🕰️ Time Machine
RYAN — Ryan Specialty
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 10/09/2026
Last price (Close)
38.67 -1.98%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 2 days
14/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 120 · 04/09/2026
since -7.73%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 07/05/2026
29.28
Days: 86 trading / 126 calendar · return since: +32.07%
Last major high · 31/07/2026
48.21
Days: 28 trading / 41 calendar · return since: -19.79%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 31/07/2026 @ 48.21 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 31/08/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 07/05/2026 @ 29.28 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 04/09/2026 | -6 (±3) | Passed |
| High 31/07/2026 @ 48.21 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 14/09/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| High 31/07/2026 @ 48.21 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 14/09/2026 | +4 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/05/2026 @ 29.28 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 16/09/2026 | +4 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/05/2026 @ 29.28 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 28/09/2026 | +18 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 31/07/2026 @ 48.21 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 29/09/2026 | +19 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 31/07/2026 @ 48.21 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 05/10/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 31/07/2026 @ 48.21 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 26/10/2026 | +32 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 07/05/2026 @ 29.28 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 28/10/2026 | +34 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 31/08/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 18/08/2026
● Hammer Reversal 13/08/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 31/08/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -1.72% · Win 40% · DD -3.48%20 days: Avg -0.10% · Win 40% · DD -5.50%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/08/2025 | 56.53 | near 52w low | -4.32% | -8.53% | -1.20% | -9.82% | +0.00% |
| 2024 | 30/08/2024 | 64.63 | neutral | -1.18% | -0.28% | +2.72% | -3.08% | +4.44% |
| 2023 | 31/08/2023 | 48.75 | near 52w high | +0.45% | +0.72% | -0.72% | -0.90% | +1.29% |
| 2022 | 31/08/2022 | 42.36 | neutral | +0.52% | -1.37% | -3.85% | -8.83% | +2.10% |
| 2021 | 31/08/2021 | 32.91 | near 52w high | +3.31% | +0.85% | +2.55% | -4.86% | +6.35% |
Passed 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -2.62% · Win 20% · DD -4.29%20 days: Avg +0.53% · Win 40% · DD -5.41%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 54.97 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | -5.97% | -3.37% | +1.64% | -7.26% | +2.53% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 64.03 | neutral | -2.17% | -1.91% | +7.97% | -2.17% | +7.97% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 48.31 | near 52w high | +1.88% | +1.43% | -1.64% | -1.64% | +2.21% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 41.48 | neutral | +3.66% | -0.12% | -0.80% | -6.89% | +4.27% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 34.45 | near 52w high | -3.37% | -9.11% | -4.53% | -9.11% | +1.60% |
In window 14/09/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +1.06% · Win 60% · DD -3.14%20 days: Avg +3.61% · Win 60% · DD -3.72%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/09/2025 | 51.71 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.9 | +4.25% | +8.01% | +5.28% | +0.00% | +12.72% |
| 2024 | 13/09/2024 | 64.08 | neutral | -0.86% | +3.00% | +11.99% | -2.14% | +12.72% |
| 2023 | 14/09/2023 | 49.19 | near 52w high | -0.79% | -0.41% | -3.72% | -3.72% | +0.26% |
| 2022 | 14/09/2022 | 42.00 | volume x2.3 | -3.40% | -5.52% | -2.07% | -8.05% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 14/09/2021 | 32.86 | neutral | -2.13% | +0.24% | +6.57% | -4.72% | +7.06% |
Upcoming 16/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +2.83% · Win 80% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +6.24% · Win 80% · DD -2.77%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/09/2025 | 52.59 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.5 | +3.59% | +7.17% | +7.24% | +0.00% | +10.84% |
