🕰️ Time Machine

SARO — StandardAero

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026

Last price (Close)
21.78 +0.28%
Next window · Cycle 60 · in 5 days
30/10/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 19/10/2026
since +1.92%
Trend
Downtrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 21/07/2026
26.20
Days: 67 trading / 94 calendar · return since: -16.87%
Last major high · 06/08/2026
31.64
Days: 55 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -31.16%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 06/08/2026 @ 31.64Cycle 45Trading📅 09/10/2026-10 (±2)Passed
Low 21/07/2026 @ 26.20Cycle 60Trading📅 14/10/2026-7 (±2)Passed
Low 21/07/2026 @ 26.20Cycle 90Calendar📅 19/10/2026-4 (±3)Passed
High 06/08/2026 @ 31.64Cycle 60Trading📅 30/10/2026+5 (±2)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 31.64Cycle 90Calendar📅 04/11/2026+12 (±3)Upcoming
Low 21/07/2026 @ 26.20Cycle 120Calendar📅 18/11/2026+26 (±3)Upcoming
Low 21/07/2026 @ 26.20Cycle 90Trading📅 25/11/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 31.64Cycle 120Calendar📅 04/12/2026+42 (±3)Upcoming
High 06/08/2026 @ 31.64Cycle 90Trading📅 14/12/2026+35 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

● Gap Day 21/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 19/10/2026
● Shooting Star 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
● Doji After Run 16/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 13/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 60 window · 14/10/2026
● Failed Breakdown 08/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 25/09/2026
● Failed Breakdown 25/09/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +2.37% · Win 50% · DD -3.25%20 days: Avg -3.56% · Win 50% · DD -6.72%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/10/202526.79neutral+4.14%+7.99%+0.19%-1.38%+8.03%
202409/10/202432.41neutral-1.02%-3.24%-7.31%-12.06%+0.86%
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -3.33% · Win 0% · DD -5.51%20 days: Avg -5.23% · Win 0% · DD -8.19%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/10/202528.64neutral-0.84%-0.38%-4.78%-6.28%+1.05%
202414/10/202431.70near 52w low+1.10%-6.28%-5.68%-10.09%+3.12%
Passed 19/10/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -3.18% · Win 50% · DD -4.79%20 days: Avg -10.62% · Win 0% · DD -12.29%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/10/202527.57neutral+4.68%+3.23%-10.55%-10.55%+4.97%
202418/10/202431.52near 52w low-4.03%-9.58%-10.69%-14.02%+1.68%
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -5.75% · Win 0% · DD -6.72%20 days: Avg -5.77% · Win 0% · DD -11.39%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/10/202528.55neutral-5.99%-10.40%-8.51%-14.99%+1.19%
202430/10/202429.39near 52w low+2.21%-1.09%-3.03%-7.79%+2.21%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -5.61% · Win 0% · DD -8.11%20 days: Avg -3.54% · Win 0% · DD -8.51%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202527.50volume x2.0-0.84%-10.95%-5.85%-11.75%+0.15%
202404/11/202428.61near 52w low+4.51%-0.28%-1.22%-5.28%+5.00%
Upcoming 18/11/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +2.39% · Win 50% · DD -1.29%20 days: Avg -0.10% · Win 50% · DD -5.88%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202518/11/202524.49far below SMA50+2.69%+5.72%+10.66%-0.90%+13.52%
202418/11/202428.53neutral+2.49%-0.95%-10.87%-10.87%+2.94%
Upcoming 25/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +0.66% · Win 50% · DD -3.87%20 days: Avg +2.04% · Win 50% · DD -7.32%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202525/11/202525.15neutral+2.94%+8.99%+16.94%-0.08%+17.46%
202425/11/202429.24neutral-3.35%-7.66%-12.86%-14.57%+0.44%
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg -3.54% · Win 50% · DD -6.12%20 days: Avg -0.61% · Win 50% · DD -7.77%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/12/202526.61neutral+3.38%+4.96%+14.13%-0.19%+14.13%
202404/12/202428.40neutral-3.94%-12.04%-15.35%-15.35%+0.18%
Upcoming 14/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 2 years — Very limited sample
10 days: Avg +1.14% · Win 50% · DD -2.69%20 days: Avg +5.33% · Win 50% · DD -6.49%
Open Date Echo · 2 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202515/12/202527.40neutral+7.81%+5.07%+18.36%-1.09%+18.36%
202413/12/202426.10near 52w low · far below SMA50-0.11%-2.80%-7.70%-11.88%+0.34%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-5.3%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· The broad trend is down.
· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -36.8% · from 52w low: +11.3%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+2.21% · +7.98% · -4.22% · -24.84%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.75% · -5.32% · -18.85%
Distance from 52w high / low-36.83% · +11.35%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg0.71 · 0.97x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+1.16%
vs SPY (20d)-2.75%
vs SMH (20d)+8.86%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20020.99 · 23.00 · 26.84
52w high / low34.48 · 19.56