🕰️ Time Machine

RLI — RLI Corp.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
64.05 +4.73%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 11 days
11/08/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 20/07/2026
since +3.79%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 13/05/2026
47.26
Days: 49 trading / 75 calendar · return since: +35.53%
Last major high · 17/04/2026
59.77
Days: 67 trading / 101 calendar · return since: +7.16%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 17/04/2026 @ 59.77Cycle 60Trading📅 15/07/2026-7 (±2)Passed
Low 13/05/2026 @ 47.26Cycle 45Trading📅 20/07/2026-4 (±2)Passed
Low 13/05/2026 @ 47.26Cycle 60Trading📅 11/08/2026+11 (±2)Upcoming
Low 13/05/2026 @ 47.26Cycle 90Calendar📅 11/08/2026+15 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 59.77Cycle 120Calendar📅 15/08/2026+19 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 59.77Cycle 90Trading📅 27/08/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
High 17/04/2026 @ 59.77Cycle 144Calendar📅 08/09/2026+43 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/05/2026 @ 47.26Cycle 120Calendar📅 10/09/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/05/2026 @ 47.26Cycle 90Trading📅 23/09/2026+41 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bullish Engulfing 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 20/07/2026
Gap Day 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 20/07/2026
Hammer Reversal 10/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/07/2026
NR7 Compression 10/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 15/07/2026
Failed Breakout 07/07/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 15/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.56% · Win 78% · DD -1.23%20 days: Avg +3.54% · Win 78% · DD -1.66%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/07/202569.89near 52w low-0.33%-4.58%-5.08%-5.72%+0.80%
202415/07/202470.96near 52w high-1.66%+3.73%+2.62%-1.78%+6.11%
202314/07/202366.67neutral+4.05%+2.19%-1.18%-1.18%+4.05%
202215/07/202256.31neutral-0.37%-2.34%+3.59%-4.33%+3.59%
202115/07/202153.03neutral-1.84%+3.28%+2.45%-1.84%+3.62%
202015/07/202040.47neutral+3.47%+13.58%+11.74%+0.00%+18.30%
201915/07/201943.68near 52w high+0.98%+1.27%+5.12%-0.08%+6.34%
201816/07/201834.28near 52w high+6.68%+8.11%+10.98%+0.00%+10.98%
201714/07/201727.02near 52w low+6.49%+6.83%+1.63%-0.04%+8.57%
Passed 20/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.21% · Win 56% · DD -1.87%20 days: Avg +2.30% · Win 67% · DD -2.66%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/202569.35near 52w low-3.89%-3.68%-3.66%-4.99%+0.45%
202419/07/202469.69volume x1.6+5.44%+7.37%+7.40%+0.00%+8.04%
202320/07/202369.04neutral-0.76%-1.29%-4.38%-4.56%+0.49%
202220/07/202257.01neutral-1.67%-4.37%+4.04%-5.50%+4.04%
202120/07/202153.47volume x1.8+0.65%+1.15%+2.05%-2.64%+2.78%
202020/07/202041.09neutral+10.72%+8.24%+10.43%+0.00%+16.50%
201919/07/201944.48near 52w high+0.25%+1.54%+3.51%-0.83%+4.43%
201820/07/201836.38near 52w high · volume x1.9+1.42%+2.56%+6.75%+0.00%+6.79%
201720/07/201728.44volume x2.6+0.65%-0.60%-5.40%-5.40%+3.16%
Upcoming 11/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.05% · Win 80% · DD -1.04%20 days: Avg +0.17% · Win 50% · DD -2.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/08/202566.39near 52w low+0.63%+1.85%+1.26%-0.08%+3.27%
202412/08/202472.82near 52w high+3.30%+4.13%+4.85%-0.01%+6.07%
202311/08/202365.89neutral-0.05%-2.18%+2.67%-2.62%+2.68%
202211/08/202257.47neutral+4.18%+0.30%-1.56%-5.00%+4.18%
202111/08/202154.37neutral-1.10%+1.18%-2.65%-2.65%+2.72%
202011/08/202045.95neutral-0.22%+1.92%+0.43%-1.60%+4.58%
201912/08/201945.92near 52w high+1.37%-0.90%-2.51%-2.51%+1.37%
201810/08/201837.92near 52w high+2.41%+2.32%+2.95%+0.00%+3.54%
201711/08/201727.47near 52w low-1.53%+0.04%-3.07%-6.76%+0.69%
201611/08/201634.54near 52w high+0.58%+1.84%-0.67%-0.77%+3.07%
Upcoming 15/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 60% · DD -1.42%20 days: Avg -0.92% · Win 30% · DD -2.78%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/08/202566.70near 52w low+2.79%+1.79%-0.87%-0.87%+2.79%
202415/08/202474.36near 52w high+0.83%+3.29%+2.15%+0.00%+3.87%
202315/08/202367.65neutral-4.37%-4.24%+0.41%-5.16%+0.98%
202215/08/202258.58near 52w high-0.85%-4.39%-4.94%-6.79%+2.21%
