🕰️ Time Machine
RWT — Redwood Trust, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026
Last price (Close)
3.55 -2.34%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 12 days
29/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 08/09/2026
since -19.61%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 06/07/2026
4.19
Days: 48 trading / 67 calendar · return since: -15.39%
Last major high · 17/04/2026
6.12
Days: 101 trading / 147 calendar · return since: -42.08%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 06/07/2026 @ 4.19 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -7 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 06/07/2026 @ 4.19 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 08/09/2026 | -3 (±2) | Passed |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 6.12 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 08/09/2026 | -3 (±3) | In window |
| Low 06/07/2026 @ 4.19 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 29/09/2026 | +12 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/07/2026 @ 4.19 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/10/2026 | +23 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 6.12 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 08/10/2026 | +19 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 6.12 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 14/10/2026 | +33 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 06/07/2026 @ 4.19 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 10/11/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 17/04/2026 @ 6.12 | Cycle 144 | Trading | 📅 11/11/2026 | +43 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 11/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 08/09/2026
● Volume Climax 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 08/09/2026
● Gap Day 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 08/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 02/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 04/09/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 18/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.32% · Win 33% · DD -1.88%20 days: Avg -1.38% · Win 56% · DD -5.19%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 6.27 | neutral | -0.96% | -3.19% | -3.92% | -6.22% | +1.59% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 7.38 | neutral | +0.27% | +8.27% | +4.54% | -0.14% | +9.49% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 7.88 | neutral | -1.14% | -2.28% | -11.83% | -11.83% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 7.34 | neutral | +0.82% | -0.68% | -20.29% | -20.29% | +0.82% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 12.49 | near 52w high | +0.24% | -0.40% | +7.64% | -1.84% | +7.64% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 7.22 | neutral | +5.26% | +8.13% | +10.10% | -1.25% | +10.80% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 16.46 | near 52w high · volume x10.9 | +4.74% | +3.88% | +1.04% | +0.00% | +4.74% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 16.94 | near 52w high | -0.12% | -1.32% | -2.46% | -3.60% | +0.89% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 16.38 | neutral | -0.55% | -0.53% | +2.76% | -1.53% | +2.82% |
Passed 08/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.60% · Win 50% · DD -2.54%20 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 50% · DD -4.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/09/2025 | 6.30 | neutral | -2.54% | -6.67% | -5.19% | -6.67% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 7.37 | neutral | +9.63% | +7.04% | +2.75% | +0.00% | +9.63% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 7.64 | neutral | +2.75% | -3.05% | -6.93% | -9.07% | +2.75% |
| 2022 | 08/09/2022 | 7.18 | far below SMA50 | -1.81% | -5.99% | -15.06% | -18.52% | +3.06% |
| 2021 | 08/09/2021 | 12.40 | near 52w high | +1.77% | +3.91% | +8.34% | -1.13% | +9.00% |
| 2020 | 08/09/2020 | 7.21 | neutral | +6.52% | +6.73% | +10.26% | -1.11% | +10.96% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 17.01 | near 52w high | +0.04% | -0.50% | -1.03% | -2.23% | +1.35% |
