🕰️ Time Machine
RCL — Royal Caribbean Group
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
258.07 -0.65%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 4 days
16/09/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 02/09/2026
since -2.84%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/05/2026
232.10
Days: 77 trading / 113 calendar · return since: +11.19%
Last major high · 04/08/2026
334.00
Days: 26 trading / 37 calendar · return since: -22.73%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 04/08/2026 @ 334.00 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 02/09/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 334.00 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 03/09/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 334.00 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 16/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 232.10 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 17/09/2026 | +7 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 334.00 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 18/09/2026 | +8 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 232.10 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +13 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 334.00 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 03/10/2026 | +23 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 334.00 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 07/10/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 232.10 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 11/10/2026 | +31 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 04/08/2026 @ 334.00 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 232.10 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 10/09/2026
● Hammer Reversal 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 03/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 03/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 03/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 02/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 27/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 02/09/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.49% · Win 67% · DD -2.78%20 days: Avg -0.18% · Win 44% · DD -5.84%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 02/09/2025 | 354.08 | near 52w high | -2.48% | -9.14% | -8.33% | -9.14% | +1.69% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 159.65 | neutral | -0.85% | +5.48% | +8.76% | -1.94% | +14.77% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 97.70 | neutral | -0.04% | -1.82% | -6.14% | -7.41% | +2.12% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 41.00 | neutral | +17.17% | +23.73% | -8.32% | -8.32% | +23.98% |
| 2021 | 02/09/2021 | 82.93 | neutral | -1.65% | +1.04% | +11.33% | -4.22% | +11.43% |
| 2020 | 02/09/2020 | 68.37 | far above SMA50 | +2.59% | +0.56% | -4.12% | -12.29% | +5.24% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 102.85 | neutral | +10.60% | +10.93% | +2.46% | +0.00% | +11.65% |
| 2018 | 31/08/2018 | 122.58 | neutral | +1.09% | +5.03% | +6.33% | -1.42% | +8.38% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 124.24 | near 52w high | -2.05% | -4.38% | -3.62% | -7.86% | +0.00% |
Passed 03/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.42% · Win 56% · DD -2.85%20 days: Avg -0.38% · Win 44% · DD -5.67%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/09/2025 | 355.00 | near 52w high | -3.80% | -8.99% | -10.71% | -10.71% | +1.43% |
| 2024 | 03/09/2024 | 159.65 | neutral | -0.85% | +5.48% | +8.76% | -1.94% | +14.77% |
| 2023 | 01/09/2023 | 97.70 | neutral | -0.04% | -1.82% | -6.14% | -7.41% | +2.12% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 41.00 | neutral | +17.17% | +23.73% | -8.32% | -8.32% | +23.98% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 79.43 | neutral | +5.55% | +4.44% | +14.64% | +0.00% | +16.34% |
| 2020 | 03/09/2020 | 70.20 | far above SMA50 | -1.23% | -6.77% | -7.04% | -14.57% | +2.49% |
