🕰️ Time Machine
MUSA — Murphy USA
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
534.63 +0.48%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
24/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 21/10/2026
since -0.35%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 09/09/2026
490.29
Days: 32 trading / 44 calendar · return since: +9.04%
Last major high · 21/07/2026
635.17
Days: 67 trading / 94 calendar · return since: -15.83%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 19/10/2026 | -4 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 09/09/2026 @ 490.29 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 21/10/2026 | -2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 09/09/2026 @ 490.29 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 24/10/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 09/09/2026 @ 490.29 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 08/11/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/09/2026 @ 490.29 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 11/11/2026 | +13 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 18/11/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 25/11/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 09/09/2026 @ 490.29 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 03/12/2026 | +28 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bearish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 21/10/2026
● Shooting Star 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 19/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 19/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 14/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
● Shooting Star 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 12/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
● Gap Day 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.04% · Win 67% · DD -1.61%20 days: Avg +6.62% · Win 89% · DD -2.50%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 379.57 | neutral | -1.93% | +4.45% | -5.69% | -6.00% | +4.45% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 489.43 | neutral | -1.94% | -1.41% | +6.80% | -3.62% | +6.80% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 359.88 | near 52w high | +0.39% | +1.10% | +1.27% | -1.82% | +5.38% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 276.77 | neutral | +2.32% | +14.75% | +5.09% | +0.00% | +15.14% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 167.44 | near 52w high | +5.49% | -2.66% | +8.42% | -2.68% | +8.42% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 127.78 | neutral | -2.42% | -3.35% | +6.98% | -6.07% | +7.06% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 85.63 | neutral | +4.52% | +9.42% | +36.09% | +0.00% | +39.81% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 79.22 | neutral | +1.10% | +2.03% | +0.09% | -0.21% | +3.71% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 73.55 | neutral | -0.72% | +3.00% | +0.57% | -2.11% | +3.24% |
Passed 19/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.63% · Win 67% · DD -2.17%20 days: Avg +6.68% · Win 67% · DD -2.34%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 372.44 | neutral | +5.79% | -1.18% | -3.64% | -4.20% | +6.45% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 480.61 | neutral | -1.51% | +0.87% | +10.22% | -1.85% | +10.22% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 364.94 | near 52w high | -1.21% | +1.71% | -0.16% | -3.18% | +3.92% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 282.18 | neutral | +2.39% | +8.62% | +3.60% | -1.84% | +12.93% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 169.78 | near 52w high | -0.72% | -3.21% | +6.97% | -4.02% | +8.34% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 124.54 | neutral | +0.88% | -3.62% | +8.90% | -3.62% | +9.84% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 89.10 | neutral | +3.69% | +27.46% | +31.57% | +0.00% | +34.37% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 79.98 | neutral | +0.39% | +1.84% | -0.85% | -1.16% | +2.73% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 72.86 | neutral | +3.40% | +0.19% | +3.55% | -1.18% | +4.21% |
