🕰️ Time Machine
SAFE — Safehold, Inc.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
16.69 +3.92%
Next window · Cycle 45 · in window · in 1 days
28/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 23/07/2026
since +3.92%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 20/05/2026
14.13
Days: 44 trading / 68 calendar · return since: +18.12%
Last major high · 27/04/2026
16.26
Days: 61 trading / 91 calendar · return since: +2.64%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 14.13 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 19/07/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 16.26 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 23/07/2026 | -1 (±2) | In window |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 16.26 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 26/07/2026 | -1 (±3) | In window |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 14.13 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 28/07/2026 | +1 (±2) | In window |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 14.13 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 18/08/2026 | +16 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 20/05/2026 @ 14.13 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 18/08/2026 | +22 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 16.26 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 25/08/2026 | +29 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 27/04/2026 @ 16.26 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | +29 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 26/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 23/07/2026
● Doji After Run 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 19/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 17/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 19/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 15/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 19/07/2026
● Shooting Star 08/07/2026
● Failed Breakout 06/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 26/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 19/07/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.87% · Win 56% · DD -1.84%20 days: Avg +3.07% · Win 67% · DD -4.52%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/07/2025 | 14.73 | neutral | +0.07% | -4.34% | +3.53% | -6.99% | +5.23% |
| 2024 | 19/07/2024 | 22.05 | far above SMA50 | +3.31% | +5.80% | +6.94% | -0.23% | +7.57% |
| 2023 | 19/07/2023 | 24.64 | neutral | +2.48% | -5.72% | -18.22% | -18.79% | +2.48% |
| 2022 | 19/07/2022 | 71.89 | neutral | +5.42% | +10.02% | +13.34% | +0.00% | +16.38% |
| 2021 | 19/07/2021 | 107.96 | far above SMA50 | +8.21% | +11.09% | +16.41% | +0.00% | +18.80% |
| 2020 | 20/07/2020 | 57.68 | neutral | -1.69% | -2.78% | +7.93% | -2.78% | +9.70% |
| 2019 | 19/07/2019 | 61.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.34% | +5.13% | +2.81% | +0.00% | +6.39% |
| 2018 | 19/07/2018 | 52.28 | neutral | +0.56% | +0.19% | -4.50% | -5.59% | +1.58% |
| 2017 | 19/07/2017 | 59.24 | neutral | -0.99% | -2.55% | -0.66% | -6.33% | +0.00% |
In window 23/07/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.56% · Win 60% · DD -3.12%20 days: Avg +1.15% · Win 70% · DD -4.93%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/07/2025 | 15.33 | neutral | -8.09% | -8.22% | +3.46% | -10.63% | +3.65% |
| 2024 | 23/07/2024 | 22.55 | far above SMA50 | +2.75% | +1.64% | +5.23% | -2.44% | +5.90% |
| 2023 | 24/07/2023 | 24.45 | neutral | +1.15% | -5.32% | -16.20% | -18.20% | +3.27% |
| 2022 | 22/07/2022 | 73.99 | neutral | +9.93% | +8.29% | +4.74% | +0.00% | +13.09% |
| 2021 | 23/07/2021 | 116.48 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +1.25% | +6.90% | +6.44% | -0.54% | +10.11% |
| 2020 | 23/07/2020 | 57.97 | neutral | -0.92% | +4.28% | +5.71% | -3.27% | +9.15% |
| 2019 | 23/07/2019 | 62.31 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.50% | +5.08% | +2.24% | -0.68% | +5.39% |
| 2018 | 23/07/2018 | 52.86 | neutral | -1.01% | -2.21% | -5.93% | -6.63% | +0.46% |
| 2017 | 24/07/2017 | 58.65 | neutral | -0.83% | -2.90% | -0.75% | -5.39% | +0.33% |
| 2016 | 27/07/2016 | 49.55 | near 52w high | +0.59% | +8.05% | +6.58% | -1.47% | +8.84% |
In window 26/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 60% · DD -3.98%20 days: Avg +2.55% · Win 60% · DD -4.66%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/07/2025 | 14.74 | neutral | -4.41% | -5.02% | +9.97% | -7.06% | +9.97% |
| 2024 | 26/07/2024 | 22.78 | far above SMA50 | +2.41% | +0.70% | +11.90% | -1.19% | +11.90% |
| 2023 | 26/07/2023 | 25.25 | neutral | -8.00% | -18.73% | -17.90% | -20.79% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 26/07/2022 | 75.79 | neutral | +4.37% | +6.04% | -0.26% | -1.54% | +10.40% |
| 2021 | 26/07/2021 | 116.82 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.67% | +9.46% | +5.42% | -0.83% | +9.79% |
| 2020 | 27/07/2020 | 56.71 | neutral | -1.12% | +10.56% | +10.04% | -1.12% | +11.59% |
| 2019 | 26/07/2019 | 62.55 | near 52w high | +3.74% | +4.20% | -0.20% | -1.06% | +4.98% |
| 2018 | 26/07/2018 | 52.57 | neutral | -0.37% | -3.98% | +1.62% | -6.11% | +2.46% |
| 2017 | 26/07/2017 | 58.65 | neutral | -1.58% | -1.08% | -1.66% | -5.39% | +0.33% |
| 2016 | 27/07/2016 | 49.55 | near 52w high | +0.59% | +8.05% | +6.58% | -1.47% | +8.84% |
In window 28/07/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.48% · Win 50% · DD -4.36%20 days: Avg +2.01% · Win 70% · DD -4.79%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 28/07/2025 | 14.40 | neutral | -1.74% | -2.71% | +11.18% | -4.86% | +12.57% |