202116/08/202154.40neutral+2.47%+0.94%-4.26%-4.26%+2.67%
202014/08/202045.45neutral+2.57%+4.86%-1.24%-1.24%+5.73%
201915/08/201945.06near 52w high+2.32%+2.11%-0.11%-0.67%+3.28%
201815/08/201838.45near 52w high+0.01%-0.27%+3.08%-0.29%+3.08%
201715/08/201727.34near 52w low+0.02%-1.26%-1.26%-6.35%+0.48%
201615/08/201634.65near 52w high+0.16%+2.53%-2.18%-2.18%+2.76%
Upcoming 27/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.79% · Win 40% · DD -2.99%20 days: Avg -1.95% · Win 50% · DD -5.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202527/08/202568.47neutral-0.80%-1.99%-6.06%-6.06%+0.00%
202427/08/202475.65near 52w high+2.01%-1.02%+1.18%-1.02%+2.10%
202328/08/202364.16neutral+2.15%+6.47%+7.79%+0.00%+9.32%
202226/08/202257.06neutral-4.16%+0.11%-9.68%-9.68%+0.11%
202127/08/202155.35neutral-1.42%-4.92%-6.77%-8.79%+0.00%
202027/08/202047.70near 52w high · far above SMA50-0.67%-5.55%-13.06%-14.41%+0.75%
201927/08/201945.29near 52w high+2.41%+1.15%+3.99%-1.17%+3.99%
201827/08/201838.51near 52w high-0.10%+1.52%+2.84%-0.45%+3.97%
201728/08/201727.19near 52w low-5.30%-1.31%+3.77%-5.82%+3.77%
201626/08/201635.21near 52w high · volume x2.0+1.03%-2.35%-3.49%-5.41%+1.13%
Upcoming 08/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.53% · Win 40% · DD -3.93%20 days: Avg -1.89% · Win 20% · DD -4.83%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202508/09/202568.23near 52w low · volume x1.5-3.33%-4.90%-6.02%-7.28%+0.00%
202409/09/202476.94near 52w high · volume x1.5-1.08%+0.11%-1.23%-2.86%+4.24%
202308/09/202366.41neutral+3.11%+5.40%+3.37%+0.00%+5.40%
202208/09/202255.83neutral-2.14%-6.65%-7.17%-8.80%+2.07%
202108/09/202153.49neutral-3.25%-5.83%-5.33%-6.28%+0.00%
202008/09/202045.62volume x1.5-4.08%-9.05%-6.99%-10.73%+0.90%
201909/09/201946.31near 52w high-2.39%-0.01%-0.97%-3.57%+1.46%
201807/09/201839.15near 52w high+2.01%+0.36%-3.56%-3.79%+2.01%
201708/09/201726.07near 52w low · volume x2.0+3.18%+5.91%+12.01%+0.00%+12.01%
201608/09/201634.96near 52w high-4.51%-0.67%-2.99%-5.01%+0.00%
Upcoming 10/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.74% · Win 50% · DD -2.84%20 days: Avg -0.61% · Win 30% · DD -3.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202510/09/202566.25near 52w low-1.27%-2.10%-1.36%-4.51%+1.06%
202410/09/202476.21near 52w high+0.56%+0.59%-0.21%-1.92%+5.25%
202311/09/202367.50neutral+2.33%+3.27%+2.36%-0.86%+3.69%
202209/09/202256.44volume x1.5-3.87%-8.23%-9.69%-9.78%+0.97%
202110/09/202151.97neutral-1.30%-1.65%-0.60%-3.53%+1.05%
202010/09/202044.90neutral-3.83%-8.14%-4.93%-9.29%+0.10%
201910/09/201944.65neutral+2.74%+3.70%+1.96%+0.00%+5.22%
201810/09/201838.92near 52w high+1.37%+0.45%-2.61%-3.24%+2.60%
201711/09/201726.52neutral+1.04%+4.73%+9.31%+0.00%+10.09%
201609/09/201634.21near 52w high-2.75%-0.03%-0.38%-2.94%+1.49%
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.36% · Win 40% · DD -1.86%20 days: Avg +1.10% · Win 60% · DD -4.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/09/202564.76near 52w low+0.71%+0.45%-5.34%-8.60%+0.91%
202423/09/202477.03near 52w high+0.60%-1.34%+5.15%-1.34%+6.59%
202322/09/202370.00neutral-2.93%-1.92%-5.30%-5.30%+0.17%
202223/09/202251.79neutral-1.17%-1.59%+17.06%-1.69%+17.06%
202123/09/202150.46neutral-0.64%+2.21%+6.39%-0.64%+6.39%
202023/09/202040.72neutral+2.80%+4.35%+7.54%+0.00%+8.15%
201923/09/201946.30near 52w high+0.33%-0.96%+6.49%-3.23%+6.49%
201824/09/201839.10near 52w high-2.90%-3.04%-10.22%-10.22%+1.02%
201722/09/201727.60neutral+3.89%+5.76%+5.11%+0.00%+8.15%
201623/09/201634.20near 52w high-0.06%-0.35%-15.89%-15.89%+0.61%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp rally recently — watch for follow-through.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+15.2%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -7.6% · from 52w low: +35.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+4.03% · +5.61% · +16.18% · +28.27%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+5.82% · +15.23% · +8.65%
Distance from 52w high / low-7.58% · +35.53%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.95 · 0.79x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+20.96%
vs SPY (20d)+15.52%
vs SMH (20d)+30.05%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20060.53 · 55.59 · 58.95
52w high / low69.30 · 47.26