🕰️ Time Machine

PFS — Provident Financial Services, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
23.32 +0.91%
Next window · Cycle 120 · in window · in 2 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 02/09/2026
since -0.30%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 15/05/2026
21.33
Days: 80 trading / 118 calendar · return since: +9.33%
Last major high · 04/08/2026
25.49
Days: 26 trading / 37 calendar · return since: -8.51%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Fib 21Trading📅 02/09/2026-5 (±1)Passed
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 30Calendar📅 03/09/2026-7 (±2)Passed
Low 15/05/2026 @ 21.33Cycle 120Calendar📅 12/09/2026+2 (±3)In window
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 30Trading📅 16/09/2026+4 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 45Calendar📅 18/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 21.33Cycle 90Trading📅 24/09/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 60Calendar📅 03/10/2026+23 (±2)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 21.33Cycle 144Calendar📅 06/10/2026+26 (±3)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 45Trading📅 07/10/2026+19 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 60Trading📅 28/10/2026+34 (±2)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 21.33Cycle 120Trading📅 05/11/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bullish Engulfing 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 12/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 12/09/2026
NR7 Compression 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 02/09/2026
Bullish Engulfing 27/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 25/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 21/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 20/08/2026
Bearish Engulfing 18/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 02/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 44% · DD -3.09%20 days: Avg -2.46% · Win 33% · DD -6.36%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202519.83neutral-0.40%-1.06%-2.77%-2.77%+2.47%
202403/09/202418.84near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.19%-0.27%-4.94%-6.05%+3.18%
202301/09/202316.91neutral-6.68%-6.74%-10.05%-11.12%+0.00%
202202/09/202223.01neutral+1.87%+2.78%-13.73%-15.25%+3.30%
202102/09/202122.00neutral+0.00%+1.05%+8.45%-1.32%+8.45%
202002/09/202013.24neutral-3.70%-0.76%-7.33%-10.95%+3.32%
201903/09/201923.57neutral+5.09%+8.06%+3.14%+0.00%+9.38%
201831/08/201825.23volume x1.9+0.00%-0.95%-4.84%-4.84%+0.36%
201701/09/201724.72neutral-1.74%+2.55%+9.91%-4.94%+9.91%
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.02% · Win 33% · DD -3.24%20 days: Avg -1.94% · Win 33% · DD -6.47%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/09/202519.85neutral+0.00%-0.60%-2.47%-2.87%+2.37%
202403/09/202418.84near 52w high · far above SMA50-4.19%-0.27%-4.94%-6.05%+3.18%
202301/09/202316.91neutral-6.68%-6.74%-10.05%-11.12%+0.00%
202202/09/202223.01neutral+1.87%+2.78%-13.73%-15.25%+3.30%
202103/09/202121.85neutral+2.52%-0.46%+11.03%-0.64%+11.03%
202003/09/202013.39neutral-4.33%-4.03%-4.85%-11.95%+2.17%
201903/09/201923.57neutral+5.09%+8.06%+3.14%+0.00%+9.38%
201804/09/201825.32neutral-0.16%-1.15%-5.45%-5.45%+0.00%
201701/09/201724.72neutral-1.74%+2.55%+9.91%-4.94%+9.91%
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.90% · Win 30% · DD -2.95%20 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 40% · DD -5.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/202519.82neutral+0.40%-1.06%-6.81%-6.81%+2.52%
202412/09/202417.80neutral+9.21%+1.80%+1.63%-0.90%+9.21%
202312/09/202315.84neutral-1.33%-5.11%-3.47%-5.68%+2.59%
