🕰️ Time Machine
OLLI — Ollie's Bargain Outlet
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
87.72 -5.30%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 6 days
02/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 16/10/2026
since -5.86%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 03/09/2026
70.02
Days: 35 trading / 50 calendar · return since: +25.28%
Last major high · 07/08/2026
81.80
Days: 54 trading / 77 calendar · return since: +7.24%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 07/08/2026 @ 81.80 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 12/10/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 03/09/2026 @ 70.02 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 16/10/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 03/09/2026 @ 70.02 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 18/10/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 03/09/2026 @ 70.02 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 02/11/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 81.80 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 02/11/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 81.80 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 05/11/2026 | +13 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/09/2026 @ 70.02 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 06/11/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/09/2026 @ 70.02 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/11/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 03/09/2026 @ 70.02 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 02/12/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 81.80 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 05/12/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/08/2026 @ 81.80 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 15/12/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 18/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 18/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 16/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Gap Day 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 12/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 07/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 12/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 05/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.65% · Win 67% · DD -3.46%20 days: Avg +1.64% · Win 56% · DD -5.26%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 13/10/2025 | 132.85 | neutral | -9.06% | -6.50% | -4.76% | -11.83% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 96.09 | neutral | -1.44% | -5.60% | +3.03% | -6.76% | +3.27% |
| 2023 | 12/10/2023 | 74.13 | neutral | -2.17% | +1.63% | +5.03% | -3.64% | +8.22% |
| 2022 | 12/10/2022 | 54.49 | neutral | -0.79% | +4.39% | -6.48% | -6.48% | +6.77% |
| 2021 | 12/10/2021 | 61.04 | far below SMA50 | +8.70% | +11.09% | +15.06% | +0.00% | +20.30% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 92.98 | neutral | -0.60% | -1.79% | -8.55% | -11.69% | +2.16% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 60.23 | neutral | +5.50% | +8.53% | +11.36% | -2.62% | +11.39% |
| 2018 | 12/10/2018 | 87.97 | neutral | +0.88% | +0.32% | +3.76% | -0.19% | +5.60% |
| 2017 | 12/10/2017 | 45.20 | near 52w high | -1.77% | +2.77% | -3.65% | -4.09% | +3.65% |
Passed 16/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.23% · Win 56% · DD -3.48%20 days: Avg +0.48% · Win 44% · DD -4.72%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/10/2025 | 123.13 | neutral | -1.58% | -1.37% | +2.59% | -4.87% | +4.46% |
| 2024 | 16/10/2024 | 95.96 | neutral | -5.39% | -5.27% | -3.97% | -6.64% | +3.41% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 71.43 | volume x1.7 | +4.31% | +8.02% | +10.88% | +0.00% | +12.31% |
| 2022 | 17/10/2022 | 54.01 | neutral | +1.15% | +3.68% | +2.85% | -5.65% | +7.72% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 66.11 | neutral | +1.33% | +2.34% | -1.44% | -1.44% | +11.07% |
| 2020 | 16/10/2020 | 94.99 | neutral | -2.15% | -8.32% | -9.96% | -15.01% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 16/10/2019 | 60.77 | neutral | +3.51% | +6.35% | +5.10% | +0.00% | +10.40% |
| 2018 | 16/10/2018 | 92.03 | neutral | -3.50% | +0.75% | -1.38% | -4.60% | +0.95% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 45.30 | near 52w high | +1.55% | -4.08% | -0.33% | -4.30% | +3.42% |
Passed 18/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 56% · DD -3.99%20 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 56% · DD -4.70%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 124.56 | neutral | -5.96% | -3.01% | +0.09% | -5.96% | +3.26% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 94.71 | neutral | -4.22% | -1.83% | -2.94% | -5.41% | +4.77% |
| 2023 | 18/10/2023 | 72.09 | neutral | +3.80% | +8.24% | +11.74% | +0.00% | +13.23% |
| 2022 | 18/10/2022 | 55.88 | neutral | +3.60% | +0.38% | +2.11% | -8.80% | +4.12% |
