🕰️ Time Machine

NIO — NIO

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
3.69 +3.07%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in 19 days
08/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 144 · 08/09/2026
since -2.64%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 03/12/2025
4.73
Days: 193 trading / 282 calendar · return since: -21.99%
Last major high · 17/04/2026
7.00
Days: 101 trading / 147 calendar · return since: -47.29%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 17/04/2026 @ 7.00Cycle 144Calendar📅 08/09/2026-3 (±3)In window
High 17/04/2026 @ 7.00Cycle 120Trading📅 08/10/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 7.00Cycle 180Calendar📅 14/10/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 7.00Cycle 144Trading📅 11/11/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Doji After Run 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 08/09/2026
NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 08/09/2026
Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 08/09/2026
Hammer Reversal 04/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 08/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 08/09/2026
Hammer Reversal 27/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 27/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 20/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 50% · DD -6.86%20 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 50% · DD -16.38%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/20256.17far above SMA50+5.19%+11.99%+23.01%-7.29%+27.88%
202409/09/20245.57far above SMA50 · volume x2.6-3.05%-4.49%+21.90%-9.87%+29.44%
202308/09/202310.04far below SMA50+3.88%-15.04%-13.15%-16.83%+5.28%
202208/09/202217.68far below SMA50+21.66%+3.79%-16.46%-16.46%+24.26%
202108/09/202138.14far below SMA50-0.29%-6.40%-11.75%-12.43%+0.81%
202008/09/202017.03far above SMA50+12.68%+12.92%+21.37%+0.00%+27.77%
201909/09/20193.14neutral-0.64%-13.38%-50.64%-57.96%+5.73%
201812/09/20186.60near 52w high+28.79%+13.64%+17.42%-10.15%+75.76%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.38% · Win 38% · DD -9.61%20 days: Avg +15.22% · Win 50% · DD -12.49%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/20257.85near 52w high · far above SMA50-13.12%-12.87%-7.13%-14.52%+0.00%
202408/10/20246.24far above SMA50-9.94%-16.19%-15.38%-20.19%+0.80%
202309/10/20238.34far below SMA50+2.16%-8.99%-4.44%-12.47%+7.55%
202207/10/202213.76far below SMA50-14.61%-18.53%-15.12%-31.32%+0.00%
202108/10/202135.83neutral+5.25%+8.51%+18.03%-0.89%+20.35%
202008/10/202021.44far above SMA50+30.92%+27.71%+97.53%+0.00%+97.53%
201908/10/20191.70far below SMA50-8.82%-7.06%+37.65%-18.24%+37.65%
201808/10/20186.04neutral+29.47%+16.39%+10.60%-2.32%+33.11%
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.12% · Win 50% · DD -9.25%20 days: Avg +6.78% · Win 38% · DD -10.98%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/20256.80neutral+0.00%+4.26%-2.50%-2.50%+9.12%
202414/10/20245.79far above SMA50-11.23%+0.35%-12.61%-13.99%+0.35%
202313/10/20238.47far below SMA50-10.51%-12.16%-14.52%-14.52%+0.71%
202214/10/202211.75near 52w low · far below SMA50-4.60%-17.53%-1.62%-21.28%+3.91%
202114/10/202136.28neutral+10.17%+12.43%+16.32%+0.00%+19.07%
202014/10/202026.50near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x4.3+5.13%+3.81%+62.57%-1.85%+66.11%
201914/10/20191.53far below SMA50+10.46%-3.27%+21.57%-9.15%+52.94%
201815/10/20187.82neutral-10.10%-20.84%-14.96%-24.55%+2.81%
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 8 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 38% · DD -7.50%20 days: Avg +0.73% · Win 62% · DD -10.88%
Open Date Echo · 8 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/11/20256.63neutral-9.80%-17.04%-24.13%-27.75%+0.00%
202411/11/20245.06neutral-7.71%-7.71%-5.73%-14.82%+2.37%
202310/11/20237.24near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.07%-0.69%+6.08%-1.24%+9.67%
202211/11/202211.56far below SMA50-9.43%-12.46%+8.04%-13.41%+16.00%
202111/11/202142.20far above SMA50-8.98%-5.24%-18.82%-23.82%+1.11%
202011/11/202043.08near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.60%+24.63%+4.97%-0.09%+28.55%
201911/11/20191.86far below SMA50-3.23%+10.22%+22.04%-5.91%+32.26%
201812/11/20186.65neutral+17.89%+12.48%+13.38%+0.00%+22.11%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-18.8%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -54.0% · from 52w low: +3.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-4.40% · -15.37% · -18.00% · -26.35%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-12.01% · -18.75% · -28.66%
Distance from 52w high / low-53.99% · +3.36%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.16 · 0.93x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-15.65%
vs SPY (20d)-16.25%
vs SMH (20d)-14.50%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2004.19 · 4.54 · 5.17
52w high / low8.02 · 3.57