🕰️ Time Machine
MTN — Vail Resorts
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
146.57 -1.12%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 2 days
25/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 22/10/2026
since -1.12%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 10/09/2026
129.01
Days: 31 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +13.61%
Last major high · 29/07/2026
160.49
Days: 61 trading / 86 calendar · return since: -8.67%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | -10 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 22/10/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 25/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 27/10/2026 | +4 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 09/11/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 12/11/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 26/11/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 10/09/2026 @ 129.01 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 04/12/2026 | +29 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/07/2026 @ 160.49 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/12/2026 | +29 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 15/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● Doji After Run 07/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 07/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 09/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 30/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.82% · Win 67% · DD -2.02%20 days: Avg +4.04% · Win 78% · DD -2.99%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 150.12 | neutral | -0.35% | +1.84% | -3.90% | -5.47% | +5.18% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 170.40 | near 52w low | +0.86% | -1.12% | +5.62% | -2.76% | +5.62% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 210.76 | near 52w low | +5.67% | +1.79% | +5.60% | -2.01% | +6.76% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 217.35 | neutral | -0.25% | -1.03% | -0.48% | -4.45% | +3.38% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 343.64 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.09% | +3.16% | +8.40% | -2.10% | +8.40% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 241.64 | far above SMA50 | -3.15% | +3.46% | +0.55% | -4.97% | +3.46% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 224.01 | neutral | +2.66% | +2.79% | +5.69% | +0.00% | +5.92% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 245.31 | far below SMA50 | +4.82% | -0.39% | +5.56% | -4.82% | +5.56% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 216.56 | neutral | -0.06% | +5.86% | +9.30% | -0.35% | +9.30% |
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.45% · Win 60% · DD -3.05%20 days: Avg +3.77% · Win 70% · DD -3.24%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 149.51 | neutral | -0.81% | -2.72% | -6.39% | -6.46% | +5.61% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 170.57 | near 52w low | -0.80% | -1.52% | +2.57% | -2.86% | +6.93% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 214.54 | near 52w low | -2.00% | +3.74% | +5.45% | -3.74% | +5.45% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 211.96 | near 52w low · volume x3.2 | +2.24% | +1.69% | +14.81% | +0.00% | +14.81% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 354.49 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.76% | +5.08% | -3.40% | -3.74% | +5.08% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 242.78 | near 52w high | -3.68% | -0.46% | +13.71% | -5.14% | +13.71% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 231.51 | neutral | +0.51% | +2.26% | +3.87% | -0.54% | +5.33% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 246.96 | far below SMA50 | -4.97% | +3.25% | +6.25% | -5.46% | +8.74% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 229.24 | near 52w high | -1.25% | +3.26% | -0.33% | -1.56% | +3.26% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 159.03 | near 52w high | +0.26% | -0.09% | +1.13% | -2.89% | +1.13% |
In window 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.98% · Win 90% · DD -2.70%20 days: Avg +5.33% · Win 80% · DD -3.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 152.65 | neutral | -2.83% | -3.35% | -10.15% | -10.15% | +3.44% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 168.22 | near 52w low | -1.44% | +5.73% | +9.52% | -1.50% | +9.52% |
| 2023 | 25/10/2023 | 209.81 | near 52w low | +0.65% | +4.52% | +7.80% | -1.57% | +7.83% |
| 2022 | 25/10/2022 | 219.10 | neutral | +0.75% | +0.13% | +18.86% | -2.97% | +18.86% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 352.16 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.74% | +3.26% | -2.68% | -3.10% | +5.78% |
| 2020 | 26/10/2020 | 244.77 | near 52w high | -5.92% | +10.25% | +12.70% | -5.92% | +12.79% |
| 2019 | 25/10/2019 | 236.03 | neutral | -1.79% | +1.95% | +0.21% | -1.79% | +3.31% |
| 2018 | 25/10/2018 | 240.60 | far below SMA50 | +6.41% | +11.14% | +10.13% | -2.46% | +11.61% |
| 2017 | 25/10/2017 | 225.67 | near 52w high | +2.13% | +4.09% | +1.92% | +0.00% | +4.89% |
| 2016 | 25/10/2016 | 156.27 | near 52w high | +0.86% | +2.07% | +4.95% | -1.17% | +4.95% |
