🕰️ Time Machine

ORLY — O’Reilly Automotive

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
89.92 -2.26%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
29/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 21/10/2026
since +0.81%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 21/09/2026
82.83
Days: 24 trading / 32 calendar · return since: +8.56%
Last major high · 05/08/2026
94.12
Days: 56 trading / 79 calendar · return since: -4.46%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 21/09/2026 @ 82.83Fib 21Trading📅 20/10/2026-3 (±1)Passed
Low 21/09/2026 @ 82.83Cycle 30Calendar📅 21/10/2026-2 (±2)In window
High 05/08/2026 @ 94.12Cycle 60Trading📅 29/10/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
Low 21/09/2026 @ 82.83Cycle 30Trading📅 02/11/2026+6 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 94.12Cycle 90Calendar📅 03/11/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 21/09/2026 @ 82.83Cycle 45Calendar📅 05/11/2026+13 (±2)Upcoming
Low 21/09/2026 @ 82.83Cycle 60Calendar📅 20/11/2026+28 (±2)Upcoming
Low 21/09/2026 @ 82.83Cycle 45Trading📅 23/11/2026+21 (±2)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 94.12Cycle 120Calendar📅 03/12/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming
High 05/08/2026 @ 94.12Cycle 90Trading📅 11/12/2026+34 (±3)Upcoming
Low 21/09/2026 @ 82.83Cycle 60Trading📅 15/12/2026+36 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Failed Breakout 20/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Gap Day 15/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 20/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 06/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 20/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.47% · Win 40% · DD -4.70%20 days: Avg +3.34% · Win 50% · DD -4.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/2025100.97neutral-5.13%-9.18%-1.40%-9.18%+0.34%
202421/10/202481.27near 52w high-1.80%-5.04%-0.19%-5.94%+1.62%
202320/10/202360.47neutral+1.93%+5.05%+6.78%-3.87%+9.80%
202220/10/202248.73near 52w high+11.26%+12.10%+13.55%+0.00%+15.45%
202120/10/202142.96near 52w high+1.01%-3.54%-0.53%-3.83%+2.97%
202020/10/202031.29near 52w high-4.09%-4.34%-4.07%-7.05%+0.00%
201921/10/201926.83near 52w high+9.87%+8.45%+11.78%-0.51%+11.78%
201819/10/201822.66near 52w high-4.06%-4.31%+3.75%-5.67%+5.19%
201720/10/201713.73volume x1.5+5.41%+3.21%+7.09%-1.54%+7.09%
201624/10/201618.62near 52w high-5.32%-7.05%-3.32%-9.41%+0.35%
In window 21/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.60% · Win 40% · DD -5.07%20 days: Avg +2.95% · Win 50% · DD -5.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/2025101.31neutral-4.95%-7.38%-2.94%-9.49%+0.00%
202421/10/202481.27near 52w high-1.80%-5.04%-0.19%-5.94%+1.62%
202320/10/202360.47neutral+1.93%+5.05%+6.78%-3.87%+9.80%
202221/10/202249.60near 52w high+12.40%+9.63%+12.66%+0.00%+13.41%
202121/10/202144.22near 52w high-5.80%-4.43%-2.61%-6.56%+0.05%
202021/10/202031.07near 52w high-5.07%-3.33%-2.46%-6.37%+0.09%
201921/10/201926.83near 52w high+9.87%+8.45%+11.78%-0.51%+11.78%
201822/10/201822.99near 52w high-4.54%-5.09%+2.73%-7.02%+3.68%
201720/10/201713.73volume x1.5+5.41%+3.21%+7.09%-1.54%+7.09%
201624/10/201618.62near 52w high-5.32%-7.05%-3.32%-9.41%+0.35%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.99% · Win 80% · DD -1.56%20 days: Avg +4.55% · Win 100% · DD -1.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202594.52neutral+0.44%+3.78%+7.40%-2.98%+7.40%
202429/10/202478.39near 52w high · volume x1.7-1.15%+5.18%+5.81%-2.49%+5.81%
202330/10/202362.01near 52w high+2.79%+7.07%+5.08%+0.00%+7.07%
202228/10/202255.75near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.46%-2.48%+1.94%-2.53%+2.35%
202129/10/202141.49neutral+2.53%+4.28%+3.51%-0.42%+4.77%
