🕰️ Time Machine

ORI — Old Republic International

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
40.84 +0.02%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window
10/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 27/08/2026
since -3.31%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 01/06/2026
36.65
Days: 70 trading / 101 calendar · return since: +11.43%
Last major high · 29/07/2026
44.65
Days: 30 trading / 43 calendar · return since: -8.53%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 01/06/2026 @ 36.65Cycle 60Trading📅 26/08/2026-10 (±2)Passed
High 29/07/2026 @ 44.65Fib 21Trading📅 27/08/2026-9 (±1)Passed
High 29/07/2026 @ 44.65Cycle 30Trading📅 10/09/2026+0 (±2)In window
High 29/07/2026 @ 44.65Cycle 45Calendar📅 12/09/2026+2 (±2)In window
High 29/07/2026 @ 44.65Cycle 60Calendar📅 27/09/2026+17 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/06/2026 @ 36.65Cycle 120Calendar📅 29/09/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 29/07/2026 @ 44.65Cycle 45Trading📅 01/10/2026+15 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/06/2026 @ 36.65Cycle 90Trading📅 08/10/2026+20 (±3)Upcoming
High 29/07/2026 @ 44.65Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026+30 (±2)Upcoming
Low 01/06/2026 @ 36.65Cycle 144Calendar📅 23/10/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakdown 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
NR7 Compression 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 26/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 26/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 21/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 26/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 26/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 67% · DD -1.93%20 days: Avg -0.81% · Win 67% · DD -4.14%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/08/202539.65near 52w high+1.79%+1.45%+4.98%-0.43%+4.98%
202426/08/202435.18near 52w high+1.65%+0.01%+0.78%-1.74%+2.10%
202325/08/202327.28neutral+1.42%+1.20%+1.68%-0.54%+2.31%
202226/08/202224.02neutral-3.42%-1.18%-10.23%-10.23%+0.00%
202126/08/202126.19near 52w high-1.27%-4.12%-5.85%-7.78%+0.42%
202026/08/202016.03neutral+1.31%-2.61%-10.51%-10.95%+2.87%
201926/08/201922.77near 52w high+3.12%+3.65%+7.21%+0.00%+7.21%
201827/08/201822.41near 52w high-0.02%+0.93%+1.38%-0.40%+3.31%
201725/08/201719.29neutral+0.69%+1.00%+3.25%-5.18%+3.25%
Passed 27/08/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 56% · DD -2.33%20 days: Avg -0.98% · Win 67% · DD -4.36%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/202540.04near 52w high+2.62%+2.04%+3.65%-1.40%+3.96%
202427/08/202435.17near 52w high+2.08%-1.71%+1.12%-1.71%+2.13%
202328/08/202327.24neutral-0.28%+2.46%+0.90%-0.39%+2.46%
202226/08/202224.02neutral-3.42%-1.18%-10.23%-10.23%+0.00%
202127/08/202126.30near 52w high · volume x1.6-3.03%-3.72%-5.06%-8.16%+0.00%
202027/08/202016.29neutral-0.87%-3.54%-11.50%-12.37%+1.23%
201927/08/201922.81near 52w high+4.21%+4.76%+7.35%+0.00%+7.35%
201827/08/201822.41near 52w high-0.02%+0.93%+1.38%-0.40%+3.31%
201728/08/201719.16neutral-3.74%+2.48%+3.53%-4.53%+3.95%
In window 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.18% · Win 50% · DD -2.96%20 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 50% · DD -3.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/202539.94near 52w high-0.70%+3.48%+8.41%-1.85%+8.59%
