🕰️ Time Machine
ORLY — O’Reilly Automotive
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/07/2026
Last price (Close)
86.11 -0.49%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
29/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 120 · 18/07/2026
since +0.07%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/03/2026
86.77
Days: 85 trading / 125 calendar · return since: -0.76%
Last major high · 01/05/2026
100.63
Days: 56 trading / 83 calendar · return since: -14.43%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 86.77 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 18/07/2026 | -5 (±3) | Passed |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 100.63 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/07/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 86.77 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 30/07/2026 | +5 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 100.63 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 30/07/2026 | +7 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 86.77 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 11/08/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 100.63 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 29/08/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 01/05/2026 @ 100.63 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 10/09/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/03/2026 @ 86.77 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Gap Day 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 20/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 18/07/2026
● Shooting Star 29/06/2026
● Failed Breakout 29/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 18/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.40% · Win 78% · DD -1.46%20 days: Avg +5.05% · Win 78% · DD -1.79%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 92.34 | neutral | +5.76% | +7.34% | +9.96% | +0.00% | +13.10% |
| 2024 | 18/07/2024 | 68.54 | neutral | +6.30% | +10.24% | +8.54% | +0.00% | +10.97% |
| 2023 | 18/07/2023 | 64.16 | near 52w high | +0.20% | -3.26% | -1.15% | -4.57% | +0.33% |
| 2022 | 18/07/2022 | 44.85 | neutral | +1.85% | +5.39% | +9.69% | +0.00% | +9.69% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 39.63 | near 52w high | +4.22% | +1.12% | +1.59% | -0.07% | +4.45% |
| 2020 | 17/07/2020 | 28.78 | near 52w high | +2.46% | +10.57% | +7.37% | +0.00% | +11.30% |
| 2019 | 18/07/2019 | 26.88 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -6.74% | -7.04% | -6.89% | -9.81% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 18/07/2018 | 19.37 | near 52w high | +2.30% | +4.20% | +11.79% | +0.00% | +11.79% |
| 2017 | 18/07/2017 | 12.50 | far below SMA50 | -0.37% | +10.99% | +4.51% | -1.66% | +11.79% |
Upcoming 29/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.71% · Win 70% · DD -1.33%20 days: Avg +0.86% · Win 70% · DD -1.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/07/2025 | 98.90 | near 52w high | +3.37% | +3.02% | +4.33% | -0.59% | +5.60% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 74.55 | near 52w high | -1.13% | +0.26% | +0.19% | -1.13% | +2.03% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 61.92 | near 52w high | -0.31% | +1.59% | +0.24% | -1.11% | +2.43% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 46.91 | far above SMA50 | +0.77% | +3.98% | -0.68% | -0.68% | +5.71% |
| 2021 | 29/07/2021 | 39.75 | near 52w high · volume x1.8 | +1.48% | +0.10% | +0.66% | -0.38% | +2.71% |
| 2020 | 29/07/2020 | 30.38 | near 52w high | +2.80% | +1.70% | +1.52% | -0.38% | +5.43% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 25.99 | neutral | -6.72% | -4.87% | -2.87% | -6.72% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 20.31 | near 52w high | +3.57% | +3.21% | +8.37% | -0.62% | +8.88% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 13.34 | neutral | +2.51% | -0.56% | +1.12% | -2.38% | +4.81% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 19.38 | near 52w high | -0.05% | -1.34% | -4.26% | -4.26% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.21% · Win 40% · DD -2.27%20 days: Avg -0.25% · Win 30% · DD -2.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 99.38 | near 52w high | +5.09% | +3.28% | +4.70% | -1.07% | +5.09% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 76.06 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.59% | -2.29% | -1.15% | -3.10% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 61.72 | neutral | +0.64% | +2.09% | +0.93% | -0.79% | +2.76% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 46.91 | far above SMA50 | +0.77% | +3.98% | -0.68% | -0.68% | +5.71% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 40.26 | near 52w high | -0.06% | -1.62% | -1.98% | -1.98% | +1.43% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 32.03 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.5 | -3.01% | -3.99% | -3.73% | -5.51% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 25.56 | neutral | -2.55% | -2.56% | -1.68% | -5.15% | +0.63% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 20.31 | near 52w high | +3.57% | +3.21% | +8.37% | -0.62% | +8.88% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 13.62 | neutral | +0.39% | -2.87% | -3.05% | -4.42% | +2.62% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 19.38 | near 52w high | -0.05% | -1.34% | -4.26% | -4.26% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 11/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.64% · Win 50% · DD -1.14%20 days: Avg +2.12% · Win 60% · DD -1.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/08/2025 | 103.60 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.13% | -1.09% | +3.20% | -2.13% | +3.20% |
