🕰️ Time Machine
NCLH — Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
14.57 -1.89%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 6 days
16/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 01/09/2026
since -5.57%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 19/05/2026
14.53
Days: 78 trading / 114 calendar · return since: +0.28%
Last major high · 29/06/2026
21.95
Days: 51 trading / 73 calendar · return since: -33.62%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 01/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 16/09/2026 | +6 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 23/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 27/09/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 28/09/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 10/10/2026 | +30 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 29/06/2026 @ 21.95 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/11/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 19/05/2026 @ 14.53 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 09/11/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Hammer Reversal 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 01/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 01/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.99% · Win 78% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 67% · DD -6.00%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 24.72 | neutral | +2.63% | +3.48% | -0.36% | -0.77% | +8.98% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 17.89 | neutral | -2.18% | +10.96% | +14.65% | -5.25% | +17.83% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 16.40 | far below SMA50 | +1.59% | +4.39% | +0.24% | -7.44% | +5.73% |
| 2022 | 01/09/2022 | 13.01 | neutral | +12.22% | +17.68% | -12.68% | -12.68% | +19.06% |
| 2021 | 01/09/2021 | 25.16 | neutral | -0.87% | -0.40% | +6.16% | -2.94% | +12.64% |
| 2020 | 01/09/2020 | 16.94 | neutral | +5.84% | +3.31% | +1.00% | -13.64% | +9.39% |
| 2019 | 30/08/2019 | 50.75 | neutral | +4.32% | +5.10% | +2.01% | -0.33% | +7.74% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 53.61 | neutral | -0.35% | +4.14% | +5.88% | -1.18% | +7.96% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 58.54 | near 52w high | -3.23% | -3.74% | -7.04% | -9.75% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.68% · Win 40% · DD -7.09%20 days: Avg -2.66% · Win 40% · DD -9.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/09/2025 | 25.58 | neutral | -0.04% | -3.71% | -7.15% | -12.24% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 19.85 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | +5.74% | +3.32% | +17.63% | -2.07% | +17.78% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 17.23 | neutral | -9.11% | -4.35% | -13.76% | -13.76% | +0.64% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 15.31 | far above SMA50 | -11.50% | -25.80% | -14.89% | -25.80% | +0.13% |
| 2021 | 16/09/2021 | 25.06 | neutral | +8.90% | +6.58% | +6.15% | -0.28% | +13.09% |
| 2020 | 16/09/2020 | 17.50 | far above SMA50 | -13.31% | -2.23% | -5.83% | -16.40% | +7.03% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 53.34 | neutral | +0.32% | -2.94% | -7.52% | -11.57% | +1.16% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 55.83 | neutral | +1.99% | +1.67% | -9.17% | -9.33% | +3.67% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 56.74 | volume x2.3 | -4.79% | -4.74% | +3.52% | -6.89% | +4.27% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 35.75 | near 52w high | +4.67% | +5.45% | +4.42% | -1.15% | +8.08% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.61% · Win 40% · DD -5.77%20 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 40% · DD -9.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 25.57 | neutral | -3.68% | -6.53% | -6.45% | -12.20% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 20.99 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.29% | -4.29% | +12.96% | -7.38% | +17.01% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 15.66 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +5.24% | +6.32% | -13.28% | -13.28% | +8.17% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 13.55 | neutral | -16.16% | -4.80% | +10.18% | -16.16% | +10.18% |
| 2021 | 23/09/2021 | 27.29 | volume x1.6 | -2.13% | -1.14% | -6.56% | -6.56% | +3.85% |
| 2020 | 23/09/2020 | 15.17 | neutral | +12.79% | +18.72% | +12.00% | -3.56% | +23.47% |
| 2019 | 23/09/2019 | 53.51 | neutral | -3.25% | -9.25% | -4.78% | -11.85% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 56.94 | neutral | -0.32% | -4.67% | -15.33% | -15.33% | +0.86% |
| 2017 | 22/09/2017 | 54.02 | neutral | +0.06% | +8.92% | -0.54% | -2.20% | +9.51% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 37.42 | near 52w high | +0.75% | +2.78% | +1.52% | -1.87% | +3.53% |
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.10% · Win 40% · DD -6.81%20 days: Avg -2.14% · Win 60% · DD -9.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 25.04 | neutral | -2.88% | -10.34% | -6.27% | -10.34% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 20.95 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.67% | +11.60% | +10.55% | -7.21% | +17.23% |
| 2023 | 27/09/2023 | 16.29 | neutral | +1.04% | -3.87% | -15.78% | -16.64% | +3.99% |
| 2022 | 27/09/2022 | 13.96 | neutral | -4.58% | -16.69% | +13.40% | -18.62% | +13.40% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 28.34 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -3.07% | -7.41% | -8.54% | -10.09% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 16.68 | neutral | +1.86% | +8.39% | +0.72% | -3.48% | +12.29% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 51.02 | neutral | -5.06% | -3.65% | +0.88% | -7.55% | +1.47% |
| 2018 | 27/09/2018 | 56.89 | volume x2.6 | -3.23% | -11.02% | -20.14% | -20.76% | +0.95% |
| 2017 | 27/09/2017 | 52.83 | neutral | +5.96% | +11.30% | +3.71% | +0.00% | +11.98% |
