🕰️ Time Machine

NLY — Annaly Capital Management

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
22.66 +1.55%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 11 days
07/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 23/07/2026
since +1.55%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 08/06/2026
20.88
Days: 32 trading / 49 calendar · return since: +8.50%
Last major high · 27/04/2026
23.01
Days: 61 trading / 91 calendar · return since: -1.54%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 08/06/2026 @ 20.88Cycle 30Trading📅 22/07/2026-2 (±2)In window
Low 08/06/2026 @ 20.88Cycle 45Calendar📅 23/07/2026-4 (±2)Passed
High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01Cycle 60Trading📅 23/07/2026-1 (±2)In window
High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/07/2026-1 (±3)In window
Low 08/06/2026 @ 20.88Cycle 60Calendar📅 07/08/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 08/06/2026 @ 20.88Cycle 45Trading📅 13/08/2026+13 (±2)Upcoming
High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/08/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 08/06/2026 @ 20.88Cycle 60Trading📅 03/09/2026+28 (±2)Upcoming
High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01Cycle 90Trading📅 04/09/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 08/06/2026 @ 20.88Cycle 90Calendar📅 06/09/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 26/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/07/2026
Bearish Engulfing 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/07/2026
Failed Breakout 16/07/2026
Shooting Star 15/07/2026
Shooting Star 30/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 22/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.12% · Win 56% · DD -1.67%20 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 67% · DD -2.32%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/07/202520.40neutral+2.06%+1.91%+1.67%-0.34%+2.50%
202422/07/202420.22near 52w high-1.24%-4.90%+0.45%-4.90%+0.49%
202321/07/202320.09neutral+1.29%-1.29%-4.93%-5.03%+3.53%
202222/07/202225.76neutral+6.83%+1.71%+3.88%-0.47%+7.14%
202122/07/202133.76neutral+2.13%-0.47%-0.24%-1.90%+2.25%
202022/07/202028.92neutral+2.77%+2.77%+2.49%-1.11%+4.84%
201922/07/201937.84neutral+1.59%-2.54%-4.65%-6.24%+2.22%
201823/07/201841.80neutral+2.49%+0.57%+2.58%-0.29%+2.58%
201721/07/201747.48volume x1.5+0.51%+1.18%+3.96%-0.59%+4.04%
Passed 23/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.38% · Win 70% · DD -1.68%20 days: Avg +0.37% · Win 70% · DD -2.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/07/202520.45neutral+0.59%+0.64%+2.25%-0.59%+2.25%
202423/07/202420.32near 52w high-1.03%-2.76%-0.84%-5.36%+0.00%
202324/07/202320.34neutral-1.23%-1.87%-6.15%-6.19%+2.26%
202222/07/202225.76neutral+6.83%+1.71%+3.88%-0.47%+7.14%
202123/07/202133.56neutral+1.19%+0.72%+1.67%-1.31%+2.86%
202023/07/202028.68neutral+4.32%+1.95%+2.23%-0.28%+5.72%
201923/07/201938.20neutral+1.26%-2.09%-5.76%-7.12%+1.26%
201823/07/201841.80neutral+2.49%+0.57%+2.58%-0.29%+2.58%
201724/07/201747.64neutral+1.01%+1.60%+3.78%-0.92%+3.78%
201627/07/201643.56near 52w high+0.92%+3.31%+0.09%-0.55%+3.31%
In window 26/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.83% · Win 50% · DD -1.90%20 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 80% · DD -2.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/07/202520.86neutral-1.68%-1.25%+1.29%-2.54%+1.29%
202426/07/202419.86neutral-0.50%+0.81%+0.76%-3.17%+2.27%
202326/07/202320.80neutral-4.52%-3.99%-6.01%-8.99%+0.00%
202226/07/202225.64neutral+3.12%+3.59%+2.18%+0.00%+7.64%
202126/07/202133.88neutral-0.59%-0.35%+1.53%-2.24%+1.89%
202027/07/202029.08neutral+3.03%+3.99%+2.89%+0.00%+4.26%
201926/07/201938.40neutral-1.88%-1.67%-8.33%-8.33%+0.73%
201826/07/201842.08neutral+0.67%-0.57%+1.24%-0.95%+1.90%
201726/07/201747.32neutral+2.87%+4.40%+4.73%+0.00%+5.24%
201627/07/201643.56near 52w high+0.92%+3.31%+0.09%-0.55%+3.31%
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.64% · Win 40% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 60% · DD -2.68%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/08/202520.58neutral+1.21%-0.19%+7.34%-0.83%+7.34%
202407/08/202419.74neutral+0.71%+1.62%+2.03%+0.00%+2.89%
202307/08/202319.96neutral-2.76%-4.36%+0.65%-5.16%+2.61%
202208/08/202226.48neutral+2.57%-1.96%-1.36%-3.63%+3.02%
202106/08/202133.80neutral+2.13%+0.95%+2.25%-0.36%+3.43%
202007/08/202029.52neutral+1.76%-1.08%-0.81%-1.08%+2.71%
201907/08/201937.28neutral-4.61%-4.29%-10.19%-12.12%+2.25%
201807/08/201841.84volume x1.9+0.00%+2.10%+2.91%-0.38%+2.91%