| 2019 | 03/09/2019 | 102.85 | neutral | +10.60% | +10.93% | +2.46% | +0.00% | +11.65% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 121.15 | neutral | +1.13% | +8.13% | +6.55% | -0.26% | +9.66% |
| 2017 | 01/09/2017 | 124.24 | near 52w high | -2.05% | -4.38% | -3.62% | -7.86% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.46% · Win 50% · DD -5.87%20 days: Avg -1.79% · Win 40% · DD -8.29%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/09/2025 | 321.70 | volume x1.6 | +2.76% | +0.89% | -2.14% | -5.02% | +2.76% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 169.74 | near 52w high | +3.87% | +4.73% | +16.20% | -0.79% | +16.20% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 97.42 | volume x2.0 | -6.34% | -5.42% | -11.61% | -11.61% | +0.92% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 50.44 | far above SMA50 | -11.93% | -24.86% | -11.56% | -25.48% | +0.57% |
| 2021 | 16/09/2021 | 82.54 | neutral | +6.81% | +7.77% | +5.28% | +0.00% | +11.96% |
| 2020 | 16/09/2020 | 69.61 | far above SMA50 | -12.02% | -7.01% | -13.93% | -13.93% | +2.13% |
| 2019 | 16/09/2019 | 113.93 | neutral | -3.18% | -4.25% | -4.58% | -10.71% | +0.14% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 128.74 | far above SMA50 | +1.54% | +1.24% | -8.02% | -8.75% | +3.19% |
| 2017 | 15/09/2017 | 120.92 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | -4.16% | -1.46% | +6.22% | -5.33% | +6.22% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 66.32 | near 52w high | +8.55% | +13.78% | +6.23% | -1.27% | +14.19% |
Upcoming 17/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.43% · Win 50% · DD -5.88%20 days: Avg -1.21% · Win 40% · DD -8.03%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/09/2025 | 323.07 | neutral | +1.23% | -1.88% | -3.39% | -5.42% | +2.33% |
| 2024 | 17/09/2024 | 168.40 | near 52w high | +6.92% | +3.11% | +20.48% | +0.00% | +20.48% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 95.92 | neutral | -5.16% | -4.40% | -9.61% | -10.23% | +2.50% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 50.44 | far above SMA50 | -11.93% | -24.86% | -11.56% | -25.48% | +0.57% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 83.79 | volume x1.5 | +8.23% | +10.19% | +3.02% | -1.04% | +10.29% |
| 2020 | 17/09/2020 | 68.75 | far above SMA50 | -12.77% | -4.65% | -13.63% | -13.63% | +3.40% |
| 2019 | 17/09/2019 | 114.09 | neutral | -4.12% | -7.64% | -3.37% | -10.83% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 17/09/2018 | 128.74 | far above SMA50 | +1.54% | +1.24% | -8.02% | -8.75% | +3.19% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 118.80 | near 52w high | -3.64% | +0.79% | +7.79% | -3.64% | +8.11% |
| 2016 | 16/09/2016 | 66.32 | near 52w high | +8.55% | +13.78% | +6.23% | -1.27% | +14.19% |
Upcoming 18/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.20% · Win 40% · DD -5.70%20 days: Avg -1.25% · Win 40% · DD -7.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/09/2025 | 325.81 | neutral | -0.09% | -1.45% | -8.10% | -8.10% | +1.47% |
| 2024 | 18/09/2024 | 168.55 | near 52w high | +5.50% | +4.05% | +19.97% | +0.00% | +20.38% |
| 2023 | 18/09/2023 | 95.92 | neutral | -5.16% | -4.40% | -9.61% | -10.23% | +2.50% |
| 2022 | 19/09/2022 | 50.73 | far above SMA50 | -13.19% | -25.90% | -11.08% | -25.90% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 17/09/2021 | 83.79 | volume x1.5 | +8.23% | +10.19% | +3.02% | -1.04% | +10.29% |
| 2020 | 18/09/2020 | 65.45 | far above SMA50 | -1.31% | -0.29% | -10.11% | -10.11% | +8.62% |
| 2019 | 18/09/2019 | 112.99 | neutral | -2.27% | -8.20% | -3.47% | -9.96% | +0.22% |
| 2018 | 18/09/2018 | 131.00 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.68% | -1.46% | -6.67% | -10.32% | +1.41% |
| 2017 | 18/09/2017 | 118.80 | near 52w high | -3.64% | +0.79% | +7.79% | -3.64% | +8.11% |
