🕰️ Time Machine

NMIH — NMI Holdings, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
44.30 -0.27%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 2 days
14/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 31/08/2026
since -0.11%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 03/06/2026
35.12
Days: 68 trading / 99 calendar · return since: +26.14%
Last major high · 31/07/2026
46.74
Days: 28 trading / 41 calendar · return since: -5.22%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 03/06/2026 @ 35.12Cycle 60Trading📅 28/08/2026-8 (±2)Passed
High 31/07/2026 @ 46.74Fib 21Trading📅 31/08/2026-7 (±1)Passed
Low 03/06/2026 @ 35.12Cycle 90Calendar📅 01/09/2026-9 (±3)Passed
High 31/07/2026 @ 46.74Cycle 30Trading📅 14/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 31/07/2026 @ 46.74Cycle 45Calendar📅 14/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 31/07/2026 @ 46.74Cycle 60Calendar📅 29/09/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
Low 03/06/2026 @ 35.12Cycle 120Calendar📅 01/10/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
High 31/07/2026 @ 46.74Cycle 45Trading📅 05/10/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 03/06/2026 @ 35.12Cycle 90Trading📅 12/10/2026+22 (±3)Upcoming
Low 03/06/2026 @ 35.12Cycle 144Calendar📅 25/10/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming
High 31/07/2026 @ 46.74Cycle 60Trading📅 26/10/2026+32 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 14/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 08/09/2026
NR7 Compression 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 28/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 21/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.18% · Win 56% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg +1.70% · Win 44% · DD -4.39%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/202539.33neutral+1.65%+0.89%-0.18%-2.24%+2.57%
202428/08/202440.31near 52w high+1.61%-1.44%+1.34%-2.41%+3.52%
202328/08/202328.48neutral-1.30%+0.77%-2.25%-2.25%+1.69%
202229/08/202221.21far above SMA50-7.45%-3.35%-6.55%-7.97%+0.33%
202127/08/202122.98neutral-3.74%-3.05%-1.74%-6.18%+0.00%
202028/08/202017.30far above SMA50+5.14%+8.84%+2.89%-5.14%+10.23%
201928/08/201928.21neutral-0.92%-3.83%-1.21%-6.35%+1.56%
201828/08/201821.35neutral-2.34%+9.02%+11.48%-2.34%+11.48%
201728/08/201710.85neutral-3.23%+2.76%+11.52%-4.61%+11.52%
Passed 31/08/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 56% · DD -3.31%20 days: Avg +0.93% · Win 56% · DD -4.55%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/202539.35neutral+1.37%-0.81%-1.68%-2.29%+2.52%
202430/08/202441.07near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.05%+1.61%+0.29%-4.21%+1.61%
202331/08/202328.62neutral-0.59%-1.89%-5.35%-5.35%+1.19%
202231/08/202220.53neutral-2.97%+2.00%-0.54%-4.92%+3.65%
202131/08/202122.57neutral-2.17%-2.22%+1.37%-4.47%+1.37%
202031/08/202017.15neutral+1.57%+9.62%+2.27%-4.31%+11.20%
201930/08/201928.34neutral-2.05%-3.46%-7.34%-7.34%+0.00%
201831/08/201821.60neutral+7.64%+3.94%+5.05%-3.47%+10.19%
201731/08/201710.85neutral-4.61%+4.61%+14.29%-4.61%+15.21%
Passed 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.61% · Win 56% · DD -3.36%20 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 67% · DD -4.80%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202539.20volume x1.6+0.71%-1.91%-2.19%-2.19%+2.91%
