🕰️ Time Machine

PCAR — Paccar

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
106.96 -2.40%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in window
23/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 21/10/2026
since -2.96%
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 01/06/2026
106.77
Days: 101 trading / 144 calendar · return since: +0.18%
Last major high · 28/07/2026
139.24
Days: 62 trading / 87 calendar · return since: -23.18%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 28/07/2026 @ 139.24Cycle 60Trading📅 21/10/2026-2 (±2)In window
Low 01/06/2026 @ 106.77Cycle 144Calendar📅 23/10/2026+0 (±3)In window
High 28/07/2026 @ 139.24Cycle 90Calendar📅 26/10/2026+3 (±3)In window
Low 01/06/2026 @ 106.77Cycle 120Trading📅 19/11/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 139.24Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/11/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
Low 01/06/2026 @ 106.77Cycle 180Calendar📅 28/11/2026+36 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/07/2026 @ 139.24Cycle 90Trading📅 03/12/2026+28 (±3)Upcoming
Low 01/06/2026 @ 106.77Cycle 144Trading📅 24/12/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 01/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 21/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.93% · Win 40% · DD -3.60%20 days: Avg +3.46% · Win 70% · DD -4.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/10/202599.85volume x1.9-0.68%-2.93%-2.53%-5.39%+1.23%
202421/10/2024109.61far above SMA50-2.32%-4.37%+2.33%-5.71%+6.83%
202320/10/202381.58neutral+2.10%+6.40%+12.33%-0.27%+12.33%
202221/10/202260.11neutral+6.80%+9.93%+15.61%+0.00%+15.61%
202121/10/202157.83neutral+3.07%+3.27%+0.66%-1.12%+5.67%
202021/10/202060.61near 52w high · volume x1.6-6.62%-2.38%-0.82%-6.62%+1.90%
201921/10/201948.67near 52w high · volume x1.9+6.18%+8.63%+10.07%+0.00%+10.33%
201822/10/201840.33near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.3-7.75%-3.37%+0.45%-9.17%+0.92%
201720/10/201749.95near 52w high-4.07%-4.81%-10.66%-10.66%+0.00%
201624/10/201637.56near 52w high-2.52%-1.03%+7.17%-3.90%+7.61%
In window 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.83% · Win 60% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +3.52% · Win 60% · DD -3.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/202599.38neutral-0.56%-1.11%-1.46%-4.94%+1.71%
202423/10/2024103.80neutral+1.06%+11.76%+6.24%-0.43%+12.81%
202323/10/202381.36neutral+2.78%+6.16%+13.23%+0.00%+13.23%
202224/10/202261.35neutral+5.23%+7.74%+13.82%-0.30%+13.82%
202122/10/202158.00neutral+3.01%+3.45%-0.35%-1.41%+5.36%
202023/10/202061.76near 52w high-7.84%-2.75%-3.83%-8.37%+0.00%
201923/10/201950.07near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.5+1.81%+6.08%+5.40%+0.00%+7.23%
201823/10/201838.27near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.5-1.60%+3.41%+3.92%-4.27%+6.37%
201723/10/201749.77near 52w high-5.63%-5.41%-8.98%-10.34%+0.00%
201624/10/201637.56near 52w high-2.52%-1.03%+7.17%-3.90%+7.61%
In window 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.94% · Win 80% · DD -2.25%20 days: Avg +5.91% · Win 80% · DD -2.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/10/2025101.08neutral-3.58%-2.08%+1.71%-6.54%+2.23%
202425/10/2024105.90neutral-2.41%+8.01%+8.64%-2.41%+10.58%
202326/10/202383.91neutral+0.57%+2.47%+9.98%-1.64%+9.98%
202226/10/202261.87near 52w high · volume x2.0+3.12%+7.50%+14.52%+0.00%+14.66%
202126/10/202157.92volume x2.0+5.50%+1.31%+3.92%-1.28%+5.50%
202026/10/202060.38near 52w high-1.92%+0.39%-0.76%-6.27%+1.34%
201925/10/201951.27near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.50%+4.54%+5.02%-1.09%+5.02%
201826/10/201836.87near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.42%+6.03%+10.24%+0.00%+10.41%
201726/10/201748.05near 52w high-0.17%-3.69%-6.80%-7.14%+0.00%
201626/10/201636.84near 52w high-1.32%+4.89%+12.61%-2.03%+12.61%
Upcoming 19/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.08% · Win 70% · DD -1.44%20 days: Avg +2.78% · Win 50% · DD -2.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/11/202596.49neutral+8.77%+12.45%+15.56%+0.00%+17.61%
202419/11/2024110.38neutral+4.93%+7.27%-2.36%-2.36%+7.27%
202320/11/202391.84near 52w high-0.98%+2.21%+8.91%-0.98%+8.91%