| 2016 | 19/09/2016 | 65.48 | near 52w high | +9.12% | +14.65% | +5.77% | +0.00% | +15.65% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.34% · Win 30% · DD -5.95%20 days: Avg -2.15% · Win 40% · DD -9.26%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 326.72 | neutral | -2.88% | -6.27% | -1.98% | -8.63% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 177.36 | near 52w high | +1.37% | +10.95% | +14.75% | -2.37% | +14.75% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 92.14 | neutral | -1.37% | -6.54% | -10.13% | -13.13% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 43.64 | neutral | +0.87% | +2.54% | +15.31% | -13.86% | +16.64% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 90.67 | far above SMA50 | -0.66% | -4.35% | -7.92% | -7.92% | +1.83% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 64.40 | neutral | +2.76% | -5.89% | -10.90% | -10.90% | +10.39% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 108.33 | neutral | -5.29% | -0.34% | +3.57% | -6.74% | +3.57% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 129.94 | near 52w high | -4.83% | -8.38% | -20.68% | -20.68% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 118.54 | neutral | +4.09% | +7.79% | +4.78% | +0.00% | +7.79% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 74.25 | near 52w high | +0.79% | -2.94% | -8.35% | -8.35% | +1.31% |
Upcoming 03/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.41% · Win 40% · DD -4.08%20 days: Avg +2.69% · Win 50% · DD -7.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 314.05 | neutral | -3.00% | -4.38% | -8.67% | -10.83% | +1.98% |
| 2024 | 03/10/2024 | 173.16 | neutral | +11.80% | +16.20% | +19.17% | +0.00% | +21.33% |
| 2023 | 03/10/2023 | 86.78 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +2.94% | -0.32% | -2.36% | -7.77% | +4.72% |
| 2022 | 03/10/2022 | 37.59 | far below SMA50 | +9.07% | +20.01% | +42.01% | +0.00% | +42.01% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 91.06 | far above SMA50 | -4.11% | -5.69% | -3.05% | -8.31% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 02/10/2020 | 65.26 | neutral | +8.93% | -9.85% | -13.55% | -18.60% | +8.93% |
| 2019 | 03/10/2019 | 104.18 | neutral | -0.55% | +4.77% | +4.46% | -3.02% | +8.73% |
| 2018 | 03/10/2018 | 128.07 | neutral | -7.29% | -5.84% | -18.22% | -22.29% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 03/10/2017 | 119.00 | near 52w high | +4.87% | +6.91% | +4.01% | +0.00% | +7.37% |
| 2016 | 03/10/2016 | 74.57 | near 52w high | -1.15% | -7.75% | +3.08% | -8.74% | +3.08% |
Upcoming 07/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.04% · Win 40% · DD -6.12%20 days: Avg +0.36% · Win 50% · DD -9.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/10/2025 | 314.75 | neutral | -0.28% | +0.64% | -18.23% | -18.23% | +1.75% |
| 2024 | 07/10/2024 | 179.79 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +9.45% | +11.19% | +13.68% | +0.00% | +16.86% |
| 2023 | 06/10/2023 | 90.88 | neutral | -5.25% | -11.93% | +1.63% | -11.93% | +1.63% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 43.60 | neutral | +2.32% | +12.84% | +25.46% | -6.67% | +25.46% |
| 2021 | 07/10/2021 | 88.79 | neutral | -2.13% | -5.70% | -0.07% | -5.97% | +1.10% |
| 2020 | 07/10/2020 | 68.02 | neutral | -11.92% | -10.78% | -16.23% | -21.91% | +4.51% |
| 2019 | 07/10/2019 | 102.60 | neutral | +5.22% | +9.23% | +10.41% | -1.53% | +10.41% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 124.46 | neutral | -5.37% | -7.91% | -14.98% | -20.04% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 06/10/2017 | 123.39 | near 52w high | +3.55% | -2.17% | -0.17% | -2.17% | +3.55% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 73.69 | near 52w high | -5.03% | -5.86% | +2.09% | -7.65% | +4.32% |
Upcoming 11/10/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.49% · Win 40% · DD -4.97%20 days: Avg +6.39% · Win 80% · DD -7.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/10/2025 | 304.62 | neutral | -1.41% | +3.88% | -15.96% | -16.76% | +5.13% |
| 2024 | 11/10/2024 | 195.69 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.17% | +2.67% | +15.12% | +0.00% | +15.82% |
| 2023 | 11/10/2023 | 89.20 | neutral | -7.14% | -7.83% | +6.97% | -10.27% | +6.97% |
| 2022 | 11/10/2022 | 40.69 | neutral | +19.24% | +25.09% | +33.47% | +0.00% | +34.43% |
