🕰️ Time Machine
RIOT — Riot Platforms
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 28/10/2026
Last price (Close)
14.45 +6.56%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 4 days
01/11/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 21/10/2026
since +3.07%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 02/09/2026
17.39
Days: 39 trading / 56 calendar · return since: -16.91%
Last major high · 22/09/2026
25.39
Days: 26 trading / 36 calendar · return since: -43.09%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 02/09/2026 @ 17.39 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 15/10/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| High 22/09/2026 @ 25.39 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 21/10/2026 | -5 (±1) | Passed |
| High 22/09/2026 @ 25.39 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 22/10/2026 | -6 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 02/09/2026 @ 17.39 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 01/11/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/09/2026 @ 25.39 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 03/11/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/09/2026 @ 17.39 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 05/11/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/09/2026 @ 25.39 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 06/11/2026 | +9 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/09/2026 @ 25.39 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 21/11/2026 | +24 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/09/2026 @ 25.39 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 24/11/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/09/2026 @ 17.39 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 27/11/2026 | +21 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 02/09/2026 @ 17.39 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 01/12/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 22/09/2026 @ 25.39 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 16/12/2026 | +34 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Failed Breakdown 26/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Gap Day 26/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 22/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 20/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/10/2026
● Gap Day 19/10/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 21/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/10/2026
● Gap Day 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/10/2026
● NR7 Compression 12/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/10/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.64% · Win 56% · DD -7.69%20 days: Avg +7.51% · Win 44% · DD -11.82%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 22.13 | far above SMA50 | -14.19% | +0.18% | -30.14% | -30.14% | +3.93% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 8.77 | far above SMA50 | +13.11% | +23.95% | +64.77% | +0.00% | +70.70% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 9.42 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | +2.65% | +2.02% | +3.93% | -6.37% | +20.91% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 5.76 | far below SMA50 | +1.22% | +22.40% | -7.29% | -14.93% | +22.57% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 27.85 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.9 | +1.54% | -2.26% | +58.67% | -4.52% | +58.67% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 3.40 | neutral | +19.26% | +4.41% | +8.82% | -8.53% | +19.26% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 1.78 | neutral | -6.74% | -9.55% | -14.61% | -15.73% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 2.70 | far below SMA50 | -11.48% | -10.74% | -12.59% | -15.56% | +9.63% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 7.55 | far above SMA50 | +15.89% | -6.62% | -3.97% | -10.60% | +15.89% |
Passed 21/10/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.48% · Win 33% · DD -9.14%20 days: Avg -0.69% · Win 44% · DD -16.36%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/10/2025 | 20.67 | far above SMA50 | +4.28% | -6.75% | -32.56% | -32.85% | +11.27% |
| 2024 | 21/10/2024 | 9.74 | far above SMA50 | +8.42% | -7.80% | +24.85% | -7.80% | +53.70% |
| 2023 | 20/10/2023 | 8.87 | far below SMA50 | +7.55% | +28.41% | +18.15% | +0.00% | +28.41% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 5.83 | far below SMA50 | +20.93% | -0.69% | -23.50% | -23.50% | +21.10% |
| 2021 | 21/10/2021 | 29.44 | neutral | -6.45% | +11.14% | +14.23% | -9.68% | +50.10% |
