🕰️ Time Machine

NIO — NIO

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026

Last price (Close)
4.78 +0.42%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 16 days
15/08/2026
Last window
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 03/12/2025
4.73
Days: 163 trading / 239 calendar · return since: +1.06%
Last major high · 17/04/2026
7.00
Days: 71 trading / 104 calendar · return since: -31.71%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 17/04/2026 @ 7.00Cycle 120Calendar📅 15/08/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
Low 03/12/2025 @ 4.73Cycle 180Trading📅 24/08/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 7.00Cycle 90Trading📅 26/08/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
Low 03/12/2025 @ 4.73Cycle 270Calendar📅 30/08/2026+31 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 7.00Cycle 144Calendar📅 08/09/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 20/07/2026
Shooting Star 15/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 07/07/2026
Shooting Star 01/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Upcoming 15/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.68% · Win 57% · DD -4.80%20 days: Avg +17.57% · Win 71% · DD -7.43%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/08/20254.81far above SMA50+31.81%+32.64%+34.93%+0.00%+39.29%
202415/08/20243.83far below SMA50+4.18%+2.87%+44.91%-3.39%+46.21%
202315/08/202311.83neutral-8.79%-7.95%-14.88%-15.13%+0.00%
202215/08/202221.30neutral-11.03%-7.00%+3.15%-19.67%+3.15%
202116/08/202138.62far below SMA50-1.17%-2.12%-1.89%-6.03%+5.10%
202014/08/202013.10far above SMA50+7.79%+41.22%+42.98%+0.00%+56.03%
201915/08/20192.82neutral+7.09%+1.06%+13.83%-7.80%+17.73%
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Trading · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.70% · Win 57% · DD -5.78%20 days: Avg +4.98% · Win 43% · DD -9.52%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/20256.09far above SMA50 · volume x2.0+8.05%+3.12%+13.79%-6.08%+22.33%
202423/08/20244.08neutral-0.98%+36.52%+30.39%-9.31%+37.25%
202324/08/202310.64neutral-3.48%-5.64%-19.83%-20.58%+3.57%
202224/08/202218.87neutral+5.51%-6.31%-2.76%-9.33%+16.43%
202124/08/202138.94far below SMA50+0.95%-2.05%-8.32%-10.37%+4.24%
202024/08/202014.97far above SMA50+27.12%+13.76%+28.46%+0.00%+36.54%
201923/08/20192.92neutral-2.05%+7.53%-6.85%-10.96%+13.70%
Upcoming 26/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.78% · Win 43% · DD -10.35%20 days: Avg -3.74% · Win 29% · DD -15.78%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/08/20256.70far above SMA50 · volume x1.7-5.67%-14.63%+6.27%-14.63%+11.19%
202426/08/20244.03neutral+2.98%+35.98%+47.39%-8.19%+47.39%
202325/08/202310.83neutral+1.57%-4.62%-22.90%-22.90%+1.75%
202226/08/202219.92volume x1.6-10.99%+9.19%-11.55%-14.11%+10.29%
202126/08/202138.26far below SMA50+5.46%-0.73%-7.53%-8.78%+6.09%
202026/08/202020.44near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x3.5-2.64%-13.21%-12.67%-16.68%+0.00%
201926/08/20192.90neutral-10.34%+14.48%-25.17%-25.17%+14.48%
Upcoming 30/08/2026 · Low Cycle 270/Calendar · 7 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +7.64% · Win 86% · DD -7.08%20 days: Avg +0.87% · Win 43% · DD -15.63%
Open Date Echo · 7 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/20256.38far above SMA50-3.29%+1.72%+13.01%-10.34%+17.08%
202430/08/20244.04volume x1.9+37.87%+33.66%+65.35%+0.00%+65.35%
202330/08/202310.67neutral-5.53%-2.72%-16.49%-21.74%+3.09%
202230/08/202219.83neutral-11.85%+10.64%-12.61%-13.72%+10.79%
202130/08/202137.80far below SMA50+7.38%+0.24%-7.28%-7.67%+7.38%
202031/08/202019.03far above SMA50 · volume x1.9-10.51%+0.84%+9.56%-10.51%+9.56%
201930/08/20192.86neutral+9.79%+9.09%-45.45%-45.45%+16.08%
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 50% · DD -6.86%20 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 50% · DD -16.38%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/20256.17far above SMA50+5.19%+11.99%+23.01%-7.29%+27.88%
202409/09/20245.57far above SMA50 · volume x2.6-3.05%-4.49%+21.90%-9.87%+29.44%
202308/09/202310.04far below SMA50+3.88%-15.04%-13.15%-16.83%+5.28%
202208/09/202217.68far below SMA50+21.66%+3.79%-16.46%-16.46%+24.26%
202108/09/202138.14far below SMA50-0.29%-6.40%-11.75%-12.43%+0.81%
202008/09/202017.03far above SMA50+12.68%+12.92%+21.37%+0.00%+27.77%
201909/09/20193.14neutral-0.64%-13.38%-50.64%-57.96%+5.73%
201812/09/20186.60near 52w high+28.79%+13.64%+17.42%-10.15%+75.76%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-6.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -40.4% · from 52w low: +9.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+3.02% · -4.21% · -3.82% · -21.25%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.65% · -6.48% · -13.48%
Distance from 52w high / low-40.40% · +9.38%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.18 · 0.49x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+2.31%
vs SPY (20d)-2.92%
vs SMH (20d)+9.71%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2004.81 · 5.11 · 5.52
52w high / low8.02 · 4.37