🕰️ Time Machine
NLY — Annaly Capital Management
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
22.33 -1.26%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in 8 days
18/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 03/09/2026
since -2.21%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 22/07/2026
22.03
Days: 35 trading / 50 calendar · return since: +1.34%
Last major high · 27/04/2026
23.01
Days: 94 trading / 136 calendar · return since: -2.98%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 22/07/2026 @ 22.03 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 03/09/2026 | -4 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 22/07/2026 @ 22.03 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 05/09/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 18/09/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/07/2026 @ 22.03 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 20/09/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/07/2026 @ 22.03 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/07/2026 @ 22.03 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 15/10/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | +26 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 22/07/2026 @ 22.03 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 20/10/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 23.01 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 24/10/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 02/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 25/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 14/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 02/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.33% · Win 56% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg -3.16% · Win 33% · DD -5.36%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 21.05 | near 52w high | +5.80% | +3.75% | -0.67% | -1.19% | +5.80% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 20.10 | near 52w high | +1.00% | +3.03% | +0.94% | -0.50% | +3.88% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 20.36 | neutral | -0.93% | +1.47% | -6.87% | -6.87% | +1.57% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 25.52 | neutral | +4.08% | -3.29% | -28.66% | -29.57% | +4.39% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 34.76 | neutral | -1.96% | -0.35% | -0.15% | -1.96% | +2.42% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 29.72 | neutral | -1.08% | +2.69% | -1.25% | -3.90% | +2.69% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 32.76 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +4.64% | +6.84% | +7.89% | +0.00% | +10.53% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 42.48 | neutral | +1.07% | -1.43% | -0.67% | -2.10% | +1.55% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 49.84 | near 52w high | -0.32% | -0.72% | +0.98% | -2.17% | +0.98% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.12% · Win 56% · DD -1.67%20 days: Avg -2.79% · Win 56% · DD -5.42%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 21.49 | near 52w high | +2.84% | +1.91% | -0.68% | -3.21% | +3.63% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 20.10 | near 52w high | +1.00% | +3.03% | +0.94% | -0.50% | +3.88% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 20.36 | neutral | -0.93% | +1.47% | -6.87% | -6.87% | +1.57% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 25.52 | neutral | +4.08% | -3.29% | -28.66% | -29.57% | +4.39% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 34.56 | neutral | -0.46% | -0.23% | +0.90% | -1.39% | +3.01% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 29.32 | neutral | +1.36% | +2.59% | +1.08% | -2.59% | +4.09% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 32.76 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +4.64% | +6.84% | +7.89% | +0.00% | +10.53% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 42.64 | neutral | +0.40% | -1.51% | -0.66% | -2.47% | +1.17% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 49.84 | near 52w high | -0.32% | -0.72% | +0.98% | -2.17% | +0.98% |
Passed 05/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 56% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg -2.84% · Win 56% · DD -6.01%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 22.09 | near 52w high | -0.41% | -3.35% | -2.77% | -5.84% | +0.81% |
| 2024 | 05/09/2024 | 20.14 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | +0.89% | +3.28% | +0.84% | +0.00% | +3.67% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 20.09 | neutral | -0.10% | +2.94% | -7.94% | -7.94% | +2.94% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 26.12 | volume x3.5 | -1.38% | -6.89% | -25.09% | -31.18% | +1.99% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 34.56 | neutral | -0.46% | -0.23% | +0.90% | -1.39% | +3.01% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 29.28 | neutral | +3.69% | +0.68% | +2.34% | -2.46% | +4.23% |
