🕰️ Time Machine
MTB — M&T Bank
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
238.84 +0.35%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 2 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 144 · 01/09/2026
since +2.94%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 15/05/2026
202.85
Days: 80 trading / 118 calendar · return since: +17.74%
Last major high · 10/04/2026
223.73
Days: 105 trading / 153 calendar · return since: +6.75%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 10/04/2026 @ 223.73 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 01/09/2026 | -9 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 202.85 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 12/09/2026 | +2 (±3) | In window |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 202.85 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +10 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 10/04/2026 @ 223.73 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 01/10/2026 | +15 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 202.85 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 06/10/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 10/04/2026 @ 223.73 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 07/10/2026 | +27 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 10/04/2026 @ 223.73 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 04/11/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/05/2026 @ 202.85 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 12/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 12/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 01/09/2026
● Doji After Run 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 01/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 27/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 01/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.73% · Win 56% · DD -3.34%20 days: Avg +0.42% · Win 44% · DD -4.91%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 198.98 | neutral | +0.41% | -1.86% | -0.68% | -1.86% | +1.70% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 172.11 | near 52w high | -1.16% | +1.36% | +4.31% | -2.97% | +5.33% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 125.76 | volume x1.6 | +0.32% | +0.74% | -2.91% | -5.11% | +3.06% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 180.81 | neutral | +3.76% | +1.13% | -2.48% | -3.30% | +5.39% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 139.22 | neutral | -0.91% | -1.23% | +7.27% | -4.19% | +9.89% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 103.56 | neutral | -2.32% | -0.29% | -11.08% | -13.04% | +2.26% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 146.21 | neutral | +5.43% | +9.16% | +8.04% | -2.20% | +9.16% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 177.15 | neutral | +0.77% | -4.19% | -7.03% | -7.12% | +1.46% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 149.00 | neutral | -1.66% | +1.79% | +8.32% | -4.38% | +8.32% |
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.87% · Win 50% · DD -3.64%20 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 30% · DD -5.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 198.80 | neutral | +1.62% | +0.67% | -9.03% | -9.03% | +1.62% |
| 2024 | 12/09/2024 | 165.68 | neutral | +8.56% | +5.79% | +8.09% | +0.00% | +8.56% |
| 2023 | 12/09/2023 | 129.61 | volume x1.7 | -2.48% | -4.89% | -2.07% | -6.91% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 190.55 | near 52w high | -1.71% | -7.05% | -4.86% | -8.24% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 13/09/2021 | 137.45 | neutral | -2.55% | +10.03% | +10.21% | -2.95% | +11.90% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 101.66 | neutral | +0.12% | -10.19% | -0.29% | -11.41% | +2.54% |
| 2019 | 12/09/2019 | 156.79 | neutral | +0.11% | +0.06% | -1.17% | -4.49% | +1.80% |
| 2018 | 12/09/2018 | 174.45 | neutral | -1.39% | -4.05% | -4.95% | -5.68% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 12/09/2017 | 149.02 | neutral | +2.48% | +4.31% | +9.49% | +0.00% | +9.49% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 118.13 | near 52w high | -2.62% | -3.36% | -0.20% | -3.36% | +0.18% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.93% · Win 60% · DD -2.28%20 days: Avg +1.10% · Win 60% · DD -4.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 199.44 | neutral | -2.08% | -5.70% | -8.68% | -10.43% | +0.35% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 174.79 | near 52w high | -1.18% | +1.56% | +11.03% | -1.40% | +13.78% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 125.59 | neutral | -2.78% | -0.23% | -11.20% | -11.20% | +1.07% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 178.91 | neutral | -1.45% | +1.76% | -9.58% | -9.79% | +5.84% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 143.26 | neutral | +6.66% | +7.32% | +11.60% | +0.00% | +11.97% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 90.06 | far below SMA50 | +2.39% | +13.01% | +16.23% | +0.00% | +16.23% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 155.42 | neutral | -1.09% | -3.17% | +0.59% | -3.65% | +2.26% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 170.15 | neutral | -3.21% | -0.04% | -7.14% | -7.14% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 154.71 | neutral | +4.32% | +4.18% | +6.61% | +0.00% | +6.78% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 117.12 | near 52w high | -0.87% | +0.61% | +1.53% | -3.37% | +1.53% |
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 60% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +0.70% · Win 50% · DD -4.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/10/2025 | 195.29 | neutral | -3.70% | -5.25% | -7.14% | -8.53% | +0.17% |
| 2024 | 01/10/2024 | 172.72 | near 52w high | +2.78% | +7.62% | +13.32% | -0.22% | +15.14% |
| 2023 | 02/10/2023 | 122.10 | neutral | +2.62% | +0.46% | -8.24% | -10.78% | +3.96% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 176.32 | neutral | +3.26% | +5.24% | -4.62% | -8.46% | +7.40% |
| 2021 | 01/10/2021 | 152.80 | far above SMA50 | +0.62% | -1.09% | -3.72% | -3.72% | +4.98% |