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.03% · Win 80% · DD -2.34%20 days: Avg +6.65% · Win 70% · DD -2.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 157.90 | neutral | -5.41% | -7.45% | -14.50% | -14.50% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 170.62 | near 52w low | -2.34% | +6.56% | +9.68% | -2.89% | +9.68% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 206.52 | near 52w low | +8.95% | +7.08% | +6.94% | +0.00% | +9.57% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 213.15 | neutral | -0.26% | +8.03% | +24.66% | -0.26% | +24.66% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 345.54 | near 52w high | +2.89% | +3.01% | -0.82% | -1.24% | +7.81% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 241.41 | neutral | -3.79% | +7.83% | +18.69% | -4.61% | +18.69% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 236.63 | neutral | +0.27% | +2.12% | +0.60% | -2.04% | +3.05% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 237.90 | far below SMA50 | +8.03% | +11.55% | +14.34% | -1.35% | +14.34% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 227.32 | near 52w high | +3.65% | +2.08% | -0.01% | -0.42% | +4.13% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 155.23 | near 52w high | +0.90% | -0.51% | +6.94% | -0.51% | +6.94% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 60% · DD -2.58%20 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 50% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 146.14 | neutral | -4.30% | -7.62% | -0.47% | -7.62% | +3.28% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 177.86 | neutral | -0.89% | +3.59% | +7.20% | -1.64% | +7.87% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 217.21 | neutral | +2.44% | +4.18% | +3.99% | -1.62% | +4.18% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 215.97 | neutral | +10.34% | +18.48% | +16.32% | +0.00% | +23.04% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 359.46 | near 52w high | -3.28% | -4.53% | -4.06% | -8.91% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 269.85 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.4 | -0.39% | +2.23% | +6.80% | -3.74% | +6.80% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 240.63 | neutral | +0.98% | -1.70% | -4.07% | -4.07% | +2.51% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 265.37 | neutral | +1.19% | +2.51% | -10.36% | -15.87% | +6.04% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 232.58 | near 52w high | -1.72% | -0.23% | -3.05% | -5.04% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 155.07 | near 52w high | +1.47% | +6.16% | +3.77% | -0.41% | +7.05% |
Upcoming 12/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.92% · Win 60% · DD -3.00%20 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 60% · DD -5.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/11/2025 | 150.93 | neutral | -7.27% | -7.78% | +2.57% | -10.55% | +2.57% |
| 2024 | 12/11/2024 | 182.39 | neutral | -4.08% | +0.10% | +5.58% | -4.08% | +7.15% |
| 2023 | 13/11/2023 | 219.03 | neutral | +3.29% | -1.25% | +4.40% | -2.43% | +4.90% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 240.46 | neutral | +1.21% | +7.63% | +8.83% | -2.04% | +10.50% |
| 2021 | 12/11/2021 | 354.66 | neutral | -3.45% | -5.98% | -7.41% | -7.68% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 12/11/2020 | 262.85 | far above SMA50 | +5.03% | +7.54% | +5.76% | +0.00% | +10.88% |
| 2019 | 12/11/2019 | 243.84 | neutral | -1.38% | +0.43% | -2.28% | -5.34% | +1.16% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 259.19 | neutral | +1.23% | +5.01% | -13.18% | -13.87% | +8.57% |
| 2017 | 13/11/2017 | 229.33 | near 52w high | -0.37% | -1.43% | -4.75% | -4.75% | +1.18% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 156.19 | near 52w high | -0.24% | +4.92% | +6.28% | -0.54% | +7.55% |
Upcoming 26/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.65% · Win 60% · DD -5.35%20 days: Avg -3.46% · Win 30% · DD -7.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 139.19 | neutral | +1.62% | +11.22% | +0.76% | -0.32% | +16.22% |
| 2024 | 26/11/2024 | 182.57 | neutral | +5.08% | +5.48% | +5.93% | -3.13% | +7.05% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 220.86 | neutral | +0.16% | +4.03% | +0.94% | -3.24% | +4.21% |
| 2022 | 25/11/2022 | 265.72 | far above SMA50 | -3.47% | -2.66% | -8.56% | -9.02% | +0.46% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 336.29 | neutral | -2.63% | +0.80% | -1.45% | -7.36% | +2.55% |
| 2020 | 25/11/2020 | 283.25 | far above SMA50 | -3.11% | +2.89% | -2.86% | -4.42% | +2.89% |
| 2019 | 26/11/2019 | 244.89 | volume x1.5 | -3.64% | -2.70% | -0.44% | -5.74% | +1.78% |
| 2018 | 26/11/2018 | 272.02 | neutral | +2.17% | -12.55% | -22.38% | -26.05% | +3.45% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 227.30 | near 52w high | -2.83% | -1.18% | -4.95% | -5.34% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 25/11/2016 | 166.01 | near 52w high | -4.87% | +1.19% | -1.64% | -6.27% | +1.19% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.94% · Win 50% · DD -3.96%20 days: Avg -3.74% · Win 20% · DD -6.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 141.45 | neutral | +9.45% | +9.07% | -3.46% | -4.57% | +14.36% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 191.85 | volume x2.2 | +0.38% | -5.07% | -5.64% | -7.63% | +1.87% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 221.22 | neutral | +3.86% | +3.64% | -5.60% | -5.60% | +4.04% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 250.13 | far above SMA50 | +4.63% | -1.69% | -0.88% | -6.37% | +6.72% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 327.43 | neutral | +3.53% | -1.59% | -1.41% | -4.86% | +5.33% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 283.14 | far above SMA50 | -1.82% | -3.15% | -3.97% | -4.99% | +2.93% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 235.98 | neutral | +0.98% | +5.62% | +4.05% | -2.18% | +5.62% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 269.61 | neutral | -16.53% | -17.30% | -18.64% | -25.38% | +0.80% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 220.86 | neutral | +1.70% | +0.51% | -3.27% | -4.24% | +2.10% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 160.73 | near 52w high | +3.28% | +0.56% | +1.46% | -0.19% | +4.52% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -10.3% · from 52w low: +23.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.94% · +0.37% · +9.36% · -2.60% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.56% · +2.47% · +6.30% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -10.27% · +23.68% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 4.33 · 0.42x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +14.75% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +10.84% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +22.45% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 145.76 · 143.04 · 137.89 |
| 52w high / low | 163.34 · 118.51 |