201707/08/201748.40near 52w high+1.82%+2.15%+1.90%+0.00%+3.31%
201608/08/201644.28near 52w high-1.17%-1.36%-1.36%-3.25%+1.63%
Upcoming 13/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.72% · Win 60% · DD -2.51%20 days: Avg +0.11% · Win 50% · DD -3.21%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/08/202520.86neutral+0.24%+0.53%+6.18%-1.53%+6.76%
202413/08/202419.83neutral+1.61%+0.61%+1.97%+0.00%+2.42%
202314/08/202319.41neutral-1.65%+4.38%+3.40%-2.47%+5.51%
202212/08/202227.28neutral-1.91%-3.81%-2.64%-6.45%+0.00%
202113/08/202134.52neutral-1.16%+1.27%-0.35%-2.43%+1.27%
202013/08/202029.84neutral-1.74%-0.80%-0.40%-2.14%+0.67%
201913/08/201936.84neutral-2.28%-8.58%-6.08%-11.07%+0.00%
201813/08/201841.96neutral+2.19%+1.05%+2.03%-0.29%+2.81%
201714/08/201749.28near 52w high+0.32%+0.89%+0.97%-0.08%+1.46%
201612/08/201644.32near 52w high-1.26%-2.71%-3.97%-5.60%+0.00%
Upcoming 25/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.10% · Win 50% · DD -2.17%20 days: Avg -1.67% · Win 50% · DD -3.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/08/202521.05near 52w high+0.00%+5.80%-0.43%-0.86%+5.80%
202426/08/202420.13near 52w high-0.15%+0.84%+2.19%-0.89%+3.73%
202325/08/202319.71neutral+3.30%+2.33%+0.05%+0.00%+4.92%
202225/08/202226.80neutral-4.78%-0.75%-15.67%-15.67%+0.00%
202125/08/202134.88neutral+0.11%-1.95%+1.61%-2.29%+1.61%
202025/08/202029.84neutral-0.94%-0.13%-3.62%-3.62%+2.28%
201926/08/201935.04near 52w low-6.51%-2.17%+1.60%-6.51%+2.74%
201824/08/201842.44neutral+0.09%+1.16%-1.72%-2.01%+1.65%
201725/08/201749.52near 52w high+0.65%+0.32%+0.73%-1.53%+0.97%
201625/08/201643.80near 52w high-2.19%-4.47%-1.46%-4.47%+0.37%
Upcoming 03/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.68% · Win 50% · DD -1.89%20 days: Avg -2.75% · Win 50% · DD -5.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202521.49near 52w high+2.84%+1.91%-0.68%-3.21%+3.63%
202403/09/202420.10near 52w high+1.00%+3.03%+0.94%-0.50%+3.88%
202301/09/202320.36neutral-0.93%+1.47%-6.87%-6.87%+1.57%
202202/09/202225.52neutral+4.08%-3.29%-28.66%-29.57%+4.39%
202103/09/202134.56neutral-0.46%-0.23%+0.90%-1.39%+3.01%
202003/09/202029.32neutral+1.36%+2.59%+1.08%-2.59%+4.09%
201903/09/201932.76near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7+4.64%+6.84%+7.89%+0.00%+10.53%
201804/09/201842.64neutral+0.40%-1.51%-0.66%-2.47%+1.17%
201701/09/201749.84near 52w high-0.32%-0.72%+0.98%-2.17%+0.98%
201602/09/201643.56near 52w high-2.30%-3.31%-2.41%-3.95%+0.92%
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 50% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg -2.80% · Win 50% · DD -5.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202521.80near 52w high+1.61%-0.46%-1.76%-4.59%+2.16%
202404/09/202420.00neutral+1.10%+4.10%+1.13%+0.00%+4.40%
202305/09/202320.09neutral-0.10%+2.94%-7.94%-7.94%+2.94%
202202/09/202225.52neutral+4.08%-3.29%-28.66%-29.57%+4.39%
202103/09/202134.56neutral-0.46%-0.23%+0.90%-1.39%+3.01%
202004/09/202029.28neutral+3.69%+0.68%+2.34%-2.46%+4.23%
201904/09/201932.92near 52w low+5.10%+6.20%+6.75%+0.00%+9.99%
201804/09/201842.64neutral+0.40%-1.51%-0.66%-2.47%+1.17%
201705/09/201749.32near 52w high+0.89%+0.73%+2.30%-1.14%+2.30%
201602/09/201643.56near 52w high-2.30%-3.31%-2.41%-3.95%+0.92%
Upcoming 06/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.06% · Win 50% · DD -2.12%20 days: Avg -3.09% · Win 50% · DD -5.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/202522.09near 52w high-0.41%-3.35%-2.77%-5.84%+0.81%
202406/09/202420.17near 52w high · volume x1.6+1.39%+3.52%+0.48%+0.00%+3.52%
202306/09/202319.89neutral+2.31%+3.22%-9.04%-9.04%+3.97%
202206/09/202226.12volume x3.5-1.38%-6.89%-25.09%-31.18%+1.99%
202107/09/202134.20neutral+1.05%+1.40%+2.68%-0.35%+4.09%
202004/09/202029.28neutral+3.69%+0.68%+2.34%-2.46%+4.23%
201906/09/201933.24near 52w low+4.21%+7.70%+7.20%+0.00%+8.94%
201806/09/201842.24neutral-3.60%-2.37%-3.14%-3.60%+0.00%
201706/09/201749.48near 52w high-1.46%-0.08%+2.13%-1.46%+2.13%
201606/09/201643.68near 52w high-3.66%-3.21%-5.68%-5.68%+0.64%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.6% · from 52w low: +13.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-1.54% · -0.90% · +3.78% · +2.56%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.39% · +2.24% · +1.70%
Distance from 52w high / low-7.61% · +13.28%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.44 · 0.06x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+8.38%
vs SPY (20d)+2.89%
vs SMH (20d)+17.69%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20022.74 · 22.16 · 22.28
52w high / low24.52 · 20.00