🕰️ Time Machine

MTN — Vail Resorts

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
146.57 -1.12%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 22/10/2026
since -1.12%
Trend
Strong uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 10/09/2026
129.01
Days: 31 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +13.61%
Last major high · 29/07/2026
160.49
Days: 61 trading / 86 calendar · return since: -8.67%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01Fib 21Trading📅 09/10/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01Cycle 30Trading📅 22/10/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026-1 (±2)In window
Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01Cycle 45Calendar📅 25/10/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/10/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01Cycle 60Calendar📅 09/11/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01Cycle 45Trading📅 12/11/2026+14 (±2)Upcoming
High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49Cycle 120Calendar📅 26/11/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01Cycle 60Trading📅 04/12/2026+29 (±2)Upcoming
High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49Cycle 90Trading📅 04/12/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 15/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● Doji After Run 07/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 07/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.82% · Win 67% · DD -2.02%20 days: Avg +4.04% · Win 78% · DD -2.99%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/2025150.12neutral-0.35%+1.84%-3.90%-5.47%+5.18%
202409/10/2024170.40near 52w low+0.86%-1.12%+5.62%-2.76%+5.62%
202309/10/2023210.76near 52w low+5.67%+1.79%+5.60%-2.01%+6.76%
202210/10/2022217.35neutral-0.25%-1.03%-0.48%-4.45%+3.38%
202108/10/2021343.64near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.09%+3.16%+8.40%-2.10%+8.40%
202009/10/2020241.64far above SMA50-3.15%+3.46%+0.55%-4.97%+3.46%
201909/10/2019224.01neutral+2.66%+2.79%+5.69%+0.00%+5.92%
201809/10/2018245.31far below SMA50+4.82%-0.39%+5.56%-4.82%+5.56%
201709/10/2017216.56neutral-0.06%+5.86%+9.30%-0.35%+9.30%
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 60% · DD -3.05%20 days: Avg +3.77% · Win 70% · DD -3.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025149.51neutral-0.81%-2.72%-6.39%-6.46%+5.61%
202422/10/2024170.57near 52w low-0.80%-1.52%+2.57%-2.86%+6.93%
202323/10/2023214.54near 52w low-2.00%+3.74%+5.45%-3.74%+5.45%
202221/10/2022211.96near 52w low · volume x3.2+2.24%+1.69%+14.81%+0.00%+14.81%
202122/10/2021354.49near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.76%+5.08%-3.40%-3.74%+5.08%
202022/10/2020242.78near 52w high-3.68%-0.46%+13.71%-5.14%+13.71%
201922/10/2019231.51neutral+0.51%+2.26%+3.87%-0.54%+5.33%
201822/10/2018246.96far below SMA50-4.97%+3.25%+6.25%-5.46%+8.74%
201723/10/2017229.24near 52w high-1.25%+3.26%-0.33%-1.56%+3.26%
201624/10/2016159.03near 52w high+0.26%-0.09%+1.13%-2.89%+1.13%
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.98% · Win 90% · DD -2.70%20 days: Avg +5.33% · Win 80% · DD -3.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/2025152.65neutral-2.83%-3.35%-10.15%-10.15%+3.44%
202425/10/2024168.22near 52w low-1.44%+5.73%+9.52%-1.50%+9.52%
202325/10/2023209.81near 52w low+0.65%+4.52%+7.80%-1.57%+7.83%
202225/10/2022219.10neutral+0.75%+0.13%+18.86%-2.97%+18.86%
202125/10/2021352.16near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.74%+3.26%-2.68%-3.10%+5.78%
202026/10/2020244.77near 52w high-5.92%+10.25%+12.70%-5.92%+12.79%
201925/10/2019236.03neutral-1.79%+1.95%+0.21%-1.79%+3.31%
201825/10/2018240.60far below SMA50+6.41%+11.14%+10.13%-2.46%+11.61%
201725/10/2017225.67near 52w high+2.13%+4.09%+1.92%+0.00%+4.89%
201625/10/2016156.27near 52w high+0.86%+2.07%+4.95%-1.17%+4.95%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.03% · Win 80% · DD -2.34%20 days: Avg +6.65% · Win 70% · DD -2.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025157.90neutral-5.41%-7.45%-14.50%-14.50%+0.00%
202428/10/2024170.62near 52w low-2.34%+6.56%+9.68%-2.89%+9.68%
202327/10/2023206.52near 52w low+8.95%+7.08%+6.94%+0.00%+9.57%