| 2016 | 27/09/2016 | 37.69 | near 52w high | +0.96% | +0.69% | +0.11% | -1.41% | +2.79% |
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.39% · Win 40% · DD -7.44%20 days: Avg -3.14% · Win 60% · DD -10.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 24.75 | neutral | -2.63% | -6.91% | -5.01% | -9.29% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 20.95 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.67% | +11.60% | +10.55% | -7.21% | +17.23% |
| 2023 | 28/09/2023 | 16.94 | neutral | -2.95% | -8.56% | -20.07% | -20.07% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 28/09/2022 | 14.64 | neutral | -9.70% | -11.34% | +8.61% | -22.40% | +8.61% |
| 2021 | 28/09/2021 | 27.93 | far above SMA50 | -0.61% | -3.19% | -7.23% | -8.77% | +1.36% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 16.68 | neutral | +1.86% | +8.39% | +0.72% | -3.48% | +12.29% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 51.02 | neutral | -5.06% | -3.65% | +0.88% | -7.55% | +1.47% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 57.43 | neutral | -5.55% | -11.72% | -23.59% | -23.59% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 28/09/2017 | 53.65 | neutral | +8.87% | +9.71% | +2.37% | +0.00% | +10.27% |
| 2016 | 28/09/2016 | 37.44 | near 52w high | +2.19% | +1.71% | +1.42% | -0.75% | +3.47% |
Upcoming 10/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 40% · DD -6.32%20 days: Avg +1.38% · Win 40% · DD -10.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/10/2025 | 22.45 | neutral | +2.18% | +4.54% | -15.06% | -18.75% | +6.55% |
| 2024 | 10/10/2024 | 23.02 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.74% | +0.87% | +17.51% | +0.00% | +20.59% |
| 2023 | 10/10/2023 | 16.61 | neutral | -8.85% | -16.01% | -19.39% | -21.31% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 11.91 | far below SMA50 | +10.66% | +28.55% | +39.97% | -2.35% | +42.65% |
| 2021 | 11/10/2021 | 26.24 | neutral | -0.42% | -1.22% | +7.62% | -2.90% | +10.21% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 18.73 | far above SMA50 | -13.51% | -2.03% | -9.40% | -19.75% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 10/10/2019 | 48.09 | neutral | +3.51% | +5.99% | +8.59% | +0.00% | +9.42% |
| 2018 | 10/10/2018 | 52.11 | neutral | -1.32% | -13.49% | -7.89% | -18.77% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 10/10/2017 | 59.16 | near 52w high | -0.93% | -7.61% | -6.42% | -9.20% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 10/10/2016 | 38.48 | near 52w high | -2.62% | -1.09% | -1.69% | -7.20% | +1.01% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.41% · Win 60% · DD -4.10%20 days: Avg +7.44% · Win 80% · DD -6.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 18.79 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.4 | +0.16% | -5.06% | +0.21% | -6.87% | +1.49% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 25.15 | far above SMA50 | +10.62% | +3.78% | +8.87% | +0.00% | +12.72% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 13.81 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -4.56% | +8.11% | +26.72% | -7.60% | +26.72% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 16.94 | far above SMA50 | +5.43% | -3.36% | -4.31% | -6.79% | +8.03% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 26.82 | neutral | -1.94% | -12.08% | -31.80% | -33.67% | +7.83% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 16.16 | neutral | +20.79% | +26.61% | +57.30% | +0.00% | +57.30% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 52.29 | neutral | -0.71% | +2.29% | +1.09% | -1.97% | +4.49% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 46.09 | far below SMA50 | +5.38% | +6.90% | +5.81% | +0.00% | +11.93% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 55.03 | neutral | +0.36% | -0.35% | +0.69% | -1.93% | +3.38% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 37.00 | neutral | +3.84% | +7.24% | +9.84% | -3.97% | +11.73% |
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 50% · DD -5.06%20 days: Avg +7.18% · Win 40% · DD -7.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 19.04 | far below SMA50 | -7.93% | -6.78% | -1.68% | -8.09% | +0.37% |
| 2024 | 08/11/2024 | 27.32 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.29% | -1.68% | -4.98% | -4.98% | +3.77% |
| 2023 | 09/11/2023 | 12.76 | far below SMA50 | +14.66% | +12.62% | +46.39% | +0.00% | +47.10% |
| 2022 | 09/11/2022 | 15.79 | neutral | +11.40% | +3.36% | -0.44% | -2.09% | +15.90% |
| 2021 | 09/11/2021 | 27.80 | neutral | -14.96% | -18.85% | -21.69% | -36.01% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 09/11/2020 | 21.51 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.4 | -0.93% | -2.88% | +30.87% | -12.37% | +30.87% |
| 2019 | 08/11/2019 | 51.82 | neutral | +2.39% | +4.23% | +5.87% | -1.08% | +5.87% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 48.75 | neutral | +3.45% | +5.76% | -3.12% | -3.12% | +5.83% |
| 2017 | 09/11/2017 | 56.89 | neutral | -5.13% | -2.44% | -3.27% | -5.13% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 09/11/2016 | 35.53 | near 52w low · volume x2.6 | +11.37% | +12.52% | +23.90% | +0.00% | +23.90% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-20.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -46.4% · from 52w low: +0.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -6.42% · -14.75% · -22.99% · -27.66% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -12.67% · -20.68% · -26.43% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -46.39% · +0.83% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.53 · 1.27x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -20.92% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -21.10% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -18.79% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 16.68 · 18.37 · 19.81 |
| 52w high / low | 27.18 · 14.45 |