🕰️ Time Machine

MRNA — Moderna

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
55.63 -2.44%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
01/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 16/07/2026
since -11.91%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 02/06/2026
43.90
Days: 36 trading / 55 calendar · return since: +26.72%
Last major high · 11/05/2026
59.48
Days: 51 trading / 77 calendar · return since: -6.47%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.90Cycle 30Trading📅 16/07/2026-6 (±2)Passed
High 11/05/2026 @ 59.48Cycle 45Trading📅 16/07/2026-6 (±2)Passed
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.90Cycle 45Calendar📅 17/07/2026-10 (±2)Passed
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.90Cycle 60Calendar📅 01/08/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.90Cycle 45Trading📅 07/08/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 59.48Cycle 60Trading📅 07/08/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 59.48Cycle 90Calendar📅 09/08/2026+13 (±3)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.90Cycle 60Trading📅 28/08/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
Low 02/06/2026 @ 43.90Cycle 90Calendar📅 31/08/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 59.48Cycle 120Calendar📅 08/09/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming
High 11/05/2026 @ 59.48Cycle 90Trading📅 21/09/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 01/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 17/07/2026
Doji After Run 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 17/07/2026
Hammer Reversal 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/07/2026
NR7 Compression 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/07/2026
Gap Day 13/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 10/07/2026
Failed Breakout 01/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 16/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 29% · DD -4.86%20 days: Avg -7.53% · Win 29% · DD -15.71%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/07/202532.06far above SMA50+8.14%+0.28%-16.13%-20.56%+8.14%
202416/07/2024125.14neutral-3.11%-5.03%-33.75%-35.04%+0.00%
202317/07/2023122.60neutral+0.33%-4.03%-18.43%-18.65%+3.12%
202215/07/2022166.91far above SMA50-2.03%-1.69%+2.56%-5.33%+16.34%
202116/07/2021286.43near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x4.2+21.79%+23.45%+36.08%+0.00%+69.14%
202016/07/202081.81far above SMA50-7.92%-5.11%-17.09%-17.09%+15.94%
201916/07/201914.14far below SMA50-3.82%-5.23%-5.94%-13.30%+2.33%
Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.19% · Win 14% · DD -7.10%20 days: Avg -8.75% · Win 29% · DD -16.92%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/202532.20far above SMA50+5.62%-8.20%-17.11%-20.90%+7.67%
202417/07/2024124.06neutral-4.73%-3.90%-33.70%-34.47%+0.00%
202317/07/2023122.60neutral+0.33%-4.03%-18.43%-18.65%+3.12%
202218/07/2022163.40far above SMA50+1.40%-1.16%+8.19%-3.29%+18.84%
202116/07/2021286.43near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x4.2+21.79%+23.45%+36.08%+0.00%+69.14%
202017/07/202094.85near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x3.9-22.81%-21.88%-27.10%-28.49%+0.00%
201917/07/201914.03far below SMA50+3.14%-6.63%-9.19%-12.62%+3.14%
Upcoming 01/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.98% · Win 43% · DD -7.35%20 days: Avg -4.12% · Win 43% · DD -11.33%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/08/202527.60volume x1.8-5.38%+1.50%-12.73%-12.73%+1.76%
202401/08/202494.17far below SMA50 · volume x5.3-10.46%-8.02%-17.61%-17.61%+0.00%
202301/08/2023113.94near 52w low-12.46%-15.39%+1.80%-15.39%+2.02%
202201/08/2022161.51neutral+13.27%+9.45%-15.01%-15.36%+20.23%
202102/08/2021346.61far above SMA50+39.77%+7.86%+6.95%+0.00%+39.77%
202031/07/202074.10far above SMA50+0.00%-6.68%-8.92%-12.44%+5.88%
201901/08/201913.01near 52w low · far below SMA50+1.38%-2.61%+16.68%-5.76%+16.68%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.02% · Win 43% · DD -7.55%20 days: Avg -4.32% · Win 43% · DD -11.67%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/202526.61neutral+0.30%-1.47%-5.52%-9.62%+5.56%
202407/08/202481.55far below SMA50+0.86%+6.25%-9.94%-11.11%+10.31%
