🕰️ Time Machine

RDW — Redwire

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
10.62 -2.30%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 30 · 10/09/2026
since -2.30%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/07/2026
7.76
Days: 31 trading / 44 calendar · return since: +36.86%
Last major high · 28/05/2026
26.64
Days: 73 trading / 106 calendar · return since: -60.14%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 29/07/2026 @ 7.76Fib 21Trading📅 27/08/2026-10 (±1)Passed
Low 29/07/2026 @ 7.76Cycle 30Trading📅 10/09/2026-1 (±2)In window
Low 29/07/2026 @ 7.76Cycle 45Calendar📅 12/09/2026+1 (±2)In window
High 28/05/2026 @ 26.64Cycle 120Calendar📅 25/09/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 7.76Cycle 60Calendar📅 27/09/2026+16 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 7.76Cycle 45Trading📅 01/10/2026+14 (±2)Upcoming
High 28/05/2026 @ 26.64Cycle 90Trading📅 06/10/2026+17 (±3)Upcoming
High 28/05/2026 @ 26.64Cycle 144Calendar📅 19/10/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/07/2026 @ 7.76Cycle 60Trading📅 22/10/2026+29 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 10/09/2026
Failed Breakdown 02/09/2026
Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Doji After Run 31/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
NR7 Compression 27/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Gap Day 24/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/08/2026
Hammer Reversal 19/08/2026
Shooting Star 13/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 27/08/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.67% · Win 40% · DD -7.50%20 days: Avg -4.80% · Win 20% · DD -12.50%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/20258.99far below SMA50-8.68%-6.01%-0.33%-12.46%+4.00%
202427/08/20246.90neutral-9.42%-9.57%+0.72%-17.10%+0.72%
202328/08/20233.24neutral-0.31%-4.01%-10.80%-15.12%+27.16%
202226/08/20222.91far below SMA50-2.41%+9.97%-13.40%-17.53%+9.97%
202127/08/202110.01near 52w low+22.28%+12.99%-0.20%-0.30%+28.37%
In window 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -4.92% · Win 40% · DD -10.25%20 days: Avg +0.34% · Win 40% · DD -13.52%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/20258.23far below SMA50-4.37%+13.61%+18.96%-4.37%+36.33%
202410/09/20245.88far below SMA50+6.46%+8.67%+28.57%+0.00%+30.78%
202311/09/20233.21neutral+4.36%-14.33%-13.40%-14.33%+28.35%
202209/09/20223.10volume x1.5-13.87%-22.58%-13.87%-24.52%+3.23%
202110/09/202111.64far above SMA50 · volume x1.9-2.41%-9.97%-18.56%-24.40%+0.00%
In window 12/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -5.95% · Win 40% · DD -11.88%20 days: Avg -4.44% · Win 40% · DD -14.36%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/20258.69far below SMA50-8.52%+1.61%+0.58%-9.44%+29.11%
202412/09/20246.37neutral+1.26%+8.63%+18.21%-1.73%+20.72%
202312/09/20233.11neutral+4.82%-7.07%-9.00%-11.58%+32.48%
202212/09/20223.20neutral-13.44%-21.25%-13.75%-26.88%+0.00%
202113/09/202111.31neutral+0.44%-11.67%-18.21%-22.19%+1.24%
Upcoming 25/09/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +3.48% · Win 80% · DD -6.48%20 days: Avg +2.84% · Win 40% · DD -10.87%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/09/20258.96far below SMA50+15.62%+7.70%-13.62%-14.73%+25.22%
202425/09/20246.95volume x1.6-2.16%+8.63%+26.19%-7.77%+30.94%
202325/09/20232.75far below SMA50+3.64%+1.09%-3.27%-4.73%+5.09%
202226/09/20222.52far below SMA50-1.19%+9.52%-11.11%-11.11%+11.90%
202124/09/202110.48neutral-9.54%-9.54%+16.03%-16.03%+16.03%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 40% · DD -6.75%20 days: Avg +6.42% · Win 40% · DD -10.94%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/20258.83far below SMA50+21.52%-1.02%-9.40%-13.48%+27.07%
202427/09/20247.14far above SMA50 · volume x1.7+1.40%+8.54%+20.31%-10.22%+27.45%
202327/09/20232.87far below SMA50-2.09%-2.44%-5.92%-8.71%+0.70%
202227/09/20222.50far below SMA50+12.80%+5.20%-4.40%-10.40%+12.80%
202127/09/20219.99near 52w low-9.61%-7.41%+31.53%-11.91%+31.53%
Upcoming 01/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +5.10% · Win 60% · DD -3.76%20 days: Avg +8.79% · Win 60% · DD -7.54%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202501/10/20259.16neutral+6.88%-2.40%-14.30%-16.59%+22.49%
202401/10/20246.41neutral+17.94%+21.06%+29.95%+0.00%+43.37%
202302/10/20232.85far below SMA50-2.46%-2.11%-6.67%-8.07%+0.70%
202230/09/20222.38near 52w low · far below SMA50+12.18%+0.84%+9.66%-5.88%+18.49%
202101/10/20219.48near 52w low+0.00%+8.12%+25.32%-7.17%+39.14%
Upcoming 06/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -2.30% · Win 40% · DD -11.65%20 days: Avg +1.74% · Win 40% · DD -13.08%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202506/10/202511.22far above SMA50-19.25%-26.47%-34.31%-34.31%+0.00%
202407/10/20247.69far above SMA50 · volume x2.5+2.47%+18.34%-0.52%-2.08%+19.51%
202306/10/20232.87far below SMA50-7.32%-8.71%+1.39%-8.71%+1.39%
202206/10/20222.81neutral-11.39%-18.51%-5.69%-20.28%+0.00%
202106/10/20218.80near 52w low · far below SMA50+37.84%+23.86%+47.84%+0.00%+49.89%
Upcoming 19/10/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +3.11% · Win 60% · DD -5.56%20 days: Avg -2.67% · Win 40% · DD -13.03%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/20258.25neutral-0.12%-10.67%-33.70%-34.42%+0.00%
202418/10/20248.52near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.82%-8.92%+21.95%-10.21%+21.95%
202319/10/20232.66far below SMA50-0.75%+5.26%-7.14%-8.27%+9.40%
202219/10/20222.38near 52w low · far below SMA50-2.52%+11.76%+8.82%-5.88%+18.07%
202119/10/202110.67neutral+23.62%+18.09%-3.28%-6.37%+23.62%
Upcoming 22/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +2.75% · Win 60% · DD -5.73%20 days: Avg -3.49% · Win 40% · DD -14.32%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202522/10/20257.64far below SMA50+2.75%-4.45%-28.27%-29.19%+7.85%
202422/10/20248.90near 52w high · far above SMA50-6.40%-10.11%+30.79%-14.04%+30.79%
202323/10/20232.66far below SMA50+0.00%+7.14%-6.02%-8.27%+9.40%
202221/10/20222.28far below SMA50+14.47%+16.23%+4.39%-1.75%+23.25%
202122/10/202112.16far above SMA50-2.30%+4.93%-18.34%-18.34%+8.47%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.7%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -60.1% · from 52w low: +118.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.41% · -5.77% · -19.55% · -21.33%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-6.84% · -0.69% · -0.67%
Distance from 52w high / low-60.14% · +118.07%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.59 · 1.01x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-17.20%
vs SPY (20d)-17.80%
vs SMH (20d)-16.05%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20011.40 · 10.69 · 10.69
52w high / low26.64 · 4.87