🕰️ Time Machine

PSMT — PriceSmart

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
170.95 -0.37%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 8 days
04/11/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 14/10/2026
since +1.04%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 11/08/2026
165.72
Days: 52 trading / 73 calendar · return since: +3.16%
Last major high · 06/07/2026
199.84
Days: 78 trading / 109 calendar · return since: -14.46%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 11/08/2026 @ 165.72Cycle 45Trading📅 14/10/2026-7 (±2)Passed
High 06/07/2026 @ 199.84Cycle 120Calendar📅 03/11/2026+11 (±3)Upcoming
Low 11/08/2026 @ 165.72Cycle 60Trading📅 04/11/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 11/08/2026 @ 165.72Cycle 90Calendar📅 09/11/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/07/2026 @ 199.84Cycle 90Trading📅 10/11/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/07/2026 @ 199.84Cycle 144Calendar📅 27/11/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming
Low 11/08/2026 @ 165.72Cycle 90Trading📅 17/12/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/07/2026 @ 199.84Cycle 120Trading📅 23/12/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Bearish Engulfing 21/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 14/10/2026
● Hammer Reversal 02/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 25/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.04% · Win 44% · DD -2.54%20 days: Avg +0.52% · Win 44% · DD -7.24%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/2025123.60near 52w high-1.59%-0.54%-6.29%-7.01%+0.40%
202414/10/202490.50near 52w high+1.67%+0.72%-0.14%-8.20%+3.05%
202313/10/202372.71neutral-1.27%-0.74%-9.85%-14.06%+1.10%
202214/10/202258.54near 52w low+6.58%+9.67%+23.25%+0.00%+23.25%
202114/10/202177.58neutral+2.31%-6.95%+0.40%-7.79%+2.42%
202014/10/202071.06neutral+1.62%+1.76%+5.69%-6.49%+5.83%
201914/10/201966.27neutral+2.29%+7.89%+12.78%-0.44%+16.36%
201815/10/201875.13near 52w low+6.66%-8.08%-9.93%-9.93%+8.57%
201713/10/201790.10near 52w high+0.28%-3.33%-11.27%-11.27%+0.28%
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.84% · Win 60% · DD -2.07%20 days: Avg +3.80% · Win 70% · DD -2.86%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202503/11/2025117.19volume x2.4-1.50%-1.14%+6.91%-1.50%+7.24%
202404/11/202485.82volume x1.7+5.30%+2.23%+5.95%+0.00%+7.19%
202303/11/202366.82far below SMA50-1.90%+0.66%+4.67%-1.90%+4.67%
202203/11/202267.46neutral+6.57%+5.17%+3.77%+0.00%+7.57%
202103/11/202176.06neutral+2.02%+3.71%-5.97%-6.60%+6.68%
202003/11/202068.75volume x1.6+9.38%+15.43%+20.28%-3.35%+20.60%
201904/11/201977.11near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.07%-5.82%-5.36%-6.00%+0.00%
201802/11/201869.61near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.92%-4.34%-3.10%-6.90%+2.54%
201703/11/201781.80near 52w low · volume x1.6-2.26%-0.06%+5.38%-2.32%+5.38%
201603/11/201686.10near 52w low+5.52%+2.61%+5.52%+0.00%+7.32%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.50% · Win 60% · DD -2.09%20 days: Avg +3.01% · Win 60% · DD -3.17%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/2025117.00neutral-1.00%-0.82%+8.28%-1.34%+8.28%
202404/11/202485.82volume x1.7+5.30%+2.23%+5.95%+0.00%+7.19%
202303/11/202366.82far below SMA50-1.90%+0.66%+4.67%-1.90%+4.67%
202204/11/202269.72far above SMA50+3.49%+1.78%-1.35%-1.35%+4.09%
202104/11/202176.54neutral+1.76%+2.69%-8.45%-8.45%+6.01%
202004/11/202068.02neutral+10.41%+16.83%+23.63%-2.31%+23.63%
201904/11/201977.11near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.07%-5.82%-5.36%-6.00%+0.00%
201805/11/201869.77near 52w low · far below SMA50-3.01%-5.10%-8.03%-8.03%+2.31%
201703/11/201781.80near 52w low · volume x1.6-2.26%-0.06%+5.38%-2.32%+5.38%
201604/11/201686.75near 52w low+4.15%+2.59%+5.42%+0.00%+6.51%
Upcoming 09/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.76% · Win 60% · DD -1.77%20 days: Avg +2.55% · Win 50% · DD -3.49%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025115.43neutral+0.36%+1.85%+8.95%+0.00%+10.88%
202408/11/202490.19near 52w high-3.30%-0.26%+5.57%-3.30%+5.57%
202309/11/202365.62far below SMA50+2.68%+3.37%+7.06%-0.11%+7.06%
202209/11/202269.31far above SMA50+2.21%+4.07%-4.20%-4.20%+4.70%
