🕰️ Time Machine
MUSA — Murphy USA
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
528.78 +2.19%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 9 days
19/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 01/09/2026
since -1.43%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/05/2026
501.70
Days: 71 trading / 104 calendar · return since: +5.40%
Last major high · 21/07/2026
635.17
Days: 36 trading / 51 calendar · return since: -16.75%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 01/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 19/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 23/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 501.70 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 26/09/2026 | +16 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 501.70 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/10/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 21/07/2026 @ 635.17 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 19/10/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 501.70 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 20/10/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 04/09/2026
● Gap Day 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 04/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 01/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.66% · Win 67% · DD -2.34%20 days: Avg +0.95% · Win 56% · DD -4.11%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 372.66 | neutral | +5.00% | +7.25% | +4.19% | -0.37% | +7.25% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 519.63 | near 52w high | -2.17% | +3.12% | -5.15% | -6.27% | +3.12% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 318.44 | near 52w high | -2.34% | +7.02% | +9.17% | -2.34% | +9.17% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 290.70 | near 52w high | -0.46% | -4.75% | -5.43% | -8.52% | +0.38% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 154.34 | near 52w high | -1.57% | +3.03% | +8.37% | -5.60% | +10.50% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 137.36 | near 52w high | -0.47% | +0.70% | -6.62% | -6.62% | +2.01% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 89.40 | neutral | -0.88% | -1.99% | -4.59% | -4.81% | +1.88% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 82.98 | neutral | -0.25% | -1.13% | +2.45% | -1.13% | +4.31% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 65.09 | neutral | +0.95% | +1.67% | +6.18% | -1.31% | +6.99% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.30% · Win 67% · DD -2.12%20 days: Avg +1.60% · Win 44% · DD -3.87%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 373.64 | neutral | +5.33% | +2.21% | +5.66% | +0.00% | +6.97% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 508.31 | near 52w high | +2.87% | +1.38% | -4.94% | -4.94% | +5.42% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 315.61 | near 52w high | +2.08% | +6.99% | +8.83% | -1.46% | +10.15% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 287.58 | neutral | +0.42% | +0.01% | -1.47% | -7.53% | +1.47% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 157.38 | near 52w high | -5.18% | +2.82% | +7.52% | -7.42% | +8.36% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 136.61 | neutral | +2.20% | -1.05% | -6.59% | -6.59% | +2.20% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 88.63 | neutral | +0.12% | -1.71% | -3.79% | -3.98% | +2.76% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 84.48 | neutral | -0.47% | -1.99% | -0.73% | -2.89% | +2.46% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 64.24 | neutral | +4.14% | +3.02% | +9.92% | +0.00% | +9.92% |
Upcoming 19/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 40% · DD -2.51%20 days: Avg +0.80% · Win 50% · DD -3.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 382.98 | volume x1.7 | +2.47% | +3.26% | +1.12% | -4.10% | +3.26% |
| 2024 | 19/09/2024 | 492.76 | volume x2.6 | +0.92% | -3.08% | -2.52% | -3.23% | +1.39% |
| 2023 | 19/09/2023 | 337.66 | near 52w high | +0.72% | +1.72% | +8.55% | +0.00% | +8.55% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 287.61 | neutral | -7.29% | -1.48% | -1.25% | -7.54% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 161.82 | near 52w high | +4.57% | +4.57% | +4.19% | -1.02% | +5.39% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 136.04 | volume x2.0 | -3.79% | -6.17% | -7.71% | -7.71% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 19/09/2019 | 86.59 | neutral | -0.07% | -0.90% | +3.86% | -1.86% | +3.86% |
| 2018 | 19/09/2018 | 84.27 | neutral | +2.46% | -1.31% | -4.28% | -6.72% | +2.72% |
| 2017 | 19/09/2017 | 66.18 | neutral | +4.38% | +6.69% | +11.02% | +0.00% | +11.14% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 72.88 | near 52w high | +0.05% | -2.29% | -4.99% | -4.99% | +0.26% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.96% · Win 40% · DD -2.61%20 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 50% · DD -3.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 392.37 | neutral | -1.05% | -2.60% | -5.13% | -6.39% | +0.79% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 495.15 | neutral | -0.46% | -3.70% | -3.07% | -3.70% | +0.90% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 342.00 | near 52w high | -0.08% | +4.17% | +5.64% | -0.56% | +8.27% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 265.93 | neutral | +3.38% | +1.21% | +6.49% | +0.00% | +7.61% |
| 2021 | 23/09/2021 | 163.11 | near 52w high | +2.54% | +2.34% | +8.29% | -0.77% | +8.29% |
| 2020 | 23/09/2020 | 134.25 | neutral | -4.45% | -4.75% | -7.12% | -7.23% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 88.38 | neutral | -3.48% | -2.90% | +1.27% | -3.85% | +1.75% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 86.56 | near 52w high | -1.79% | -6.93% | -7.47% | -9.18% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 68.00 | neutral | +1.47% | +5.41% | +7.38% | +0.00% | +8.16% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 72.72 | near 52w high | -1.87% | -1.84% | -5.65% | -5.65% | +0.48% |
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.87% · Win 30% · DD -3.01%20 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 50% · DD -3.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 392.43 | neutral | +0.77% | -3.66% | -3.29% | -6.41% | +0.77% |
| 2024 | 26/09/2024 | 497.31 | neutral | -3.96% | -2.62% | -5.14% | -5.14% | +0.46% |