202410/09/202434.92near 52w high+1.35%+0.77%-0.09%-1.75%+2.69%
202311/09/202327.36neutral+0.58%+0.48%-0.80%-4.06%+1.10%
202209/09/202222.44neutral-2.72%-6.55%-3.07%-9.00%+0.27%
202110/09/202124.90neutral-1.80%-1.80%+4.94%-3.81%+4.99%
202010/09/202015.41volume x1.5-2.27%-8.11%+0.32%-8.57%+0.71%
201910/09/201922.41neutral+2.81%+3.44%+2.54%+0.00%+5.18%
201810/09/201822.60near 52w high · volume x1.8-0.53%-0.09%-3.50%-4.38%+1.55%
201711/09/201719.29volume x2.2+1.81%+2.23%+1.61%+0.00%+2.80%
201612/09/201618.76near 52w high-2.99%-5.60%-3.15%-6.40%+0.00%
In window 12/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.47% · Win 50% · DD -3.38%20 days: Avg +0.31% · Win 60% · DD -4.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/202540.27near 52w high-1.09%+4.20%+7.25%-2.66%+7.70%
202412/09/202434.54near 52w high+3.01%+2.58%+2.00%+0.00%+3.82%
202312/09/202327.66volume x1.8-0.04%-1.52%-3.69%-5.10%+0.00%
202212/09/202222.48neutral-1.25%-9.16%-1.69%-9.16%+0.09%
202113/09/202125.11neutral-4.62%-1.40%+3.64%-4.62%+4.11%
202011/09/202015.51neutral-3.93%-8.25%+0.71%-9.16%+0.71%
201912/09/201922.80near 52w high+0.61%+2.85%+0.92%-0.70%+3.38%
201812/09/201822.29near 52w high+1.93%+0.58%-4.67%-4.67%+2.96%
201712/09/201719.44neutral+1.44%+1.03%+1.75%-0.36%+2.01%
201612/09/201618.76near 52w high-2.99%-5.60%-3.15%-6.40%+0.00%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 70% · DD -2.20%20 days: Avg +1.73% · Win 40% · DD -3.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202541.96near 52w high+3.31%+2.93%-3.46%-3.46%+3.67%
202427/09/202435.38near 52w high+1.36%+0.11%-2.77%-2.77%+2.94%
202327/09/202327.25neutral-1.80%-1.61%-1.54%-3.67%+1.39%
202227/09/202220.60near 52w low+9.22%+8.54%+12.67%+0.00%+13.01%
202127/09/202123.28neutral+1.25%+5.11%+7.56%-1.63%+7.69%
202028/09/202014.94neutral+3.61%+7.76%+10.58%-1.87%+14.86%
201927/09/201923.41near 52w high+0.34%-0.04%-3.25%-3.25%+2.82%
201827/09/201822.36near 52w high-2.06%-8.77%-4.20%-11.23%+0.09%
201727/09/201719.62neutral+0.51%+0.87%-0.97%-0.97%+1.07%
201627/09/201617.85near 52w low-0.90%+1.29%+2.63%-1.62%+2.86%
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.77% · Win 70% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 30% · DD -3.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/09/202541.78near 52w high+3.81%+2.73%-3.04%-3.04%+4.12%
202430/09/202435.42near 52w high-2.00%+0.62%-0.34%-2.88%+2.82%
202329/09/202326.94neutral-0.63%-0.11%+0.00%-2.56%+3.38%
202229/09/202221.08near 52w low+4.55%+9.44%+9.44%-0.71%+10.44%
202129/09/202123.17neutral+3.80%+4.32%+3.41%-0.17%+8.20%
202029/09/202014.66neutral+5.05%+7.23%+8.59%+0.00%+17.05%
201930/09/201923.57near 52w high-1.36%-0.38%-5.64%-5.64%+2.12%
201828/09/201822.38near 52w high-3.44%-9.56%-3.13%-11.30%+0.00%
201729/09/201719.69neutral-0.46%+0.20%-0.96%-1.32%+0.71%
201629/09/201617.61near 52w low+1.14%+3.24%-5.45%-5.45%+4.77%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 80% · DD -1.40%20 days: Avg +1.58% · Win 50% · DD -3.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/202542.77near 52w high+1.24%+0.07%-10.22%-10.22%+1.71%
202401/10/202435.47near 52w high-1.64%+1.27%-0.90%-3.02%+2.68%
202302/10/202326.36neutral+2.96%+3.64%+3.26%-0.42%+5.65%
202230/09/202220.93near 52w low+3.92%+8.65%+12.04%+0.00%+12.04%