| 2020 | 21/10/2020 | 3.98 | far above SMA50 · volume x3.2 | -12.06% | -10.80% | +31.91% | -17.84% | +52.89% |
| 2019 | 21/10/2019 | 1.70 | far below SMA50 | +0.00% | -2.35% | -14.12% | -14.12% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 2.39 | far below SMA50 | +0.84% | +5.02% | -20.92% | -20.92% | +23.43% |
| 2017 | 20/10/2017 | 8.49 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -18.61% | -20.49% | -4.24% | -20.49% | +3.06% |
Passed 22/10/2026 · High Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.39% · Win 33% · DD -8.36%20 days: Avg +5.29% · Win 56% · DD -16.26%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/10/2025 | 18.99 | far above SMA50 | +16.75% | -0.11% | -29.70% | -29.70% | +21.12% |
| 2024 | 22/10/2024 | 9.92 | far above SMA50 | +9.58% | -2.12% | +23.69% | -9.48% | +50.91% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 9.67 | volume x2.0 | -0.62% | +13.86% | +17.06% | -1.34% | +17.79% |
| 2022 | 21/10/2022 | 5.83 | far below SMA50 | +20.93% | -0.69% | -23.50% | -23.50% | +21.10% |
| 2021 | 22/10/2021 | 28.28 | neutral | -3.75% | +11.35% | +27.93% | -5.98% | +56.26% |
| 2020 | 22/10/2020 | 4.05 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.6 | -12.45% | -7.52% | +47.97% | -19.36% | +50.06% |
| 2019 | 22/10/2019 | 1.66 | far below SMA50 | -3.01% | -3.61% | -13.25% | -13.25% | +2.41% |
| 2018 | 22/10/2018 | 2.39 | far below SMA50 | +0.84% | +5.02% | -20.92% | -20.92% | +23.43% |
| 2017 | 23/10/2017 | 8.75 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | -19.43% | -12.69% | +18.29% | -22.86% | +18.29% |
Upcoming 01/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +5.75% · Win 50% · DD -9.64%20 days: Avg +26.21% · Win 60% · DD -14.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 31/10/2025 | 19.78 | neutral | -14.00% | -29.47% | -21.74% | -35.74% | +4.75% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 9.44 | far above SMA50 | +35.70% | +31.04% | +28.18% | -4.87% | +58.58% |
| 2023 | 01/11/2023 | 10.21 | neutral | +0.69% | +4.60% | +22.92% | -4.70% | +27.33% |
| 2022 | 01/11/2022 | 6.45 | neutral | -17.36% | -19.07% | -27.91% | -38.29% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 01/11/2021 | 28.09 | neutral | +30.62% | +49.84% | +33.04% | +0.00% | +57.32% |
| 2020 | 02/11/2020 | 3.29 | neutral | +6.38% | +24.62% | +167.78% | +0.00% | +167.78% |
| 2019 | 01/11/2019 | 1.57 | far below SMA50 | -3.18% | -3.82% | -17.20% | -17.20% | +5.73% |
| 2018 | 01/11/2018 | 2.56 | far below SMA50 | +0.39% | -12.30% | -27.34% | -30.86% | +15.23% |
| 2017 | 01/11/2017 | 6.95 | far above SMA50 | +11.94% | +14.10% | +94.24% | -2.88% | +239.57% |
| 2016 | 01/11/2016 | 2.72 | near 52w high | -3.49% | -2.02% | +10.09% | -11.56% | +10.09% |
Upcoming 03/11/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.68% · Win 50% · DD -9.98%20 days: Avg +30.84% · Win 60% · DD -14.34%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 20.72 | far above SMA50 | -16.41% | -33.01% | -26.54% | -38.66% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 8.98 | far above SMA50 | +66.70% | +35.41% | +35.19% | +0.00% | +66.70% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 11.39 | far above SMA50 | -9.04% | -7.99% | +31.69% | -14.57% | +31.69% |
| 2022 | 03/11/2022 | 5.51 | far below SMA50 | -1.63% | -15.97% | -9.98% | -27.77% | +5.08% |
| 2021 | 03/11/2021 | 32.76 | far above SMA50 | +11.39% | +7.69% | +0.64% | -3.88% | +34.89% |
| 2020 | 03/11/2020 | 3.50 | far above SMA50 | -1.43% | +73.86% | +143.14% | -1.43% | +151.71% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 1.66 | neutral | -7.83% | -12.05% | -20.48% | -21.69% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 02/11/2018 | 2.54 | far below SMA50 | +0.79% | -13.78% | -27.95% | -30.31% | +16.14% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 6.75 | far above SMA50 | +6.07% | +20.44% | +123.26% | +0.00% | +249.63% |
| 2016 | 03/11/2016 | 2.54 | near 52w low | +1.57% | +12.20% | +59.45% | -5.12% | +73.23% |
Upcoming 05/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.88% · Win 60% · DD -11.50%20 days: Avg +29.34% · Win 50% · DD -15.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 05/11/2025 | 18.97 | neutral | -18.50% | -29.63% | -17.82% | -33.00% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 05/11/2024 | 9.71 | far above SMA50 | +48.82% | +26.36% | +33.37% | +0.00% | +54.17% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 11.01 | neutral | -11.08% | +2.82% | +37.51% | -11.63% | +37.51% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 5.79 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -7.77% | -22.97% | -19.52% | -31.26% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 31.49 | neutral | +40.33% | +14.89% | -10.64% | -10.64% | +40.33% |
