🕰️ Time Machine

MTSI — MACOM Technology Solutions

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
272.43 -4.78%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 27/08/2026
since -1.70%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/07/2026
228.02
Days: 30 trading / 43 calendar · return since: +19.48%
Last major high · 27/05/2026
418.90
Days: 73 trading / 106 calendar · return since: -34.97%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/07/2026 @ 228.02Fib 21Trading📅 27/08/2026-9 (±1)Passed
Low 29/07/2026 @ 228.02Cycle 30Trading📅 10/09/2026+0 (±2)In window
Low 29/07/2026 @ 228.02Cycle 45Calendar📅 12/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 27/05/2026 @ 418.90Cycle 120Calendar📅 24/09/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 228.02Cycle 60Calendar📅 27/09/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 228.02Cycle 45Trading📅 01/10/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 27/05/2026 @ 418.90Cycle 90Trading📅 05/10/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 27/05/2026 @ 418.90Cycle 144Calendar📅 18/10/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 228.02Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026+30 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/09/2026
NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Gap Day 24/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Shooting Star 13/08/2026
Failed Breakout 12/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 44% · DD -5.12%20 days: Avg -1.36% · Win 33% · DD -7.28%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/2025129.63neutral+1.74%+1.11%-4.44%-4.44%+3.29%
202427/08/2024104.53neutral-4.28%-3.01%+1.54%-8.48%+4.59%
202328/08/202380.58near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.57%-2.67%-2.80%-4.89%+4.94%
202226/08/202257.79neutral-7.23%-0.57%-9.34%-9.34%+0.00%
202127/08/202162.16volume x2.2+2.64%+2.72%+8.74%-2.33%+8.74%
202027/08/202035.70volume x1.6-4.37%-9.08%-10.36%-13.75%+8.54%
201927/08/201918.69neutral+7.92%+23.06%+21.51%+0.00%+24.61%
201827/08/201823.37neutral-2.82%-5.95%-13.56%-17.07%+0.60%
201728/08/201743.67far below SMA50+2.45%+0.62%-3.48%-5.20%+4.65%
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.72% · Win 30% · DD -4.07%20 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 60% · DD -6.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/2025131.70neutral+0.13%-3.83%+1.13%-6.39%+1.13%
202410/09/202496.55neutral+5.17%+10.04%+16.83%+0.00%+17.31%
202311/09/202379.03neutral-2.00%-0.25%+3.96%-3.02%+3.96%
202209/09/202257.11neutral-5.13%-8.02%-1.12%-9.32%+1.40%
202110/09/202164.17volume x2.4-1.29%+5.05%+2.29%-3.90%+5.33%
202010/09/202031.15far below SMA50+5.26%+4.11%+13.45%+0.00%+13.45%
201910/09/201922.19near 52w high · far above SMA50+3.11%-0.36%-6.13%-10.64%+4.96%
201810/09/201822.25neutral-8.58%-5.80%-23.46%-23.46%+0.94%
201711/09/201743.63far below SMA50+0.85%-5.11%-0.21%-5.11%+4.24%
201612/09/201641.38near 52w high+2.61%-3.04%+2.61%-3.04%+5.20%
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.26% · Win 20% · DD -3.84%20 days: Avg -0.98% · Win 50% · DD -6.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/2025131.87neutral-3.60%-1.88%-7.35%-7.35%+1.00%
202412/09/2024101.14neutral+4.38%+11.98%+12.68%-1.12%+12.97%
202312/09/202378.43neutral-1.53%-0.14%+5.46%-2.28%+5.46%
202212/09/202257.46neutral-4.14%-8.82%-5.80%-9.87%+0.78%
202113/09/202163.85neutral-3.41%+5.86%+0.34%-3.41%+5.86%
202011/09/202032.46far below SMA50+0.74%-1.42%+11.98%-2.37%+11.98%
201912/09/201923.29near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.65%-1.03%-8.24%-14.86%+0.00%
201812/09/201819.38far below SMA50 · volume x4.5+11.25%+0.00%-19.04%-19.04%+15.89%
201712/09/201743.94far below SMA50-1.34%-4.07%-2.48%-5.78%+3.50%
201612/09/201641.38near 52w high+2.61%-3.04%+2.61%-3.04%+5.20%
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.66% · Win 70% · DD -4.07%20 days: Avg -2.26% · Win 40% · DD -7.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/09/2025126.66neutral-0.08%+5.16%+7.30%-3.54%+10.79%
202424/09/2024106.24neutral+0.72%+6.17%+7.11%-0.09%+9.79%
202325/09/202378.83neutral+3.69%+4.22%-6.53%-6.53%+5.40%
202223/09/202252.53neutral-1.41%+7.50%+4.30%-4.11%+10.24%
202124/09/202167.41near 52w high-3.07%-2.63%-1.36%-7.08%+0.27%
202024/09/202032.43far below SMA50+8.26%+8.97%+9.34%-1.33%+14.68%
201924/09/201922.11far above SMA50-7.28%-5.79%-3.03%-10.31%+4.25%
201824/09/201820.96neutral-4.53%-18.75%-29.15%-29.39%+0.00%
201725/09/201741.40far below SMA50+9.86%+5.17%-5.48%-11.62%+9.86%
