🕰️ Time Machine
RIVN — Rivian
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 30/07/2026
Last price (Close)
16.31 -0.12%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 6 days
07/08/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 27/07/2026
since -1.03%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 25/06/2026
14.35
Days: 24 trading / 35 calendar · return since: +13.66%
Last major high · 22/04/2026
18.07
Days: 68 trading / 99 calendar · return since: -9.73%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 22/04/2026 @ 18.07 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 20/07/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 18.07 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 21/07/2026 | -9 (±3) | Passed |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 25/07/2026 | -5 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 27/07/2026 | -3 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 07/08/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 09/08/2026 | +10 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 18.07 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 20/08/2026 | +21 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 24/08/2026 | +25 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | +21 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 18.07 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | +22 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 22/04/2026 @ 18.07 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 13/09/2026 | +45 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +36 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Doji After Run 27/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/07/2026
● Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 27/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 21/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 21/07/2026
● Gap Day 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/07/2026
● Shooting Star 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/07/2026
● Doji After Run 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 20/07/2026
● Shooting Star 01/07/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 20/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -1.78% · Win 50% · DD -6.76%20 days: Avg -9.54% · Win 25% · DD -14.72%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 13.70 | neutral | +0.58% | -9.42% | -9.42% | -15.04% | +3.07% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 16.75 | far above SMA50 | -3.22% | -12.12% | -21.13% | -21.13% | +4.48% |
| 2023 | 20/07/2023 | 25.81 | far above SMA50 | +0.93% | +2.67% | -18.83% | -19.49% | +7.09% |
| 2022 | 20/07/2022 | 32.74 | far above SMA50 | -2.23% | +11.76% | +11.24% | -3.21% | +18.97% |
Passed 21/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -4.65% · Win 25% · DD -8.00%20 days: Avg -10.86% · Win 25% · DD -15.81%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 21/07/2025 | 13.70 | neutral | +0.58% | -9.42% | -9.42% | -15.04% | +3.07% |
| 2024 | 22/07/2024 | 17.22 | far above SMA50 | -5.34% | -15.16% | -21.43% | -23.29% | +1.63% |
| 2023 | 21/07/2023 | 25.27 | far above SMA50 | +6.61% | -0.04% | -17.77% | -17.77% | +9.38% |
| 2022 | 21/07/2022 | 34.13 | far above SMA50 | -0.84% | +6.01% | +5.19% | -7.15% | +14.12% |
Passed 25/07/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -2.26% · Win 25% · DD -9.45%20 days: Avg -11.44% · Win 25% · DD -15.09%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/07/2025 | 14.01 | volume x1.5 | -11.63% | -15.85% | -6.57% | -16.92% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 25/07/2024 | 16.25 | far above SMA50 | -6.22% | -9.42% | -21.17% | -21.17% | +0.98% |
| 2023 | 25/07/2023 | 25.35 | far above SMA50 | +7.69% | -2.17% | -20.79% | -20.79% | +9.03% |
| 2022 | 25/07/2022 | 32.17 | far above SMA50 | +8.21% | +18.40% | +2.77% | -1.49% | +21.08% |
Passed 27/07/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -6.61% · Win 25% · DD -11.60%20 days: Avg -10.41% · Win 25% · DD -15.28%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 13.78 | neutral | -9.94% | -13.43% | -4.86% | -15.53% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 16.21 | far above SMA50 | -9.19% | -13.94% | -13.88% | -20.97% | +1.23% |
| 2023 | 27/07/2023 | 26.05 | far above SMA50 | +1.73% | -15.89% | -24.61% | -24.61% | +6.10% |
| 2022 | 27/07/2022 | 32.01 | neutral | +14.31% | +16.84% | +1.72% | +0.00% | +21.68% |
Upcoming 07/08/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -7.69% · Win 25% · DD -8.78%20 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 25% · DD -11.20%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 07/08/2025 | 12.07 | far below SMA50 | -0.08% | +0.41% | +17.73% | -2.32% | +19.64% |
| 2024 | 07/08/2024 | 13.78 | neutral | -3.88% | -5.19% | -0.33% | -7.07% | +6.78% |
| 2023 | 07/08/2023 | 24.28 | far above SMA50 | -11.20% | -12.77% | -3.67% | -19.11% | +2.14% |
