🕰️ Time Machine

SF — Stifel

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
82.37 +3.53%
Next window · Cycle 90 · in window · in 3 days
30/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 60 · 17/07/2026
since +6.75%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 19/03/2026
69.31
Days: 87 trading / 130 calendar · return since: +18.84%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
83.82
Days: 65 trading / 97 calendar · return since: -1.73%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
Low 19/03/2026 @ 69.31Cycle 120Calendar📅 17/07/2026-10 (±3)Passed
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 60Trading📅 17/07/2026-5 (±2)Passed
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 90Calendar📅 20/07/2026-7 (±3)Passed
Low 19/03/2026 @ 69.31Cycle 90Trading📅 30/07/2026+3 (±3)In window
Low 19/03/2026 @ 69.31Cycle 144Calendar📅 10/08/2026+14 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 120Calendar📅 19/08/2026+23 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 90Trading📅 31/08/2026+25 (±3)Upcoming
Low 19/03/2026 @ 69.31Cycle 120Trading📅 11/09/2026+33 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 30/07/2026
Failed Breakout 23/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 20/07/2026
Failed Breakout 16/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 17/07/2026
NR7 Compression 16/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 17/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 14/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 120 window · 17/07/2026
Failed Breakout 07/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 29/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 17/07/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.75% · Win 89% · DD -1.63%20 days: Avg +3.61% · Win 67% · DD -3.39%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/07/202573.07far above SMA50+1.29%+4.11%+5.74%-0.73%+6.05%
202417/07/202456.25near 52w high · volume x1.8+0.25%+5.10%-0.97%-6.47%+5.10%
202317/07/202341.94neutral+3.24%+1.00%-0.83%-0.97%+3.26%
202218/07/202236.91neutral+9.72%+7.46%+16.78%+0.00%+16.78%
202116/07/202142.65neutral+1.88%+4.02%+7.68%-4.25%+8.44%
202017/07/202022.01neutral-3.09%-2.12%+6.60%-5.67%+9.35%
201917/07/201925.87near 52w high+2.85%+2.75%-12.01%-12.01%+5.63%
201817/07/201823.61neutral+1.62%+3.78%+2.16%-0.43%+4.97%
201717/07/201720.99neutral+1.97%+7.69%+7.33%+0.00%+8.17%
Passed 20/07/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.97% · Win 67% · DD -1.72%20 days: Avg +1.75% · Win 78% · DD -3.29%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202521/07/202572.54neutral+2.67%+3.18%+4.50%+0.00%+6.83%
202419/07/202455.48near 52w high+6.01%-1.66%+2.82%-5.18%+6.55%
202320/07/202343.31neutral-3.89%-3.22%-4.94%-5.91%+0.00%
202220/07/202239.29neutral+0.00%+2.85%+9.11%-0.36%+10.08%
202120/07/202142.42neutral+2.14%+3.36%+6.19%+0.00%+9.02%
202020/07/202021.64neutral-0.72%+0.64%+7.13%-4.03%+11.26%
201919/07/201926.07near 52w high+2.51%-4.06%-11.01%-12.67%+4.84%
201820/07/201823.77neutral-1.12%+3.31%+1.27%-1.12%+4.24%
201720/07/201721.18neutral+3.92%+4.32%+0.71%-0.34%+7.20%
In window 30/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 60% · DD -4.03%20 days: Avg +0.77% · Win 70% · DD -4.84%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/07/202576.05far above SMA50 · volume x2.3-1.97%+1.89%+2.02%-3.31%+2.02%
202430/07/202458.55near 52w high-9.96%-7.60%-0.90%-10.15%+0.97%
202331/07/202342.36volume x1.8-0.20%-1.81%+1.38%-3.81%+1.38%
202229/07/202239.87neutral+1.92%+7.93%+3.28%-1.82%+8.46%
202130/07/202144.36neutral+1.71%+3.52%+6.37%-1.95%+6.37%
202030/07/202021.64neutral+3.20%+8.53%+6.39%-0.41%+11.26%
201930/07/201927.33near 52w high · volume x1.7-10.21%-12.80%-16.75%-16.75%+0.00%
201830/07/201823.62volume x1.7+3.91%+0.28%+3.95%+0.00%+4.91%