201623/09/201640.28near 52w low+5.11%+6.55%-5.14%-5.14%+8.07%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.30% · Win 50% · DD -5.27%20 days: Avg -2.48% · Win 50% · DD -9.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/2025129.39neutral-1.53%-5.57%+8.86%-5.57%+8.86%
202427/09/2024111.52neutral-1.17%+4.17%+9.13%-4.05%+9.13%
202327/09/202380.52volume x1.6+0.68%+3.19%-10.44%-10.44%+3.19%
202227/09/202253.06neutral+6.52%-0.53%+8.29%-5.07%+9.14%
202127/09/202167.59near 52w high-4.01%-5.21%+0.07%-7.32%+0.07%
202028/09/202033.09neutral+5.92%+10.31%+4.81%+0.00%+12.39%
201927/09/201921.68neutral-1.38%+2.08%-1.94%-8.53%+2.08%
201827/09/201819.83neutral-3.73%-22.24%-27.99%-32.02%+3.88%
201727/09/201743.71neutral-2.17%-0.21%-10.94%-16.29%+4.05%
201627/09/201640.65near 52w low+4.35%+1.03%-4.65%-6.00%+7.08%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.13% · Win 40% · DD -7.16%20 days: Avg -0.85% · Win 60% · DD -9.97%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/2025126.56neutral+5.24%+8.11%+20.62%-3.46%+20.62%
202401/10/2024107.00volume x1.7+5.42%+6.00%+11.76%+0.00%+13.74%
202302/10/202381.74near 52w high+0.51%-1.87%-14.07%-14.07%+1.65%
202230/09/202251.79neutral+9.04%-2.74%+13.36%-2.74%+13.36%
202101/10/202165.34neutral+0.46%-1.61%+6.86%-4.13%+6.86%
202001/10/202035.11neutral+0.66%+4.19%+4.81%-6.01%+5.92%
201901/10/201920.50neutral+1.61%+6.20%+5.51%-3.27%+7.95%
201801/10/201820.01neutral-14.89%-21.79%-31.58%-32.63%+0.00%
201702/10/201745.48neutral-4.27%-19.55%-11.96%-19.55%+0.00%
201630/09/201642.34near 52w high+1.37%-8.20%-13.79%-13.79%+2.81%
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.57% · Win 40% · DD -7.07%20 days: Avg -0.27% · Win 50% · DD -9.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/2025131.71neutral-0.90%+6.54%+14.03%-7.24%+15.91%
202404/10/2024110.22neutral+5.40%+3.25%+2.20%-0.39%+10.42%
202305/10/202378.80neutral+4.94%-2.72%-7.68%-10.86%+5.44%
202205/10/202257.57neutral-11.43%-9.22%-0.19%-12.51%+2.43%
202105/10/202165.38neutral-3.69%+0.24%+11.13%-4.19%+11.13%
202005/10/202035.05neutral+4.14%+6.11%+6.28%-5.85%+6.28%
201904/10/201921.38neutral+3.51%-1.59%+9.64%-2.57%+9.64%
201805/10/201817.76far below SMA50-11.82%-16.67%-6.93%-24.10%+0.00%
201705/10/201742.74neutral+1.22%-12.33%-15.63%-15.63%+2.06%
201605/10/201642.34near 52w high-5.43%-9.35%-15.59%-15.59%+2.81%
Upcoming 18/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.98% · Win 70% · DD -4.79%20 days: Avg +12.05% · Win 90% · DD -6.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/10/2025136.82neutral+2.95%+8.27%+18.77%-0.67%+30.40%
202418/10/2024113.80near 52w high+6.94%-1.01%+8.08%-1.23%+22.27%
202318/10/202378.31neutral-7.92%-9.83%+4.60%-10.31%+4.62%
202218/10/202252.50neutral+9.45%+12.32%+36.80%-0.46%+36.80%
202118/10/202165.03neutral+4.01%+8.83%+16.28%+0.00%+16.28%
202019/10/202037.19volume x1.9-6.75%+0.16%+12.37%-11.27%+16.32%
201918/10/201921.04neutral+1.05%+11.41%+23.15%-0.10%+26.57%
201818/10/201815.28near 52w low · far below SMA50-6.54%+4.06%+15.97%-11.78%+17.47%
201718/10/201738.77neutral+0.41%+2.81%-22.57%-22.57%+5.44%
201618/10/201638.76near 52w low+0.00%-7.20%+7.09%-7.79%+7.09%
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.58% · Win 80% · DD -3.95%20 days: Avg +14.52% · Win 90% · DD -5.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/2025135.91neutral+12.32%+10.13%+18.88%+0.00%+31.28%
202422/10/2024113.79near 52w high+5.09%+2.55%+10.10%-1.22%+22.28%
202323/10/202373.68neutral-4.67%+0.07%+14.05%-4.67%+14.05%
202221/10/202254.79neutral+7.15%+17.89%+26.04%-0.58%+31.08%
202122/10/202166.49near 52w high+5.01%+10.54%+16.57%-0.56%+16.68%
202022/10/202035.46neutral+3.78%+16.84%+19.77%-6.94%+22.00%
201922/10/201921.44neutral+0.89%+12.45%+20.06%-1.96%+24.21%
201822/10/201814.85near 52w low · far below SMA50-7.81%+8.22%+12.53%-9.23%+21.28%
201723/10/201739.13neutral+2.33%-1.41%-15.72%-23.28%+4.47%
201621/10/201638.21near 52w low-4.48%-1.47%+22.87%-6.46%+22.87%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -35.0% · from 52w low: +123.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+5.77% · -0.08% · -12.33% · -29.20%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.49% · -3.66% · +2.66%
Distance from 52w high / low-34.97% · +123.36%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg11.77 · 1.25x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-10.26%
vs SPY (20d)-10.44%
vs SMH (20d)-8.13%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200276.56 · 282.78 · 265.37
52w high / low418.90 · 121.97