202227/10/2022213.15neutral-0.26%+8.03%+24.66%-0.26%+24.66%
202127/10/2021345.54near 52w high+2.89%+3.01%-0.82%-1.24%+7.81%
202027/10/2020241.41neutral-3.79%+7.83%+18.69%-4.61%+18.69%
201928/10/2019236.63neutral+0.27%+2.12%+0.60%-2.04%+3.05%
201826/10/2018237.90far below SMA50+8.03%+11.55%+14.34%-1.35%+14.34%
201727/10/2017227.32near 52w high+3.65%+2.08%-0.01%-0.42%+4.13%
201627/10/2016155.23near 52w high+0.90%-0.51%+6.94%-0.51%+6.94%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 60% · DD -2.58%20 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 50% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025146.14neutral-4.30%-7.62%-0.47%-7.62%+3.28%
202408/11/2024177.86neutral-0.89%+3.59%+7.20%-1.64%+7.87%
202309/11/2023217.21neutral+2.44%+4.18%+3.99%-1.62%+4.18%
202209/11/2022215.97neutral+10.34%+18.48%+16.32%+0.00%+23.04%
202109/11/2021359.46near 52w high-3.28%-4.53%-4.06%-8.91%+0.00%
202009/11/2020269.85far above SMA50 · volume x3.4-0.39%+2.23%+6.80%-3.74%+6.80%
201908/11/2019240.63neutral+0.98%-1.70%-4.07%-4.07%+2.51%
201809/11/2018265.37neutral+1.19%+2.51%-10.36%-15.87%+6.04%
201709/11/2017232.58near 52w high-1.72%-0.23%-3.05%-5.04%+0.00%
201609/11/2016155.07near 52w high+1.47%+6.16%+3.77%-0.41%+7.05%
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.92% · Win 60% · DD -3.00%20 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 60% · DD -5.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/11/2025150.93neutral-7.27%-7.78%+2.57%-10.55%+2.57%
202412/11/2024182.39neutral-4.08%+0.10%+5.58%-4.08%+7.15%
202313/11/2023219.03neutral+3.29%-1.25%+4.40%-2.43%+4.90%
202211/11/2022240.46neutral+1.21%+7.63%+8.83%-2.04%+10.50%
202112/11/2021354.66neutral-3.45%-5.98%-7.41%-7.68%+0.00%
202012/11/2020262.85far above SMA50+5.03%+7.54%+5.76%+0.00%+10.88%
201912/11/2019243.84neutral-1.38%+0.43%-2.28%-5.34%+1.16%
201812/11/2018259.19neutral+1.23%+5.01%-13.18%-13.87%+8.57%
201713/11/2017229.33near 52w high-0.37%-1.43%-4.75%-4.75%+1.18%
201611/11/2016156.19near 52w high-0.24%+4.92%+6.28%-0.54%+7.55%
Upcoming 26/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.65% · Win 60% · DD -5.35%20 days: Avg -3.46% · Win 30% · DD -7.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/2025139.19neutral+1.62%+11.22%+0.76%-0.32%+16.22%
202426/11/2024182.57neutral+5.08%+5.48%+5.93%-3.13%+7.05%
202327/11/2023220.86neutral+0.16%+4.03%+0.94%-3.24%+4.21%
202225/11/2022265.72far above SMA50-3.47%-2.66%-8.56%-9.02%+0.46%
202126/11/2021336.29neutral-2.63%+0.80%-1.45%-7.36%+2.55%
202025/11/2020283.25far above SMA50-3.11%+2.89%-2.86%-4.42%+2.89%
201926/11/2019244.89volume x1.5-3.64%-2.70%-0.44%-5.74%+1.78%
201826/11/2018272.02neutral+2.17%-12.55%-22.38%-26.05%+3.45%
201727/11/2017227.30near 52w high-2.83%-1.18%-4.95%-5.34%+0.00%
201625/11/2016166.01near 52w high-4.87%+1.19%-1.64%-6.27%+1.19%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.94% · Win 50% · DD -3.96%20 days: Avg -3.74% · Win 20% · DD -6.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/2025141.45neutral+9.45%+9.07%-3.46%-4.57%+14.36%
202404/12/2024191.85volume x2.2+0.38%-5.07%-5.64%-7.63%+1.87%
202304/12/2023221.22neutral+3.86%+3.64%-5.60%-5.60%+4.04%
202205/12/2022250.13far above SMA50+4.63%-1.69%-0.88%-6.37%+6.72%
202103/12/2021327.43neutral+3.53%-1.59%-1.41%-4.86%+5.33%
202004/12/2020283.14far above SMA50-1.82%-3.15%-3.97%-4.99%+2.93%
201904/12/2019235.98neutral+0.98%+5.62%+4.05%-2.18%+5.62%
201804/12/2018269.61neutral-16.53%-17.30%-18.64%-25.38%+0.80%
201704/12/2017220.86neutral+1.70%+0.51%-3.27%-4.24%+2.10%
201605/12/2016160.73near 52w high+3.28%+0.56%+1.46%-0.19%+4.52%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -10.3% · from 52w low: +23.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.94% · +0.37% · +9.36% · -2.60%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.56% · +2.47% · +6.30%
Distance from 52w high / low-10.27% · +23.68%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg4.33 · 0.42x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+14.75%
vs SPY (20d)+10.84%
vs SMH (20d)+22.45%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200145.76 · 143.04 · 137.89
52w high / low163.34 · 118.51