| 2020 | 05/11/2020 | 3.75 | far above SMA50 | -1.33% | +60.00% | +166.67% | -8.00% | +166.67% |
| 2019 | 05/11/2019 | 1.60 | far below SMA50 | -5.00% | -10.00% | -19.38% | -19.38% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 2.51 | far below SMA50 | -5.98% | -24.70% | -29.88% | -29.88% | +17.53% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 7.64 | far above SMA50 | -5.10% | +35.47% | +85.08% | -8.12% | +208.90% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 2.41 | near 52w low | +10.37% | +16.60% | +68.05% | +0.00% | +82.57% |
Upcoming 06/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.62% · Win 50% · DD -13.97%20 days: Avg +26.56% · Win 50% · DD -16.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/11/2025 | 17.34 | neutral | -19.95% | -26.30% | -13.84% | -26.70% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 06/11/2024 | 12.25 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +3.43% | -0.82% | +0.57% | -8.82% | +22.20% |
| 2023 | 06/11/2023 | 11.01 | neutral | -11.08% | +2.82% | +37.51% | -11.63% | +37.51% |
| 2022 | 07/11/2022 | 5.75 | far below SMA50 | -10.61% | -30.78% | -23.83% | -30.78% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 05/11/2021 | 31.49 | neutral | +40.33% | +14.89% | -10.64% | -10.64% | +40.33% |
| 2020 | 06/11/2020 | 3.65 | far above SMA50 | +9.04% | +64.25% | +191.23% | -5.48% | +191.23% |
| 2019 | 06/11/2019 | 1.57 | far below SMA50 | -3.82% | -8.92% | -15.92% | -17.83% | +1.27% |
| 2018 | 06/11/2018 | 2.95 | far below SMA50 · volume x3.4 | -15.25% | -37.29% | -39.32% | -40.34% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 06/11/2017 | 7.64 | far above SMA50 | -5.10% | +35.47% | +85.08% | -8.12% | +208.90% |
| 2016 | 07/11/2016 | 2.74 | near 52w high | -0.36% | +2.92% | +54.74% | -8.03% | +60.58% |
Upcoming 21/11/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +19.16% · Win 70% · DD -4.20%20 days: Avg +33.35% · Win 50% · DD -8.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/11/2025 | 12.71 | far below SMA50 | +21.79% | +17.70% | +13.30% | +0.00% | +26.91% |
| 2024 | 21/11/2024 | 11.76 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +7.57% | +10.12% | -1.79% | -5.61% | +19.30% |
| 2023 | 21/11/2023 | 11.17 | far above SMA50 | +16.38% | +32.14% | +47.27% | +0.00% | +49.33% |
| 2022 | 21/11/2022 | 3.98 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +6.53% | +10.05% | -3.77% | -4.52% | +24.62% |
| 2021 | 22/11/2021 | 33.45 | far above SMA50 | +11.72% | -11.27% | -28.10% | -32.68% | +11.72% |
| 2020 | 20/11/2020 | 5.99 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.3 | +40.95% | +77.31% | +84.15% | +0.00% | +84.15% |
| 2019 | 21/11/2019 | 1.42 | far below SMA50 | -2.11% | -7.04% | -6.34% | -9.15% | +4.93% |
| 2018 | 21/11/2018 | 1.91 | far below SMA50 | +2.09% | -9.42% | -21.47% | -29.32% | +9.42% |
| 2017 | 21/11/2017 | 11.26 | far above SMA50 · volume x8.5 | +17.05% | +21.69% | +220.78% | +0.00% | +242.81% |
| 2016 | 21/11/2016 | 2.82 | neutral | +2.84% | +50.35% | +29.43% | -2.48% | +56.03% |
Upcoming 24/11/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.44% · Win 40% · DD -10.80%20 days: Avg +11.20% · Win 40% · DD -15.62%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 24/11/2025 | 13.88 | far below SMA50 | +9.65% | +11.74% | -1.51% | -6.63% | +16.21% |
| 2024 | 25/11/2024 | 12.06 | far above SMA50 | +0.66% | -7.96% | -3.23% | -10.45% | +16.33% |
| 2023 | 24/11/2023 | 12.02 | far above SMA50 | +14.56% | +31.70% | +47.92% | -1.66% | +47.92% |
| 2022 | 23/11/2022 | 4.42 | far below SMA50 | +3.62% | -1.13% | -14.48% | -14.48% | +12.22% |
| 2021 | 24/11/2021 | 37.00 | far above SMA50 | -10.89% | -28.38% | -30.62% | -39.14% | +1.00% |
| 2020 | 24/11/2020 | 6.81 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +24.96% | +29.96% | +104.26% | -8.22% | +115.05% |
| 2019 | 25/11/2019 | 1.35 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -2.22% | -3.70% | -2.96% | -4.44% | +2.96% |
| 2018 | 23/11/2018 | 1.85 | far below SMA50 | +0.54% | -8.65% | -22.16% | -27.03% | +12.97% |
| 2017 | 24/11/2017 | 23.60 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x6.4 | -36.44% | -32.80% | +3.90% | -44.15% | +63.56% |
| 2016 | 23/11/2016 | 2.75 | neutral | +60.00% | +43.64% | +30.91% | +0.00% | +60.00% |
Upcoming 27/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +11.41% · Win 50% · DD -7.18%20 days: Avg +23.30% · Win 40% · DD -13.10%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 26/11/2025 | 14.96 | far below SMA50 | +4.21% | +5.28% | -10.16% | -13.37% | +7.82% |