202307/08/2023101.20near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.6-1.19%+9.76%+8.06%-4.73%+15.24%
202208/08/2022182.94far above SMA50-3.37%-22.12%-28.89%-28.89%+0.00%
202106/08/2021413.72far above SMA50-5.79%-7.43%+0.72%-10.40%+17.10%
202007/08/202074.10neutral-6.68%-10.32%-15.52%-15.52%+0.00%
201907/08/201912.85far below SMA50 · volume x2.4-0.86%+11.21%+20.86%-1.40%+22.41%
Upcoming 09/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.21% · Win 43% · DD -9.55%20 days: Avg -6.24% · Win 29% · DD -14.98%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/08/202526.12far below SMA50+7.27%+3.83%-4.94%-7.92%+7.54%
202409/08/202484.93far below SMA50+2.25%-2.93%-9.80%-14.65%+5.92%
202309/08/2023101.82near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.85%+13.40%+6.41%-5.31%+14.54%
202209/08/2022171.14far above SMA50-1.86%-15.99%-21.18%-23.99%+3.30%
202109/08/2021484.47near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6-22.83%-14.98%-9.92%-23.49%+0.00%
202010/08/202072.01neutral-3.12%-9.90%-24.54%-24.54%+0.00%
201909/08/201913.33far below SMA50-1.28%+4.13%+20.26%-4.95%+20.26%
Upcoming 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.73% · Win 29% · DD -7.18%20 days: Avg -3.05% · Win 57% · DD -10.26%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/202524.47far below SMA50+2.74%-3.92%+0.08%-3.92%+8.54%
202428/08/202478.36far below SMA50-6.28%-11.08%-18.42%-18.79%+1.47%
202328/08/2023113.83neutral-3.93%-7.55%-13.80%-13.80%+2.45%
202229/08/2022137.26far below SMA50-5.23%-4.34%-10.95%-12.80%+3.66%
202127/08/2021382.22far above SMA50+9.02%+9.81%+6.96%-3.02%+19.28%
202028/08/202067.49neutral-7.25%-5.66%+4.53%-19.48%+4.53%
201928/08/201914.82neutral+4.79%+10.66%+10.26%+0.00%+21.93%
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.76% · Win 71% · DD -6.35%20 days: Avg -2.49% · Win 57% · DD -9.40%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/202524.09near 52w low · far below SMA50+3.07%-0.87%+5.15%-2.41%+10.25%
202430/08/202477.40far below SMA50-1.02%-10.63%-13.66%-17.78%+2.73%
202331/08/2023113.07neutral-4.80%+1.34%-8.65%-13.22%+1.34%
202231/08/2022132.27far below SMA50+6.81%+2.71%-10.74%-10.74%+7.57%
202131/08/2021376.69far above SMA50+12.27%+15.34%+0.59%+0.00%+21.03%
202031/08/202064.89neutral-16.26%+3.07%+8.68%-16.26%+8.72%
201930/08/201915.73far above SMA50+1.91%+8.39%+1.21%-5.40%+14.88%
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.93% · Win 57% · DD -6.02%20 days: Avg -4.09% · Win 29% · DD -12.86%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202524.83far below SMA50-3.83%+6.97%+10.91%-5.32%+14.74%
202409/09/202476.61far below SMA50-9.71%-16.28%-23.35%-23.35%+3.79%
202308/09/2023107.64neutral+6.46%-7.11%-3.49%-8.84%+6.46%
202208/09/2022141.28far below SMA50-3.84%-12.00%-11.42%-16.43%+0.71%
202108/09/2021422.90far above SMA50+2.73%+4.21%-28.49%-28.49%+7.81%
202008/09/202054.34far below SMA50+23.08%+26.46%+30.73%+0.00%+32.41%
201909/09/201916.03far above SMA50+6.36%+11.23%-3.49%-7.61%+12.73%
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.12% · Win 43% · DD -10.46%20 days: Avg -10.49% · Win 29% · DD -15.50%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/09/202526.56neutral-4.63%+3.69%+2.56%-7.79%+7.27%
202420/09/202465.69far below SMA50 · volume x2.1+0.09%-8.36%-17.64%-17.64%+1.74%
202321/09/2023100.23far below SMA50+0.04%+2.73%-17.82%-17.82%+4.19%
202221/09/2022125.76far below SMA50-2.87%-0.11%-1.78%-6.11%+10.73%
202121/09/2021434.04far above SMA50-11.48%-23.48%-23.14%-30.32%+4.74%
202021/09/202069.26neutral+1.86%+3.88%+2.45%-5.91%+13.04%
201920/09/201918.07far above SMA50 · volume x5.8-12.01%-14.17%-18.04%-22.91%+0.00%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -35.0% · from 52w low: +149.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-10.01% · -18.51% · -6.90% · +18.01%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-18.01% · -3.64% · +25.99%
Distance from 52w high / low-35.01% · +149.69%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.83 · 0.63x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-2.11%
vs SPY (20d)-7.55%
vs SMH (20d)+6.97%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20067.85 · 57.73 · 44.15
52w high / low85.60 · 22.28