🕰️ Time Machine

PGR — Progressive Corporation

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026

Last price (Close)
215.78 +0.13%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 14 days
30/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 09/09/2026
since +0.13%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/05/2026
189.20
Days: 71 trading / 104 calendar · return since: +14.05%
Last major high · 07/07/2026
239.38
Days: 46 trading / 65 calendar · return since: -9.86%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38Cycle 60Calendar📅 05/09/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38Cycle 45Trading📅 09/09/2026-1 (±2)In window
Low 29/05/2026 @ 189.20Cycle 120Calendar📅 26/09/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38Cycle 60Trading📅 30/09/2026+14 (±2)Upcoming
High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38Cycle 90Calendar📅 05/10/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/05/2026 @ 189.20Cycle 90Trading📅 07/10/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/05/2026 @ 189.20Cycle 144Calendar📅 20/10/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming
High 07/07/2026 @ 239.38Cycle 90Trading📅 11/11/2026+44 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Failed Breakout 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 05/09/2026
Shooting Star 26/08/2026
Shooting Star 20/08/2026
Failed Breakout 20/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 18/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 05/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.19% · Win 67% · DD -1.54%20 days: Avg +1.97% · Win 78% · DD -2.55%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202505/09/2025243.86neutral+1.81%-0.62%+0.80%-2.15%+2.03%
202405/09/2024249.54near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.02%+2.31%+1.13%-0.34%+3.89%
202305/09/2023133.52neutral+3.84%+6.70%+4.40%+0.00%+7.29%
202206/09/2022122.48near 52w high+3.45%+2.14%+1.19%-5.12%+5.50%
202103/09/202196.23neutral-2.32%-4.18%-6.15%-6.15%+0.00%
202004/09/202092.94near 52w high+3.57%+4.76%+3.27%-1.88%+4.76%
201905/09/201976.53neutral+0.59%-0.98%-1.49%-5.03%+1.12%
201805/09/201868.79near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.63%+1.58%+3.30%-1.45%+3.50%
201705/09/201744.11volume x2.2+5.60%+7.98%+11.24%-0.86%+11.24%
In window 09/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.32% · Win 40% · DD -2.15%20 days: Avg +0.99% · Win 50% · DD -2.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/2025243.26neutral+0.70%-1.91%+0.30%-1.91%+2.28%
202409/09/2024251.31near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.99%+2.50%-2.27%-2.27%+3.16%
202308/09/2023135.76neutral+2.20%+5.52%+5.31%+0.00%+5.52%
202209/09/2022128.68near 52w high-2.95%-5.56%-5.14%-9.69%+0.33%
202109/09/202193.22neutral-0.25%-1.77%-2.12%-3.12%+0.84%
202009/09/202094.67near 52w high+0.43%-3.68%+1.94%-3.68%+2.84%
201909/09/201976.74neutral-4.35%-0.47%-1.15%-5.29%+0.66%
201810/09/201867.79near 52w high+1.09%+3.81%+4.78%+0.00%+5.03%
201708/09/201745.41volume x1.7+1.34%+5.66%+8.52%+0.00%+8.52%
201612/09/201631.50near 52w high-1.27%-0.89%-0.29%-2.32%+0.10%
Upcoming 26/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 60% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +0.23% · Win 60% · DD -3.60%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/2025243.48neutral+0.95%-1.39%-9.98%-9.98%+1.43%
202426/09/2024252.38near 52w high-0.00%-0.20%-2.14%-2.68%+1.22%
202326/09/2023140.75neutral-0.96%+1.14%+11.09%-1.26%+13.18%
202226/09/2022118.88neutral+1.36%+4.16%+3.77%-2.44%+4.26%
202127/09/202190.68neutral-0.41%+0.68%+6.37%-0.63%+6.37%
202025/09/202092.60neutral+1.74%+7.97%+2.29%+0.00%+9.60%
201926/09/201977.03neutral-2.13%-2.82%-9.54%-11.09%+0.29%
201826/09/201870.88near 52w high+0.25%-3.33%-4.43%-6.55%+1.34%
201726/09/201747.85near 52w high+2.55%+3.18%+2.47%-0.29%+3.34%
201626/09/201631.22near 52w high-0.26%+0.61%+2.37%-1.09%+4.84%
Upcoming 30/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.91% · Win 40% · DD -2.13%20 days: Avg -0.59% · Win 40% · DD -4.23%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/09/2025246.95neutral-1.20%-2.61%-14.15%-14.15%+0.00%
202430/09/2024253.76near 52w high-3.21%-0.70%-3.69%-3.90%+0.67%