In window 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.91% · Win 60% · DD -3.03%20 days: Avg +5.44% · Win 70% · DD -3.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 372.23 | neutral | +6.51% | -1.47% | -0.79% | -4.15% | +6.51% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 479.94 | neutral | +0.54% | +0.16% | +8.66% | -1.71% | +10.38% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 361.30 | near 52w high | +0.70% | +4.97% | +0.31% | -2.21% | +4.97% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 283.18 | neutral | +12.15% | +7.22% | +2.19% | +0.00% | +12.53% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 176.63 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -7.72% | -3.48% | +3.72% | -7.75% | +4.14% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 124.69 | neutral | -0.95% | -0.91% | +4.10% | -3.74% | +9.71% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 89.50 | neutral | +4.69% | +29.14% | +35.02% | +0.00% | +35.02% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 80.09 | neutral | +0.92% | +2.58% | -1.70% | -1.70% | +2.58% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 73.02 | neutral | +3.75% | +0.45% | +4.26% | -1.40% | +4.26% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 69.78 | near 52w high | -1.43% | -9.59% | -1.42% | -17.17% | +2.02% |
In window 24/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.43% · Win 70% · DD -3.21%20 days: Avg +5.85% · Win 70% · DD -4.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 379.50 | neutral | -5.61% | -4.17% | +0.79% | -5.98% | +4.47% |
| 2024 | 24/10/2024 | 471.73 | neutral | +3.54% | +7.86% | +12.75% | +0.00% | +12.75% |
| 2023 | 24/10/2023 | 353.33 | neutral | +2.65% | +4.97% | +4.34% | +0.00% | +7.34% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 295.10 | near 52w high | +6.58% | +3.88% | -1.69% | -3.49% | +7.99% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 176.38 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | -6.51% | +0.65% | +4.21% | -7.61% | +4.29% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 124.66 | neutral | -1.90% | +3.43% | +5.57% | -3.71% | +9.74% |
| 2019 | 24/10/2019 | 91.61 | near 52w high | +28.73% | +26.89% | +31.11% | +0.00% | +31.91% |
| 2018 | 24/10/2018 | 79.05 | volume x1.5 | +2.00% | +3.28% | -0.18% | -2.28% | +3.93% |
| 2017 | 24/10/2017 | 74.11 | neutral | +0.34% | -2.85% | +3.04% | -2.85% | +3.68% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 69.78 | near 52w high | -1.43% | -9.59% | -1.42% | -17.17% | +2.02% |
Upcoming 08/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.72% · Win 80% · DD -2.51%20 days: Avg +2.22% · Win 60% · DD -3.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/11/2025 | 363.68 | neutral | -1.78% | +5.17% | +8.15% | -1.78% | +9.63% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 518.24 | neutral | +2.11% | +5.23% | +2.54% | +0.00% | +7.19% |
| 2023 | 08/11/2023 | 365.32 | near 52w high | +0.60% | +1.20% | -1.51% | -1.51% | +2.22% |
| 2022 | 08/11/2022 | 304.50 | neutral | -6.57% | -3.87% | -2.73% | -6.57% | +0.54% |
| 2021 | 08/11/2021 | 177.22 | near 52w high | +1.73% | +3.54% | +7.32% | -2.20% | +7.32% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 130.43 | volume x1.5 | +3.98% | +0.87% | -3.68% | -4.73% | +4.88% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 115.66 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.36% | +3.69% | +1.73% | -0.48% | +4.48% |
| 2018 | 08/11/2018 | 81.70 | neutral | -2.82% | -3.12% | -9.72% | -9.99% | +1.41% |
| 2017 | 08/11/2017 | 72.07 | volume x1.5 | +2.50% | +5.54% | +10.75% | +0.00% | +10.75% |
| 2016 | 08/11/2016 | 63.13 | near 52w low | +0.43% | +8.90% | +9.33% | -8.44% | +11.29% |
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.98% · Win 80% · DD -1.69%20 days: Avg +1.70% · Win 60% · DD -2.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/11/2025 | 357.35 | near 52w low | +3.16% | +5.88% | +8.01% | -0.22% | +11.38% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 522.21 | neutral | -0.23% | +5.57% | +3.41% | -0.23% | +6.37% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 364.04 | near 52w high | -0.55% | +1.17% | -2.35% | -2.74% | +2.58% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 290.53 | neutral | -0.51% | +2.44% | -1.18% | -2.08% | +2.44% |
| 2021 | 11/11/2021 | 181.23 | near 52w high | +0.92% | -1.31% | +4.00% | -4.36% | +4.95% |
| 2020 | 11/11/2020 | 136.70 | neutral | -5.04% | -5.83% | -7.07% | -9.10% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 116.53 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.70% | +1.54% | +0.47% | -1.22% | +3.70% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 79.29 | neutral | -0.71% | +3.59% | -3.81% | -7.25% | +4.49% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 73.97 | neutral | +2.92% | +1.35% | +8.42% | -0.92% | +9.50% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 60.87 | neutral | +11.34% | +15.43% | +7.08% | +0.00% | +15.43% |
