🕰️ Time Machine
RIVN — Rivian
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
16.03 -0.12%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 6 days
21/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 08/09/2026
since -0.87%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 25/06/2026
14.35
Days: 54 trading / 78 calendar · return since: +11.71%
Last major high · 06/07/2026
20.20
Days: 48 trading / 67 calendar · return since: -20.64%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 28/08/2026 | -9 (±2) | Passed |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 20.20 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 20.20 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 08/09/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 21/09/2026 | +6 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 23/09/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 20.20 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +12 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 20.20 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 23/10/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 25/06/2026 @ 14.35 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 02/11/2026 | +36 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 06/07/2026 @ 20.20 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● Shooting Star 09/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 08/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 04/09/2026
● Gap Day 01/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 04/09/2026
● NR7 Compression 25/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 28/08/2026
● Failed Breakdown 18/08/2026
● Shooting Star 13/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 28/08/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +8.18% · Win 50% · DD -2.01%20 days: Avg +2.02% · Win 75% · DD -5.72%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/08/2025 | 13.64 | neutral | +4.18% | -1.32% | +14.30% | -1.32% | +15.76% |
| 2024 | 28/08/2024 | 13.83 | neutral | -0.65% | -0.80% | -19.23% | -20.25% | +2.17% |
| 2023 | 28/08/2023 | 20.53 | neutral | +13.93% | +14.86% | +8.43% | +0.00% | +17.78% |
| 2022 | 29/08/2022 | 32.31 | neutral | +2.82% | +19.96% | +4.58% | -1.30% | +24.11% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +4.95% · Win 50% · DD -1.85%20 days: Avg -7.24% · Win 0% · DD -8.92%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 13.70 | volume x1.8 | +1.97% | +7.15% | -1.24% | -1.75% | +15.26% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 13.28 | far below SMA50 | +4.89% | -2.86% | -19.88% | -21.39% | +4.89% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 23.39 | neutral | +0.81% | -2.78% | -7.27% | -11.97% | +3.81% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 32.07 | neutral | +20.80% | +18.30% | -0.56% | -0.56% | +25.04% |
Passed 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -5.13% · Win 25% · DD -8.69%20 days: Avg -10.43% · Win 0% · DD -14.60%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 13.99 | neutral | -2.79% | +8.93% | -3.50% | -3.79% | +12.87% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 13.08 | far below SMA50 | +0.92% | -8.94% | -19.80% | -20.18% | +6.50% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 23.10 | neutral | +4.68% | -10.87% | -18.10% | -20.91% | +5.11% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 36.88 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.7 | +7.62% | -9.63% | -0.33% | -13.53% | +8.73% |
Upcoming 21/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -8.62% · Win 25% · DD -11.64%20 days: Avg -14.75% · Win 0% · DD -17.19%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 22/09/2025 | 15.24 | far above SMA50 | +0.07% | -11.42% | -14.17% | -16.01% | +3.61% |
| 2024 | 20/09/2024 | 11.71 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.9 | -0.94% | -10.85% | -14.26% | -14.26% | +1.71% |
| 2023 | 21/09/2023 | 21.53 | neutral | +7.20% | -15.14% | -20.30% | -20.30% | +12.77% |
| 2022 | 21/09/2022 | 35.10 | neutral | -0.06% | +2.93% | -10.26% | -18.21% | +4.73% |
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -8.37% · Win 25% · DD -10.80%20 days: Avg -13.62% · Win 0% · DD -16.65%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/09/2025 | 15.53 | far above SMA50 | -5.47% | -14.62% | -15.00% | -17.58% | +1.67% |
| 2024 | 23/09/2024 | 11.91 | far below SMA50 | -5.79% | -11.92% | -15.79% | -15.79% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 22/09/2023 | 20.59 | far below SMA50 | +17.92% | -8.11% | -18.80% | -18.80% | +17.92% |
| 2022 | 23/09/2022 | 33.56 | neutral | -1.94% | +1.16% | -4.89% | -14.45% | +9.54% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -10.51% · Win 25% · DD -12.99%20 days: Avg -10.64% · Win 25% · DD -17.97%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 15.25 | far above SMA50 | -11.48% | -14.36% | -12.07% | -16.07% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 11.22 | far below SMA50 | -6.51% | -7.75% | -3.21% | -10.61% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 24.28 | neutral | -22.08% | -20.51% | -34.06% | -34.06% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 32.31 | neutral | +13.77% | +0.59% | +6.78% | -11.14% | +13.77% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -11.21% · Win 0% · DD -13.65%20 days: Avg -10.69% · Win 0% · DD -16.18%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 13.65 | neutral | -6.23% | -4.54% | -0.59% | -6.23% | +0.44% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 10.44 | far below SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +0.57% | -3.83% | -2.49% | -3.93% | +4.02% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 23.69 | volume x1.7 | -18.24% | -23.64% | -31.91% | -33.64% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 36.30 | neutral | -10.94% | -12.84% | -7.77% | -20.91% | +1.27% |
Upcoming 23/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +3.11% · Win 50% · DD -4.23%20 days: Avg +0.19% · Win 25% · DD -7.39%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/10/2025 | 13.09 | neutral | -0.76% | +16.27% | +11.99% | -4.51% | +37.66% |
| 2024 | 23/10/2024 | 10.16 | far below SMA50 | +2.26% | -4.43% | -1.08% | -4.43% | +18.41% |
| 2023 | 23/10/2023 | 17.07 | far below SMA50 | -7.91% | +0.64% | -0.82% | -10.19% | +3.75% |
| 2022 | 24/10/2022 | 31.34 | neutral | +11.58% | -0.06% | -9.32% | -10.43% | +12.16% |
Upcoming 02/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 4 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +2.61% · Win 50% · DD -8.41%20 days: Avg +12.40% · Win 75% · DD -8.41%
Open Date Echo · 4 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/11/2025 | 13.19 | neutral | +24.41% | +12.74% | +30.63% | -5.23% | +36.62% |
| 2024 | 01/11/2024 | 10.18 | far below SMA50 | +4.03% | -1.18% | +16.60% | -4.62% | +20.14% |
| 2023 | 02/11/2023 | 17.59 | far below SMA50 | -12.85% | -6.82% | +2.50% | -12.85% | +2.50% |
| 2022 | 02/11/2022 | 31.52 | neutral | -10.95% | +5.71% | -0.13% | -10.95% | +11.52% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +1.86% · Win 60% · DD -6.74%20 days: Avg +11.14% · Win 80% · DD -7.42%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 16.41 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.0 | -9.38% | -7.56% | +7.92% | -10.66% | +10.05% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 11.04 | volume x1.6 | -8.79% | +5.07% | +27.36% | -9.24% | +30.89% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 15.40 | far below SMA50 | +8.44% | +8.18% | +23.05% | +0.00% | +24.61% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 32.96 | volume x2.1 | -2.70% | -10.41% | -17.20% | -17.20% | +6.64% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 100.73 | neutral | +45.01% | +14.02% | +14.56% | +0.00% | +70.76% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -29.4% · from 52w low: +29.4%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.75% · -4.58% · +1.33% · +0.63% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +0.39% · -2.57% · -1.75% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -29.35% · +29.38% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.63 · 0.89x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +3.68% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +3.07% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +4.82% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 15.97 · 16.45 · 16.32 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 22.69 · 12.39 |
|---|
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