202218/11/202269.25near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.25%-0.49%-1.91%-3.08%+2.07%
202119/11/202157.58neutral-0.29%+1.44%-3.27%-4.54%+4.13%
202019/11/202060.03neutral-2.55%-3.71%-3.70%-6.20%+0.41%
201919/11/201952.95near 52w high+2.96%+0.52%+4.02%-0.73%+4.43%
201819/11/201840.33neutral+0.13%-1.93%-6.06%-6.06%+2.86%
201720/11/201745.13neutral+1.23%+3.65%+6.50%-1.18%+6.50%
201618/11/201639.85near 52w high+2.04%+9.42%+10.07%+0.00%+13.87%
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.52% · Win 40% · DD -2.73%20 days: Avg +1.46% · Win 50% · DD -3.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/11/2025104.92neutral+3.45%+8.16%+7.63%-0.91%+8.89%
202425/11/2024116.54neutral+0.27%-1.00%-7.16%-7.75%+1.60%
202324/11/202392.00near 52w high+1.28%+3.67%+9.52%-1.15%+9.52%
202225/11/202270.02near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.72%-3.59%-1.58%-4.15%+0.88%
202124/11/202159.15neutral-5.37%-0.12%-2.59%-7.07%+0.47%
202025/11/202059.21neutral-2.89%-3.46%-2.26%-4.91%+0.00%
201925/11/201954.35near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.75%-0.39%+0.30%-2.06%+1.75%
201826/11/201840.45neutral+0.71%-4.73%-3.62%-8.42%+2.54%
201724/11/201744.63neutral+4.05%+7.51%+7.87%-0.06%+8.34%
201625/11/201641.33near 52w high+1.77%+9.16%+6.48%-1.61%+9.79%
Upcoming 28/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.12% · Win 60% · DD -2.42%20 days: Avg +1.98% · Win 50% · DD -3.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/11/2025105.42neutral+4.66%+5.82%+7.05%-1.38%+8.37%
202427/11/2024116.18neutral+1.24%-2.91%-7.41%-7.46%+1.92%
202328/11/202390.94near 52w high+3.22%+7.36%+11.16%+0.00%+11.16%
202228/11/202269.07near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.24%-0.63%-0.46%-2.83%+2.26%
202129/11/202157.41neutral+1.73%+2.59%+2.65%-4.26%+3.51%
202027/11/202058.49neutral-1.19%-2.60%-1.67%-3.74%+0.00%
201927/11/201954.77near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.50%+0.96%-0.58%-2.82%+0.96%
201828/11/201841.34neutral-5.53%-4.30%-4.67%-10.38%+0.34%
201728/11/201745.69volume x1.5+2.39%+4.93%+5.13%+0.00%+5.82%
201628/11/201640.67near 52w high+7.23%+10.00%+8.56%+0.00%+11.59%
Upcoming 03/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.29% · Win 60% · DD -1.93%20 days: Avg +0.89% · Win 60% · DD -2.80%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/12/2025108.54neutral+4.55%+2.85%+4.09%-0.04%+5.26%
202403/12/2024116.85neutral-1.27%-4.44%-8.95%-8.95%+1.34%
202304/12/202393.72near 52w high · volume x1.8+4.49%+5.61%+4.71%+0.00%+7.91%
202202/12/202270.53near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.28%-4.55%-4.35%-4.84%+0.00%
202103/12/202157.11neutral+4.05%-0.84%+5.07%-2.48%+5.07%
202003/12/202057.50neutral-0.58%+0.25%-0.98%-2.08%+1.31%
201903/12/201953.39near 52w high+1.39%+2.57%+2.12%-0.31%+3.57%
201803/12/201840.74volume x1.7-5.40%-4.81%-4.23%-9.06%+0.00%
201704/12/201746.85volume x1.8+2.09%+2.17%+6.97%-0.21%+6.97%
201602/12/201642.07near 52w high+7.26%+4.10%+4.45%+0.00%+7.88%
Upcoming 24/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.21% · Win 70% · DD -1.64%20 days: Avg +7.51% · Win 90% · DD -1.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/12/2025111.51near 52w high+0.04%+6.54%+9.51%-1.79%+10.81%
202424/12/2024105.18neutral-1.67%+1.33%+4.50%-1.67%+4.90%
202322/12/202397.47near 52w high-0.71%-2.72%+3.45%-3.98%+3.63%
202223/12/202267.03neutral-2.11%-0.06%+10.20%-2.75%+10.47%
202123/12/202156.63neutral+3.90%+9.97%+7.30%+0.00%+13.60%
202024/12/202057.41neutral-1.61%+2.45%+13.59%-1.61%+14.80%
201924/12/201952.99near 52w high+0.03%-1.31%-3.40%-3.40%+0.03%
201824/12/201835.78near 52w low+7.81%+9.24%+15.13%+0.00%+17.35%
201722/12/201747.33neutral+2.85%+5.39%+10.27%-0.23%+10.27%
201623/12/201643.62near 52w high-0.17%+1.25%+4.54%-2.34%+4.54%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -23.2% · from 52w low: +14.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-3.48% · -1.00% · -3.91% · -19.82%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-2.22% · -8.93% · -11.24%
Distance from 52w high / low-23.18% · +13.96%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg2.41 · 0.67x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.48%
vs SPY (20d)-2.43%
vs SMH (20d)+9.18%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200109.38 · 117.45 · 120.51
52w high / low139.24 · 93.86