202212/09/202223.44neutral+0.90%-1.19%-17.62%-17.88%+1.41%
202113/09/202122.40neutral-2.90%+5.85%+10.31%-3.08%+10.31%
202011/09/202012.81neutral+0.31%-6.25%+2.81%-7.96%+5.54%
201912/09/201925.45neutral-0.79%-2.95%-5.38%-5.78%+1.30%
201812/09/201824.98neutral+0.32%-2.68%-2.24%-4.16%+0.92%
201712/09/201724.75volume x1.8+1.94%+5.54%+11.72%-0.32%+11.72%
201612/09/201621.47near 52w high-3.12%-2.98%-1.02%-3.63%+0.00%
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.29% · Win 40% · DD -4.74%20 days: Avg -1.20% · Win 40% · DD -6.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/09/202519.62neutral+0.05%-1.73%-0.76%-5.86%+3.57%
202416/09/202418.53neutral+1.62%+0.16%+2.97%-4.80%+4.91%
202315/09/202316.03volume x3.7-5.12%-4.62%-10.04%-10.04%+0.00%
202216/09/202223.41volume x3.0-0.51%-16.70%-13.20%-17.77%+1.54%
202116/09/202122.08neutral+2.90%+6.30%+12.18%-1.68%+12.27%
202016/09/202013.21neutral-10.75%-7.65%-3.71%-10.75%+1.59%
201916/09/201925.61neutral-2.38%-4.22%-5.00%-6.36%+0.00%
201817/09/201824.99neutral-1.68%-3.92%-6.88%-7.36%+0.88%
201715/09/201724.90volume x3.4+3.90%+7.11%+10.52%+0.00%+11.37%
201616/09/201620.74near 52w high+2.36%+2.36%+1.88%+0.00%+2.65%
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.42% · Win 30% · DD -5.36%20 days: Avg -1.32% · Win 50% · DD -6.98%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/09/202520.32neutral-3.84%-4.13%-12.01%-12.01%+0.00%
202418/09/202418.85near 52w high-3.08%-6.42%+4.67%-6.42%+4.67%
202318/09/202315.77neutral-3.93%-3.55%-7.42%-8.56%+0.00%
202219/09/202223.65neutral-2.07%-16.07%-11.67%-18.60%+0.51%
202117/09/202122.23volume x4.6+2.83%+7.33%+11.11%-2.34%+11.52%
202018/09/202012.85volume x2.3-6.54%-0.86%+1.25%-8.25%+4.44%
201918/09/201925.41neutral-0.75%-3.94%-3.70%-5.63%+0.00%
201818/09/201825.03neutral-1.44%-4.35%-6.07%-7.51%+0.72%
201718/09/201725.35neutral+2.21%+7.18%+9.15%-0.47%+9.39%
201619/09/201620.80near 52w high+0.14%+0.63%+1.54%-0.05%+2.36%
Upcoming 24/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.05% · Win 50% · DD -3.26%20 days: Avg +0.28% · Win 60% · DD -5.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202524/09/202519.56neutral-1.02%-0.97%-3.78%-8.59%+2.40%
202424/09/202418.40neutral-2.66%-3.15%+2.12%-4.13%+8.21%
202325/09/202315.15near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.40%+0.13%-7.99%-7.99%+1.06%
202223/09/202223.29neutral-16.27%-17.35%-11.51%-17.35%+0.00%
202124/09/202122.86neutral+4.37%+8.09%+8.92%+0.00%+8.92%
202024/09/202012.00far below SMA50+2.25%+11.75%+15.25%+0.00%+15.25%
201924/09/201924.94neutral-2.53%-3.85%+0.40%-3.85%+1.12%
201824/09/201824.57neutral-2.28%+0.12%-6.55%-6.55%+0.41%
201725/09/201725.91neutral+4.86%+5.40%+5.13%+0.00%+7.02%
201623/09/201621.23near 52w high+0.00%-0.66%+0.75%-1.88%+0.99%
Upcoming 03/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.36% · Win 70% · DD -2.37%20 days: Avg +2.79% · Win 70% · DD -3.30%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/10/202519.69neutral-6.20%-7.26%-7.11%-9.19%+1.73%
202403/10/202417.68neutral+2.32%+12.61%+5.66%+0.00%+12.61%
202303/10/202314.94near 52w low · far below SMA50+2.34%-0.87%-5.96%-8.30%+2.48%
202203/10/202219.85near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7-2.72%+5.24%+12.95%-3.02%+12.95%
202104/10/202124.26neutral+1.85%+1.32%+4.62%-0.82%+4.62%
202002/10/202012.74neutral+3.38%+2.12%+6.51%-0.16%+8.56%
201903/10/201924.32neutral-0.99%+1.64%+2.59%-1.40%+3.50%
201803/10/201824.40near 52w low+0.08%-2.95%+0.00%-8.73%+2.30%
201703/10/201727.13neutral+1.92%+0.85%+0.26%-1.00%+4.53%
201603/10/201620.93near 52w high+1.53%+0.91%+8.41%-0.33%+8.41%