202430/08/202441.07near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.05%+1.61%+0.29%-4.21%+1.61%
202301/09/202328.96near 52w high-2.56%-1.66%-8.60%-8.60%+0.00%
202201/09/202220.14neutral+0.89%+4.92%+1.14%-3.08%+5.66%
202101/09/202122.49neutral-1.11%-2.49%+0.53%-4.14%+1.73%
202001/09/202017.29far above SMA50+5.09%+10.29%+2.95%-5.09%+10.29%
201930/08/201928.34neutral-2.05%-3.46%-7.34%-7.34%+0.00%
201831/08/201821.60neutral+7.64%+3.94%+5.05%-3.47%+10.19%
201701/09/201710.90neutral-2.29%+3.21%+11.01%-5.05%+14.68%
In window 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.50% · Win 30% · DD -3.06%20 days: Avg +3.05% · Win 60% · DD -5.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/09/202539.03neutral-0.51%-0.87%-8.58%-9.12%+1.43%
202413/09/202441.07near 52w high-0.56%-0.10%-0.49%-1.05%+1.61%
202314/09/202328.11neutral+0.43%-0.82%-3.42%-6.94%+1.32%
202214/09/202220.57neutral+1.31%-0.63%+1.12%-5.10%+7.68%
202114/09/202121.84volume x1.9-1.28%+3.43%+11.26%-1.28%+11.26%
202014/09/202018.83far above SMA50-11.42%-5.47%+22.52%-12.85%+22.52%
201913/09/201926.42volume x1.6+6.17%+2.01%+2.01%-0.61%+6.17%
201814/09/201823.30near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.15%-2.79%-15.58%-16.74%+2.15%
201714/09/201711.00neutral+8.86%+13.64%+18.64%+0.00%+18.64%
201614/09/20167.87near 52w high+0.13%-3.43%+3.05%-4.70%+3.30%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.02% · Win 60% · DD -3.20%20 days: Avg +3.73% · Win 60% · DD -4.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202538.69neutral-5.92%-7.78%-7.11%-8.63%+0.00%
202430/09/202441.19near 52w high-0.95%-0.46%-6.00%-6.31%+0.80%
202329/09/202327.09volume x1.6-1.29%-1.03%-1.11%-3.43%+3.51%
202229/09/202220.42neutral+7.49%+3.62%+5.83%-0.24%+8.47%
202129/09/202122.88neutral-1.49%+6.38%+5.64%-1.49%+9.13%
202029/09/202017.54neutral+22.63%+27.88%+25.26%+0.00%+39.68%
201930/09/201926.26neutral+3.08%+2.55%+11.84%+0.00%+13.79%
201828/09/201822.65neutral-5.21%-13.16%-18.54%-19.65%+0.31%
201729/09/201712.40near 52w high-2.02%+7.66%+18.15%-2.82%+18.15%
201629/09/20167.50near 52w low+0.13%+4.53%+3.33%+0.00%+9.33%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.91% · Win 80% · DD -2.93%20 days: Avg +2.93% · Win 70% · DD -3.99%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/202537.52neutral-4.08%-4.29%-5.17%-5.78%+0.00%
202401/10/202441.13near 52w high+0.15%+0.12%-5.49%-6.18%+0.95%
202302/10/202326.47volume x3.7+1.51%+4.84%+1.66%-1.17%+5.93%
202230/09/202220.37neutral+4.47%+1.03%+7.56%+0.00%+8.74%
202101/10/202123.50neutral-0.77%+4.89%+3.32%-4.09%+6.26%
202001/10/202018.62far above SMA50+23.36%+24.11%+16.06%+0.00%+31.58%
201901/10/201926.56neutral-1.05%+6.85%+9.49%-1.05%+12.50%
201801/10/201822.69neutral-8.42%-14.37%-18.60%-19.79%+0.13%
201702/10/201712.10near 52w high-0.41%+11.16%+20.04%-0.41%+21.07%
201630/09/20167.62near 52w low-0.26%+4.72%+0.39%-1.44%+7.61%
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.33% · Win 50% · DD -3.20%20 days: Avg +5.05% · Win 70% · DD -4.65%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/202536.40neutral-1.98%-0.74%+1.07%-2.88%+1.76%
202404/10/202441.27near 52w high · volume x1.8-0.97%-2.06%-10.86%-10.86%+0.61%
202305/10/202327.32neutral-0.62%-0.44%+2.34%-2.27%+2.64%
202205/10/202222.02neutral-5.54%-6.09%-0.82%-6.54%+0.00%
202105/10/202122.88neutral+6.21%+6.08%+10.18%-1.49%+10.23%
