🕰️ Time Machine
PGR — Progressive Corporation
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
215.78 +0.13%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 14 days
30/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 09/09/2026
since +0.13%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 29/05/2026
189.20
Days: 71 trading / 104 calendar · return since: +14.05%
Last major high · 07/07/2026
239.38
Days: 46 trading / 65 calendar · return since: -9.86%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 05/09/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 09/09/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 189.20 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 26/09/2026 | +16 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/09/2026 | +14 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 05/10/2026 | +25 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 189.20 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 07/10/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 29/05/2026 @ 189.20 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 20/10/2026 | +40 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 11/11/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakout 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 05/09/2026
● Shooting Star 26/08/2026
● Shooting Star 20/08/2026
● Failed Breakout 20/08/2026
● Hammer Reversal 18/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.19% · Win 67% · DD -1.54%20 days: Avg +1.97% · Win 78% · DD -2.55%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/09/2025 | 243.86 | neutral | +1.81% | -0.62% | +0.80% | -2.15% | +2.03% |
| 2024 | 05/09/2024 | 249.54 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.02% | +2.31% | +1.13% | -0.34% | +3.89% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 133.52 | neutral | +3.84% | +6.70% | +4.40% | +0.00% | +7.29% |
| 2022 | 06/09/2022 | 122.48 | near 52w high | +3.45% | +2.14% | +1.19% | -5.12% | +5.50% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 96.23 | neutral | -2.32% | -4.18% | -6.15% | -6.15% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 92.94 | near 52w high | +3.57% | +4.76% | +3.27% | -1.88% | +4.76% |
| 2019 | 05/09/2019 | 76.53 | neutral | +0.59% | -0.98% | -1.49% | -5.03% | +1.12% |
| 2018 | 05/09/2018 | 68.79 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.63% | +1.58% | +3.30% | -1.45% | +3.50% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 44.11 | volume x2.2 | +5.60% | +7.98% | +11.24% | -0.86% | +11.24% |
In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 40% · DD -2.15%20 days: Avg +0.99% · Win 50% · DD -2.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/09/2025 | 243.26 | neutral | +0.70% | -1.91% | +0.30% | -1.91% | +2.28% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 251.31 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.99% | +2.50% | -2.27% | -2.27% | +3.16% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 135.76 | neutral | +2.20% | +5.52% | +5.31% | +0.00% | +5.52% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 128.68 | near 52w high | -2.95% | -5.56% | -5.14% | -9.69% | +0.33% |
| 2021 | 09/09/2021 | 93.22 | neutral | -0.25% | -1.77% | -2.12% | -3.12% | +0.84% |
| 2020 | 09/09/2020 | 94.67 | near 52w high | +0.43% | -3.68% | +1.94% | -3.68% | +2.84% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 76.74 | neutral | -4.35% | -0.47% | -1.15% | -5.29% | +0.66% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 67.79 | near 52w high | +1.09% | +3.81% | +4.78% | +0.00% | +5.03% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 45.41 | volume x1.7 | +1.34% | +5.66% | +8.52% | +0.00% | +8.52% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 31.50 | near 52w high | -1.27% | -0.89% | -0.29% | -2.32% | +0.10% |
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 60% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +0.23% · Win 60% · DD -3.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/09/2025 | 243.48 | neutral | +0.95% | -1.39% | -9.98% | -9.98% | +1.43% |
| 2024 | 26/09/2024 | 252.38 | near 52w high | -0.00% | -0.20% | -2.14% | -2.68% | +1.22% |
| 2023 | 26/09/2023 | 140.75 | neutral | -0.96% | +1.14% | +11.09% | -1.26% | +13.18% |
| 2022 | 26/09/2022 | 118.88 | neutral | +1.36% | +4.16% | +3.77% | -2.44% | +4.26% |
| 2021 | 27/09/2021 | 90.68 | neutral | -0.41% | +0.68% | +6.37% | -0.63% | +6.37% |
| 2020 | 25/09/2020 | 92.60 | neutral | +1.74% | +7.97% | +2.29% | +0.00% | +9.60% |
| 2019 | 26/09/2019 | 77.03 | neutral | -2.13% | -2.82% | -9.54% | -11.09% | +0.29% |
| 2018 | 26/09/2018 | 70.88 | near 52w high | +0.25% | -3.33% | -4.43% | -6.55% | +1.34% |
| 2017 | 26/09/2017 | 47.85 | near 52w high | +2.55% | +3.18% | +2.47% | -0.29% | +3.34% |
| 2016 | 26/09/2016 | 31.22 | near 52w high | -0.26% | +0.61% | +2.37% | -1.09% | +4.84% |
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.91% · Win 40% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg -0.59% · Win 40% · DD -4.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/09/2025 | 246.95 | neutral | -1.20% | -2.61% | -14.15% | -14.15% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 253.76 | near 52w high | -3.21% | -0.70% | -3.69% | -3.90% | +0.67% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 139.30 | neutral | +2.63% | +11.31% | +9.96% | -0.24% | +14.35% |
| 2022 | 30/09/2022 | 116.21 | neutral | +5.03% | -0.19% | +11.70% | -0.19% | +11.70% |
| 2021 | 30/09/2021 | 90.39 | neutral | +0.94% | -0.31% | +5.98% | -0.31% | +6.71% |
| 2020 | 30/09/2020 | 94.67 | near 52w high | +1.94% | +5.37% | -3.17% | -3.17% | +7.20% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 77.25 | neutral | -1.80% | -1.86% | -10.79% | -11.34% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 01/10/2018 | 70.70 | near 52w high | +0.47% | -6.31% | -2.59% | -6.31% | +1.60% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 48.42 | near 52w high | +1.78% | +0.52% | +0.99% | -0.68% | +2.13% |