| 2019 | 05/09/2019 | 33.48 | near 52w low | +2.75% | +5.50% | +6.43% | -0.72% | +8.16% |
| 2018 | 05/09/2018 | 42.16 | volume x1.5 | -3.13% | -2.47% | -2.57% | -3.42% | +0.19% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 49.32 | near 52w high | +0.89% | +0.73% | +2.30% | -1.14% | +2.30% |
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.59% · Win 50% · DD -4.89%20 days: Avg -4.09% · Win 30% · DD -6.91%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/09/2025 | 21.70 | near 52w high | -4.06% | -1.31% | -2.21% | -4.15% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 18/09/2024 | 20.82 | near 52w high | -2.50% | -2.85% | -0.02% | -3.99% | +0.29% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 20.66 | volume x1.6 | -4.55% | -8.22% | -11.13% | -12.43% | +0.10% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 24.68 | neutral | -16.53% | -26.24% | -28.02% | -35.83% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 34.64 | volume x1.9 | +2.19% | +0.19% | +1.61% | -0.46% | +2.77% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 30.08 | volume x2.2 | -3.19% | -1.47% | -0.79% | -5.05% | +1.13% |
| 2019 | 18/09/2019 | 34.96 | neutral | +2.17% | +0.52% | +1.81% | +0.00% | +3.58% |
| 2018 | 18/09/2018 | 41.12 | near 52w low | -0.39% | +0.87% | -1.97% | -3.35% | +0.87% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 49.48 | near 52w high | +0.81% | +1.72% | +1.55% | -0.16% | +2.55% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 42.12 | near 52w high | +3.70% | +0.93% | -1.70% | -3.65% | +3.70% |
Upcoming 20/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -3.26% · Win 40% · DD -5.24%20 days: Avg -3.97% · Win 50% · DD -6.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 19/09/2025 | 21.35 | near 52w high · volume x2.6 | -1.45% | +0.60% | +0.80% | -2.58% | +1.52% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 20.88 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -1.05% | -2.93% | +0.28% | -4.27% | +0.28% |
| 2023 | 20/09/2023 | 20.53 | neutral | -6.43% | -11.87% | -14.14% | -14.14% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 20/09/2022 | 24.32 | neutral | -20.23% | -19.55% | -26.09% | -34.88% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 20/09/2021 | 34.48 | volume x1.8 | +3.25% | +1.13% | +2.09% | +0.00% | +3.25% |
| 2020 | 21/09/2020 | 29.48 | volume x1.7 | +0.95% | +1.65% | -0.73% | -3.12% | +3.19% |
| 2019 | 20/09/2019 | 35.80 | neutral | +0.46% | -0.46% | +0.92% | -1.84% | +1.15% |
| 2018 | 20/09/2018 | 41.24 | near 52w low | -0.99% | -0.79% | -2.75% | -3.63% | +0.58% |
| 2017 | 20/09/2017 | 49.44 | near 52w high | +0.97% | +2.21% | +2.05% | -0.08% | +2.63% |
| 2016 | 20/09/2016 | 42.28 | near 52w high | +3.03% | -2.56% | -2.07% | -4.01% | +3.31% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.74% · Win 30% · DD -4.60%20 days: Avg -3.35% · Win 40% · DD -6.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 20.80 | neutral | +2.62% | +4.21% | +5.95% | +0.00% | +5.95% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 20.57 | near 52w high | -1.37% | -1.27% | -1.42% | -2.83% | +1.79% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 19.72 | neutral | -3.85% | -5.16% | -15.55% | -15.55% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 22.60 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -20.47% | -24.59% | -22.04% | -29.92% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 35.40 | neutral | -1.96% | -1.49% | +0.71% | -2.42% | +1.17% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 28.56 | neutral | +2.76% | +6.51% | +3.48% | +0.00% | +6.51% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 35.60 | neutral | -0.71% | -0.94% | +2.75% | -1.29% | +3.45% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 40.84 | near 52w low | +1.17% | +0.48% | -2.49% | -2.68% | +1.56% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 49.88 | near 52w high | +0.90% | -0.33% | -0.66% | -0.91% | +1.72% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 43.16 | near 52w high | -0.27% | -4.83% | -4.26% | -5.97% | +1.20% |
Upcoming 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.53% · Win 30% · DD -3.62%20 days: Avg +2.77% · Win 50% · DD -4.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 20.80 | neutral | +2.40% | -0.67% | +4.81% | -1.39% | +5.77% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 19.96 | neutral | -1.60% | -3.91% | -2.40% | -5.01% | +1.60% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 17.74 | neutral | -9.30% | -15.05% | -3.49% | -16.97% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 16.64 | far below SMA50 | +1.08% | +10.88% | +29.45% | +0.00% | +29.45% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 34.32 | neutral | +1.28% | -1.40% | +0.00% | -1.40% | +1.75% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 29.24 | neutral | -1.92% | -2.87% | +1.09% | -4.51% | +4.10% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 34.60 | neutral | +2.77% | +3.35% | +5.43% | +0.00% | +5.43% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 39.76 | near 52w low | -0.60% | -0.60% | +0.60% | -2.11% | +1.21% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 49.04 | near 52w high | -1.39% | -5.71% | -7.18% | -9.95% | +0.90% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 40.60 | near 52w low | -0.69% | +0.69% | -0.59% | -1.48% | +2.56% |
