🕰️ Time Machine

NCLH — Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
15.10 -2.83%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
23/10/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 22/10/2026
since -2.83%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 23/09/2026
13.63
Days: 22 trading / 30 calendar · return since: +10.79%
Last major high · 29/06/2026
21.95
Days: 82 trading / 116 calendar · return since: -31.21%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Fib 13Trading📅 12/10/2026-9 (±1)Passed
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Fib 21Calendar📅 14/10/2026-9 (±1)Passed
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Fib 21Trading📅 22/10/2026-1 (±1)In window
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Cycle 30Calendar📅 23/10/2026+0 (±2)In window
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 120Calendar📅 27/10/2026+4 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Cycle 30Trading📅 04/11/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 90Trading📅 04/11/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Cycle 45Calendar📅 07/11/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 144Calendar📅 20/11/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Cycle 60Calendar📅 22/11/2026+30 (±2)Upcoming
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Cycle 45Trading📅 25/11/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 23/09/2026 @ 13.63Cycle 60Trading📅 17/12/2026+38 (±2)Upcoming
High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95Cycle 120Trading📅 17/12/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Gap Day 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 23/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 20/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 22/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 09/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 12/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 12/10/2026
● Gap Day 07/10/2026🎯 near Fib 13 window · 12/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 12/10/2026 · Low Fib 13/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.74% · Win 33% · DD -5.94%20 days: Avg +2.61% · Win 56% · DD -9.72%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202523.04neutral+0.91%+2.04%-17.36%-20.83%+3.82%
202411/10/202423.38near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.84%-0.94%+16.85%-0.94%+18.73%
202312/10/202315.49neutral-9.88%-12.59%-17.62%-17.62%+0.00%
202212/10/202212.98volume x1.5+7.16%+22.50%+21.65%-0.23%+33.13%
202112/10/202127.04neutral-5.25%-4.18%+2.81%-5.77%+6.95%
202012/10/202018.08far above SMA50-9.02%-7.08%+18.97%-16.87%+18.97%
201911/10/201949.16neutral+2.14%+4.70%+5.41%+0.00%+7.04%
201812/10/201850.70volume x1.7-3.35%-13.45%-3.85%-16.51%+2.37%
201712/10/201758.86near 52w high · volume x8.5-7.97%-6.69%-3.35%-8.73%+0.10%
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.74% · Win 33% · DD -6.10%20 days: Avg +4.06% · Win 44% · DD -8.47%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/202523.75neutral+0.72%-5.89%-20.76%-23.20%+0.72%
202414/10/202423.35near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.54%+1.93%+19.14%-0.81%+19.14%
202313/10/202314.86far below SMA50-8.61%-10.09%-11.31%-14.13%+1.88%
202214/10/202213.03neutral+14.58%+26.78%+37.07%+0.00%+37.07%
202114/10/202126.60neutral-4.14%-2.97%-1.13%-4.21%+8.72%
202014/10/202016.48neutral+3.09%-8.80%+18.45%-8.80%+30.52%
201914/10/201949.33neutral+3.28%+5.19%+5.25%+0.00%+6.67%
201815/10/201850.71neutral-4.93%-16.53%-4.22%-16.53%+2.35%
201713/10/201758.74near 52w high-8.53%-5.28%-5.98%-8.55%+0.31%
In window 22/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.87% · Win 50% · DD -6.40%20 days: Avg +2.48% · Win 80% · DD -8.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/202523.63volume x1.6-5.97%-21.24%-24.76%-25.81%+0.00%