| 2024 | 27/11/2024 | 12.37 | far above SMA50 | -0.40% | -0.32% | -11.16% | -12.69% | +13.42% |
| 2023 | 27/11/2023 | 11.82 | far above SMA50 | +26.90% | +18.61% | +46.79% | +0.00% | +50.42% |
| 2022 | 28/11/2022 | 4.25 | far below SMA50 | +9.65% | -1.88% | -19.53% | -19.53% | +16.71% |
| 2021 | 26/11/2021 | 34.92 | far above SMA50 | -17.98% | -25.54% | -25.97% | -35.51% | +7.02% |
| 2020 | 27/11/2020 | 6.25 | far above SMA50 | +60.00% | +38.56% | +150.40% | +0.00% | +150.40% |
| 2019 | 27/11/2019 | 1.35 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -2.22% | -2.22% | -9.63% | -9.63% | +2.96% |
| 2018 | 27/11/2018 | 1.77 | far below SMA50 | -0.56% | -9.32% | -7.34% | -23.73% | +18.08% |
| 2017 | 27/11/2017 | 15.60 | far above SMA50 · volume x4.5 | -3.40% | +47.95% | +100.13% | -15.51% | +147.44% |
| 2016 | 28/11/2016 | 2.93 | neutral | +38.23% | +43.00% | +19.45% | -1.02% | +50.17% |
Upcoming 01/12/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.51% · Win 50% · DD -12.35%20 days: Avg +6.56% · Win 30% · DD -17.27%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 01/12/2025 | 15.48 | far below SMA50 | -3.36% | -11.43% | -17.96% | -17.96% | +1.74% |
| 2024 | 02/12/2024 | 12.10 | far above SMA50 | -7.36% | +15.95% | -15.62% | -15.62% | +15.95% |
| 2023 | 01/12/2023 | 13.77 | far above SMA50 | +14.96% | +13.51% | +11.91% | +0.00% | +35.22% |
| 2022 | 01/12/2022 | 4.58 | far below SMA50 | -4.59% | -12.23% | -25.98% | -28.17% | +8.30% |
| 2021 | 01/12/2021 | 35.60 | far above SMA50 | -17.58% | -27.33% | -33.99% | -36.74% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 01/12/2020 | 8.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +12.03% | +15.55% | +95.91% | -3.41% | +95.91% |
| 2019 | 02/12/2019 | 1.30 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -0.77% | +2.31% | -13.85% | -13.85% | +3.08% |
| 2018 | 30/11/2018 | 1.86 | far below SMA50 | -9.14% | -3.76% | -8.06% | -27.42% | +1.61% |
| 2017 | 01/12/2017 | 15.00 | far above SMA50 | +5.73% | +90.00% | +86.00% | -8.65% | +157.33% |
| 2016 | 01/12/2016 | 4.40 | volume x17.6 | -10.23% | -17.50% | -12.73% | -20.91% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 16/12/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.52% · Win 20% · DD -11.78%20 days: Avg +11.33% · Win 40% · DD -18.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/12/2025 | 13.47 | far below SMA50 | +1.48% | -5.94% | +23.01% | -5.94% | +28.51% |
| 2024 | 16/12/2024 | 14.03 | far above SMA50 | -23.02% | -27.23% | -5.27% | -27.23% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 15/12/2023 | 15.63 | far above SMA50 | +13.76% | -1.41% | -30.45% | -30.45% | +19.13% |
| 2022 | 16/12/2022 | 3.80 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -3.16% | -11.32% | +50.26% | -13.42% | +68.68% |
| 2021 | 16/12/2021 | 23.88 | far below SMA50 | +7.50% | -6.49% | -13.40% | -15.87% | +8.25% |
| 2020 | 16/12/2020 | 10.76 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +29.28% | +57.90% | +139.59% | -6.60% | +168.59% |
| 2019 | 16/12/2019 | 1.33 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +0.00% | -15.79% | +5.26% | -15.79% | +12.03% |
| 2018 | 17/12/2018 | 1.79 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.6 | -19.55% | -4.47% | -10.61% | -19.55% | +5.59% |
| 2017 | 15/12/2017 | 28.50 | far above SMA50 | -13.96% | -2.11% | -37.68% | -37.68% | +35.44% |
| 2016 | 16/12/2016 | 3.76 | neutral | -6.12% | +1.60% | -7.45% | -7.45% | +16.49% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-24.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -52.3% · from 52w low: +25.7%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +3.07% · -4.30% · -28.29% · -32.98% |
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| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -8.28% · -24.13% · -25.69% |
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| Distance from 52w high / low | -52.34% · +25.65% |
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| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.20 · 1.36x |
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Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -26.37% |
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| vs SPY (20d) | -29.56% |
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| vs SMH (20d) | -21.50% |
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Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 15.75 · 19.04 · 19.44 |
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| 52w high / low | 30.32 · 11.50 |
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