| 2021 | 18/10/2021 | 66.48 | neutral | +1.55% | +7.21% | +1.84% | -1.99% | +10.45% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 92.42 | neutral | -1.19% | -11.16% | -5.59% | -12.65% | +0.63% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 63.54 | neutral | +2.88% | +0.99% | +1.97% | -1.94% | +5.59% |
| 2018 | 18/10/2018 | 89.55 | neutral | -0.04% | +2.95% | -0.40% | -1.95% | +3.74% |
| 2017 | 18/10/2017 | 44.90 | near 52w high | +0.22% | -2.23% | -3.56% | -3.56% | +4.34% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.99% · Win 40% · DD -2.94%20 days: Avg +1.22% · Win 50% · DD -6.25%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 124.29 | neutral | +1.80% | -1.13% | -3.68% | -3.71% | +3.48% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 92.98 | neutral | +6.47% | -1.13% | +7.41% | -5.83% | +8.72% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 78.50 | near 52w high | -0.82% | -1.12% | -4.75% | -6.66% | +3.99% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 53.82 | neutral | -5.31% | -2.97% | +12.32% | -5.31% | +15.61% |
| 2021 | 02/11/2021 | 71.11 | neutral | -1.24% | -3.43% | -13.91% | -13.91% | +3.26% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 82.11 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +3.56% | +6.26% | +7.58% | -1.68% | +14.48% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 64.17 | neutral | +4.52% | +0.97% | -8.06% | -8.06% | +4.55% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 92.73 | near 52w high | -1.56% | -2.19% | -1.62% | -11.08% | +0.02% |
| 2017 | 02/11/2017 | 44.65 | near 52w high | -2.46% | +0.56% | +6.38% | -3.02% | +6.38% |
| 2016 | 02/11/2016 | 26.65 | near 52w high | +5.44% | +14.07% | +10.51% | -3.19% | +21.20% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.35% · Win 40% · DD -4.41%20 days: Avg -0.85% · Win 40% · DD -9.04%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 124.13 | neutral | +3.62% | -3.58% | -4.75% | -4.75% | +3.62% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 94.84 | neutral | -2.77% | -5.74% | +5.77% | -7.68% | +6.59% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 80.22 | near 52w high | -1.27% | -3.34% | -4.95% | -8.66% | +1.76% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 52.24 | neutral | +10.45% | +7.10% | +9.74% | -2.45% | +19.10% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 72.91 | neutral | -10.63% | -9.42% | -26.37% | -31.44% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 90.24 | neutral | -6.22% | +0.18% | -10.56% | -10.56% | +4.17% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 67.09 | neutral | -4.03% | -4.53% | -9.73% | -15.29% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 89.16 | volume x1.6 | +1.32% | -0.52% | -2.61% | -7.51% | +4.03% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 44.20 | neutral | +2.15% | +5.54% | +14.71% | -2.04% | +14.71% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 26.15 | near 52w low | +13.19% | +17.78% | +20.27% | +0.00% | +23.52% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.22% · Win 30% · DD -5.46%20 days: Avg -2.94% · Win 40% · DD -10.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 122.78 | neutral | +2.88% | -1.57% | -1.18% | -3.70% | +4.76% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 95.73 | neutral | -3.74% | -8.53% | +4.76% | -8.53% | +5.60% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 80.22 | near 52w high | -1.27% | -3.34% | -4.95% | -8.66% | +1.76% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 53.36 | neutral | +4.10% | +7.83% | +8.23% | -4.50% | +16.60% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 72.91 | neutral | -10.63% | -9.42% | -26.37% | -31.44% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 92.10 | neutral | -7.13% | -0.48% | -14.47% | -14.47% | +2.06% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 65.41 | neutral | -2.35% | -1.67% | -9.06% | -13.12% | +2.54% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 89.49 | neutral | +1.42% | -7.86% | -19.66% | -19.66% | +3.64% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 44.20 | neutral | +2.15% | +5.54% | +14.71% | -2.04% | +14.71% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 26.55 | near 52w high | +15.07% | +17.33% | +18.64% | +0.00% | +21.66% |
Upcoming 30/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -5.82% · Win 30% · DD -10.58%20 days: Avg -5.61% · Win 40% · DD -12.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 121.65 | neutral | -2.34% | -7.12% | -10.00% | -11.25% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 29/11/2024 | 98.95 | neutral | +2.62% | +13.97% | +11.68% | -1.66% | +21.07% |
| 2023 | 30/11/2023 | 73.27 | neutral | -0.26% | -2.35% | +3.58% | -6.13% | +4.22% |
| 2022 | 30/11/2022 | 60.90 | neutral | -21.74% | -15.85% | -22.94% | -25.24% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 30/11/2021 | 61.89 | neutral | -16.74% | -18.23% | -17.39% | -25.34% | +1.57% |