202422/10/202423.92near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.79%+8.44%+10.12%-3.18%+16.51%
202323/10/202313.92far below SMA50-2.87%-5.82%+5.03%-8.33%+7.26%
202221/10/202214.93neutral+10.65%+13.46%+9.65%+0.00%+22.57%
202122/10/202125.48neutral+0.94%+13.50%-9.38%-9.38%+13.50%
202022/10/202017.71neutral-10.95%-2.60%+18.69%-15.13%+24.56%
201922/10/201949.97neutral+5.30%+5.04%+7.38%+0.00%+7.38%
201822/10/201848.21near 52w low · far below SMA50-12.20%-4.40%+2.20%-12.20%+4.63%
201723/10/201753.72neutral+2.01%+2.87%+1.81%+0.00%+5.90%
201624/10/201638.06near 52w high+2.13%-0.60%+4.02%-6.65%+8.62%
In window 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 50% · DD -6.57%20 days: Avg +0.86% · Win 80% · DD -8.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/202523.48volume x1.8-5.37%-22.32%-25.47%-25.47%+0.13%
202423/10/202423.40far above SMA50+1.88%+18.63%+11.28%-1.03%+19.10%
202323/10/202313.92far below SMA50-2.87%-5.82%+5.03%-8.33%+7.26%
202224/10/202215.31far above SMA50+10.32%+8.88%+5.29%+0.00%+19.53%
202122/10/202125.48neutral+0.94%+13.50%-9.38%-9.38%+13.50%
202023/10/202018.35neutral-9.37%-7.52%+8.94%-18.09%+20.22%
201923/10/201950.69neutral+0.99%+2.70%+4.12%+0.00%+5.86%
201823/10/201848.09near 52w low · far below SMA50-11.83%-3.16%+2.91%-11.98%+4.89%
201723/10/201753.72neutral+2.01%+2.87%+1.81%+0.00%+5.90%
201624/10/201638.06near 52w high+2.13%-0.60%+4.02%-6.65%+8.62%
Upcoming 27/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.71% · Win 70% · DD -4.57%20 days: Avg +6.06% · Win 70% · DD -6.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202523.51neutral-5.66%-19.01%-24.50%-25.56%+0.00%
202428/10/202423.80near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.67%+16.89%+14.08%+0.00%+17.10%
202327/10/202313.36far below SMA50+3.37%-1.35%+7.63%-4.49%+11.75%
202227/10/202215.93far above SMA50+6.65%+7.28%+3.14%-0.88%+14.88%
202127/10/202125.50neutral+7.14%+4.82%-11.25%-11.53%+13.41%
202027/10/202016.53neutral+0.12%+21.72%+36.42%-9.07%+36.42%
201928/10/201951.89neutral+0.77%+0.06%+4.01%-2.18%+4.09%
201826/10/201843.88near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5+4.38%+11.10%+17.50%-3.53%+17.50%
201727/10/201755.64neutral-1.10%-0.74%-0.05%-3.00%+2.25%
201627/10/201635.71near 52w low+4.20%+6.33%+13.64%-0.50%+15.77%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.41% · Win 60% · DD -4.10%20 days: Avg +7.44% · Win 80% · DD -6.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202518.79far below SMA50 · volume x3.4+0.16%-5.06%+0.21%-6.87%+1.49%
202404/11/202425.15far above SMA50+10.62%+3.78%+8.87%+0.00%+12.72%
202303/11/202313.81far below SMA50 · volume x1.5-4.56%+8.11%+26.72%-7.60%+26.72%
202204/11/202216.94far above SMA50+5.43%-3.36%-4.31%-6.79%+8.03%
202104/11/202126.82neutral-1.94%-12.08%-31.80%-33.67%+7.83%
202004/11/202016.16neutral+20.79%+26.61%+57.30%+0.00%+57.30%
201904/11/201952.29neutral-0.71%+2.29%+1.09%-1.97%+4.49%
201805/11/201846.09far below SMA50+5.38%+6.90%+5.81%+0.00%+11.93%
201703/11/201755.03neutral+0.36%-0.35%+0.69%-1.93%+3.38%
201604/11/201637.00near 52w low+3.84%+7.24%+9.84%-3.97%+11.73%
Upcoming 07/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.90% · Win 60% · DD -5.09%20 days: Avg +7.16% · Win 60% · DD -7.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/11/202519.07far below SMA50-4.09%-4.56%+0.21%-8.23%+0.21%
202407/11/202427.05near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.37%-1.07%+2.22%-3.73%+4.81%
202307/11/202313.39far below SMA50+4.78%+7.02%+35.77%-4.71%+35.77%
202207/11/202216.67far above SMA50+7.20%-3.30%-5.04%-5.28%+9.78%
202108/11/202128.24neutral-9.67%-18.56%-28.75%-37.00%+0.00%
202006/11/202016.97neutral+18.21%+17.80%+56.16%+0.00%+56.16%
201907/11/201952.22volume x2.0+0.36%+2.30%+4.77%-1.84%+4.77%
201807/11/201848.00neutral+3.56%+4.48%-0.85%-0.85%+7.48%
201707/11/201755.36neutral-0.47%+0.22%-1.90%-2.51%+2.76%
