🕰️ Time Machine

PFS — Provident Financial Services, Inc.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
23.24 +0.52%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 3 days
28/10/2026
Last window
—
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 15/05/2026
21.33
Days: 111 trading / 161 calendar · return since: +8.95%
Last major high · 04/08/2026
25.49
Days: 57 trading / 80 calendar · return since: -8.83%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 60Trading📅 28/10/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 90Calendar📅 02/11/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 21.33Cycle 120Trading📅 05/11/2026+9 (±3)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 21.33Cycle 180Calendar📅 11/11/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 120Calendar📅 02/12/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
Low 15/05/2026 @ 21.33Cycle 144Trading📅 10/12/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming
High 04/08/2026 @ 25.49Cycle 90Trading📅 10/12/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 08/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 05/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 30/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.71% · Win 70% · DD -2.30%20 days: Avg +6.90% · Win 60% · DD -2.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/202518.91neutral-3.28%-0.26%+4.19%-4.81%+4.19%
202428/10/202419.32near 52w high-3.99%+13.15%+13.38%-3.99%+13.38%
202327/10/202314.08near 52w low+10.30%+3.08%+8.78%-0.36%+13.83%
202228/10/202222.40neutral-0.04%+2.37%-0.61%-3.17%+2.82%
202128/10/202124.84near 52w high+1.25%+3.71%-1.49%-1.49%+3.71%
202028/10/202013.10neutral+3.44%+14.81%+26.98%+0.00%+30.08%
201928/10/201925.17neutral-0.16%-0.68%-1.76%-3.04%+0.79%
201829/10/201824.86volume x2.1-0.76%+1.53%+0.19%-1.85%+2.94%
201727/10/201728.36near 52w high-4.94%-8.92%-4.24%-8.92%+0.00%
201628/10/201622.05near 52w high-0.14%+18.36%+23.56%-0.23%+24.30%
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.16% · Win 80% · DD -1.79%20 days: Avg +7.04% · Win 80% · DD -2.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/202518.44neutral+0.98%-2.38%+6.95%-2.38%+6.95%
202401/11/202418.85neutral+12.36%+14.81%+12.45%-1.59%+16.21%
202302/11/202315.10neutral-3.28%+4.19%+9.31%-3.89%+9.31%
202202/11/202221.94neutral+1.19%+2.58%+2.99%-1.14%+4.97%
202102/11/202125.05near 52w high+1.92%+0.79%-6.22%-6.22%+2.84%
202002/11/202014.17volume x1.9+9.03%+9.08%+15.74%-4.38%+20.26%
201901/11/201924.94neutral+0.68%+1.05%-2.43%-2.43%+1.72%
201802/11/201824.65neutral+2.19%+2.03%+5.26%+0.00%+5.26%
201702/11/201727.06neutral-4.40%-1.02%+2.22%-4.55%+7.06%
201602/11/201622.00near 52w high+8.23%+20.50%+24.17%+0.00%+25.22%
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.43% · Win 70% · DD -2.27%20 days: Avg +6.77% · Win 60% · DD -3.31%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/11/202518.49neutral+1.62%-0.68%+9.73%-2.65%+9.73%
202405/11/202419.04near 52w high+12.61%+11.23%+11.33%+0.00%+15.05%
202306/11/202315.51neutral-5.97%+2.42%+5.83%-6.43%+6.87%
202204/11/202222.39neutral+2.41%+0.15%-1.11%-1.70%+2.86%
202105/11/202125.68near 52w high-0.54%-3.57%-5.62%-8.52%+0.32%
202005/11/202014.11volume x2.3+4.07%+10.19%+23.36%-2.91%+23.36%
