🕰️ Time Machine

PMT — PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
7.04 +0.43%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in window
23/10/2026
Last window
—
Trend
Strong downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 30/07/2026
9.05
Days: 60 trading / 85 calendar · return since: -22.21%
Last major high · 01/07/2026
11.42
Days: 80 trading / 114 calendar · return since: -38.35%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 30/07/2026 @ 9.05Cycle 60Trading📅 23/10/2026+0 (±2)In window
Low 30/07/2026 @ 9.05Cycle 90Calendar📅 28/10/2026+5 (±3)Upcoming
High 01/07/2026 @ 11.42Cycle 120Calendar📅 29/10/2026+6 (±3)Upcoming
High 01/07/2026 @ 11.42Cycle 90Trading📅 06/11/2026+10 (±3)Upcoming
High 01/07/2026 @ 11.42Cycle 144Calendar📅 22/11/2026+30 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/07/2026 @ 9.05Cycle 120Calendar📅 27/11/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
Low 30/07/2026 @ 9.05Cycle 90Trading📅 07/12/2026+30 (±3)Upcoming
High 01/07/2026 @ 11.42Cycle 120Trading📅 21/12/2026+40 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 23/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 22/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 23/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 16/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 14/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 13/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 09/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 05/10/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

In window 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.04% · Win 40% · DD -3.63%20 days: Avg +4.97% · Win 50% · DD -4.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/10/202512.56volume x1.6-4.14%-3.90%-1.51%-4.14%+0.40%
202423/10/202413.52volume x1.6+2.14%-0.59%-2.74%-3.40%+2.14%
202323/10/202310.82near 52w low · far below SMA50+14.60%+26.16%+28.93%-2.50%+29.11%
202224/10/202212.21far below SMA50+13.60%+15.81%+24.49%+0.00%+26.37%
202122/10/202120.33neutral-0.89%-5.26%-10.13%-10.13%+0.44%
202023/10/202016.48neutral-9.16%-4.19%+2.85%-9.16%+3.88%
201923/10/201923.03near 52w high-1.17%-1.87%-1.65%-2.08%+0.00%
201823/10/201818.81neutral+2.50%+9.04%+7.97%+0.00%+10.58%
201723/10/201716.63neutral-3.55%-9.98%-6.19%-9.98%+0.00%
201624/10/201615.08near 52w high+0.93%+5.24%+7.69%-2.06%+8.69%
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.95% · Win 60% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg +4.15% · Win 70% · DD -3.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/10/202512.60neutral-3.33%-1.35%+1.75%-4.44%+1.75%
202428/10/202413.67neutral-1.83%-1.32%-0.66%-4.46%+1.02%
202327/10/202312.28volume x2.8+11.73%+10.34%+11.64%+0.00%+13.76%
202228/10/202213.93neutral-0.57%+10.77%+7.25%-3.09%+10.77%
202128/10/202120.18neutral-0.40%-5.80%-8.92%-9.46%+0.84%
202028/10/202015.21neutral+3.48%+7.56%+14.33%-1.58%+16.50%
201928/10/201922.58near 52w high+0.40%+0.40%+0.89%-0.13%+1.82%
201829/10/201819.13neutral+8.05%+7.89%+8.15%+0.00%+8.73%
201727/10/201716.12neutral-5.58%-5.96%-2.17%-7.13%+0.68%
201628/10/201615.02near 52w high+4.19%+6.99%+9.25%-1.66%+9.25%
Upcoming 29/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.27% · Win 60% · DD -2.77%20 days: Avg +4.07% · Win 70% · DD -3.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/10/202512.32neutral-1.06%+0.57%+4.87%-2.27%+4.87%
202429/10/202413.72neutral-2.55%-3.79%-1.97%-4.81%+0.66%
202330/10/202312.40volume x1.8+10.08%+8.79%+10.73%+0.00%+12.66%
202228/10/202213.93neutral-0.57%+10.77%+7.25%-3.09%+10.77%
202129/10/202120.15neutral-4.42%-6.85%-9.78%-9.78%+0.99%
202029/10/202015.35neutral+5.02%+2.93%+14.79%-2.48%+15.44%
201929/10/201922.76near 52w high-0.92%-0.53%+0.44%-0.92%+1.01%
201829/10/201819.13neutral+8.05%+7.89%+8.15%+0.00%+8.73%
201730/10/201716.04neutral-6.67%-4.05%-2.99%-6.67%+1.18%
201628/10/201615.02near 52w high+4.19%+6.99%+9.25%-1.66%+9.25%
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.80% · Win 70% · DD -1.17%20 days: Avg +3.79% · Win 80% · DD -1.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/11/202512.07near 52w low+2.82%+2.49%+5.22%+0.00%+7.04%
202406/11/202413.44near 52w low · volume x1.9-2.46%-2.16%-0.07%-2.83%+1.34%
202306/11/202313.65far above SMA50-1.17%+2.20%+7.33%-1.68%+7.33%
