🕰️ Time Machine

SF — Stifel

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 11/09/2026

Last price (Close)
79.76 +0.09%
Next window · Cycle 144 · in window · in 1 days
12/09/2026
Last window · Cycle 45 · 01/09/2026
since +1.17%
Trend
Neutral
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 29/06/2026
67.81
Days: 52 trading / 74 calendar · return since: +17.62%
Last major high · 21/04/2026
83.82
Days: 99 trading / 143 calendar · return since: -4.84%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 90Trading📅 28/08/2026-9 (±3)Passed
Low 29/06/2026 @ 67.81Cycle 45Trading📅 01/09/2026-7 (±2)Passed
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 144Calendar📅 12/09/2026+1 (±3)In window
Low 29/06/2026 @ 67.81Cycle 60Trading📅 23/09/2026+8 (±2)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 67.81Cycle 90Calendar📅 27/09/2026+16 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 120Trading📅 12/10/2026+21 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 180Calendar📅 18/10/2026+37 (±3)Upcoming
Low 29/06/2026 @ 67.81Cycle 90Trading📅 04/11/2026+38 (±3)Upcoming
High 21/04/2026 @ 83.82Cycle 144Trading📅 13/11/2026+45 (±3)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

Bearish Engulfing 10/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 12/09/2026
Doji After Run 08/09/2026🎯 near Cycle 144 window · 12/09/2026
NR7 Compression 28/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 28/08/2026
Failed Breakdown 26/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 28/08/2026
Doji After Run 24/08/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 28/08/2026
Failed Breakout 14/08/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 28/08/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.25% · Win 44% · DD -2.71%20 days: Avg -0.01% · Win 33% · DD -5.81%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202528/08/202577.60near 52w high-2.89%-0.56%-1.10%-3.46%+0.00%
202428/08/202457.79near 52w high-1.04%-2.30%+7.70%-3.87%+7.70%
202328/08/202342.95neutral+2.59%+1.91%-5.80%-5.80%+3.54%
202229/08/202240.41neutral-2.46%-0.82%-11.80%-11.80%+3.21%
202127/08/202147.19near 52w high-3.65%-4.33%-0.35%-8.50%+0.00%
202028/08/202022.99neutral+1.84%+3.88%-1.20%-7.57%+3.88%
201928/08/201923.04neutral+5.35%+13.34%+10.63%+0.00%+14.09%
201828/08/201824.83neutral-0.27%-1.54%-6.49%-6.49%+0.73%
201728/08/201721.16neutral-3.68%+1.71%+8.30%-4.75%+8.30%
Passed 01/09/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.54% · Win 44% · DD -3.52%20 days: Avg -1.01% · Win 33% · DD -6.82%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202502/09/202576.20neutral-1.49%-1.17%-0.73%-2.08%+1.23%
202430/08/202458.76near 52w high-3.66%+1.20%+7.05%-5.46%+7.05%
202301/09/202344.22near 52w high-3.06%-0.89%-8.80%-9.02%+0.00%
202201/09/202239.90neutral+3.66%-2.06%-13.27%-13.27%+3.99%
202101/09/202146.15near 52w high-1.56%-3.84%-1.82%-6.65%+1.68%
202001/09/202022.92neutral+0.83%+2.89%-1.94%-7.58%+3.86%
201930/08/201923.74neutral+5.26%+9.60%+7.41%-2.30%+10.41%
201831/08/201824.83neutral-0.86%-2.83%-8.39%-8.39%+0.00%
201701/09/201721.54neutral-2.29%+1.94%+11.39%-6.64%+11.39%
