🕰️ Time Machine
PEN — Penumbra, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
317.73 -0.02%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 9 days
24/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 02/09/2026
since -1.57%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 30/06/2026
314.80
Days: 51 trading / 73 calendar · return since: +0.93%
Last major high · 21/01/2026
362.41
Days: 161 trading / 233 calendar · return since: -12.33%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 30/06/2026 @ 314.80 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 30/06/2026 @ 314.80 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 24/09/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/06/2026 @ 314.80 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 28/09/2026 | +17 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/01/2026 @ 362.41 | Cycle 180 | Trading | 📅 08/10/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 21/01/2026 @ 362.41 | Cycle 270 | Calendar | 📅 18/10/2026 | +37 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 30/06/2026 @ 314.80 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +39 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 11/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 08/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 02/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 18/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 18/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 13/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 02/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.80% · Win 56% · DD -4.08%20 days: Avg -1.86% · Win 33% · DD -6.13%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 269.50 | neutral | +6.53% | -2.43% | -6.00% | -7.53% | +6.53% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 204.97 | far above SMA50 | -0.41% | -8.74% | -6.54% | -8.82% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 264.12 | neutral | +13.59% | -0.71% | -9.65% | -9.65% | +13.59% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 165.03 | far above SMA50 | +21.71% | +17.83% | +18.51% | -0.47% | +24.75% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 277.66 | neutral | +1.65% | +2.55% | -5.25% | -5.63% | +4.89% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 214.22 | neutral | -6.25% | -6.97% | -11.12% | -11.12% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 146.56 | neutral | -4.20% | +3.45% | -8.02% | -10.06% | +3.45% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 138.85 | neutral | +2.99% | +10.15% | +6.34% | -0.07% | +12.93% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 87.90 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -0.11% | +1.08% | +5.01% | -1.82% | +5.01% |
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.07% · Win 40% · DD -5.06%20 days: Avg +0.43% · Win 50% · DD -7.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/09/2025 | 253.65 | neutral | -1.58% | +2.09% | -0.64% | -2.38% | +3.05% |
| 2024 | 24/09/2024 | 191.40 | neutral | +0.08% | +1.78% | +7.43% | -2.36% | +10.43% |
| 2023 | 25/09/2023 | 247.16 | neutral | -3.45% | -9.75% | -16.22% | -21.06% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 184.94 | far above SMA50 | +2.52% | -1.99% | -7.41% | -8.01% | +8.64% |
| 2021 | 24/09/2021 | 278.73 | neutral | -5.61% | -8.43% | +0.10% | -9.23% | +0.10% |
| 2020 | 24/09/2020 | 193.39 | far below SMA50 | -1.55% | +7.54% | +19.10% | -3.35% | +19.10% |
| 2019 | 24/09/2019 | 140.30 | neutral | -3.91% | -1.79% | +6.91% | -5.92% | +6.91% |
| 2018 | 24/09/2018 | 151.90 | neutral | -2.80% | -11.43% | -9.94% | -13.76% | +2.47% |
| 2017 | 25/09/2017 | 87.30 | near 52w high | +5.73% | +6.59% | +9.34% | +0.00% | +9.45% |
| 2016 | 23/09/2016 | 77.32 | near 52w high | -1.72% | -5.35% | -4.36% | -8.26% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.37% · Win 50% · DD -5.47%20 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 50% · DD -6.76%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 251.65 | neutral | +1.57% | +0.60% | -1.45% | -1.60% | +3.87% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 191.55 | neutral | +1.66% | +6.08% | +6.87% | -0.39% | +10.34% |
| 2023 | 28/09/2023 | 246.80 | neutral | -9.80% | -20.94% | -21.77% | -21.77% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 28/09/2022 | 193.23 | far above SMA50 | +1.55% | -5.70% | -8.49% | -11.96% | +3.98% |
| 2021 | 28/09/2021 | 262.02 | neutral | -1.27% | -0.15% | +5.16% | -3.44% | +6.48% |
| 2020 | 28/09/2020 | 194.46 | neutral | -2.29% | +7.96% | +21.73% | -3.88% | +21.73% |
| 2019 | 27/09/2019 | 132.00 | far below SMA50 | +10.66% | +10.56% | +19.48% | +0.00% | +19.48% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 149.70 | neutral | -9.61% | -8.52% | -7.85% | -12.49% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 28/09/2017 | 89.75 | near 52w high | +3.84% | +2.06% | +8.19% | +0.00% | +8.19% |