202207/11/202214.14neutral+7.78%+7.50%+4.17%-0.92%+9.12%
202105/11/202119.26volume x3.2-2.54%-5.14%-5.35%-9.81%+0.21%
202006/11/202015.79neutral+4.50%+7.35%+11.53%+0.00%+15.33%
201906/11/201922.60near 52w high+0.49%+0.22%+0.62%+0.00%+2.17%
201806/11/201820.51near 52w high+0.98%-0.98%+3.56%-0.98%+3.56%
201706/11/201714.97near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.0+2.81%+4.21%+6.95%+0.00%+6.95%
201607/11/201615.87near 52w high+2.46%+2.33%+3.91%-0.19%+3.91%
Upcoming 22/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 80% · DD -1.65%20 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 50% · DD -4.63%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/11/202512.67neutral+1.82%+0.00%+5.21%-1.66%+5.21%
202422/11/202413.43near 52w low+1.41%+1.19%-3.95%-3.95%+1.41%
202322/11/202313.82far above SMA50+1.59%+4.05%+13.68%-0.80%+13.68%
202222/11/202215.35far above SMA50-0.52%-2.74%-11.92%-13.75%+0.00%
202122/11/202118.28neutral-4.98%+0.16%-4.05%-6.95%+1.53%
202023/11/202017.43neutral-0.80%+2.41%+2.98%-1.89%+4.48%
201922/11/201922.67near 52w high+0.49%+0.66%-0.04%-2.38%+1.85%
201821/11/201820.51near 52w high+1.95%+3.80%-10.24%-10.24%+3.80%
201722/11/201715.92neutral-1.63%+0.69%+3.77%-2.26%+3.96%
201622/11/201616.36near 52w high-0.49%+1.89%+2.75%-2.44%+5.20%
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.42% · Win 30% · DD -2.39%20 days: Avg -0.08% · Win 60% · DD -5.08%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/202512.92volume x1.6-2.01%-2.40%+0.05%-3.56%+3.17%
202427/11/202413.56neutral-0.96%-0.96%-4.51%-4.87%+0.44%
202327/11/202313.71neutral+6.49%+5.32%+15.17%+0.00%+15.17%
202228/11/202214.94far above SMA50-0.33%-3.28%-11.98%-11.98%+2.21%
202126/11/202118.38neutral-2.83%-1.31%-2.34%-7.45%+0.00%
202027/11/202017.62neutral+3.35%-2.10%+2.50%-2.95%+3.35%
201927/11/201922.99near 52w high-1.09%-3.74%+1.04%-3.74%+1.04%
201827/11/201820.69near 52w high+0.92%-0.58%-7.44%-12.13%+2.90%
201727/11/201715.77neutral+0.70%+0.95%+5.39%-1.33%+5.39%
201628/11/201616.41near 52w high-0.61%+3.90%+1.34%-2.74%+4.88%
Upcoming 07/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.13% · Win 50% · DD -4.71%20 days: Avg -0.62% · Win 50% · DD -5.36%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/12/202512.67neutral-0.16%+5.21%+2.11%-1.66%+5.21%
202406/12/202413.56neutral-0.07%-4.28%-5.04%-5.35%+0.22%
202307/12/202314.38far above SMA50+7.51%+9.25%+7.09%-0.07%+9.94%
202207/12/202214.93far above SMA50-3.75%-9.44%-7.02%-15.87%+0.00%
202107/12/202118.31neutral-3.66%-4.21%-2.50%-7.10%+0.38%
202007/12/202017.61neutral-0.40%+3.07%+0.78%-2.04%+3.18%
201906/12/201922.87near 52w high-2.67%-1.27%-0.12%-3.24%+1.57%
201807/12/201821.29near 52w high · volume x1.6-3.05%-13.53%-7.50%-14.61%+0.00%
201707/12/201716.03neutral+0.81%+3.06%+2.66%-1.06%+4.40%
201607/12/201616.67near 52w high-0.18%+0.84%+3.34%-2.58%+3.34%
Upcoming 21/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.67% · Win 50% · DD -2.36%20 days: Avg +3.29% · Win 60% · DD -3.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/12/202513.33neutral-2.72%-2.95%+2.47%-3.03%+6.88%
202420/12/202412.98near 52w low · volume x4.8-1.12%-0.80%-0.16%-4.62%+1.03%
202321/12/202315.71near 52w high · far above SMA50-2.37%-1.98%-3.02%-7.00%+0.64%
202221/12/202213.52neutral-5.11%+2.68%+13.53%-7.10%+13.53%
202121/12/202117.54near 52w low+1.48%+1.78%+2.30%+0.00%+7.22%
202021/12/202018.15neutral-1.71%-2.22%-0.07%-3.80%+0.11%
201920/12/201922.58near 52w high · volume x2.3+0.66%+1.16%+4.91%+0.00%+4.91%
201821/12/201818.41volume x4.1+3.69%+6.97%+8.70%-1.25%+8.70%
201721/12/201716.52neutral+0.12%-0.38%-0.51%-1.81%+1.30%
201621/12/201616.81near 52w high+1.62%+2.48%+4.75%-1.44%+5.11%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-16.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -49.0% · from 52w low: +5.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+1.73% · -4.35% · -10.98% · -20.35%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-4.64% · -16.92% · -33.42%
Distance from 52w high / low-49.02% · +5.07%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.29 · 0.61x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-5.59%
vs SPY (20d)-9.50%
vs SMH (20d)+2.10%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 2007.38 · 8.47 · 10.57
52w high / low13.81 · 6.70