🕰️ Time Machine

MRK — Merck & Co.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
144.60 -1.99%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 3 days
15/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 144 · 31/08/2026
since -2.14%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 18/06/2026
111.57
Days: 57 trading / 84 calendar · return since: +29.60%
Last major high · 09/04/2026
124.00
Days: 106 trading / 154 calendar · return since: +16.61%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 09/04/2026 @ 124.00Cycle 144Calendar📅 31/08/2026-10 (±3)Passed
Low 18/06/2026 @ 111.57Cycle 60Trading📅 15/09/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 111.57Cycle 90Calendar📅 16/09/2026+6 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/04/2026 @ 124.00Cycle 120Trading📅 30/09/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/04/2026 @ 124.00Cycle 180Calendar📅 06/10/2026+26 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 111.57Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/10/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
Low 18/06/2026 @ 111.57Cycle 90Trading📅 27/10/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 09/04/2026 @ 124.00Cycle 144Trading📅 03/11/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 09/09/2026
Shooting Star 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 31/08/2026
NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 31/08/2026
Doji After Run 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 31/08/2026
Shooting Star 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 31/08/2026
Gap Day 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 31/08/2026
Failed Breakout 18/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.19% · Win 44% · DD -2.44%20 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 33% · DD -3.45%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/202584.12neutral-0.04%-2.73%-5.66%-6.84%+1.62%
202430/08/2024118.45neutral-2.57%+0.25%-3.49%-3.89%+0.83%
202331/08/2023108.98neutral+0.06%-0.67%-4.89%-4.89%+0.79%
202231/08/202285.36volume x1.5+2.41%+2.45%+2.32%-0.17%+3.59%
202131/08/202176.29neutral-1.22%-3.71%-0.69%-5.20%+1.27%
202031/08/202081.36neutral-2.28%-0.52%-3.25%-3.25%+1.95%
201930/08/201982.51near 52w high-3.47%-4.50%-2.00%-5.53%+0.21%
201831/08/201865.45near 52w high+1.41%+3.37%+5.00%-0.93%+5.00%
201731/08/201760.94near 52w high · volume x1.8+0.64%+4.35%+0.99%-0.38%+4.35%
Upcoming 15/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.07% · Win 30% · DD -2.44%20 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 50% · DD -3.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202581.02neutral-0.77%-3.01%+5.78%-4.22%+11.24%
202416/09/2024117.96neutral-1.98%-3.73%-7.01%-8.00%+0.58%
202315/09/2023107.52neutral-1.10%-4.25%-3.26%-5.35%+0.28%
202215/09/202286.75neutral+0.88%-0.13%+6.62%-2.56%+6.62%
202115/09/202172.81neutral-1.06%+3.13%+8.43%-1.55%+14.13%
202015/09/202080.35neutral-1.51%-2.74%-4.16%-5.44%+1.90%
201916/09/201978.27neutral+2.84%+2.62%+3.24%-0.50%+3.82%
201814/09/201866.77near 52w high+1.60%+1.37%-0.24%-2.30%+3.37%
201715/09/201763.13near 52w high · volume x1.9-1.56%-3.22%-4.19%-4.19%+0.00%
201615/09/201659.52near 52w high+1.03%-0.75%+0.21%-1.68%+2.44%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.38% · Win 50% · DD -2.64%20 days: Avg -0.03% · Win 40% · DD -3.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202581.09neutral-1.39%+3.50%+4.45%-4.30%+11.15%
202416/09/2024117.96neutral-1.98%-3.73%-7.01%-8.00%+0.58%
202315/09/2023107.52neutral-1.10%-4.25%-3.26%-5.35%+0.28%
202216/09/202287.72volume x1.9-1.07%-1.82%+5.08%-3.64%+5.44%
202116/09/202171.97volume x1.5+1.50%+4.36%+8.84%-0.40%+15.46%
202016/09/202081.65neutral-3.44%-3.06%-5.91%-6.94%+0.28%
201916/09/201978.27neutral+2.84%+2.62%+3.24%-0.50%+3.82%
201817/09/201867.19near 52w high+0.51%+1.58%-1.36%-2.91%+2.73%
201715/09/201763.13near 52w high · volume x1.9-1.56%-3.22%-4.19%-4.19%+0.00%
201616/09/201659.43near 52w high+1.09%+0.21%-0.22%-1.53%+2.60%
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 50% · DD -1.92%20 days: Avg +0.22% · Win 30% · DD -4.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/09/202583.93volume x1.7+4.38%+0.92%+3.69%-0.01%+7.39%
202430/09/2024113.56neutral-4.38%-3.41%-8.22%-8.44%+1.04%