201607/11/201637.83near 52w high+9.28%+4.65%+9.04%-6.08%+9.28%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.81% · Win 60% · DD -3.10%20 days: Avg +7.43% · Win 60% · DD -6.41%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/202517.50far below SMA50+5.49%+8.11%+31.66%+0.00%+31.66%
202420/11/202426.04far above SMA50+3.38%+6.07%-2.42%-3.61%+8.87%
202320/11/202314.62neutral-0.96%+20.31%+41.52%-1.98%+41.52%
202221/11/202216.12neutral+2.79%-1.80%-15.69%-15.69%+3.10%
202119/11/202123.09far below SMA50 · volume x1.6-12.43%-13.25%-10.18%-22.95%+0.00%
202020/11/202019.99far above SMA50+14.41%+32.57%+23.96%+0.00%+40.82%
201920/11/201952.78neutral+3.52%+2.79%+4.85%+0.00%+6.35%
201820/11/201849.49neutral+4.24%-0.26%-14.53%-14.53%+4.24%
201720/11/201754.69neutral+1.13%-0.66%+1.65%-3.44%+1.68%
201621/11/201639.59near 52w high+2.83%+4.19%+13.46%-1.87%+14.02%
Upcoming 22/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.04% · Win 50% · DD -4.60%20 days: Avg +6.72% · Win 50% · DD -7.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/11/202518.20far below SMA50+2.03%+5.00%+33.35%-2.47%+33.35%
202422/11/202426.86near 52w high · far above SMA50+5.55%-3.35%-2.72%-6.55%+5.55%
202322/11/202314.39neutral+6.12%+30.44%+45.59%-0.14%+45.59%
202222/11/202216.21neutral+1.42%-4.63%-15.18%-16.16%+2.53%
202122/11/202123.00far below SMA50-15.17%-12.52%-3.52%-22.65%+0.00%
202023/11/202020.89far above SMA50+9.81%+34.75%+10.48%+0.00%+34.75%
201922/11/201954.01neutral-1.59%+1.57%+8.33%-2.13%+8.33%
201821/11/201850.15neutral+2.81%-5.10%-18.66%-18.66%+2.87%
201722/11/201755.31neutral-2.08%-1.75%-2.12%-4.52%+0.54%
201622/11/201640.25near 52w high-1.09%+5.99%+11.63%-3.48%+12.15%
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.03% · Win 50% · DD -5.10%20 days: Avg +4.89% · Win 60% · DD -8.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/11/202518.35far below SMA50+2.62%+4.85%+26.27%-0.11%+32.26%
202425/11/202427.15near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.85%-2.76%-2.69%-7.55%+4.42%
202324/11/202314.37neutral+14.27%+29.99%+45.79%+0.00%+45.79%
202225/11/202216.43neutral+0.67%-6.57%-20.88%-20.88%+1.16%
202124/11/202122.63far below SMA50-15.33%-5.39%+0.40%-21.39%+0.40%
202025/11/202023.20far above SMA50+9.57%+18.28%+5.95%-1.42%+21.34%
201925/11/201953.97neutral-2.06%+1.50%+8.17%-2.06%+8.41%
201826/11/201851.56neutral-0.04%-8.40%-18.66%-23.29%+0.06%
201724/11/201755.50neutral-1.24%-0.85%-2.65%-4.85%+0.20%
201625/11/201640.58near 52w high-3.20%+9.66%+7.22%-4.26%+11.24%
Upcoming 17/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.15% · Win 40% · DD -6.97%20 days: Avg +2.10% · Win 70% · DD -7.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/12/202521.54neutral+7.57%+5.76%+2.18%+0.00%+13.88%
202417/12/202426.39neutral+0.11%-1.78%+2.96%-4.89%+2.96%
202318/12/202320.32far above SMA50+0.15%-14.76%-13.83%-17.57%+3.10%
202216/12/202214.32neutral-9.22%-17.18%+8.45%-17.18%+11.73%
202117/12/202120.33far below SMA50+8.90%+9.10%+7.92%+0.00%+13.67%
202017/12/202025.41far above SMA50-3.27%-6.61%-0.43%-9.17%+3.97%
201917/12/201955.27neutral+5.63%+6.44%+5.99%-0.80%+6.95%
201817/12/201847.14neutral-16.10%-10.10%-2.74%-16.10%+0.00%
201718/12/201754.98neutral-2.27%+0.71%+7.06%-3.15%+7.80%
201616/12/201644.13near 52w high-1.40%-3.04%+3.49%-3.63%+3.67%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -39.9% · from 52w low: +10.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.33% · -3.02% · +3.35% · -19.34%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.38% · -2.65% · -20.02%
Distance from 52w high / low-39.91% · +10.79%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.68 · 1.09x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+7.26%
vs SPY (20d)+3.68%
vs SMH (20d)+13.98%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20015.16 · 15.51 · 18.88
52w high / low25.13 · 13.63