🕰️ Time Machine

MSM — MSC Industrial Direct

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
118.65 -0.65%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 1 days
11/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 03/09/2026
since +0.64%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 20/03/2026
85.15
Days: 119 trading / 174 calendar · return since: +39.34%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
130.46
Days: 25 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -9.05%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 05/08/2026 @ 130.46Fib 21Trading📅 03/09/2026-4 (±1)Passed
High 05/08/2026 @ 130.46Cycle 30Calendar📅 04/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
Low 20/03/2026 @ 85.15Cycle 120Trading📅 11/09/2026+1 (±3)In window
Low 20/03/2026 @ 85.15Cycle 180Calendar📅 16/09/2026+6 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 130.46Cycle 30Trading📅 17/09/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 130.46Cycle 45Calendar📅 19/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 130.46Cycle 60Calendar📅 04/10/2026+24 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 130.46Cycle 45Trading📅 08/10/2026+20 (±2)Upcoming
Low 20/03/2026 @ 85.15Cycle 144Trading📅 15/10/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 130.46Cycle 60Trading📅 29/10/2026+35 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bullish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 03/09/2026
Bearish Engulfing 28/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 18/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 03/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 56% · DD -2.89%20 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 56% · DD -4.02%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202590.29near 52w high+1.45%+1.05%+1.05%-1.52%+2.89%
202403/09/202480.52neutral-2.91%+1.69%+5.53%-3.74%+8.16%
202301/09/2023101.68near 52w high-5.22%-5.25%-4.04%-6.88%+0.00%
202202/09/202278.58neutral+2.90%-2.62%-5.08%-8.40%+2.90%
202103/09/202182.81neutral-2.97%-4.65%-0.65%-4.85%+0.00%
202003/09/202067.07neutral-5.52%-3.55%-5.93%-9.57%+0.36%
201903/09/201966.65near 52w low+7.56%+5.75%+5.10%+0.00%+11.25%
201804/09/201886.35neutral+1.13%+1.52%+0.90%-0.72%+2.63%
201701/09/201769.16neutral+1.39%+4.71%+9.36%-0.51%+9.36%
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.36% · Win 56% · DD -2.78%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 44% · DD -3.74%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202592.66near 52w high-0.39%+0.18%-0.74%-4.04%+0.26%
202404/09/202478.58near 52w low · volume x1.5-0.81%+4.29%+7.19%-1.36%+10.83%
202305/09/202398.02volume x2.1-1.36%-2.31%-1.29%-3.41%+0.23%
202202/09/202278.58neutral+2.90%-2.62%-5.08%-8.40%+2.90%
202103/09/202182.81neutral-2.97%-4.65%-0.65%-4.85%+0.00%
202004/09/202067.31neutral-3.19%-8.74%-4.04%-9.89%+0.00%
201904/09/201967.22near 52w low+10.31%+4.48%+3.12%+0.00%+10.31%
201804/09/201886.35neutral+1.13%+1.52%+0.90%-0.72%+2.63%
201705/09/201769.50neutral+2.42%+4.60%+9.09%-0.99%+9.09%
In window 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 40% · DD -3.30%20 days: Avg +0.55% · Win 60% · DD -3.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202592.30near 52w high+0.57%-3.36%-4.02%-4.02%+0.57%