| 2020 | 01/10/2020 | 92.21 | far below SMA50 | +10.38% | +9.55% | +7.95% | +0.00% | +15.09% |
| 2019 | 01/10/2019 | 153.72 | neutral | -2.09% | +3.32% | +2.76% | -2.58% | +3.39% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 164.69 | neutral | +3.28% | -3.45% | -1.91% | -6.10% | +3.28% |
| 2017 | 02/10/2017 | 161.39 | neutral | -0.14% | +1.75% | +3.41% | -0.48% | +3.98% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 116.10 | near 52w high | +1.49% | -1.92% | +5.14% | -2.52% | +5.14% |
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.11% · Win 60% · DD -4.34%20 days: Avg +1.79% · Win 60% · DD -5.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 190.00 | neutral | -3.84% | -4.17% | -3.83% | -5.98% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 177.83 | near 52w high | +4.35% | +8.88% | +7.22% | -0.17% | +11.83% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 124.82 | neutral | -3.71% | -8.85% | -1.82% | -12.72% | +1.69% |
| 2022 | 06/10/2022 | 184.11 | near 52w high | +1.70% | -12.34% | -10.82% | -12.34% | +2.85% |
| 2021 | 06/10/2021 | 152.24 | neutral | -1.98% | +5.37% | +4.66% | -3.36% | +5.37% |
| 2020 | 06/10/2020 | 98.45 | neutral | +1.33% | +0.99% | +11.74% | -1.70% | +11.74% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 154.02 | neutral | +1.66% | +0.01% | +6.51% | -2.29% | +6.51% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 168.31 | neutral | -5.82% | -3.37% | -2.45% | -8.12% | +1.06% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 162.08 | neutral | +0.70% | +1.92% | +4.12% | -0.90% | +4.29% |
| 2016 | 06/10/2016 | 118.34 | near 52w high | -4.37% | +0.43% | +2.59% | -4.37% | +3.84% |
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.82% · Win 50% · DD -4.71%20 days: Avg +0.05% · Win 50% · DD -5.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/10/2025 | 189.58 | neutral | -1.34% | -4.16% | -4.58% | -5.78% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 177.83 | near 52w high | +4.35% | +8.88% | +7.22% | -0.17% | +11.83% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 124.82 | neutral | -3.71% | -8.85% | -1.82% | -12.72% | +1.69% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 182.06 | neutral | +1.92% | -11.14% | -8.26% | -11.35% | +4.01% |
| 2021 | 07/10/2021 | 153.69 | neutral | -1.74% | +3.95% | +0.31% | -4.27% | +4.37% |
| 2020 | 07/10/2020 | 101.65 | neutral | -3.79% | -2.58% | -3.17% | -4.79% | +8.22% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 154.02 | neutral | +1.66% | +0.01% | +6.51% | -2.29% | +6.51% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 170.09 | neutral | -6.51% | -7.11% | -3.17% | -9.08% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 162.08 | neutral | +0.70% | +1.92% | +4.12% | -0.90% | +4.29% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 117.83 | near 52w high | -3.36% | +0.92% | +3.38% | -3.95% | +4.29% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.89% · Win 80% · DD -1.32%20 days: Avg +7.60% · Win 60% · DD -2.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 180.90 | neutral | +3.24% | +0.66% | +9.00% | +0.00% | +9.00% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 190.67 | neutral | +12.57% | +12.67% | +13.10% | +0.00% | +16.41% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 122.55 | neutral | -3.43% | +3.41% | +10.79% | -4.64% | +10.79% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 167.02 | neutral | -0.49% | +2.15% | -2.74% | -2.74% | +3.07% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 154.17 | neutral | +3.28% | +3.41% | -3.93% | -5.84% | +4.98% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 98.43 | volume x2.3 | +20.19% | +23.83% | +27.98% | +0.00% | +28.94% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 164.05 | neutral | +1.59% | -0.66% | -0.74% | -0.74% | +2.16% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 164.70 | neutral | +0.26% | +2.36% | -1.61% | -1.61% | +3.26% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 168.76 | near 52w high | -6.91% | -4.85% | +2.52% | -6.91% | +2.52% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 121.81 | near 52w high | +11.65% | +15.97% | +21.56% | +0.00% | +21.56% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.70% · Win 70% · DD -1.94%20 days: Avg +6.93% · Win 60% · DD -2.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 183.35 | neutral | +2.62% | -0.39% | +7.51% | -1.25% | +7.55% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 193.14 | near 52w high | +10.40% | +10.65% | +10.38% | +0.00% | +14.92% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 121.31 | neutral | -3.67% | +4.64% | +10.02% | -3.67% | +11.92% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 167.02 | neutral | -0.49% | +2.15% | -2.74% | -2.74% | +3.07% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 155.09 | neutral | +3.08% | +1.47% | -1.43% | -6.40% | +4.36% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 103.56 | neutral | +11.17% | +16.32% | +24.75% | -4.35% | +24.75% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 166.18 | neutral | -0.42% | -1.99% | -0.66% | -2.01% | +0.85% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 164.70 | neutral | +0.26% | +2.36% | -1.61% | -1.61% | +3.26% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 168.71 | near 52w high | -5.49% | -4.21% | +1.47% | -6.88% | +2.55% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 121.81 | near 52w high | +11.65% | +15.97% | +21.56% | +0.00% | +21.56% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -6.7% · from 52w low: +36.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.43% · -0.48% · -5.19% · +6.39% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.13% · -2.46% · +7.79% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -6.68% · +36.67% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.85 · 0.05x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -3.36% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -3.40% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -1.51% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 241.56 · 244.87 · 221.58 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 255.95 · 174.76 |
|---|
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