| 2024 | 16/09/2024 | 64.45 | neutral | -0.53% | +3.01% | +12.46% | -2.70% | +12.46% |
| 2023 | 15/09/2023 | 49.10 | near 52w high · volume x2.1 | +0.43% | -1.43% | -3.67% | -3.67% | +0.45% |
| 2022 | 16/09/2022 | 40.27 | volume x4.8 | -2.86% | +0.87% | +1.19% | -4.10% | +4.30% |
| 2021 | 16/09/2021 | 32.41 | neutral | +4.07% | +4.50% | +13.98% | -3.39% | +13.98% |
Upcoming 28/09/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +2.57% · Win 60% · DD -1.20%20 days: Avg +2.62% · Win 60% · DD -2.99%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 55.85 | neutral | +3.53% | -2.52% | -4.15% | -6.50% | +4.37% |
| 2024 | 27/09/2024 | 66.00 | near 52w high | +9.44% | +8.73% | +4.17% | +0.00% | +9.82% |
| 2023 | 28/09/2023 | 48.99 | near 52w high | -0.96% | -3.33% | -6.65% | -8.31% | +0.20% |
| 2022 | 28/09/2022 | 39.68 | neutral | +4.36% | +3.65% | +6.58% | +0.00% | +8.85% |
| 2021 | 28/09/2021 | 32.94 | neutral | +0.97% | +6.31% | +13.18% | -0.15% | +13.42% |
Upcoming 29/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +3.01% · Win 60% · DD -1.60%20 days: Avg +1.67% · Win 60% · DD -3.38%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 29/09/2025 | 55.85 | neutral | +3.53% | -2.52% | -4.15% | -6.50% | +4.37% |
| 2024 | 30/09/2024 | 66.39 | near 52w high | +5.18% | +9.17% | +5.05% | +0.00% | +9.17% |
| 2023 | 29/09/2023 | 48.40 | near 52w high | +0.76% | -2.27% | -6.55% | -7.19% | +1.43% |
| 2022 | 29/09/2022 | 40.73 | neutral | +1.55% | +3.12% | +4.62% | -0.64% | +6.04% |
| 2021 | 29/09/2021 | 33.75 | near 52w high | +1.07% | +7.56% | +9.39% | -2.55% | +10.70% |
Upcoming 05/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -0.43% · Win 40% · DD -4.32%20 days: Avg -1.76% · Win 40% · DD -6.89%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 06/10/2025 | 57.82 | neutral | -5.85% | -9.15% | -7.82% | -12.35% | +0.81% |
| 2024 | 04/10/2024 | 72.23 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | -0.65% | -3.09% | -7.64% | -8.81% | +0.35% |
| 2023 | 05/10/2023 | 48.52 | near 52w high | -2.39% | -6.31% | -10.57% | -11.03% | +1.17% |
| 2022 | 05/10/2022 | 41.41 | neutral | -0.68% | +4.30% | +5.46% | -2.27% | +9.20% |
| 2021 | 05/10/2021 | 33.26 | neutral | +5.29% | +12.09% | +11.79% | +0.00% | +13.62% |
Upcoming 26/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +2.72% · Win 80% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg +2.39% · Win 80% · DD -7.98%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 53.53 | neutral | -0.43% | +6.95% | +6.48% | -5.32% | +8.46% |
| 2024 | 25/10/2024 | 68.75 | neutral | -2.97% | +3.84% | +7.12% | -4.19% | +7.12% |
| 2023 | 26/10/2023 | 45.73 | neutral | -5.12% | -2.23% | +0.61% | -5.60% | +0.61% |
| 2022 | 26/10/2022 | 42.29 | neutral | +3.26% | +4.07% | -8.89% | -23.62% | +7.38% |
| 2021 | 26/10/2021 | 37.28 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.27% | +0.97% | +6.63% | -1.15% | +8.26% |
Upcoming 28/10/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 5 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -1.77% · Win 60% · DD -7.47%20 days: Avg +3.11% · Win 80% · DD -8.29%
Open Date Echo · 5 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/10/2025 | 51.97 | near 52w low | +5.89% | +11.54% | +12.07% | -2.48% | +12.07% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 69.74 | near 52w high | -3.11% | +2.95% | +7.12% | -5.55% | +7.12% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 45.23 | neutral | -2.06% | -1.81% | +1.86% | -4.55% | +1.86% |
| 2022 | 28/10/2022 | 44.62 | near 52w high | +0.04% | -23.53% | -12.93% | -27.61% | +1.77% |
| 2021 | 28/10/2021 | 37.31 | near 52w high | -0.83% | +2.01% | +7.45% | -1.23% | +8.17% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· If it holds above SMA50 (-8.6%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -34.7% · from 52w low: +32.1%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -8.67% · -10.61% · -9.80% · +9.76% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -8.48% · -8.62% · -6.75% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -34.66% · +32.07% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.41 · 1.12x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | -7.72% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -7.91% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | -5.60% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 42.25 · 42.32 · 41.47 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 59.19 · 29.28 |
|---|
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