Upcoming 16/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.31% · Win 40% · DD -3.65%20 days: Avg +2.51% · Win 50% · DD -4.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 20.51 | neutral | +1.85% | +1.12% | +6.19% | +0.00% | +7.26% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 20.16 | near 52w high | -3.03% | -4.12% | -2.68% | -5.95% | +0.60% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 17.74 | neutral | -9.30% | -15.05% | -3.49% | -16.97% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 16.96 | far below SMA50 | -1.59% | +9.38% | +23.41% | -1.59% | +27.00% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 34.32 | neutral | +1.28% | -1.40% | +0.00% | -1.40% | +1.75% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 28.96 | neutral | -0.14% | -2.07% | +4.56% | -3.59% | +5.11% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 34.60 | neutral | +3.58% | +3.12% | +4.86% | +0.00% | +5.43% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 40.00 | near 52w low | -1.70% | -0.90% | +0.20% | -2.70% | +0.60% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 49.04 | near 52w high | -1.39% | -5.71% | -7.18% | -9.95% | +0.90% |
| 2016 | 17/10/2016 | 40.40 | near 52w low | +0.69% | +2.57% | -0.79% | -0.99% | +3.07% |
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.21% · Win 60% · DD -3.52%20 days: Avg +3.21% · Win 60% · DD -3.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 21.11 | neutral | +0.24% | +0.90% | +1.85% | -2.13% | +4.22% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 19.86 | neutral | -3.42% | -4.13% | -0.70% | -4.53% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 16.24 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -9.30% | +5.79% | +9.67% | -9.30% | +9.79% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 16.71 | far below SMA50 | +8.38% | +5.39% | +19.15% | -0.12% | +28.90% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 34.92 | neutral | -1.49% | -2.63% | -3.55% | -3.55% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 28.72 | neutral | -0.97% | +1.53% | +9.89% | -2.79% | +9.89% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 35.80 | neutral | -0.67% | +1.23% | +2.91% | -1.79% | +2.91% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 39.84 | near 52w low | -1.10% | -2.31% | +0.30% | -2.31% | +1.00% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 49.16 | near 52w high | -5.53% | -8.62% | -6.51% | -10.17% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 20/10/2016 | 40.52 | near 52w low | +0.59% | +0.79% | -0.89% | -1.28% | +2.76% |
Upcoming 24/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.13% · Win 50% · DD -2.88%20 days: Avg +4.76% · Win 60% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/10/2025 | 20.95 | neutral | +1.05% | +4.53% | +4.96% | -1.38% | +5.01% |
| 2024 | 24/10/2024 | 19.70 | neutral | -3.50% | -1.17% | +0.41% | -3.76% | +0.66% |
| 2023 | 24/10/2023 | 15.67 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.38% | +10.72% | +13.15% | -6.00% | +13.78% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 16.69 | far below SMA50 | +11.14% | +11.56% | +22.89% | +0.00% | +29.06% |
| 2021 | 25/10/2021 | 34.88 | neutral | -1.15% | -0.80% | -3.90% | -3.90% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 23/10/2020 | 28.92 | neutral | -1.94% | -0.14% | +9.13% | -3.46% | +10.24% |
| 2019 | 24/10/2019 | 35.40 | neutral | +1.47% | +2.60% | +3.16% | -0.68% | +4.07% |
| 2018 | 24/10/2018 | 39.80 | near 52w low | -0.80% | -0.20% | +0.00% | -2.21% | +1.11% |
| 2017 | 24/10/2017 | 48.16 | neutral | -4.82% | -6.64% | -1.83% | -8.31% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 24/10/2016 | 40.68 | near 52w low | +1.87% | +0.88% | -0.39% | -1.67% | +2.36% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -9.0% · from 52w low: +11.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.70% · -2.34% · -3.40% · +3.74% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -3.05% · -2.46% · -1.08% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -8.95% · +11.63% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.30 · 0.17x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -1.42% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.51% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +0.53% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 23.03 · 22.89 · 22.57 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 24.52 · 20.00 |
|---|
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