| 2018 | 07/09/2018 | 17.03 | near 52w high | -1.84% | -2.14% | -4.11% | -4.11% | +0.29% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 16.36 | neutral | -1.41% | +0.83% | +2.08% | -1.41% | +4.19% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 13.62 | near 52w high | +2.02% | +5.85% | +3.45% | -0.37% | +8.47% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.49% · Win 50% · DD -2.19%20 days: Avg +2.66% · Win 50% · DD -2.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 5.76 | neutral | +0.52% | -2.26% | -2.43% | -4.69% | +2.60% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 7.73 | neutral | -4.14% | -2.20% | -2.46% | -4.27% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 7.13 | neutral | -2.38% | -1.26% | -5.33% | -7.57% | +2.95% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 5.69 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.7 | +3.69% | +6.68% | +20.39% | -1.76% | +21.79% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 12.97 | near 52w high | +1.85% | +6.48% | +4.39% | -0.62% | +7.86% |
| 2020 | 29/09/2020 | 7.40 | neutral | +5.54% | +7.43% | +12.03% | +0.00% | +18.11% |
| 2019 | 30/09/2019 | 16.41 | neutral | +0.79% | +0.91% | +1.28% | -0.43% | +3.17% |
| 2018 | 28/09/2018 | 16.24 | neutral | -1.23% | -2.71% | -0.49% | -2.71% | +0.68% |
| 2017 | 29/09/2017 | 16.29 | neutral | +0.74% | +2.09% | -1.23% | -1.96% | +2.82% |
| 2016 | 29/09/2016 | 14.03 | near 52w high | -3.85% | -0.29% | +0.50% | -3.85% | +2.49% |
Upcoming 04/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.00% · Win 80% · DD -2.53%20 days: Avg +0.78% · Win 50% · DD -4.28%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 03/10/2025 | 5.91 | neutral | -6.09% | -7.11% | -10.15% | -10.15% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 7.56 | neutral | -1.46% | +1.59% | -3.84% | -3.84% | +1.85% |
| 2023 | 04/10/2023 | 6.80 | far below SMA50 | +7.94% | +1.32% | -6.18% | -7.65% | +7.94% |
| 2022 | 04/10/2022 | 6.32 | far below SMA50 | -3.16% | +0.63% | +12.82% | -11.55% | +14.40% |
| 2021 | 04/10/2021 | 13.22 | near 52w high | +2.42% | +5.30% | +5.60% | -0.08% | +5.82% |
| 2020 | 05/10/2020 | 7.81 | neutral | +2.43% | +4.48% | +12.04% | +0.00% | +12.04% |
| 2019 | 04/10/2019 | 16.51 | near 52w high | +0.97% | +1.33% | -0.55% | -1.03% | +2.54% |
| 2018 | 04/10/2018 | 16.17 | neutral | -1.92% | -0.25% | +1.67% | -2.29% | +1.67% |
| 2017 | 04/10/2017 | 16.49 | neutral | +0.79% | +1.15% | -3.88% | -4.73% | +1.58% |
| 2016 | 04/10/2016 | 13.70 | near 52w low | +0.73% | +1.53% | +0.29% | -1.53% | +4.96% |
Upcoming 08/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.54% · Win 60% · DD -2.08%20 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 50% · DD -4.39%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 08/10/2025 | 5.80 | neutral | -2.07% | -1.90% | -9.48% | -11.55% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 08/10/2024 | 7.55 | neutral | -0.40% | -1.46% | -4.37% | -4.37% | +1.99% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 7.13 | neutral | -0.42% | -5.89% | -4.63% | -11.92% | +2.95% |
| 2022 | 07/10/2022 | 5.70 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +7.02% | +12.46% | +21.75% | -1.93% | +26.84% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 13.40 | near 52w high | +2.01% | +3.73% | +2.69% | +0.00% | +4.40% |
| 2020 | 08/10/2020 | 8.15 | far above SMA50 | -3.19% | +2.45% | +3.19% | -3.19% | +7.36% |
| 2019 | 08/10/2019 | 16.48 | near 52w high | +0.61% | +2.67% | -1.15% | -1.15% | +2.73% |
| 2018 | 08/10/2018 | 16.12 | neutral | -1.05% | +0.25% | +2.79% | -1.99% | +2.79% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 16.50 | neutral | +0.85% | -0.42% | -7.76% | -7.76% | +1.09% |
| 2016 | 07/10/2016 | 13.57 | near 52w low | +1.55% | +3.46% | +2.73% | +0.00% | +5.97% |