202411/09/202477.94near 52w low · volume x1.8+5.14%+7.44%+4.35%+0.00%+11.74%
202311/09/202396.37neutral-0.03%-0.90%+5.14%-1.75%+5.14%
202212/09/202280.86neutral-5.37%-10.98%-8.29%-10.98%+0.00%
202110/09/202180.07neutral-1.60%+0.55%+5.25%-1.60%+5.25%
202011/09/202063.37neutral+2.08%-2.76%+3.76%-4.29%+3.76%
201911/09/201974.15neutral-5.29%-5.80%-8.20%-8.94%+0.00%
201811/09/201887.33neutral+0.38%+1.26%-3.48%-3.48%+1.48%
201711/09/201770.12neutral+3.28%+6.09%+7.97%+0.00%+8.49%
201612/09/201672.76near 52w high-1.20%-1.83%+3.06%-2.79%+3.06%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.12% · Win 70% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +1.36% · Win 60% · DD -3.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202591.82near 52w high-1.05%+0.35%-5.28%-6.69%+1.10%
202416/09/202481.07neutral+5.25%+6.16%+2.38%-1.07%+7.43%
202315/09/202396.32volume x1.9-1.28%+1.90%+8.01%-1.70%+9.02%
202216/09/202275.75volume x2.1-4.81%-3.88%-1.08%-4.98%+1.31%
202116/09/202179.49neutral+1.30%+0.88%+7.11%-0.88%+7.11%
202016/09/202065.11neutral-6.85%-2.81%+0.74%-6.85%+3.56%
201916/09/201971.55neutral-3.00%+1.37%-0.67%-5.63%+1.37%
201817/09/201887.00neutral+0.00%-0.37%-5.51%-8.48%+1.86%
201715/09/201772.00neutral+2.50%+4.96%+5.93%+0.00%+5.93%
201616/09/201671.49near 52w high+0.71%+2.69%+1.94%-1.06%+4.90%
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.66% · Win 50% · DD -2.00%20 days: Avg +1.31% · Win 70% · DD -3.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/09/202591.24near 52w high-2.54%+0.00%-6.53%-6.53%+1.74%
202417/09/202481.88neutral+5.09%+3.77%+0.64%-2.05%+6.36%
202318/09/202396.34neutral-0.87%+1.28%+8.13%-1.72%+9.00%
202216/09/202275.75volume x2.1-4.81%-3.88%-1.08%-4.98%+1.31%
202117/09/202178.79volume x3.0+2.18%+3.35%+7.16%+0.00%+8.06%
202017/09/202064.89neutral-5.42%-4.07%+2.43%-6.53%+3.91%
201917/09/201970.48neutral-2.77%-0.61%+1.57%-4.20%+2.91%
201817/09/201887.00neutral+0.00%-0.37%-5.51%-8.48%+1.86%
201718/09/201772.42neutral+2.72%+4.43%+4.35%+0.00%+5.32%
201616/09/201671.49near 52w high+0.71%+2.69%+1.94%-1.06%+4.90%
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.44% · Win 60% · DD -2.35%20 days: Avg +2.01% · Win 70% · DD -4.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/09/202590.99near 52w high · volume x2.5-0.07%+1.10%-5.59%-6.28%+1.26%
202419/09/202486.17volume x2.0+0.10%-3.09%-2.45%-6.93%+1.07%
202319/09/202395.76neutral-0.37%+1.04%+9.64%-1.13%+9.66%
202219/09/202276.52neutral-5.93%-2.52%+0.33%-5.93%+0.33%
202120/09/202178.96neutral+3.41%+4.19%+7.74%+0.00%+7.83%
202018/09/202064.69volume x1.6-4.75%-2.47%+2.91%-6.25%+4.24%
201919/09/201970.04neutral+1.26%-1.17%+2.80%-3.60%+3.56%
201819/09/201887.61neutral+0.09%+0.82%-5.02%-9.12%+1.15%
201719/09/201772.70neutral+3.85%+4.29%+8.57%+0.00%+8.57%
201619/09/201671.89near 52w high-0.64%+2.21%+1.15%-1.61%+4.31%
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 70% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +2.23% · Win 50% · DD -4.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/10/202591.99near 52w high-6.86%-6.62%-7.70%-8.46%+0.12%
202404/10/202483.40neutral-0.04%+0.98%-3.24%-6.73%+0.98%
202304/10/202399.45near 52w high+3.77%+1.04%-4.05%-6.98%+5.59%