202101/10/202123.44neutral+4.82%+5.12%+10.20%+0.00%+11.09%
202001/10/202014.81neutral+4.39%+4.93%+10.06%+0.00%+15.87%
201901/10/201923.32near 52w high-1.46%+1.42%-3.73%-4.63%+3.22%
201801/10/201822.09near 52w high-1.27%-8.65%-1.36%-10.14%+0.14%
201702/10/201719.78neutral-0.91%-0.05%+2.33%-1.77%+2.33%
201630/09/201617.62near 52w low+1.53%+3.97%-5.90%-5.90%+4.71%
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.46% · Win 60% · DD -1.78%20 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 70% · DD -3.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/10/202543.30near 52w high-1.15%-3.03%-6.03%-11.32%+0.46%
202408/10/202434.89near 52w high+2.95%+2.52%+0.72%-1.40%+4.39%
202309/10/202327.14neutral+0.66%-2.14%+3.10%-2.14%+3.80%
202207/10/202221.75neutral+4.55%+5.24%+6.44%+0.00%+7.82%
202108/10/202124.57neutral+0.28%+1.91%+5.01%-2.48%+7.20%
202008/10/202015.46neutral+0.52%+11.00%+10.93%-0.19%+11.00%
201908/10/201922.98near 52w high+2.92%+3.48%-1.74%-3.22%+4.74%
201808/10/201821.81neutral-7.47%-5.73%+0.92%-8.99%+1.10%
201709/10/201719.60neutral+0.87%-0.77%+4.85%-0.87%+4.85%
201607/10/201617.89near 52w high+2.40%+2.12%-6.76%-7.32%+3.13%
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.36% · Win 50% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg +3.65% · Win 80% · DD -4.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/202541.99near 52w high-8.55%-3.10%+7.00%-8.55%+7.00%
202422/10/202435.77near 52w high-1.73%-1.76%+4.75%-3.83%+5.26%
202323/10/202326.56neutral+2.48%+5.35%+6.74%+0.00%+6.78%
202221/10/202222.89neutral+2.45%+1.14%+3.80%+0.00%+4.46%
202122/10/202125.04volume x1.8+3.15%+3.04%+1.72%-4.31%+5.19%
202022/10/202017.16volume x2.0-5.01%-0.06%+6.24%-7.23%+8.86%
201922/10/201923.78near 52w high-5.59%-5.05%-4.29%-6.48%+0.55%
201822/10/201820.56volume x2.1+5.98%+7.05%+6.13%-3.45%+10.21%
201723/10/201719.45neutral+4.06%+5.66%+6.79%-0.10%+7.30%
201621/10/201618.27near 52w high-9.25%-8.70%-2.35%-9.25%+0.99%
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 70% · DD -3.92%20 days: Avg +4.12% · Win 80% · DD -3.92%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/202540.73volume x1.9-3.46%-0.20%+10.68%-5.72%+10.68%
202423/10/202435.79near 52w high-1.40%+2.51%+5.42%-3.88%+5.42%
202323/10/202326.56neutral+2.48%+5.35%+6.74%+0.00%+6.78%
202224/10/202223.05neutral+0.69%+0.52%+3.51%-0.48%+3.73%
202122/10/202125.04volume x1.8+3.15%+3.04%+1.72%-4.31%+5.19%
202023/10/202016.88volume x1.5-3.55%+1.18%+7.58%-5.69%+10.66%
201923/10/201923.91near 52w high-6.19%-4.94%-4.68%-6.98%+0.00%
201823/10/201820.33neutral+8.17%+10.48%+6.10%-2.36%+11.46%
201723/10/201719.45neutral+4.06%+5.66%+6.79%-0.10%+7.30%
201624/10/201618.36near 52w high-8.17%-7.90%-2.67%-9.69%+0.49%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-3.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -12.7% · from 52w low: +11.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.25% · -3.08% · -3.12% · +6.70%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.60% · -3.17% · -1.55%
Distance from 52w high / low-12.66% · +11.43%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.74 · 0.97x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-1.05%
vs SPY (20d)-1.23%
vs SMH (20d)+1.08%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20041.93 · 42.18 · 41.48
52w high / low46.76 · 36.65