202329/09/2023102.95neutral+0.90%+1.03%-0.13%-2.45%+2.53%
202230/09/202286.12neutral+1.72%+7.04%+17.01%+0.00%+17.01%
202130/09/202175.11neutral+9.09%+4.29%+15.23%+0.00%+15.23%
202030/09/202079.15neutral-3.51%-2.94%-8.16%-8.16%+0.00%
201930/09/201980.32near 52w high+0.25%+0.61%-2.35%-3.42%+1.02%
201801/10/201868.25near 52w high-0.10%-2.89%-0.11%-4.42%+1.45%
201729/09/201761.10near 52w high+0.81%-1.00%-9.04%-9.04%+0.89%
201630/09/201659.55near 52w high+0.58%-0.43%-5.72%-5.72%+2.39%
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.11% · Win 40% · DD -2.59%20 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 30% · DD -5.59%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/202588.80neutral-3.49%-2.79%-7.11%-7.11%+0.00%
202407/10/2024108.59neutral+1.01%-2.07%-6.19%-6.19%+2.71%
202306/10/2023103.88neutral+0.13%-1.16%-0.48%-3.32%+1.61%
202206/10/202287.44neutral+5.78%+6.29%+12.93%+0.00%+15.74%
202106/10/202180.66near 52w high-2.12%+0.51%+9.94%-4.35%+10.36%
202006/10/202075.98neutral+1.36%-1.71%-3.40%-5.55%+1.36%
201907/10/201980.52near 52w high+0.36%+0.15%-0.58%-3.66%+2.69%
201805/10/201867.78near 52w high-1.72%+1.86%+1.75%-3.74%+3.63%
201706/10/201761.59near 52w high-1.80%-1.04%-13.15%-15.24%+0.00%
201606/10/201659.79near 52w high-0.24%-1.18%-6.75%-6.75%+1.98%
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.33% · Win 50% · DD -4.18%20 days: Avg +0.92% · Win 70% · DD -4.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/10/202583.92neutral+3.88%+2.81%+10.74%-1.70%+10.74%
202416/10/2024110.42neutral-3.66%-5.06%-10.80%-10.80%+0.00%
202316/10/2023104.14neutral-0.76%-1.40%-1.60%-3.56%+1.35%
202217/10/202294.12near 52w high+3.45%+7.52%+6.62%-1.25%+8.26%
202115/10/202178.33neutral+3.60%+12.41%+7.24%-1.51%+15.59%
202016/10/202076.17neutral+0.00%-5.79%+1.58%-5.79%+1.60%
201916/10/201980.58near 52w high-1.87%+2.10%+0.44%-3.73%+2.62%
201816/10/201867.96near 52w high+1.24%+2.32%+4.76%-1.77%+5.98%
201716/10/201760.44neutral+0.09%-13.62%-13.01%-13.62%+0.85%
201617/10/201658.70near 52w low-1.25%-4.55%+3.27%-5.02%+5.59%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.19% · Win 60% · DD -2.63%20 days: Avg +2.78% · Win 70% · DD -3.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202588.00neutral-6.26%-1.42%+14.09%-6.26%+14.09%
202428/10/2024104.23near 52w low-2.26%-3.36%-2.95%-7.60%+0.58%
202327/10/2023102.82neutral+0.54%-1.39%-1.35%-1.43%+1.54%
202227/10/202299.74near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.99%+2.16%+7.78%-1.78%+7.78%
202127/10/202181.54near 52w high+8.76%+3.03%+0.91%-1.03%+11.04%
202027/10/202074.42neutral-1.37%+4.00%+2.76%-3.56%+4.50%
201928/10/201978.44volume x2.0+2.07%+1.31%+4.26%+0.00%+5.43%
201826/10/201867.18near 52w high+2.66%+6.34%+7.16%+0.00%+8.45%
201727/10/201755.57near 52w low · volume x3.2-3.74%-4.74%-6.34%-7.11%+0.00%
201627/10/201658.48near 52w low-4.67%+5.99%+1.50%-4.67%+5.99%
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.98% · Win 60% · DD -1.97%20 days: Avg +4.39% · Win 80% · DD -3.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202582.49neutral+5.16%+12.57%+22.48%+0.00%+28.09%
202404/11/2024101.87near 52w low-1.12%-5.21%-0.02%-5.46%+1.23%
202303/11/2023103.38neutral-1.92%-1.58%+1.63%-3.10%+1.63%
202203/11/202298.75near 52w high+3.18%+3.61%+11.43%-0.80%+11.51%
202103/11/202188.68near 52w high · far above SMA50-5.27%-6.86%-16.68%-16.68%+2.10%
202003/11/202073.40neutral+5.45%+5.95%+6.38%+0.00%+6.38%
201904/11/201980.06near 52w high-0.74%+0.27%+4.15%-1.22%+4.42%
201802/11/201868.96near 52w high+3.58%+5.24%+9.62%+0.00%+9.78%
201703/11/201753.49near 52w low · far below SMA50-1.03%-1.53%+0.29%-3.50%+0.93%
201603/11/201655.75near 52w low+11.18%+7.31%+4.62%+0.00%+11.18%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.9% · from 52w low: +86.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-4.65% · -5.56% · +8.78% · +25.84%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.87% · +6.58% · +21.33%
Distance from 52w high / low-7.85% · +86.38%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.79 · 0.21x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+10.76%
vs SPY (20d)+10.67%
vs SMH (20d)+12.71%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200147.34 · 135.67 · 119.18
52w high / low156.92 · 77.58