| 2024 | 29/07/2024 | 22.63 | far above SMA50 | -0.40% | +0.97% | +13.17% | -0.53% | +13.17% |
| 2023 | 28/07/2023 | 24.73 | neutral | -7.89% | -19.09% | -16.98% | -19.13% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 28/07/2022 | 80.51 | volume x2.0 | -1.81% | -5.20% | -5.26% | -7.32% | +3.93% |
| 2021 | 28/07/2021 | 118.04 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.97% | +6.19% | +5.73% | -0.08% | +8.66% |
| 2020 | 28/07/2020 | 57.88 | neutral | -1.60% | +8.33% | +5.89% | -3.11% | +9.34% |
| 2019 | 29/07/2019 | 62.50 | near 52w high | +4.21% | +4.52% | +0.04% | -0.98% | +5.06% |
| 2018 | 27/07/2018 | 52.13 | neutral | +1.87% | -4.20% | +1.53% | -5.32% | +3.33% |
| 2017 | 28/07/2017 | 58.17 | neutral | -4.60% | -0.84% | -1.26% | -4.60% | +1.17% |
| 2016 | 28/07/2016 | 49.80 | near 52w high | +6.74% | +7.23% | +6.06% | -1.96% | +8.31% |
Upcoming 18/08/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.86% · Win 60% · DD -2.81%20 days: Avg +0.79% · Win 60% · DD -4.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 18/08/2025 | 15.29 | neutral | +4.71% | +4.58% | +6.61% | +0.00% | +9.48% |
| 2024 | 19/08/2024 | 23.88 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +7.24% | +2.64% | +13.90% | -0.63% | +13.90% |
| 2023 | 18/08/2023 | 20.00 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +2.65% | +5.00% | -3.45% | -4.45% | +6.40% |
| 2022 | 18/08/2022 | 80.46 | neutral | -5.20% | -17.17% | -22.61% | -22.61% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 18/08/2021 | 120.42 | far above SMA50 | +3.64% | +7.36% | +7.20% | +0.00% | +7.56% |
| 2020 | 18/08/2020 | 60.50 | neutral | +1.29% | +0.88% | +0.88% | -2.29% | +3.14% |
| 2019 | 19/08/2019 | 63.28 | neutral | -2.15% | -2.15% | +0.46% | -5.31% | +0.46% |
| 2018 | 17/08/2018 | 49.26 | near 52w low | +6.23% | +10.57% | +10.97% | -0.59% | +11.96% |
| 2017 | 18/08/2017 | 58.12 | neutral | -1.17% | -2.01% | -4.02% | -6.20% | +0.33% |
| 2016 | 18/08/2016 | 53.01 | near 52w high | -0.37% | -1.10% | -2.02% | -6.34% | +0.37% |
Upcoming 25/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.98% · Win 30% · DD -4.36%20 days: Avg -3.66% · Win 50% · DD -7.05%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 25/08/2025 | 16.01 | neutral | -0.12% | +2.19% | +0.69% | -0.81% | +4.56% |
| 2024 | 26/08/2024 | 25.61 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -4.30% | -1.21% | +6.05% | -4.37% | +8.71% |
| 2023 | 25/08/2023 | 20.53 | far below SMA50 | +2.29% | -6.92% | -9.94% | -10.57% | +3.65% |
| 2022 | 25/08/2022 | 76.28 | neutral | -12.62% | -10.42% | -31.40% | -31.40% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 25/08/2021 | 124.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.59% | +2.96% | +0.33% | -1.55% | +3.83% |
| 2020 | 25/08/2020 | 61.28 | neutral | -0.40% | -0.88% | -7.55% | -7.55% | +0.71% |
| 2019 | 26/08/2019 | 61.92 | neutral | +0.00% | -0.47% | +3.22% | -3.22% | +3.85% |
| 2018 | 24/08/2018 | 52.33 | volume x9.4 | +4.09% | +2.98% | +4.09% | +0.00% | +6.14% |
| 2017 | 25/08/2017 | 57.44 | neutral | -0.85% | -4.24% | -1.10% | -5.08% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 25/08/2016 | 52.81 | near 52w high | -0.74% | -3.78% | -1.01% | -5.99% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.64% · Win 70% · DD -2.20%20 days: Avg -3.66% · Win 40% · DD -7.57%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 15.93 | neutral | +5.08% | +4.83% | -1.96% | -3.70% | +5.08% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 24.95 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +2.12% | +11.58% | +4.43% | -1.84% | +11.58% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 19.35 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 · volume x1.9 | -0.36% | +0.05% | -13.50% | -13.50% | +1.76% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 63.77 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +8.40% | -3.28% | -27.63% | -32.75% | +8.40% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 125.54 | near 52w high | +2.25% | +0.50% | -2.40% | -5.27% | +2.60% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 60.31 | neutral | +0.16% | -4.52% | -3.07% | -8.96% | +0.81% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 61.28 | neutral | +0.95% | +4.92% | +2.62% | -2.22% | +5.72% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 53.79 | neutral | +0.27% | +1.90% | +0.27% | -0.36% | +3.26% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 55.25 | neutral | +0.00% | +0.97% | +6.17% | -1.32% | +6.17% |
| 2016 | 02/09/2016 | 52.67 | near 52w high | -2.96% | -0.55% | -1.48% | -5.73% | +0.18% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+6.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -4.4% · from 52w low: +30.8%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -2.40% · +3.60% · +7.54% · +5.72% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +2.08% · +6.86% · +12.40% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -4.36% · +30.80% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 0.49 · 0.03x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +12.68% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +7.09% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +22.45% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 16.35 · 15.62 · 14.85 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 17.45 · 12.76 |
|---|
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