202109/11/202176.55neutral+2.29%+3.92%-4.32%-8.47%+6.00%
202009/11/202072.67near 52w high · volume x1.6+10.07%+11.11%+17.74%+0.00%+17.74%
201908/11/201975.00far above SMA50-2.93%-2.59%-1.31%-3.36%+0.56%
201809/11/201868.97near 52w low · far below SMA50-3.45%-4.49%-9.40%-10.58%+0.00%
201709/11/201780.30near 52w low+1.18%+1.62%+5.73%-0.50%+7.35%
201609/11/201692.40near 52w high-3.46%-1.03%-0.27%-4.38%+0.00%
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.50% · Win 80% · DD -1.74%20 days: Avg +2.05% · Win 60% · DD -3.81%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/11/2025115.43neutral+0.36%+1.85%+8.95%+0.00%+10.88%
202411/11/202490.37near 52w high-2.92%+0.61%+6.97%-3.50%+6.97%
202310/11/202365.55far below SMA50+2.61%+3.54%+8.02%+0.00%+8.02%
202210/11/202271.89far above SMA50-1.31%+0.17%-8.39%-8.39%+0.95%
202110/11/202177.60neutral+1.65%+0.50%-6.62%-9.70%+4.56%
202010/11/202075.20near 52w high+5.53%+10.25%+15.33%-0.13%+15.33%
201911/11/201974.74neutral-2.84%+0.91%-1.67%-3.02%+0.91%
201809/11/201868.97near 52w low · far below SMA50-3.45%-4.49%-9.40%-10.58%+0.00%
201710/11/201779.95near 52w low+2.25%+2.19%+6.50%-0.06%+7.82%
201610/11/201690.85near 52w high-2.75%-0.55%+0.83%-2.75%+1.43%
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.35% · Win 60% · DD -2.58%20 days: Avg -0.37% · Win 50% · DD -4.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/11/2025123.98near 52w high+3.03%+5.68%+0.78%-0.91%+5.68%
202427/11/202489.88neutral-0.23%+7.65%+3.46%-0.23%+7.83%
202327/11/202367.87neutral+3.05%+4.33%+12.74%-0.71%+12.74%
202228/11/202272.03far above SMA50-4.51%-11.31%-12.76%-15.41%+0.00%
202126/11/202172.65near 52w low-3.55%-0.30%-0.89%-3.92%+2.04%
202027/11/202081.76near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.53%+6.96%+10.53%-0.59%+14.19%
201927/11/201974.25neutral-0.26%-1.63%-2.86%-3.50%+0.66%
201827/11/201865.93near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.67%-2.97%-11.44%-15.40%+2.31%
201727/11/201781.70near 52w low+5.51%+4.22%+2.94%+0.00%+5.51%
201628/11/201690.25near 52w high+1.33%+0.83%-6.20%-6.20%+2.11%
Upcoming 17/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.33% · Win 40% · DD -3.49%20 days: Avg +1.46% · Win 60% · DD -5.40%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/12/2025125.78near 52w high-1.37%-1.95%+11.99%-2.47%+12.63%
202417/12/202493.77neutral+0.85%-0.92%-6.90%-9.50%+0.85%
202318/12/202373.71neutral+3.81%+0.22%+3.85%-1.17%+4.46%
202216/12/202261.41volume x3.1+2.39%+0.21%+10.93%-1.48%+15.06%
202117/12/202171.59near 52w low · volume x5.6+0.57%+3.16%+2.68%-2.50%+4.22%
202017/12/202093.36near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.70%-1.20%+4.21%-4.16%+6.36%
201917/12/201972.45volume x2.1+0.07%-4.07%-10.27%-11.41%+1.24%
201817/12/201862.00near 52w low · far below SMA50-10.03%-4.97%+3.87%-10.03%+4.74%
201718/12/201785.65neutral-1.81%+0.88%-2.34%-5.14%+2.80%
201616/12/201687.85near 52w low · volume x3.3-3.59%-4.61%-3.41%-6.09%+0.06%
Upcoming 23/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.06% · Win 60% · DD -2.31%20 days: Avg +4.07% · Win 70% · DD -3.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/12/2025123.81neutral-0.92%+7.77%+13.64%-0.92%+17.77%
202423/12/202494.21neutral-2.17%-0.81%-3.63%-9.92%+0.38%
202322/12/202375.72neutral-0.49%-3.67%-0.61%-3.79%+2.50%
202223/12/202262.88neutral-2.13%+7.84%+12.01%-3.78%+13.58%
202123/12/202172.12neutral+1.46%+2.94%+3.06%-2.87%+3.45%
202023/12/202089.90far above SMA50+1.32%+10.42%+7.59%+0.00%+10.46%
201923/12/201971.78neutral-1.06%-4.00%-11.41%-11.41%+1.03%
201824/12/201855.78near 52w low · far below SMA50+5.63%+12.21%+17.80%+0.00%+18.84%
201722/12/201784.15neutral+4.63%-2.20%+1.90%-3.45%+4.63%
201623/12/201684.70near 52w low-1.06%+0.12%+0.35%-2.60%+3.78%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -14.5% · from 52w low: +53.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.67% · +1.23% · -2.16% · -10.80%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+0.32% · -0.41% · +3.16%
Distance from 52w high / low-14.46% · +53.07%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg3.73 · 0.85x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+3.22%
vs SPY (20d)-0.69%
vs SMH (20d)+10.92%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 200170.40 · 171.66 · 165.71
52w high / low199.84 · 111.68