Upcoming 18/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.88% · Win 60% · DD -1.79%20 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 50% · DD -3.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/11/2025 | 368.64 | neutral | +2.64% | +5.91% | +11.11% | -0.41% | +11.11% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 521.00 | neutral | +5.82% | +3.87% | +3.59% | +0.00% | +6.62% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 362.03 | neutral | +1.73% | +1.52% | -0.32% | -2.20% | +2.37% |
| 2022 | 18/11/2022 | 289.06 | neutral | +2.96% | -1.14% | -0.99% | -3.44% | +2.96% |
| 2021 | 18/11/2021 | 182.89 | near 52w high · volume x2.2 | -2.21% | +0.72% | +4.84% | -5.23% | +4.96% |
| 2020 | 18/11/2020 | 129.57 | neutral | -0.83% | -3.65% | +3.07% | -4.28% | +3.07% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 120.84 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.09% | -3.06% | -2.01% | -3.51% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 19/11/2018 | 78.73 | neutral | +4.33% | -1.75% | -6.72% | -6.72% | +5.23% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 76.13 | near 52w high | -1.52% | +4.56% | +3.72% | -2.08% | +6.40% |
| 2016 | 18/11/2016 | 67.77 | neutral | +3.67% | +1.86% | -1.42% | -4.10% | +3.67% |
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.56% · Win 20% · DD -3.83%20 days: Avg -0.96% · Win 60% · DD -5.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/11/2025 | 378.37 | neutral | +3.18% | +2.01% | +8.44% | +0.00% | +8.49% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 551.30 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.84% | -2.05% | -6.71% | -7.21% | +0.76% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 369.06 | near 52w high | +0.42% | -4.06% | -2.30% | -4.06% | +0.42% |
| 2022 | 25/11/2022 | 292.40 | neutral | -1.43% | -1.45% | +0.33% | -4.55% | +1.79% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 185.39 | near 52w high | -0.84% | -0.52% | +3.37% | -6.51% | +5.55% |
| 2020 | 25/11/2020 | 128.50 | neutral | -2.85% | -1.32% | +1.29% | -3.48% | +3.93% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 118.32 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.00% | -1.05% | +0.90% | -1.45% | +1.64% |
| 2018 | 26/11/2018 | 81.95 | neutral | -1.35% | -8.90% | -9.65% | -14.09% | +1.10% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 76.01 | near 52w high | +2.30% | +6.56% | +5.00% | -1.92% | +6.56% |
| 2016 | 25/11/2016 | 70.24 | near 52w high | -2.14% | -4.80% | -10.22% | -10.22% | +0.03% |
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.16% · Win 40% · DD -3.11%20 days: Avg -1.77% · Win 40% · DD -5.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/12/2025 | 390.41 | neutral | -1.14% | +4.92% | +3.82% | -1.14% | +5.15% |
| 2024 | 03/12/2024 | 541.16 | near 52w high | -0.21% | -0.27% | -8.77% | -8.77% | +1.80% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 367.52 | near 52w high | -3.28% | -1.81% | -1.42% | -3.66% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 288.22 | neutral | -0.02% | -0.78% | -5.35% | -5.35% | +2.77% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 184.20 | near 52w high | +2.32% | +4.10% | +7.31% | +0.00% | +8.17% |
| 2020 | 03/12/2020 | 124.84 | neutral | +1.57% | +6.98% | +2.69% | +0.00% | +6.98% |
| 2019 | 03/12/2019 | 117.14 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.05% | +1.08% | -1.83% | -1.83% | +2.66% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 80.84 | neutral | -7.64% | -8.23% | -5.91% | -12.91% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 79.60 | near 52w high | +0.75% | -0.80% | +1.67% | -6.34% | +1.76% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 68.74 | near 52w high | -2.72% | -3.62% | -9.92% | -10.58% | +1.05% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -15.9% · from 52w low: +52.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.38% · +1.04% · +4.51% · -13.12% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +1.79% · +1.03% · +3.99% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -15.95% · +52.83% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 14.97 · 1.98x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +9.90% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +5.99% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +17.60% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 525.25 · 529.18 · 514.11 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 636.05 · 349.83 |
|---|
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