| 2023 | 26/09/2023 | 340.09 | near 52w high | +1.00% | +7.35% | +3.89% | +0.00% | +8.87% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 266.64 | neutral | +6.26% | +1.54% | +10.67% | +0.00% | +10.67% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 169.21 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.00% | -3.16% | +4.24% | -4.35% | +4.55% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 130.89 | neutral | -2.48% | -0.87% | -4.76% | -4.85% | +0.96% |
| 2019 | 26/09/2019 | 86.53 | neutral | -0.83% | -1.50% | +5.87% | -1.79% | +5.87% |
| 2018 | 26/09/2018 | 86.34 | near 52w high | -3.67% | -8.51% | -8.44% | -8.95% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 26/09/2017 | 69.08 | neutral | +2.21% | +4.98% | +7.28% | -0.19% | +7.28% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 72.92 | near 52w high | -2.35% | -2.22% | -4.31% | -5.91% | +0.21% |
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 60% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +4.20% · Win 70% · DD -3.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/10/2025 | 382.15 | neutral | -0.68% | -2.60% | -4.03% | -6.27% | +3.74% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 476.85 | neutral | +2.64% | +0.65% | +0.81% | -1.07% | +2.76% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 356.25 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.02% | +1.42% | +6.46% | -0.82% | +6.46% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 269.14 | neutral | +2.83% | +5.22% | +12.81% | +0.00% | +18.40% |
| 2021 | 07/10/2021 | 166.92 | near 52w high | +0.31% | +5.82% | +2.14% | -3.04% | +5.98% |
| 2020 | 07/10/2020 | 127.87 | neutral | -0.07% | -2.49% | -3.38% | -6.13% | +2.76% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 85.82 | neutral | -0.22% | +4.29% | +34.68% | -0.98% | +37.42% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 80.56 | neutral | -1.66% | -0.58% | +1.99% | -2.42% | +1.99% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 71.68 | volume x1.5 | +2.61% | +1.87% | +2.33% | +0.00% | +5.69% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 71.38 | near 52w high | -2.80% | -3.88% | -11.82% | -11.82% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.71% · Win 60% · DD -1.56%20 days: Avg +4.74% · Win 80% · DD -3.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 379.57 | neutral | -1.93% | +4.45% | -5.69% | -6.00% | +4.45% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 489.43 | neutral | -1.94% | -1.41% | +6.80% | -3.62% | +6.80% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 359.88 | near 52w high | +0.39% | +1.10% | +1.27% | -1.82% | +5.38% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 276.77 | neutral | +2.32% | +14.75% | +5.09% | +0.00% | +15.14% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 167.44 | near 52w high | +5.49% | -2.66% | +8.42% | -2.68% | +8.42% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 127.78 | neutral | -2.42% | -3.35% | +6.98% | -6.07% | +7.06% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 85.63 | neutral | +4.52% | +9.42% | +36.09% | +0.00% | +39.81% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 79.22 | neutral | +1.10% | +2.03% | +0.09% | -0.21% | +3.71% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 73.55 | neutral | -0.72% | +3.00% | +0.57% | -2.11% | +3.24% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 69.38 | near 52w low | -1.11% | -0.25% | -12.27% | -16.69% | +2.61% |
Upcoming 19/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.08% · Win 60% · DD -2.25%20 days: Avg +5.35% · Win 60% · DD -3.74%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 372.44 | neutral | +5.79% | -1.18% | -3.64% | -4.20% | +6.45% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 480.61 | neutral | -1.51% | +0.87% | +10.22% | -1.85% | +10.22% |
| 2023 | 19/10/2023 | 364.94 | near 52w high | -1.21% | +1.71% | -0.16% | -3.18% | +3.92% |
| 2022 | 19/10/2022 | 282.18 | neutral | +2.39% | +8.62% | +3.60% | -1.84% | +12.93% |
| 2021 | 19/10/2021 | 169.78 | near 52w high | -0.72% | -3.21% | +6.97% | -4.02% | +8.34% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 124.54 | neutral | +0.88% | -3.62% | +8.90% | -3.62% | +9.84% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 89.10 | neutral | +3.69% | +27.46% | +31.57% | +0.00% | +34.37% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 79.98 | neutral | +0.39% | +1.84% | -0.85% | -1.16% | +2.73% |
| 2017 | 19/10/2017 | 72.86 | neutral | +3.40% | +0.19% | +3.55% | -1.18% | +4.21% |
| 2016 | 19/10/2016 | 69.11 | near 52w low · volume x1.5 | +3.01% | -1.85% | -6.67% | -16.37% | +3.01% |
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.73% · Win 60% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg +5.45% · Win 70% · DD -3.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 372.44 | neutral | +5.79% | -1.18% | -3.64% | -4.20% | +6.45% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 479.94 | neutral | +0.54% | +0.16% | +8.66% | -1.71% | +10.38% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 361.30 | near 52w high | +0.70% | +4.97% | +0.31% | -2.21% | +4.97% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 276.98 | neutral | +10.10% | +11.92% | +5.51% | +0.00% | +15.05% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 173.09 | near 52w high | -4.28% | -1.95% | +1.49% | -5.86% | +6.27% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 125.23 | neutral | -0.65% | -3.04% | +6.97% | -4.15% | +9.24% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 89.50 | neutral | +4.69% | +29.14% | +35.02% | +0.00% | +35.02% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 79.98 | neutral | +0.39% | +1.84% | -0.85% | -1.16% | +2.73% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 73.02 | neutral | +3.75% | +0.45% | +4.26% | -1.40% | +4.26% |
| 2016 | 20/10/2016 | 68.87 | near 52w low | -0.19% | -4.98% | -3.18% | -16.07% | +3.37% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-7.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -16.9% · from 52w low: +51.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +1.60% · -0.54% · -3.21% · -9.79% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -2.32% · -7.25% · +6.82% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -16.87% · +51.15% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 18.15 · 0.06x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -1.19% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.29% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +0.66% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 541.34 · 570.08 · 495.00 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 636.05 · 349.83 |
|---|
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