201905/11/201925.37neutral-0.75%-1.38%-4.84%-5.56%+0.00%
201805/11/201824.67neutral+2.31%+1.62%-1.33%-1.33%+5.17%
201706/11/201726.91neutral-2.82%+1.15%+4.70%-4.01%+7.66%
201604/11/201622.02near 52w high+18.52%+23.14%+25.65%+0.00%+25.65%
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.00% · Win 60% · DD -2.31%20 days: Avg +3.80% · Win 50% · DD -3.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/11/202518.86neutral-3.27%+4.47%+11.07%-4.56%+11.07%
202411/11/202421.86near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.11%+0.21%-5.53%-5.53%+0.21%
202310/11/202314.28neutral+9.59%+5.53%+16.32%+0.00%+16.46%
202211/11/202222.68neutral-2.20%-2.91%-3.13%-3.70%+0.00%
202111/11/202125.52near 52w high-2.66%-5.02%-7.52%-8.82%+0.00%
202011/11/202015.04far above SMA50 · volume x2.3+4.05%+10.60%+17.15%-2.36%+17.15%
201911/11/201925.00neutral+0.08%-1.09%-1.09%-4.16%+0.80%
201812/11/201825.24neutral-0.68%-1.32%-3.15%-4.87%+2.80%
201710/11/201725.83neutral+3.58%+5.14%+5.47%+0.00%+12.16%
201611/11/201625.90near 52w high+3.90%+4.40%+8.42%+0.00%+9.58%
Upcoming 02/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.48% · Win 60% · DD -2.76%20 days: Avg +1.27% · Win 60% · DD -3.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/12/202519.47neutral+3.80%+7.04%+1.44%+0.00%+8.83%
202402/12/202420.96neutral-2.24%-1.43%-9.97%-11.07%+0.00%
202301/12/202316.24neutral+2.40%+11.15%+11.64%-0.99%+14.29%
202202/12/202222.49neutral-2.27%-8.27%-4.49%-8.27%+0.00%
202102/12/202123.98volume x1.7-2.34%-1.29%+1.00%-2.84%+1.79%
202002/12/202016.25far above SMA50+6.77%+8.49%+10.52%+0.00%+11.14%
201902/12/201924.11neutral+1.41%+3.69%+2.24%-1.53%+4.65%
201803/12/201825.73volume x2.1-7.07%-8.55%-4.82%-11.31%+0.00%
201701/12/201727.45neutral-1.11%+0.54%-0.93%-2.35%+2.48%
201602/12/201626.93near 52w high+5.38%+3.42%+6.05%+0.00%+6.57%
Upcoming 10/12/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.63% · Win 50% · DD -2.59%20 days: Avg +1.85% · Win 50% · DD -3.47%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/12/202520.68near 52w high · volume x1.7+1.21%-0.92%-2.85%-4.50%+2.47%
202410/12/202420.42neutral-1.13%-6.27%-11.70%-11.70%+1.18%
202311/12/202316.61far above SMA50+7.89%+11.74%+5.42%-0.66%+11.74%
202209/12/202221.98neutral-6.14%-2.55%-0.45%-6.14%+0.14%
202110/12/202123.60neutral+0.93%+3.39%+9.75%-1.27%+10.25%
202010/12/202017.35far above SMA50+2.59%+2.88%+13.78%-1.10%+14.76%
201910/12/201924.50neutral+2.61%+0.57%-1.43%-1.55%+2.98%
201810/12/201823.81volume x2.1-0.80%-4.16%+4.75%-4.16%+5.67%
201711/12/201726.89neutral+3.31%+1.64%+2.57%-0.86%+3.31%
201609/12/201628.38near 52w high-1.87%+0.00%-1.34%-2.75%+1.13%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+1.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -8.8% · from 52w low: +31.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+4.54% · +5.21% · +1.75% · -5.61%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+4.01% · +1.13% · +3.01%
Distance from 52w high / low-8.83% · +31.23%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.39 · 0.99x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+7.14%
vs SPY (20d)+3.23%
vs SMH (20d)+14.83%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20022.34 · 22.98 · 22.56
52w high / low25.49 · 17.71