| 2016 | 30/09/2016 | 31.50 | near 52w high | -0.19% | +3.90% | -0.13% | -1.97% | +3.90% |
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.54% · Win 30% · DD -3.76%20 days: Avg -1.44% · Win 40% · DD -5.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 240.50 | neutral | -1.75% | -8.78% | -15.30% | -15.30% | +1.41% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 255.36 | near 52w high | -0.50% | -1.66% | -4.95% | -5.36% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 05/10/2023 | 142.50 | near 52w high | +0.56% | +10.74% | +11.42% | -0.18% | +12.01% |
| 2022 | 05/10/2022 | 122.34 | neutral | -0.69% | -0.85% | +4.49% | -5.19% | +6.10% |
| 2021 | 05/10/2021 | 91.26 | neutral | -0.70% | +1.60% | +3.80% | -1.26% | +5.69% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 95.98 | near 52w high | +5.74% | -0.10% | -1.54% | -5.03% | +5.74% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 76.90 | neutral | -2.18% | -8.71% | -9.26% | -11.05% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 05/10/2018 | 70.67 | near 52w high | -5.39% | -0.17% | -3.24% | -6.27% | +1.64% |
| 2017 | 05/10/2017 | 49.05 | near 52w high | -0.61% | -0.73% | +0.53% | -1.96% | +0.82% |
| 2016 | 05/10/2016 | 31.23 | near 52w high | +1.41% | +3.23% | -0.35% | -0.64% | +4.80% |
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.53% · Win 50% · DD -3.74%20 days: Avg -0.96% · Win 40% · DD -5.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/10/2025 | 243.89 | neutral | -1.43% | -9.14% | -14.06% | -16.48% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 245.52 | neutral | +2.59% | +2.13% | -1.65% | -1.65% | +4.01% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 142.86 | near 52w high | +8.46% | +8.39% | +9.34% | -0.43% | +11.72% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 121.96 | neutral | -4.98% | +0.40% | +3.82% | -4.98% | +6.35% |
| 2021 | 07/10/2021 | 91.14 | neutral | -1.24% | +3.83% | +3.76% | -1.24% | +5.72% |
| 2020 | 07/10/2020 | 96.41 | near 52w high | +3.36% | -2.91% | -0.57% | -5.55% | +5.16% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 75.76 | neutral | -0.07% | -7.60% | -9.16% | -9.71% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 71.03 | near 52w high | -6.74% | -1.08% | -1.83% | -6.74% | +1.13% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 49.28 | near 52w high | -1.24% | -0.75% | +1.77% | -2.41% | +1.77% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 31.44 | near 52w high | +4.10% | +1.40% | -1.05% | -1.05% | +4.10% |
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 40% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 80% · DD -3.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/10/2025 | 219.38 | near 52w low | -1.27% | -7.15% | +2.72% | -7.15% | +2.72% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 250.74 | near 52w high | -2.56% | -3.69% | +2.31% | -3.69% | +4.63% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 154.84 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.15% | +0.88% | +1.76% | -1.15% | +4.57% |
| 2022 | 20/10/2022 | 118.86 | neutral | +4.64% | +7.12% | +7.71% | +0.00% | +9.15% |
| 2021 | 20/10/2021 | 94.50 | neutral | -0.21% | +0.69% | -3.99% | -3.99% | +2.02% |
| 2020 | 20/10/2020 | 94.59 | neutral | -0.84% | -0.13% | +0.36% | -4.44% | +3.51% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 70.00 | neutral | -1.69% | -1.69% | +1.76% | -2.29% | +6.37% |
| 2018 | 19/10/2018 | 70.55 | near 52w high | -3.46% | -3.08% | -5.97% | -8.15% | +4.12% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 48.91 | near 52w high | -0.02% | +2.54% | +5.40% | -0.61% | +5.60% |
| 2016 | 20/10/2016 | 32.01 | near 52w high | -1.12% | -2.06% | +2.87% | -2.81% | +4.34% |
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.78% · Win 60% · DD -3.74%20 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 60% · DD -4.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/11/2025 | 219.91 | neutral | +2.26% | +2.96% | +1.32% | +0.00% | +4.20% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 259.89 | near 52w high | -1.30% | +2.30% | -4.86% | -4.86% | +3.46% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 160.39 | near 52w high | -1.76% | +2.51% | +1.89% | -1.76% | +2.51% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 126.23 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +1.69% | +3.00% | +2.94% | -2.57% | +4.98% |
| 2021 | 11/11/2021 | 95.86 | neutral | -5.36% | -1.32% | -0.83% | -5.80% | +0.99% |
| 2020 | 11/11/2020 | 92.72 | neutral | +1.87% | -3.58% | +1.60% | -6.05% | +3.43% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 73.73 | neutral | -3.39% | -3.02% | -1.19% | -4.94% | +0.99% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 71.90 | near 52w high | -9.58% | -13.92% | -10.90% | -13.92% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 50.75 | near 52w high | +1.58% | +2.60% | +8.14% | +0.00% | +8.35% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 33.21 | near 52w high | -0.81% | +0.63% | +3.97% | -1.96% | +3.97% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -13.6% · from 52w low: +14.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.53% · -3.02% · +4.06% · +6.08% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -0.57% · -0.64% · +2.53% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -13.59% · +14.05% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 3.84 · 0.20x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +6.03% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +5.94% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +7.99% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 217.01 · 217.18 · 210.46 |
| 52w high / low | 249.71 · 189.20 |