| 2020 | 30/11/2020 | 88.06 | neutral | -10.55% | -9.95% | -4.43% | -11.69% | +1.64% |
| 2019 | 29/11/2019 | 65.40 | neutral | -8.20% | +5.44% | +0.28% | -13.10% | +7.00% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 88.70 | neutral | -22.76% | -26.11% | -25.31% | -30.51% | +2.85% |
| 2017 | 30/11/2017 | 47.45 | near 52w high | +2.74% | +2.85% | +12.22% | +0.00% | +12.96% |
| 2016 | 30/11/2016 | 30.05 | neutral | +5.99% | -0.83% | -3.83% | -3.83% | +5.99% |
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -6.05% · Win 30% · DD -10.94%20 days: Avg -5.96% · Win 40% · DD -12.53%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/12/2025 | 119.72 | neutral | -4.72% | -8.29% | -8.44% | -9.82% | +1.34% |
| 2024 | 02/12/2024 | 99.87 | near 52w high | -1.82% | +14.53% | +9.87% | -2.56% | +19.96% |
| 2023 | 01/12/2023 | 74.77 | neutral | -3.44% | -8.01% | +0.48% | -8.01% | +2.13% |
| 2022 | 02/12/2022 | 60.47 | neutral | -15.16% | -17.03% | -22.66% | -24.71% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 02/12/2021 | 62.86 | volume x2.4 | -20.89% | -24.20% | -18.57% | -26.49% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 02/12/2020 | 86.78 | neutral | -8.92% | -6.97% | -5.77% | -10.38% | +3.13% |
| 2019 | 02/12/2019 | 58.99 | volume x4.7 | +2.09% | +14.43% | +10.70% | -3.67% | +18.62% |
| 2018 | 03/12/2018 | 91.23 | neutral | -26.89% | -27.74% | -27.44% | -32.43% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 01/12/2017 | 47.50 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +4.95% | +5.26% | +9.37% | +0.00% | +12.84% |
| 2016 | 02/12/2016 | 30.65 | neutral | +0.65% | -2.45% | -7.18% | -7.18% | +3.92% |
Upcoming 05/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -4.19% · Win 40% · DD -9.45%20 days: Avg -4.17% · Win 40% · DD -10.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/12/2025 | 121.33 | volume x1.6 | -6.12% | -11.01% | -4.73% | -11.02% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 05/12/2024 | 100.29 | near 52w high | +10.87% | +17.29% | +5.86% | -2.23% | +19.45% |
| 2023 | 05/12/2023 | 76.25 | volume x1.7 | -4.50% | -6.91% | -7.17% | -9.80% | +0.14% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 57.33 | neutral | -8.02% | -18.44% | -14.56% | -20.58% | +0.73% |
| 2021 | 06/12/2021 | 53.68 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.7 | -5.98% | -13.92% | -4.71% | -13.92% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 80.71 | volume x6.7 | -1.69% | +1.41% | +4.23% | -3.64% | +4.27% |
| 2019 | 05/12/2019 | 59.49 | neutral | +17.64% | +15.42% | +3.40% | +0.00% | +17.64% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 86.83 | volume x2.1 | -21.82% | -24.74% | -20.25% | -29.01% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 05/12/2017 | 50.70 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -5.33% | +3.25% | +2.76% | -5.33% | +5.72% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 31.45 | near 52w high | -5.41% | -4.29% | -6.52% | -9.54% | +1.27% |
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.04% · Win 50% · DD -4.12%20 days: Avg +3.03% · Win 70% · DD -7.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/12/2025 | 112.99 | neutral | -2.24% | -3.10% | +2.59% | -4.45% | +5.77% |
| 2024 | 16/12/2024 | 114.38 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.79% | -4.07% | -8.66% | -15.19% | +4.74% |
| 2023 | 15/12/2023 | 68.78 | volume x1.9 | +4.27% | +9.23% | +8.19% | +0.00% | +10.74% |
| 2022 | 15/12/2022 | 50.76 | neutral | -10.30% | -7.72% | +5.20% | -10.30% | +6.19% |
| 2021 | 15/12/2021 | 49.18 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | -5.86% | +5.45% | -3.99% | -6.04% | +6.57% |
| 2020 | 15/12/2020 | 79.17 | far below SMA50 | +3.95% | +4.91% | +21.89% | +0.00% | +23.96% |
| 2019 | 16/12/2019 | 67.51 | neutral | -0.46% | -3.26% | -20.06% | -20.06% | +1.82% |
| 2018 | 14/12/2018 | 66.40 | far below SMA50 | -7.17% | +0.17% | +12.94% | -7.17% | +15.23% |
| 2017 | 15/12/2017 | 50.00 | near 52w high | +6.40% | +3.90% | +9.20% | +0.00% | +11.00% |
| 2016 | 15/12/2016 | 30.25 | neutral | -2.15% | -5.95% | +2.98% | -7.93% | +2.98% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+7.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -32.7% · from 52w low: +45.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -5.86% · +2.80% · +4.12% · +20.59% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.54% · +7.91% · -0.10% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -32.73% · +45.50% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.41 · 0.97x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +9.50% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +5.59% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +17.20% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 89.09 · 81.29 · 87.81 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 130.40 · 60.29 |
|---|
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