202204/10/202276.74neutral-2.63%+2.32%+9.93%-4.42%+9.93%
202104/10/202182.27neutral+1.51%+3.40%+3.12%-0.79%+4.41%
202005/10/202064.59neutral+4.40%+1.90%+13.79%-1.75%+13.79%
201904/10/201970.12neutral+2.90%+2.54%+7.44%-3.71%+7.73%
201804/10/201887.56neutral-9.07%-6.93%-5.31%-12.61%+0.00%
201704/10/201774.58neutral-0.19%+5.56%+8.34%-0.19%+11.16%
201604/10/201672.85near 52w high+0.66%-2.48%-0.04%-3.53%+2.94%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.71% · Win 50% · DD -2.59%20 days: Avg +4.21% · Win 70% · DD -3.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/202589.53neutral-4.75%-2.78%-3.18%-5.94%+0.22%
202408/10/202480.20neutral+2.74%+0.46%+2.32%-3.00%+5.01%
202309/10/2023101.32near 52w high · volume x1.6+2.81%-5.90%-3.94%-8.70%+3.64%
202207/10/202273.35near 52w low+2.15%+7.69%+12.57%+0.00%+15.01%
202108/10/202184.27neutral+0.19%-2.75%+0.82%-3.14%+1.93%
202008/10/202065.10neutral+2.10%+3.99%+13.00%+0.00%+18.00%
201908/10/201967.52near 52w low+6.03%+9.58%+13.45%+0.00%+13.45%
201808/10/201884.83volume x2.0-3.09%-4.97%+0.29%-9.80%+0.29%
201709/10/201775.71neutral-0.18%+5.90%+8.19%-1.68%+9.50%
201607/10/201674.55near 52w high-2.24%-4.13%-1.40%-5.73%+0.59%
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.08% · Win 50% · DD -3.38%20 days: Avg +7.81% · Win 90% · DD -3.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/10/202585.28volume x1.7+2.06%-1.25%+5.91%-1.25%+5.91%
202415/10/202482.40neutral-2.22%+0.02%+8.74%-5.59%+9.44%
202316/10/2023104.17near 52w high-8.48%-9.92%-5.49%-11.19%+0.79%
202214/10/202274.93neutral+5.42%+10.37%+13.64%+0.00%+14.01%
202115/10/202184.43neutral-2.94%-0.43%+1.28%-3.33%+1.87%
202015/10/202066.47neutral+1.85%+1.64%+21.57%-0.98%+23.60%
201915/10/201971.59neutral+3.35%+3.95%+6.42%-0.95%+7.00%
201815/10/201882.21volume x1.6-1.95%-6.91%+6.61%-6.92%+8.09%
201716/10/201775.57neutral+6.10%+5.20%+5.47%+0.00%+9.70%
201614/10/201672.88near 52w high-1.93%-1.84%+13.95%-3.57%+14.61%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.84% · Win 100% · DD -0.61%20 days: Avg +9.08% · Win 90% · DD -0.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202584.21neutral+2.93%+7.26%+7.14%+0.00%+7.52%
202429/10/202482.42neutral-0.44%+8.71%+4.90%-4.06%+9.42%
202330/10/202393.84neutral+3.72%+4.91%+4.60%+0.00%+8.22%
202228/10/202282.70neutral-0.16%+2.96%+1.95%-0.46%+4.32%
202129/10/202184.07neutral+1.06%+1.71%-2.87%-2.87%+2.85%
202029/10/202067.56neutral+8.88%+19.61%+30.03%+0.00%+30.57%
201929/10/201974.42neutral+2.93%+2.38%+0.91%-1.63%+2.93%
201829/10/201876.53near 52w low+11.17%+14.52%+13.68%+0.00%+18.21%
201730/10/201779.50volume x1.7+3.03%+0.26%+6.18%-0.06%+6.18%
201628/10/201671.54near 52w high+2.75%+16.08%+24.26%+0.00%+25.47%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -9.1% · from 52w low: +50.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.87% · -3.14% · -0.66% · +4.64%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.22% · -2.87% · +15.92%
Distance from 52w high / low-9.05% · +50.57%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.90 · 0.19x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.09%
vs SPY (20d)+1.07%
vs SMH (20d)+2.94%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200120.11 · 122.15 · 102.35
52w high / low130.46 · 78.80