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.72% · Win 70% · DD -3.21%20 days: Avg +2.99% · Win 80% · DD -4.09%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/202520.03neutral-5.69%-7.04%-7.94%-10.73%+0.00%
202407/10/202417.93neutral+6.41%+3.79%+3.46%-0.61%+11.04%
202306/10/202315.08near 52w low-4.38%-6.50%+2.98%-9.15%+2.98%
202206/10/202219.98near 52w low · far below SMA50+3.30%+0.85%+8.56%-3.65%+12.21%
202106/10/202124.71near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.05%+0.69%+3.60%-2.63%+3.60%
202006/10/202012.98neutral-0.77%+0.62%+10.40%-2.00%+10.40%
201907/10/201924.33neutral+0.00%+2.88%+3.29%-1.44%+3.45%
201805/10/201824.28near 52w low-4.65%-4.57%+1.52%-8.28%+2.80%
201706/10/201727.11neutral+1.51%+1.11%-0.55%-0.96%+4.61%
201606/10/201621.17near 52w high-1.46%+0.99%+4.58%-1.46%+7.18%
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.09% · Win 60% · DD -2.91%20 days: Avg +2.87% · Win 80% · DD -3.71%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/10/202519.65neutral-0.92%-4.94%-6.92%-9.01%+0.00%
202407/10/202417.93neutral+6.41%+3.79%+3.46%-0.61%+11.04%
202306/10/202315.08near 52w low-4.38%-6.50%+2.98%-9.15%+2.98%
202207/10/202219.25near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.56%+7.06%+16.31%+0.00%+16.47%
202107/10/202124.63near 52w high+0.57%+0.00%+2.11%-2.31%+3.94%
202007/10/202013.12neutral-3.05%+0.91%+3.28%-3.05%+9.22%
201907/10/201924.33neutral+0.00%+2.88%+3.29%-1.44%+3.45%
201808/10/201824.60neutral-5.41%-6.67%+0.28%-9.47%+1.46%
201706/10/201727.11neutral+1.51%+1.11%-0.55%-0.96%+4.61%
201607/10/201621.09near 52w high+0.19%+1.42%+4.41%-1.09%+7.59%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.71% · Win 70% · DD -2.30%20 days: Avg +6.90% · Win 60% · DD -2.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/202518.91neutral-3.28%-0.26%+4.19%-4.81%+4.19%
202428/10/202419.32near 52w high-3.99%+13.15%+13.38%-3.99%+13.38%
202327/10/202314.08near 52w low+10.30%+3.08%+8.78%-0.36%+13.83%
202228/10/202222.40neutral-0.04%+2.37%-0.61%-3.17%+2.82%
202128/10/202124.84near 52w high+1.25%+3.71%-1.49%-1.49%+3.71%
202028/10/202013.10neutral+3.44%+14.81%+26.98%+0.00%+30.08%
201928/10/201925.17neutral-0.16%-0.68%-1.76%-3.04%+0.79%
201829/10/201824.86volume x2.1-0.76%+1.53%+0.19%-1.85%+2.94%
201727/10/201728.36near 52w high-4.94%-8.92%-4.24%-8.92%+0.00%
201628/10/201622.05near 52w high · volume x1.7-0.14%+18.36%+23.56%-0.23%+24.30%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.43% · Win 70% · DD -2.27%20 days: Avg +6.77% · Win 60% · DD -3.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/202518.49neutral+1.62%-0.68%+9.73%-2.65%+9.73%
202405/11/202419.04near 52w high+12.61%+11.23%+11.33%+0.00%+15.05%
202306/11/202315.51neutral-5.97%+2.42%+5.83%-6.43%+6.87%
202204/11/202222.39neutral+2.41%+0.15%-1.11%-1.70%+2.86%
202105/11/202125.68near 52w high-0.54%-3.57%-5.62%-8.52%+0.32%
202005/11/202014.11volume x2.3+4.07%+10.19%+23.36%-2.91%+23.36%
201905/11/201925.37neutral-0.75%-1.38%-4.84%-5.56%+0.00%
201805/11/201824.67neutral+2.31%+1.62%-1.33%-1.33%+5.17%
201706/11/201726.91neutral-2.82%+1.15%+4.70%-4.01%+7.66%
201604/11/201622.02near 52w high+18.52%+23.14%+25.65%+0.00%+25.65%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -8.5% · from 52w low: +31.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-0.30% · -0.89% · -5.36% · +1.97%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.67% · -2.68% · +5.13%
Distance from 52w high / low-8.51% · +31.83%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.37 · 0.88x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-3.29%
vs SPY (20d)-3.47%
vs SMH (20d)-1.16%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20023.72 · 23.96 · 22.18
52w high / low25.49 · 17.69