | neutral | +0.73% | +3.73% | +23.89% | -0.73% | +34.33% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 21.53 | neutral | -0.70% | -5.95% | -18.25% | -18.25% | +4.97% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 31.23 | neutral | +3.65% | +1.99% | -1.63% | -13.48% | +8.52% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 34.37 | neutral | +3.64% | -7.94% | -10.18% | -10.18% | +3.64% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 15.16 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -3.69% | -4.35% | -6.40% | -10.95% | +1.19% |
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.70% · Win 17% · DD -9.12%20 days: Avg +2.87% · Win 33% · DD -11.35%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/09/2025 | 72.13 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +6.93% | -1.62% | +16.23% | -7.02% | +36.77% |
| 2024 | 18/09/2024 | 14.12 | neutral | +14.45% | +20.11% | +34.56% | -1.63% | +34.56% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 20.83 | neutral | -4.94% | -11.04% | -12.15% | -19.44% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 32.20 | neutral | -13.14% | -10.19% | -13.26% | -16.09% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 34.11 | volume x2.0 | +0.12% | -6.51% | -0.38% | -13.31% | +2.87% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 15.05 | far above SMA50 | -6.31% | -6.98% | -7.77% | -10.63% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 22/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 6 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.15% · Win 50% · DD -7.82%20 days: Avg +5.07% · Win 50% · DD -7.88%
Open Date Echo · 6 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 73.22 | far above SMA50 | -6.88% | +1.52% | +13.22% | -8.40% | +34.73% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 14.23 | neutral | +24.03% | +25.37% | +27.06% | +0.00% | +33.52% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 19.87 | near 52w low | -3.88% | -15.55% | -13.29% | -15.55% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 22/09/2022 | 30.55 | neutral | -11.55% | +0.79% | -8.22% | -11.55% | +1.21% |
| 2021 | 22/09/2021 | 31.51 | neutral | +2.16% | -6.16% | +14.95% | -6.16% | +14.95% |
| 2020 | 22/09/2020 | 14.25 | far above SMA50 | -1.89% | -5.05% | -3.30% | -5.61% | +0.49% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-23.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -57.0% · from 52w low: +4.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -4.66% · -17.39% · -22.46% · -30.10% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -13.62% · -23.66% · -28.29% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -56.98% · +4.81% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.92 · 0.93x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -17.67% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -23.11% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -8.59% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 49.93 · 56.50 · 60.14 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 100.25 · 41.15 |
|---|
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