201731/07/201722.60far above SMA50 · volume x2.3-1.08%-0.33%-6.39%-6.39%+0.45%
201629/07/201615.71near 52w high+5.37%+2.77%+8.37%-3.82%+8.37%
Upcoming 10/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.71% · Win 60% · DD -2.63%20 days: Avg +0.59% · Win 60% · DD -3.51%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/08/202574.09neutral+2.32%+3.61%+1.73%-0.43%+4.74%
202409/08/202454.45neutral+4.78%+7.19%+3.97%-1.78%+7.92%
202310/08/202341.75neutral-1.41%+1.15%+2.95%-2.41%+6.50%
202210/08/202241.87neutral+2.37%-1.21%-2.68%-5.96%+3.28%
202110/08/202145.59neutral-1.18%+0.48%-1.61%-4.04%+3.51%
202010/08/202023.63neutral-1.90%-2.71%-4.48%-6.30%+1.88%
201909/08/201923.96neutral-3.19%-4.04%+4.60%-5.05%+4.60%
201810/08/201823.84neutral+1.01%+1.96%+3.50%-0.62%+4.92%
201710/08/201722.04neutral-3.21%-3.25%-7.83%-8.56%+2.22%
201610/08/201616.14near 52w high+2.81%+3.94%+5.76%+0.00%+9.67%
Upcoming 19/08/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.66% · Win 80% · DD -1.91%20 days: Avg +2.87% · Win 80% · DD -2.45%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202519/08/202575.16neutral+2.89%+1.05%+1.54%-1.85%+3.25%
202419/08/202457.07near 52w high+1.94%+0.08%+5.16%-2.66%+5.16%
202318/08/202341.73neutral+1.82%+6.55%+5.60%-0.58%+6.55%
202219/08/202241.77neutral-1.42%-5.74%-4.58%-5.98%+0.89%
202119/08/202143.75neutral+4.74%+5.84%+3.21%+0.00%+7.86%
202019/08/202022.74neutral-0.55%+3.04%+3.64%-2.66%+5.00%
201919/08/201923.54neutral-1.10%-1.18%+10.13%-3.34%+11.68%
201820/08/201824.14neutral+1.71%+2.61%-0.17%-0.87%+3.59%
201718/08/201721.51neutral-1.65%+0.34%+2.28%-6.33%+2.28%
201619/08/201616.63near 52w high+2.38%+4.01%+1.90%-0.21%+6.41%
Upcoming 31/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.02% · Win 60% · DD -3.09%20 days: Avg -0.65% · Win 40% · DD -6.16%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202529/08/202576.86near 52w high-1.72%-0.98%+0.08%-2.53%+0.77%
202430/08/202458.76near 52w high-3.66%+1.20%+7.05%-5.46%+7.05%
202331/08/202343.35neutral-1.38%+1.97%-5.51%-7.18%+2.01%
202231/08/202239.54neutral+2.55%+1.38%-12.26%-12.26%+4.94%
202131/08/202146.07near 52w high-2.85%-3.47%-0.06%-6.48%+1.85%
202031/08/202022.54neutral-0.20%+4.58%-1.14%-6.03%+5.60%
201930/08/201923.74neutral+5.26%+9.60%+7.41%-2.30%+10.41%
201831/08/201824.83neutral-0.86%-2.83%-8.39%-8.39%+0.00%
201731/08/201721.22neutral-4.50%+1.45%+11.96%-5.26%+11.96%
201631/08/201617.49near 52w high-2.41%-2.69%-5.67%-5.67%+0.33%
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.03% · Win 30% · DD -4.34%20 days: Avg +0.24% · Win 50% · DD -7.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202576.88near 52w high+0.22%-2.95%-3.44%-3.75%+0.22%
202411/09/202455.29neutral+8.50%+11.95%+16.57%+0.00%+16.57%
202311/09/202342.87neutral+2.24%-2.71%-7.17%-9.86%+3.11%
202212/09/202241.49neutral-4.42%-14.22%-13.99%-16.60%+0.00%
202110/09/202144.52neutral+1.20%+3.77%+9.34%-3.23%+9.34%
202011/09/202023.36neutral+0.32%-5.46%+7.38%-9.36%+7.51%
201911/09/201926.21near 52w high-1.41%-1.51%-12.87%-14.09%+0.00%
201811/09/201824.69neutral-2.59%-2.77%-7.83%-8.50%+0.22%
201711/09/201721.04neutral+4.33%+7.41%+11.66%+0.00%+14.72%
201612/09/201617.30near 52w high-2.03%-3.78%+2.75%-4.62%+2.88%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+12.1%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -8.3% · from 52w low: +21.5%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+6.75% · +9.53% · +15.25% · +5.93%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+9.19% · +12.10% · +5.71%
Distance from 52w high / low-8.30% · +21.47%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.99 · 0.67x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+20.03%
vs SPY (20d)+14.59%
vs SMH (20d)+29.12%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20075.44 · 73.48 · 77.92
52w high / low89.83 · 67.81