In window 12/09/2026 · High Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -1.81% · Win 30% · DD -5.14%20 days: Avg -0.78% · Win 50% · DD -7.70%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202512/09/202576.86near 52w high-0.25%-0.55%-7.14%-7.14%+0.24%
202412/09/202456.19neutral+10.19%+10.24%+13.74%+0.00%+14.70%
202312/09/202343.53neutral+0.54%-7.57%-7.70%-11.23%+1.55%
202212/09/202241.49neutral-4.42%-14.22%-13.99%-16.60%+0.00%
202113/09/202145.05neutral-3.48%+4.16%+7.53%-4.37%+8.07%
202011/09/202023.36neutral+0.32%-5.46%+7.38%-9.36%+7.51%
201912/09/201926.04neutral-1.79%-2.39%-10.80%-13.52%+0.00%
201812/09/201824.39neutral+0.86%-5.03%-9.73%-9.73%+1.44%
201712/09/201721.47neutral+2.69%+6.48%+10.12%-0.46%+12.44%
201612/09/201617.30near 52w high-2.03%-3.78%+2.75%-4.62%+2.88%
Upcoming 23/09/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.84% · Win 50% · DD -3.83%20 days: Avg +1.73% · Win 40% · DD -5.19%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/09/202576.28neutral-0.83%-3.00%-1.78%-6.43%+0.44%
202423/09/202461.61near 52w high+1.61%+3.61%+9.81%+0.00%+10.83%
202322/09/202341.94neutral-2.34%-5.18%-8.28%-8.28%+0.00%
202223/09/202236.29near 52w low-4.63%-0.18%-4.04%-5.93%+5.13%
202123/09/202145.48neutral-0.38%+6.30%+10.91%-0.38%+11.68%
202023/09/202021.18neutral+6.11%+16.16%+25.65%+0.00%+26.02%
201923/09/201925.68neutral-0.71%-11.30%-3.50%-12.32%+0.52%
201824/09/201824.02neutral-5.31%-4.72%-13.41%-13.41%+0.00%
201722/09/201722.62neutral+5.03%+4.99%+3.75%-0.08%+6.72%
201623/09/201617.37near 52w high-1.61%+1.69%-1.84%-5.02%+2.46%
Upcoming 27/09/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.58% · Win 50% · DD -3.73%20 days: Avg +2.33% · Win 60% · DD -5.64%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202526/09/202576.44near 52w high · volume x1.7-2.83%-6.63%+2.86%-6.63%+2.86%
202427/09/202462.44near 52w high+2.34%+4.04%+10.50%-0.28%+11.33%
202327/09/202340.27neutral-2.80%-0.65%-8.21%-8.21%+1.72%
202227/09/202235.46near 52w low · far below SMA50+7.58%-0.88%+2.46%-3.74%+7.58%
202127/09/202146.92near 52w high-1.61%+3.24%+10.34%-3.44%+10.34%
202028/09/202022.64neutral+7.05%+13.57%+20.83%-1.57%+22.78%
201927/09/201925.37neutral-9.34%-5.99%-0.47%-11.23%+0.53%
201827/09/201823.16near 52w low · volume x1.7+0.27%-6.93%-16.54%-17.17%+0.27%
201727/09/201723.53neutral+0.87%+0.68%-1.02%-3.46%+2.59%
201627/09/201616.60near 52w low+4.50%+5.33%+2.60%-0.64%+7.17%
Upcoming 12/10/2026 · High Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.24% · Win 60% · DD -2.73%20 days: Avg +9.39% · Win 90% · DD -3.00%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/10/202573.00neutral+2.42%+8.73%+11.29%-0.99%+11.29%
202411/10/202464.96near 52w high · far above SMA50+4.90%+6.21%+18.33%+0.00%+19.99%
202312/10/202339.31neutral-0.83%-5.29%+1.14%-5.97%+3.46%
202212/10/202234.73near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.71%+7.33%+19.12%-1.71%+22.54%
202112/10/202148.65near 52w high+2.51%+6.04%+3.89%-1.37%+6.41%
202012/10/202025.71far above SMA50+2.73%+6.40%+17.67%-2.04%+17.67%
201911/10/201923.85volume x1.8+3.43%+5.87%+13.31%+0.00%+13.31%
201812/10/201821.13near 52w low · far below SMA50+0.44%-9.40%+4.77%-9.40%+6.08%
201712/10/201723.54neutral-1.72%-2.13%-1.02%-3.49%+1.87%
201612/10/201617.39near 52w high-0.46%-1.35%+5.39%-5.03%+5.39%