| 2021 | 11/10/2021 | 87.32 | neutral | -1.65% | -2.76% | +7.32% | -4.39% | +10.71% |
| 2020 | 12/10/2020 | 69.83 | neutral | -14.49% | -16.57% | +8.02% | -23.93% | +8.02% |
| 2019 | 11/10/2019 | 107.57 | neutral | +3.36% | +3.53% | +6.47% | +0.00% | +6.90% |
| 2018 | 11/10/2018 | 116.85 | neutral | -0.19% | -7.63% | -7.84% | -14.83% | +4.07% |
| 2017 | 11/10/2017 | 125.01 | near 52w high | -0.10% | -2.98% | +3.13% | -3.44% | +3.38% |
| 2016 | 11/10/2016 | 72.33 | near 52w high | -3.15% | -2.35% | +7.23% | -5.92% | +7.23% |
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.34% · Win 90% · DD -2.56%20 days: Avg +10.73% · Win 80% · DD -4.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 292.95 | far below SMA50 · volume x4.4 | -12.14% | -10.04% | -9.06% | -15.78% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 203.52 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | +0.43% | +15.38% | +18.12% | -0.72% | +18.66% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 82.81 | far below SMA50 | +11.53% | +14.61% | +28.52% | +0.00% | +28.52% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 52.67 | far above SMA50 | +3.85% | +11.03% | +10.31% | -5.71% | +15.21% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 84.25 | neutral | +5.32% | +2.43% | -19.31% | -19.31% | +14.74% |
| 2020 | 28/10/2020 | 53.12 | far below SMA50 | +7.27% | +33.43% | +50.75% | +0.00% | +53.67% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 112.20 | neutral | +0.96% | +1.55% | +6.43% | -3.00% | +6.43% |
| 2018 | 29/10/2018 | 99.52 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +6.33% | +5.17% | +11.27% | +0.00% | +12.00% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 124.21 | near 52w high | -0.83% | +0.01% | +0.84% | -2.70% | +4.04% |
| 2016 | 28/10/2016 | 74.47 | near 52w high · volume x3.8 | +1.02% | +9.78% | +9.44% | +0.00% | +12.88% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.63% · Win 80% · DD -3.15%20 days: Avg +3.05% · Win 60% · DD -5.18%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 264.98 | far below SMA50 | -6.89% | -3.55% | -6.29% | -6.89% | +0.61% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 234.82 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.30% | +2.37% | +4.62% | -1.42% | +9.91% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 94.91 | neutral | +11.20% | +12.14% | +26.87% | +0.00% | +26.93% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 57.72 | far above SMA50 | +0.16% | +3.40% | -2.62% | -2.62% | +5.53% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 88.75 | neutral | -6.17% | -11.73% | -15.83% | -27.58% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 73.73 | far above SMA50 | +2.18% | +10.71% | +11.72% | -7.64% | +14.47% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 113.94 | neutral | +3.91% | +4.81% | +6.71% | -0.08% | +7.14% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 107.17 | far below SMA50 | +2.63% | +4.00% | -2.94% | -2.94% | +6.61% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 124.22 | neutral | +0.14% | +0.83% | +0.99% | -1.37% | +1.27% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 80.35 | near 52w high | +3.14% | +3.32% | +7.27% | -1.31% | +7.27% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-12.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -27.6% · from 52w low: +11.2%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.84% · -11.01% · -16.21% · -17.73% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -8.64% · -12.16% · -10.38% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -27.59% · +11.19% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 6.97 · 0.51x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -14.32% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -14.37% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -12.60% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 282.47 · 293.81 · 287.96 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 356.39 · 232.10 |
|---|
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