202005/10/202020.77far above SMA50+11.07%+11.27%+5.06%+0.00%+17.96%
201904/10/201927.23neutral-1.03%+2.17%+7.40%-3.49%+9.73%
201805/10/201821.47neutral-8.38%-9.18%-5.40%-15.23%+0.00%
201705/10/201712.30near 52w high+6.10%+15.04%+34.15%-2.03%+34.15%
201605/10/20167.64near 52w high+6.15%+7.26%+7.33%-1.70%+7.33%
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 60% · DD -2.49%20 days: Avg +4.35% · Win 70% · DD -4.58%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202535.68neutral+1.26%+0.73%+5.21%-0.92%+5.21%
202411/10/202440.87near 52w high-1.10%-5.58%-9.22%-9.98%+1.59%
202312/10/202327.15neutral+0.18%-0.26%+2.91%-1.66%+7.33%
202212/10/202220.80neutral-0.58%+2.98%+2.31%-1.06%+5.43%
202112/10/202124.30neutral-0.12%+0.41%-10.04%-10.08%+3.79%
202012/10/202023.07far above SMA50+0.17%+0.17%-0.43%-8.89%+6.20%
201911/10/201926.95neutral+3.23%+9.13%+22.12%-0.07%+22.12%
201812/10/201819.67far below SMA50-0.86%-6.20%+3.97%-7.47%+11.03%
201712/10/201713.05near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x7.4+8.43%+11.49%+21.84%+0.00%+26.44%
201612/10/20168.11near 52w high · volume x2.1+1.05%-0.74%+4.81%-5.67%+4.81%
Upcoming 25/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.24% · Win 60% · DD -4.09%20 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 70% · DD -4.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/10/202536.92neutral-1.33%-0.73%+1.92%-3.63%+2.19%
202425/10/202438.59neutral-4.66%-3.86%+0.36%-4.66%+1.79%
202325/10/202327.03neutral+1.92%+4.00%+1.44%-0.89%+7.81%
202225/10/202221.53neutral-0.09%+0.51%-1.81%-3.95%+4.92%
202125/10/202124.75neutral+1.90%-8.28%-15.49%-16.20%+1.90%
202026/10/202023.11far above SMA50-5.58%-0.61%-2.03%-9.04%+2.29%
201925/10/201929.41neutral-0.56%+11.90%+12.58%-1.12%+16.87%
201825/10/201818.75far below SMA50+9.44%+16.48%+1.28%-1.60%+16.48%
201725/10/201714.55near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.03%+9.28%+13.06%-1.03%+14.43%
201625/10/20168.10near 52w high-5.56%+3.70%+6.79%-5.56%+11.73%
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.97% · Win 60% · DD -3.45%20 days: Avg +3.30% · Win 70% · DD -4.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/202535.94neutral+2.37%+4.45%+4.67%-1.00%+4.98%
202425/10/202438.59neutral-4.66%-3.86%+0.36%-4.66%+1.79%
202326/10/202327.08neutral+3.25%+3.18%+1.66%-1.07%+7.61%
202226/10/202221.42neutral+1.96%-0.65%-0.93%-3.45%+5.46%
202126/10/202124.40neutral+3.32%-10.41%-11.43%-15.00%+3.36%
202026/10/202023.11far above SMA50-5.58%-0.61%-2.03%-9.04%+2.29%
201925/10/201929.41neutral-0.56%+11.90%+12.58%-1.12%+16.87%
201826/10/201818.45far below SMA50+10.08%+10.84%+5.42%+0.00%+18.37%
201726/10/201714.55near 52w high · far above SMA50+13.40%+9.28%+13.40%-1.03%+14.43%
201626/10/20168.05near 52w high+1.86%+5.59%+9.32%-4.97%+12.42%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -5.2% · from 52w low: +27.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.61% · -1.86% · -1.29% · +18.96%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.62% · +1.41% · +10.98%
Distance from 52w high / low-5.22% · +27.15%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.77 · 0.01x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+0.68%
vs SPY (20d)+0.60%
vs SMH (20d)+2.64%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20045.03 · 43.68 · 39.92
52w high / low46.74 · 34.84