🕰️ Time Machine

NCLH — Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
14.57 -1.89%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 6 days
16/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 01/09/2026
since -5.57%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/05/2026
14.53
Days: 78 trading / 114 calendar · return since: +0.28%
Last major high · 29/06/2026
21.95
Days: 51 trading / 73 calendar · return since: -33.62%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 45Trading📅 01/09/2026-6 (±2)Passed
Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53Cycle 120Calendar📅 16/09/2026+6 (±3)Upcoming
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 60Trading📅 23/09/2026+9 (±2)Upcoming
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/09/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53Cycle 90Trading📅 28/09/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53Cycle 144Calendar📅 10/10/2026+30 (±3)Upcoming
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 90Trading📅 04/11/2026+39 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53Cycle 120Trading📅 09/11/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Hammer Reversal 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 01/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.99% · Win 78% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 67% · DD -6.00%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202524.72neutral+2.63%+3.48%-0.36%-0.77%+8.98%
202430/08/202417.89neutral-2.18%+10.96%+14.65%-5.25%+17.83%
202301/09/202316.40far below SMA50+1.59%+4.39%+0.24%-7.44%+5.73%
202201/09/202213.01neutral+12.22%+17.68%-12.68%-12.68%+19.06%
202101/09/202125.16neutral-0.87%-0.40%+6.16%-2.94%+12.64%
202001/09/202016.94neutral+5.84%+3.31%+1.00%-13.64%+9.39%
201930/08/201950.75neutral+4.32%+5.10%+2.01%-0.33%+7.74%
201831/08/201853.61neutral-0.35%+4.14%+5.88%-1.18%+7.96%
201701/09/201758.54near 52w high-3.23%-3.74%-7.04%-9.75%+0.00%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.68% · Win 40% · DD -7.09%20 days: Avg -2.66% · Win 40% · DD -9.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202525.58neutral-0.04%-3.71%-7.15%-12.24%+0.00%
202416/09/202419.85far above SMA50 · volume x2.0+5.74%+3.32%+17.63%-2.07%+17.78%
202315/09/202317.23neutral-9.11%-4.35%-13.76%-13.76%+0.64%
202216/09/202215.31far above SMA50-11.50%-25.80%-14.89%-25.80%+0.13%
202116/09/202125.06neutral+8.90%+6.58%+6.15%-0.28%+13.09%
202016/09/202017.50far above SMA50-13.31%-2.23%-5.83%-16.40%+7.03%
201916/09/201953.34neutral+0.32%-2.94%-7.52%-11.57%+1.16%
201817/09/201855.83neutral+1.99%+1.67%-9.17%-9.33%+3.67%
201715/09/201756.74volume x2.3-4.79%-4.74%+3.52%-6.89%+4.27%
201616/09/201635.75near 52w high+4.67%+5.45%+4.42%-1.15%+8.08%
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.61% · Win 40% · DD -5.77%20 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 40% · DD -9.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/09/202525.57neutral-3.68%-6.53%-6.45%-12.20%+0.00%
202423/09/202420.99near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.29%-4.29%+12.96%-7.38%+17.01%
202322/09/202315.66far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+5.24%+6.32%-13.28%-13.28%+8.17%
202223/09/202213.55neutral-16.16%-4.80%+10.18%-16.16%+10.18%
202123/09/202127.29volume x1.6-2.13%-1.14%-6.56%-6.56%+3.85%
202023/09/202015.17neutral+12.79%+18.72%+12.00%-3.56%+23.47%
201923/09/201953.51neutral-3.25%-9.25%-4.78%-11.85%+0.00%
201824/09/201856.94neutral-0.32%-4.67%-15.33%-15.33%+0.86%
201722/09/201754.02neutral+0.06%+8.92%-0.54%-2.20%+9.51%
201623/09/201637.42near 52w high+0.75%+2.78%+1.52%-1.87%+3.53%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.10% · Win 40% · DD -6.81%20 days: Avg -2.14% · Win 60% · DD -9.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202525.04neutral-2.88%-10.34%-6.27%-10.34%+0.00%
202427/09/202420.95near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.67%+11.60%+10.55%-7.21%+17.23%
202327/09/202316.29neutral+1.04%-3.87%-15.78%-16.64%+3.99%
202227/09/202213.96neutral-4.58%-16.69%+13.40%-18.62%+13.40%
202127/09/202128.34far above SMA50 · volume x1.5-3.07%-7.41%-8.54%-10.09%+0.00%
202028/09/202016.68neutral+1.86%+8.39%+0.72%-3.48%+12.29%