202029/10/202029.09volume x1.7+3.16%+4.70%+1.56%+0.00%+6.20%
201929/10/201928.96near 52w high-0.15%+1.28%+1.83%-0.15%+3.58%
201829/10/201821.95neutral-0.58%+6.15%+7.26%-2.60%+8.61%
201730/10/201714.25neutral-2.31%+0.18%+6.87%-2.91%+6.87%
201628/10/201617.57near 52w low-0.87%-0.27%+4.22%-1.49%+4.98%
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.41% · Win 100% · DD -0.49%20 days: Avg +5.33% · Win 100% · DD -0.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202591.70far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+6.98%+8.57%+8.88%+0.00%+10.91%
202401/11/202476.44volume x1.6+6.20%+5.82%+8.74%+0.00%+8.74%
202302/11/202363.21near 52w high+3.17%+2.52%+3.42%+0.00%+5.04%
202202/11/202254.34near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.67%+2.32%+5.16%+0.00%+6.06%
202102/11/202141.41neutral+3.60%+4.98%+2.52%+0.00%+4.98%
202002/11/202029.43neutral+3.08%+4.48%+2.74%+0.00%+4.97%
201901/11/201929.13near 52w high+0.51%+1.88%+2.14%-0.75%+2.95%
201802/11/201821.68neutral+9.07%+8.42%+6.49%+0.00%+10.34%
201702/11/201714.30neutral-1.60%+2.40%+9.27%-2.99%+10.16%
201602/11/201617.51near 52w low+0.55%+2.74%+3.94%-1.19%+5.30%
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.88% · Win 100% · DD -0.41%20 days: Avg +5.84% · Win 90% · DD -0.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202591.70far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+6.98%+8.57%+8.88%+0.00%+10.91%
202404/11/202477.17neutral+6.13%+5.11%+7.81%+0.00%+7.81%
202303/11/202363.52near 52w high+3.50%+1.65%+3.19%+0.00%+4.52%
202203/11/202254.62near 52w high · far above SMA50+2.99%+1.29%+4.76%-0.46%+5.51%
202103/11/202141.44neutral+4.25%+3.12%+5.76%+0.00%+5.76%
202003/11/202029.94neutral+1.68%+0.29%-1.48%-1.55%+3.19%
201904/11/201929.10near 52w high+0.79%+3.07%+0.49%-0.63%+3.07%
201802/11/201821.68neutral+9.07%+8.42%+6.49%+0.00%+10.34%
201703/11/201714.17neutral+0.91%+3.76%+17.83%-2.07%+17.83%
201603/11/201617.46near 52w low+0.27%+3.49%+4.62%-0.86%+5.64%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.03% · Win 90% · DD -0.18%20 days: Avg +5.45% · Win 90% · DD -0.32%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/202594.94neutral+3.32%+3.96%+4.81%+0.00%+7.12%
202405/11/202477.49near 52w high+6.41%+3.29%+6.93%+0.00%+7.37%
202306/11/202363.74near 52w high+4.16%+2.35%+2.29%+0.00%+4.16%
202204/11/202254.38near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.02%+2.76%+3.35%-0.02%+5.98%
202105/11/202142.54near 52w high+1.71%-0.30%+3.66%-0.46%+3.66%
202005/11/202030.01neutral+1.49%+0.28%-0.02%-1.78%+2.95%
201905/11/201928.91near 52w high+1.43%+2.50%+1.93%+0.00%+3.73%
201805/11/201821.82neutral+6.77%+8.24%+5.85%+0.00%+9.66%
201706/11/201713.92neutral+2.54%+5.52%+19.80%-0.36%+19.88%
201604/11/201617.41near 52w low+0.61%+1.74%+5.85%-0.62%+5.90%
Upcoming 20/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.43% · Win 70% · DD -0.70%20 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -2.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/11/202599.01neutral+2.72%-0.12%-8.09%-8.09%+2.72%
202420/11/202479.26neutral+4.64%+3.86%+2.15%+0.00%+6.87%
202320/11/202365.24near 52w high-0.12%-0.07%-1.47%-3.34%+1.31%
202221/11/202256.43near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.39%-1.98%-2.69%-4.63%+2.14%
202119/11/202142.41near 52w high+1.25%+3.97%+5.72%-0.07%+8.06%
202020/11/202029.79neutral-0.97%+0.41%+1.30%-1.52%+1.84%
201920/11/201929.25near 52w high+1.59%+0.53%+0.90%-0.86%+1.75%
201820/11/201822.40neutral+6.78%+1.29%-1.01%-1.37%+6.78%
201720/11/201714.69neutral+3.67%+13.54%+10.28%-2.13%+13.93%
201621/11/201618.00near 52w high+1.99%+2.84%+5.61%+0.00%+5.63%