202329/09/2023139.30neutral+2.63%+11.31%+9.96%-0.24%+14.35%
202230/09/2022116.21neutral+5.03%-0.19%+11.70%-0.19%+11.70%
202130/09/202190.39neutral+0.94%-0.31%+5.98%-0.31%+6.71%
202030/09/202094.67near 52w high+1.94%+5.37%-3.17%-3.17%+7.20%
201930/09/201977.25neutral-1.80%-1.86%-10.79%-11.34%+0.00%
201801/10/201870.70near 52w high+0.47%-6.31%-2.59%-6.31%+1.60%
201729/09/201748.42near 52w high+1.78%+0.52%+0.99%-0.68%+2.13%
201630/09/201631.50near 52w high-0.19%+3.90%-0.13%-1.97%+3.90%
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.54% · Win 30% · DD -3.76%20 days: Avg -1.44% · Win 40% · DD -5.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/2025240.50neutral-1.75%-8.78%-15.30%-15.30%+1.41%
202404/10/2024255.36near 52w high-0.50%-1.66%-4.95%-5.36%+0.00%
202305/10/2023142.50near 52w high+0.56%+10.74%+11.42%-0.18%+12.01%
202205/10/2022122.34neutral-0.69%-0.85%+4.49%-5.19%+6.10%
202105/10/202191.26neutral-0.70%+1.60%+3.80%-1.26%+5.69%
202005/10/202095.98near 52w high+5.74%-0.10%-1.54%-5.03%+5.74%
201904/10/201976.90neutral-2.18%-8.71%-9.26%-11.05%+0.00%
201805/10/201870.67near 52w high-5.39%-0.17%-3.24%-6.27%+1.64%
201705/10/201749.05near 52w high-0.61%-0.73%+0.53%-1.96%+0.82%
201605/10/201631.23near 52w high+1.41%+3.23%-0.35%-0.64%+4.80%
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.53% · Win 50% · DD -3.74%20 days: Avg -0.96% · Win 40% · DD -5.02%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202507/10/2025243.89neutral-1.43%-9.14%-14.06%-16.48%+0.00%
202407/10/2024245.52neutral+2.59%+2.13%-1.65%-1.65%+4.01%
202306/10/2023142.86near 52w high+8.46%+8.39%+9.34%-0.43%+11.72%
202207/10/2022121.96neutral-4.98%+0.40%+3.82%-4.98%+6.35%
202107/10/202191.14neutral-1.24%+3.83%+3.76%-1.24%+5.72%
202007/10/202096.41near 52w high+3.36%-2.91%-0.57%-5.55%+5.16%
201907/10/201975.76neutral-0.07%-7.60%-9.16%-9.71%+0.00%
201808/10/201871.03near 52w high-6.74%-1.08%-1.83%-6.74%+1.13%
201706/10/201749.28near 52w high-1.24%-0.75%+1.77%-2.41%+1.77%
201607/10/201631.44near 52w high+4.10%+1.40%-1.05%-1.05%+4.10%
Upcoming 20/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.66% · Win 40% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 80% · DD -3.43%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/2025219.38near 52w low-1.27%-7.15%+2.72%-7.15%+2.72%
202421/10/2024250.74near 52w high-2.56%-3.69%+2.31%-3.69%+4.63%
202320/10/2023154.84near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.15%+0.88%+1.76%-1.15%+4.57%
202220/10/2022118.86neutral+4.64%+7.12%+7.71%+0.00%+9.15%
202120/10/202194.50neutral-0.21%+0.69%-3.99%-3.99%+2.02%
202020/10/202094.59neutral-0.84%-0.13%+0.36%-4.44%+3.51%
201921/10/201970.00neutral-1.69%-1.69%+1.76%-2.29%+6.37%
201819/10/201870.55near 52w high-3.46%-3.08%-5.97%-8.15%+4.12%
201720/10/201748.91near 52w high-0.02%+2.54%+5.40%-0.61%+5.60%
201620/10/201632.01near 52w high-1.12%-2.06%+2.87%-2.81%+4.34%
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.78% · Win 60% · DD -3.74%20 days: Avg +0.21% · Win 60% · DD -4.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/11/2025219.91neutral+2.26%+2.96%+1.32%+0.00%+4.20%
202411/11/2024259.89near 52w high-1.30%+2.30%-4.86%-4.86%+3.46%
202310/11/2023160.39near 52w high-1.76%+2.51%+1.89%-1.76%+2.51%
202211/11/2022126.23near 52w high · volume x1.6+1.69%+3.00%+2.94%-2.57%+4.98%
202111/11/202195.86neutral-5.36%-1.32%-0.83%-5.80%+0.99%
202011/11/202092.72neutral+1.87%-3.58%+1.60%-6.05%+3.43%
201911/11/201973.73neutral-3.39%-3.02%-1.19%-4.94%+0.99%
201812/11/201871.90near 52w high-9.58%-13.92%-10.90%-13.92%+0.00%
201710/11/201750.75near 52w high+1.58%+2.60%+8.14%+0.00%+8.35%
201611/11/201633.21near 52w high-0.81%+0.63%+3.97%-1.96%+3.97%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -13.6% · from 52w low: +14.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-2.53% · -3.02% · +4.06% · +6.08%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-0.57% · -0.64% · +2.53%
Distance from 52w high / low-13.59% · +14.05%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.84 · 0.20x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+6.03%
vs SPY (20d)+5.94%
vs SMH (20d)+7.99%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200217.01 · 217.18 · 210.46
52w high / low249.71 · 189.20