Upcoming 18/10/2026 · High Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.80% · Win 60% · DD -2.76%20 days: Avg +10.77% · Win 100% · DD -3.06%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202517/10/202573.47neutral+7.02%+7.47%+9.62%+0.00%+13.45%
202418/10/202468.14near 52w high · far above SMA50+1.25%+1.04%+11.97%-1.66%+14.95%
202318/10/202339.15neutral-5.60%-2.64%+6.47%-5.60%+6.47%
202218/10/202235.71neutral+1.76%+17.33%+22.35%-4.41%+24.20%
202118/10/202150.11near 52w high+3.31%-0.90%+1.24%-3.50%+3.31%
202019/10/202026.41far above SMA50+3.57%-0.64%+17.44%-2.00%+17.50%
201918/10/201924.67neutral+2.36%+4.94%+8.97%+0.00%+10.88%
201818/10/201821.26near 52w low · far below SMA50-9.07%-2.47%+3.01%-9.95%+5.43%
201718/10/201723.04neutral+1.08%+1.33%+0.62%-0.25%+4.07%
201618/10/201617.07near 52w low-0.18%+2.55%+26.02%-3.23%+26.02%
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.96% · Win 80% · DD -0.93%20 days: Avg +8.36% · Win 70% · DD -1.96%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/11/202579.62near 52w high+2.56%-2.20%+3.31%-3.51%+4.68%
202404/11/202467.49near 52w high+16.05%+12.91%+12.77%+0.00%+16.28%
202303/11/202340.67neutral-1.49%+0.69%+5.71%-2.95%+5.71%
202204/11/202242.01far above SMA50+5.55%+0.60%-1.87%-1.87%+5.55%
202104/11/202149.69neutral+2.86%+0.58%-5.63%-6.29%+2.95%
202004/11/202026.37neutral+12.37%+17.23%+22.93%+0.00%+23.06%
201904/11/201926.56near 52w high+1.79%+1.96%+0.89%-0.12%+5.47%
201805/11/201821.06neutral+0.61%+3.69%-2.80%-2.80%+6.46%
201703/11/201723.65neutral-1.17%-2.09%+13.15%-2.09%+13.15%
201604/11/201616.52near 52w low+22.58%+36.25%+35.15%+0.00%+37.06%
Upcoming 13/11/2026 · High Cycle 144/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.30% · Win 70% · DD -1.72%20 days: Avg +2.50% · Win 60% · DD -3.61%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202513/11/202581.36near 52w high-5.57%-0.03%+6.81%-5.57%+8.27%
202413/11/202476.80near 52w high · far above SMA50-1.53%+0.94%-2.87%-3.63%+2.19%
202313/11/202339.93neutral+2.70%+0.72%+9.04%+0.00%+9.21%
202214/11/202243.08far above SMA50-2.17%-1.93%-5.77%-7.00%+1.41%
202112/11/202151.09near 52w high-3.45%-4.22%-10.66%-10.66%+0.00%
202013/11/202030.18near 52w high · far above SMA50+0.18%+2.30%+11.20%+0.00%+11.74%
201913/11/201926.53near 52w high+2.98%+5.60%+4.91%+0.00%+5.60%
201813/11/201821.34neutral-0.62%+3.12%-7.73%-7.73%+3.60%
201713/11/201723.51neutral-0.19%+3.16%+13.47%-1.51%+13.82%
201614/11/201621.14near 52w high+5.07%+3.34%+6.60%+0.00%+10.22%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· If it holds above SMA50 (-0.9%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· Relative weakness vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -11.2% · from 52w low: +17.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days-3.06% · -0.88% · -6.52% · +7.86%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200-1.80% · -0.90% · +1.33%
Distance from 52w high / low-11.21% · +17.62%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.71 · 0.69x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)-4.17%
vs SPY (20d)-4.76%
vs SMH (20d)-3.02%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20081.22 · 80.49 · 78.71
52w high / low89.83 · 67.81