Upcoming 23/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.45% · Win 50% · DD -2.16%20 days: Avg -0.17% · Win 40% · DD -3.11%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/11/202599.00neutral+0.85%-4.80%-7.00%-8.08%+2.73%
202422/11/202481.82near 52w high+1.58%+2.24%-1.64%-1.64%+3.52%
202322/11/202366.10near 52w high-0.92%-3.81%-3.42%-4.60%+0.00%
202223/11/202256.72near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.75%-1.70%-3.18%-5.13%+1.61%
202123/11/202143.42near 52w high-2.24%+3.59%+4.63%-2.39%+5.55%
202023/11/202029.47neutral+2.59%-0.47%+2.56%-0.47%+2.92%
201922/11/201929.22near 52w high+1.85%+0.34%-0.19%-0.19%+1.85%
201823/11/201823.38near 52w high-1.10%-3.58%-6.62%-6.62%+2.35%
201722/11/201714.58neutral+8.03%+11.99%+10.45%-1.09%+14.83%
201623/11/201618.36near 52w high-0.87%+0.67%+2.73%-0.87%+3.65%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.94% · Win 40% · DD -2.65%20 days: Avg -0.85% · Win 40% · DD -3.54%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/202598.61neutral-5.05%-5.84%-8.39%-8.39%+0.91%
202403/12/202483.20near 52w high+1.47%-0.15%-4.83%-5.45%+1.81%
202304/12/202365.55near 52w high-1.80%-2.35%-4.02%-4.27%+0.20%
202202/12/202257.23near 52w high-3.57%-5.43%-2.06%-5.97%+0.00%
202103/12/202143.95near 52w high+3.52%+2.56%+5.58%+0.00%+7.43%
202003/12/202029.77neutral-0.11%+1.19%+1.67%-1.46%+3.42%
201903/12/201929.24near 52w high+0.74%+1.15%-0.26%-0.33%+1.58%
201803/12/201823.09near 52w high · volume x1.6-1.09%-0.65%-0.06%-5.47%+2.37%
201704/12/201716.69far above SMA50 · volume x2.2-1.26%-1.80%+1.38%-4.07%+1.38%
201602/12/201618.26near 52w high+0.74%+1.96%+2.51%+0.00%+4.23%
Upcoming 11/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.38% · Win 50% · DD -2.49%20 days: Avg +0.72% · Win 50% · DD -3.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/12/202593.96neutral-2.31%-1.82%+1.75%-3.85%+1.75%
202411/12/202484.60near 52w high-3.46%-4.90%-4.64%-7.02%+0.13%
202311/12/202364.37near 52w high-0.56%-2.43%-3.00%-4.16%+1.85%
202212/12/202255.62near 52w high-2.15%+1.14%-1.06%-3.25%+1.23%
202110/12/202145.49near 52w high-0.92%+1.48%-1.07%-2.20%+3.78%
202011/12/202029.86neutral+0.72%+2.04%+10.60%-0.09%+10.60%
201911/12/201929.64near 52w high-0.92%-1.25%-1.75%-3.57%+0.00%
201811/12/201822.84neutral+0.45%+0.55%+0.25%-4.43%+3.50%
201711/12/201716.48far above SMA50-0.55%-1.05%+4.53%-2.85%+5.67%
201612/12/201618.46near 52w high+2.25%+2.45%+1.61%-0.01%+3.13%
Upcoming 15/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.15% · Win 50% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg +1.34% · Win 60% · DD -2.56%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/202595.14neutral-3.56%-3.86%-0.13%-5.05%+0.48%
202416/12/202484.59near 52w high-4.85%-6.55%-5.05%-7.01%+0.00%
202315/12/202363.44volume x2.4+0.05%-0.69%+4.27%-2.75%+4.27%
202215/12/202253.81neutral+2.05%+4.56%+0.31%+0.00%+4.64%
202115/12/202145.81near 52w high-0.84%+2.12%+0.08%-2.13%+3.05%
202015/12/202029.94neutral+0.96%+0.61%+4.99%+0.00%+10.31%
201916/12/201929.37near 52w high-0.71%-0.51%-0.54%-2.67%+0.72%
201814/12/201823.21near 52w high-5.05%-1.10%-1.15%-5.96%+0.00%
201715/12/201716.01volume x1.7+0.96%+3.77%+10.34%+0.00%+10.34%
201615/12/201618.54near 52w high+1.78%+0.13%+0.26%+0.00%+2.69%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+3.0%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -12.2% · from 52w low: +8.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.73% · +4.01% · +4.41% · +2.93%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.27% · +3.01% · -0.81%
Distance from 52w high / low-12.24% · +8.88%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.84 · 1.12x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+9.80%
vs SPY (20d)+5.89%
vs SMH (20d)+17.50%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20087.07 · 87.29 · 90.65
52w high / low102.46 · 82.59