201927/09/201951.02neutral-5.06%-3.65%+0.88%-7.55%+1.47%
201827/09/201856.89volume x2.6-3.23%-11.02%-20.14%-20.76%+0.95%
201727/09/201752.83neutral+5.96%+11.30%+3.71%+0.00%+11.98%
201627/09/201637.69near 52w high+0.96%+0.69%+0.11%-1.41%+2.79%
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.39% · Win 40% · DD -7.44%20 days: Avg -3.14% · Win 60% · DD -10.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202524.75neutral-2.63%-6.91%-5.01%-9.29%+0.00%
202427/09/202420.95near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.67%+11.60%+10.55%-7.21%+17.23%
202328/09/202316.94neutral-2.95%-8.56%-20.07%-20.07%+0.00%
202228/09/202214.64neutral-9.70%-11.34%+8.61%-22.40%+8.61%
202128/09/202127.93far above SMA50-0.61%-3.19%-7.23%-8.77%+1.36%
202028/09/202016.68neutral+1.86%+8.39%+0.72%-3.48%+12.29%
201927/09/201951.02neutral-5.06%-3.65%+0.88%-7.55%+1.47%
201828/09/201857.43neutral-5.55%-11.72%-23.59%-23.59%+0.00%
201728/09/201753.65neutral+8.87%+9.71%+2.37%+0.00%+10.27%
201628/09/201637.44near 52w high+2.19%+1.71%+1.42%-0.75%+3.47%
Upcoming 10/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 40% · DD -6.32%20 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 40% · DD -10.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/10/202522.45neutral+2.18%+4.54%-15.06%-18.75%+6.55%
202410/10/202423.02near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.74%+0.87%+17.51%+0.00%+20.59%
202310/10/202316.61neutral-8.85%-16.01%-19.39%-21.31%+0.00%
202210/10/202211.91far below SMA50+10.66%+28.55%+39.97%-2.35%+42.65%
202111/10/202126.24neutral-0.42%-1.22%+7.62%-2.90%+10.21%
202009/10/202018.73far above SMA50-13.51%-2.03%-9.40%-19.75%+0.00%
201910/10/201948.09neutral+3.51%+5.99%+8.59%+0.00%+9.42%
201810/10/201852.11neutral-1.32%-13.49%-7.89%-18.77%+0.00%
201710/10/201759.16near 52w high-0.93%-7.61%-6.42%-9.20%+0.00%
201610/10/201638.48near 52w high-2.62%-1.09%-1.69%-7.20%+1.01%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.41% · Win 60% · DD -4.10%20 days: Avg +7.44% · Win 80% · DD -6.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202518.79far below SMA50 · volume x3.4+0.16%-5.06%+0.21%-6.87%+1.49%
202404/11/202425.15far above SMA50+10.62%+3.78%+8.87%+0.00%+12.72%
202303/11/202313.81far below SMA50 · volume x1.5-4.56%+8.11%+26.72%-7.60%+26.72%
202204/11/202216.94far above SMA50+5.43%-3.36%-4.31%-6.79%+8.03%
202104/11/202126.82neutral-1.94%-12.08%-31.80%-33.67%+7.83%
202004/11/202016.16neutral+20.79%+26.61%+57.30%+0.00%+57.30%
201904/11/201952.29neutral-0.71%+2.29%+1.09%-1.97%+4.49%
201805/11/201846.09far below SMA50+5.38%+6.90%+5.81%+0.00%+11.93%
201703/11/201755.03neutral+0.36%-0.35%+0.69%-1.93%+3.38%
201604/11/201637.00neutral+3.84%+7.24%+9.84%-3.97%+11.73%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 50% · DD -5.06%20 days: Avg +7.18% · Win 40% · DD -7.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/202519.04far below SMA50-7.93%-6.78%-1.68%-8.09%+0.37%
202408/11/202427.32near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.29%-1.68%-4.98%-4.98%+3.77%
202309/11/202312.76far below SMA50+14.66%+12.62%+46.39%+0.00%+47.10%
202209/11/202215.79neutral+11.40%+3.36%-0.44%-2.09%+15.90%
202109/11/202127.80neutral-14.96%-18.85%-21.69%-36.01%+0.00%
202009/11/202021.51far above SMA50 · volume x3.4-0.93%-2.88%+30.87%-12.37%+30.87%
201908/11/201951.82neutral+2.39%+4.23%+5.87%-1.08%+5.87%
201809/11/201848.75neutral+3.45%+5.76%-3.12%-3.12%+5.83%
201709/11/201756.89neutral-5.13%-2.44%-3.27%-5.13%+0.00%
201609/11/201635.53near 52w low · volume x2.6+11.37%+12.52%+23.90%+0.00%+23.90%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-20.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -46.4% · from 52w low: +0.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-6.42% · -14.75% · -22.99% · -27.66%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-12.67% · -20.68% · -26.43%
Distance from 52w high / low-46.39% · +0.83%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.53 · 1.27x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-20.92%
vs SPY (20d)-21.10%
vs SMH (20d)-18.79%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20016.68 · 18.37 · 19.81
52w high / low27.18 · 14.45