| 2016 | 28/09/2016 | 76.00 | near 52w high | -2.33% | -5.61% | -12.04% | -12.04% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.44% · Win 70% · DD -3.34%20 days: Avg +3.30% · Win 60% · DD -7.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/10/2025 | 258.95 | neutral | -2.45% | -2.67% | -12.90% | -12.90% | +0.94% |
| 2024 | 08/10/2024 | 194.81 | neutral | +6.06% | +5.55% | +19.29% | -1.14% | +19.76% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 223.07 | far below SMA50 | -10.30% | -7.17% | -10.93% | -14.31% | +4.41% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 181.26 | neutral | -0.73% | -5.53% | -10.61% | -16.21% | +2.38% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 255.22 | neutral | +4.91% | +9.32% | +11.76% | -0.87% | +12.84% |
| 2020 | 08/10/2020 | 207.98 | neutral | +3.57% | +10.74% | +19.53% | -1.05% | +27.02% |
| 2019 | 08/10/2019 | 137.79 | neutral | +6.60% | +8.86% | +19.03% | +0.00% | +19.03% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 134.54 | neutral | +1.20% | +1.68% | +4.16% | -2.63% | +5.95% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 93.05 | near 52w high | -0.54% | +2.58% | +11.61% | -1.61% | +11.61% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 73.18 | neutral | -3.07% | +1.05% | -17.94% | -19.86% | +2.49% |
Upcoming 18/10/2026 · High Cycle 270/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.98% · Win 60% · DD -4.74%20 days: Avg +6.93% · Win 70% · DD -7.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/10/2025 | 249.00 | neutral | +1.60% | -8.69% | +12.48% | -9.42% | +12.57% |
| 2024 | 18/10/2024 | 208.65 | neutral | -1.89% | +11.81% | +13.99% | -2.37% | +16.02% |
| 2023 | 18/10/2023 | 206.83 | far below SMA50 | -3.95% | -6.17% | +10.18% | -12.28% | +10.18% |
| 2022 | 18/10/2022 | 185.04 | neutral | -5.14% | -12.53% | +5.92% | -17.92% | +5.92% |
| 2021 | 18/10/2021 | 265.75 | neutral | +4.68% | +5.19% | -3.12% | -3.12% | +8.37% |
| 2020 | 19/10/2020 | 213.51 | neutral | +10.87% | +16.23% | +22.89% | -0.44% | +27.78% |
| 2019 | 18/10/2019 | 147.21 | neutral | +7.13% | +8.80% | +13.28% | +0.00% | +17.47% |
| 2018 | 18/10/2018 | 140.84 | neutral | -1.96% | +0.23% | -4.67% | -7.75% | +11.10% |
| 2017 | 18/10/2017 | 94.95 | near 52w high | +1.26% | +4.95% | +10.27% | +0.00% | +22.01% |
| 2016 | 18/10/2016 | 73.50 | neutral | -1.56% | -10.00% | -11.90% | -20.20% | +2.04% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.76% · Win 80% · DD -3.29%20 days: Avg +5.44% · Win 60% · DD -6.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 225.54 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +24.28% | +25.54% | +30.67% | +0.00% | +32.44% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 232.39 | far above SMA50 | +1.65% | +2.03% | +7.18% | +0.00% | +7.18% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 198.69 | far below SMA50 | +5.09% | +18.50% | +11.18% | -8.68% | +18.50% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 162.03 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.6 | +19.74% | +18.05% | +30.84% | +0.00% | +30.84% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 285.24 | volume x1.9 | -6.50% | -8.14% | -12.71% | -16.53% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 248.59 | far above SMA50 | +9.75% | +2.81% | -15.57% | -17.44% | +9.75% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 164.01 | far above SMA50 | +1.84% | +2.90% | +5.45% | +0.00% | +8.41% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 140.14 | volume x1.9 | -1.78% | -11.98% | -0.58% | -12.92% | +11.66% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 103.85 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +4.91% | +2.60% | -4.19% | -4.19% | +11.56% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 60.05 | volume x2.7 | +6.58% | +15.24% | +2.08% | -1.75% | +15.24% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-1.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -12.3% · from 52w low: +43.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -1.06% · -1.02% · -2.76% · -0.23% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -1.55% · -1.13% · -2.31% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -12.33% · +43.60% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 2.10 · 0.59x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -0.41% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -1.00% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +0.73% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 322.74 · 321.35 · 325.25 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 362.41 · 221.26 |
|---|
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