| 2022 | 08/08/2022 | 38.09 | far above SMA50 | -2.13% | -13.21% | -12.79% | -16.28% | +2.26% |
Upcoming 09/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -2.55% · Win 50% · DD -7.64%20 days: Avg +1.95% · Win 50% · DD -8.35%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/08/2025 | 11.79 | far below SMA50 | +3.82% | +11.03% | +18.66% | +0.00% | +22.48% |
| 2024 | 09/08/2024 | 13.95 | neutral | -5.30% | +0.07% | -6.24% | -8.17% | +3.80% |
| 2023 | 09/08/2023 | 22.35 | far above SMA50 | -5.86% | -9.08% | +4.79% | -12.13% | +4.79% |
| 2022 | 09/08/2022 | 36.70 | far above SMA50 | +4.17% | -12.23% | -9.40% | -13.11% | +6.13% |
Upcoming 20/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +4.41% · Win 75% · DD -4.41%20 days: Avg +9.21% · Win 75% · DD -4.41%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/08/2025 | 12.07 | neutral | +9.53% | +13.50% | +21.62% | +0.00% | +21.62% |
| 2024 | 20/08/2024 | 13.20 | neutral | +9.70% | +0.61% | -2.27% | -2.95% | +9.70% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 21.18 | neutral | -3.07% | +10.43% | +7.37% | -7.27% | +14.16% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 34.45 | neutral | -6.79% | -6.91% | +10.13% | -7.43% | +16.40% |
Upcoming 24/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +7.73% · Win 75% · DD -2.09%20 days: Avg +2.74% · Win 75% · DD -4.54%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/08/2025 | 13.11 | neutral | +5.80% | +6.33% | +18.46% | +0.00% | +18.46% |
| 2024 | 23/08/2024 | 13.96 | neutral | +1.22% | -6.30% | -14.68% | -16.12% | +3.72% |
| 2023 | 24/08/2023 | 19.64 | neutral | +15.73% | +17.62% | +4.84% | +0.00% | +23.12% |
| 2022 | 24/08/2022 | 32.56 | neutral | +0.46% | +13.27% | +2.36% | -2.06% | +23.16% |
Upcoming 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +8.18% · Win 50% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 75% · DD -5.72%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 13.64 | neutral | +4.18% | -1.32% | +14.30% | -1.32% | +15.76% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 13.83 | neutral | -0.65% | -0.80% | -19.23% | -20.25% | +2.17% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 20.53 | neutral | +13.93% | +14.86% | +8.43% | +0.00% | +17.78% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 32.31 | neutral | +2.82% | +19.96% | +4.58% | -1.30% | +24.11% |
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +5.34% · Win 75% · DD -2.64%20 days: Avg -0.65% · Win 50% · DD -8.62%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 13.57 | neutral | +3.10% | +0.22% | +12.38% | -0.81% | +16.36% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 14.13 | neutral | -7.43% | -6.58% | -20.59% | -21.94% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 22.73 | neutral | +1.63% | +6.38% | +6.82% | -9.41% | +6.82% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 32.71 | neutral | +12.75% | +21.34% | -1.22% | -2.32% | +22.59% |
Upcoming 13/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -2.98% · Win 25% · DD -10.94%20 days: Avg -15.10% · Win 0% · DD -17.28%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 12/09/2025 | 13.46 | neutral | +6.84% | +15.82% | -4.90% | -4.90% | +17.31% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 13.50 | neutral | -13.26% | -14.07% | -22.22% | -24.00% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 13/09/2023 | 23.25 | neutral | -3.66% | -0.86% | -16.69% | -21.42% | +4.43% |
| 2022 | 13/09/2022 | 38.76 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -7.77% | -12.82% | -16.59% | -18.78% | +3.46% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -8.62% · Win 25% · DD -11.64%20 days: Avg -14.75% · Win 0% · DD -17.19%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 15.24 | far above SMA50 | +0.07% | -11.42% | -14.17% | -16.01% | +3.61% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 11.71 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.9 | -0.94% | -10.85% | -14.26% | -14.26% | +1.71% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 21.53 | neutral | +7.20% | -15.14% | -20.30% | -20.30% | +12.77% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 35.10 | neutral | -0.06% | +2.93% | -10.26% | -18.21% | +4.73% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.4%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -28.1% · from 52w low: +41.0%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -0.91% · -4.56% · -5.06% · +12.41% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -5.43% · -0.42% · +1.54% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -28.11% · +40.98% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.89 · 0.19x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +1.24% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -3.83% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +8.63% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 17.25 · 16.38 · 16.06 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 22.69 · 11.57 |
|---|
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