Upcoming 14/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.78% · Win 60% · DD -1.79%20 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 50% · DD -4.46%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 5.71 | neutral | -2.28% | -1.93% | -6.48% | -10.33% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 7.56 | neutral | -0.93% | -0.26% | -4.10% | -5.82% | +1.85% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 7.04 | neutral | -4.69% | -4.12% | -6.53% | -10.80% | +0.85% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 6.10 | far below SMA50 | +5.08% | +18.52% | +24.75% | +0.00% | +24.75% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 13.71 | near 52w high | +2.04% | +1.75% | +1.97% | -1.97% | +2.04% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 7.96 | neutral | +2.89% | +3.64% | +10.30% | -0.88% | +18.47% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 16.56 | near 52w high | +1.87% | +0.36% | -2.05% | -2.11% | +2.23% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 15.95 | neutral | +1.32% | +1.50% | +4.20% | +0.00% | +5.52% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 16.63 | near 52w high | +0.06% | -3.25% | -11.43% | -11.43% | +0.30% |
| 2016 | 14/10/2016 | 13.78 | near 52w high | +1.89% | +1.60% | +7.47% | -1.23% | +7.47% |
Upcoming 10/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.19% · Win 60% · DD -2.62%20 days: Avg +1.57% · Win 60% · DD -3.69%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 10/11/2025 | 5.24 | neutral | -4.01% | -2.10% | +4.96% | -4.39% | +8.02% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 7.25 | neutral | -2.62% | -0.69% | -3.86% | -3.86% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 6.58 | neutral | +3.19% | +4.10% | +6.84% | -0.15% | +10.33% |
| 2022 | 10/11/2022 | 7.49 | far above SMA50 | -1.74% | +2.67% | +2.80% | -1.74% | +5.47% |
| 2021 | 10/11/2021 | 13.86 | near 52w high | +1.08% | +0.22% | -0.07% | -9.60% | +1.30% |
| 2020 | 10/11/2020 | 9.43 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.8 | -3.18% | +1.48% | -6.89% | -10.92% | +1.48% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 16.22 | neutral | -0.55% | -0.68% | +0.99% | -0.99% | +1.23% |
| 2018 | 09/11/2018 | 16.83 | near 52w high | -1.96% | -0.77% | -3.57% | -3.57% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 14.73 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | +0.75% | +0.95% | +2.31% | -1.70% | +2.72% |
| 2016 | 10/11/2016 | 14.44 | near 52w high · volume x1.9 | +3.53% | +6.72% | +12.19% | +0.00% | +12.19% |
Upcoming 11/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.99% · Win 60% · DD -2.43%20 days: Avg +1.11% · Win 50% · DD -3.35%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/11/2025 | 5.34 | neutral | -5.06% | +0.94% | +4.68% | -6.18% | +5.99% |
| 2024 | 11/11/2024 | 7.25 | neutral | -2.62% | -0.69% | -3.86% | -3.86% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 10/11/2023 | 6.58 | neutral | +3.19% | +4.10% | +6.84% | -0.15% | +10.33% |
| 2022 | 11/11/2022 | 7.61 | far above SMA50 | -1.58% | -0.26% | -1.45% | -3.29% | +3.81% |
| 2021 | 11/11/2021 | 13.98 | near 52w high | -1.14% | -3.79% | -2.43% | -10.37% | +0.43% |
| 2020 | 11/11/2020 | 8.78 | far above SMA50 | +3.19% | +5.13% | -0.46% | -4.33% | +9.00% |
| 2019 | 11/11/2019 | 16.22 | neutral | -0.55% | -0.68% | +0.99% | -0.99% | +1.23% |
| 2018 | 12/11/2018 | 16.62 | neutral | -0.54% | +0.12% | -2.65% | -2.65% | +0.78% |
| 2017 | 10/11/2017 | 14.73 | near 52w low · volume x1.7 | +0.75% | +0.95% | +2.31% | -1.70% | +2.72% |
| 2016 | 11/11/2016 | 14.81 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | +2.36% | +4.12% | +7.16% | +0.00% | +9.39% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-24.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -49.1% · from 52w low: +10.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -20.87% · -23.43% · -25.68% · -30.21% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -21.59% · -24.58% · -34.03% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -49.14% · +10.09% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.18 · 1.92x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -23.41% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -23.97% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -22.32% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 4.52 · 4.70 · 5.37 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 6.97 · 3.22 |
|---|
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