| 2024 | 12/08/2024 | 74.74 | near 52w high | +0.04% | -0.07% | +0.75% | -0.57% | +1.57% |
| 2023 | 11/08/2023 | 62.90 | near 52w high | -0.59% | -1.33% | -0.11% | -1.33% | +1.57% |
| 2022 | 11/08/2022 | 47.96 | near 52w high | +2.41% | -0.79% | +0.22% | -3.10% | +3.38% |
| 2021 | 11/08/2021 | 40.08 | near 52w high | -0.39% | +0.98% | -1.50% | -3.72% | +0.98% |
| 2020 | 11/08/2020 | 30.27 | neutral | +3.54% | +2.63% | +4.90% | +0.00% | +6.30% |
| 2019 | 12/08/2019 | 24.72 | neutral | +4.03% | +2.11% | +9.93% | -0.38% | +9.93% |
| 2018 | 10/08/2018 | 21.26 | near 52w high | +3.46% | +3.68% | +8.45% | -1.44% | +8.52% |
| 2017 | 11/08/2017 | 13.26 | neutral | -0.50% | +1.69% | -1.26% | -1.84% | +1.69% |
| 2016 | 11/08/2016 | 19.21 | near 52w high | -0.73% | -1.36% | -3.43% | -3.52% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 29/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.94% · Win 50% · DD -1.20%20 days: Avg +1.76% · Win 70% · DD -2.13%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 103.68 | near 52w high | +2.62% | +2.53% | +3.73% | -0.47% | +3.99% |
| 2024 | 29/08/2024 | 75.90 | near 52w high | -1.69% | -1.14% | +0.66% | -2.58% | +1.86% |
| 2023 | 29/08/2023 | 63.11 | near 52w high | -0.19% | -2.09% | -3.43% | -3.43% | +1.24% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 46.98 | neutral | +0.39% | -1.29% | -1.64% | -2.35% | +3.39% |
| 2021 | 30/08/2021 | 39.78 | near 52w high | -2.68% | -0.97% | +2.75% | -2.99% | +4.97% |
| 2020 | 28/08/2020 | 30.86 | neutral | +1.74% | +3.28% | -1.21% | -4.10% | +4.25% |
| 2019 | 29/08/2019 | 25.70 | neutral | +3.71% | +1.40% | +2.35% | -1.30% | +5.77% |
| 2018 | 29/08/2018 | 22.18 | near 52w high | +3.59% | +2.72% | +3.95% | -0.97% | +4.49% |
| 2017 | 29/08/2017 | 13.13 | neutral | +2.67% | +5.58% | +8.88% | -0.45% | +9.20% |
| 2016 | 29/08/2016 | 18.67 | near 52w high | +1.09% | -0.57% | +1.61% | -2.62% | +1.61% |
Upcoming 10/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.00% · Win 30% · DD -2.74%20 days: Avg -0.61% · Win 30% · DD -3.37%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/09/2025 | 105.11 | near 52w high | -0.53% | -1.56% | -4.14% | -4.14% | +2.58% |
| 2024 | 10/09/2024 | 75.30 | near 52w high | -0.13% | -0.02% | +3.37% | -1.80% | +3.37% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 62.83 | near 52w high | -1.40% | -0.94% | -2.95% | -5.61% | +0.35% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 48.07 | near 52w high | -3.82% | -4.55% | -1.42% | -4.55% | +1.58% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 39.49 | near 52w high | +1.18% | +5.60% | +3.02% | -0.84% | +5.73% |
| 2020 | 10/09/2020 | 31.28 | near 52w high | -0.40% | -5.39% | -3.39% | -5.39% | +1.89% |
| 2019 | 10/09/2019 | 27.18 | near 52w high | -3.95% | -3.19% | -4.92% | -6.68% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 23.06 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.67% | -0.82% | -0.45% | -2.67% | +0.53% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 13.09 | neutral | +6.96% | +9.54% | +5.81% | +0.00% | +9.67% |
| 2016 | 09/09/2016 | 18.55 | near 52w high · volume x2.3 | -1.99% | +1.28% | -1.02% | -1.99% | +2.28% |
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.05% · Win 40% · DD -3.05%20 days: Avg -0.50% · Win 30% · DD -3.77%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 107.82 | near 52w high | -3.83% | -3.01% | -7.51% | -7.51% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 74.18 | near 52w high | +1.85% | +2.71% | +5.80% | -0.32% | +5.80% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 62.83 | near 52w high | -1.40% | -0.94% | -2.95% | -5.61% | +0.35% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 48.49 | near 52w high | -4.42% | -4.63% | -0.39% | -5.39% | +0.69% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 39.49 | near 52w high | +1.18% | +5.60% | +3.02% | -0.84% | +5.73% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 31.64 | near 52w high | -2.26% | -6.31% | -5.32% | -6.46% | +0.73% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 26.98 | near 52w high | -3.53% | -2.47% | -2.33% | -6.01% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 23.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.08% | -0.98% | -0.62% | -3.18% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 13.09 | neutral | +6.96% | +9.54% | +5.81% | +0.00% | +9.67% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 18.62 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -1.35% | +0.98% | -0.54% | -2.35% | +1.90% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -20.8% · from 52w low: +4.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -0.16% · +1.16% · -1.95% · -6.37% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.14% · -2.66% · -7.89% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -20.80% · +4.26% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.02 · 0.75x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +0.68% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -2.62% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +4.31% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 87.11 · 88.46 · 93.49 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 108.72 · 82.59 |
|---|
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