🕰️ Time Machine

SHOO — Steven Madden, Ltd.

Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026

Last price (Close)
43.53 +3.42%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 3 days
30/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 23/07/2026
since +3.42%
Trend
Uptrend
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows

Daily chart · hover for price & date

Reference points

Last major low · 13/03/2026
31.33
Days: 91 trading / 136 calendar · return since: +38.94%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
47.11
Days: 27 trading / 42 calendar · return since: -7.60%

Price-Time Watch Windows

Reference pointCycleCountingTarget dateDistanceStatus
High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11Fib 21Trading📅 16/07/2026-6 (±1)Passed
Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33Cycle 90Trading📅 23/07/2026-1 (±3)In window
High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11Cycle 30Trading📅 30/07/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11Cycle 45Calendar📅 30/07/2026+3 (±2)Upcoming
Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33Cycle 144Calendar📅 04/08/2026+8 (±3)Upcoming
High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11Cycle 60Calendar📅 14/08/2026+18 (±2)Upcoming
High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11Cycle 45Trading📅 20/08/2026+18 (±2)Upcoming
Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33Cycle 120Trading📅 04/09/2026+29 (±3)Upcoming
Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33Cycle 180Calendar📅 09/09/2026+44 (±3)Upcoming
High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11Cycle 60Trading📅 11/09/2026+33 (±2)Upcoming

Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.

🔔 Recent Technical Events

Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.

NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 30/07/2026
Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 30/07/2026
NR7 Compression 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 23/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 15/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
Failed Breakdown 06/07/2026
Bullish Engulfing 26/06/2026
Failed Breakdown 26/06/2026

Date Echo — seasonal anniversary

What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.

Passed 16/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 56% · DD -2.35%20 days: Avg +3.42% · Win 67% · DD -4.42%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202516/07/202524.58neutral+9.85%-2.89%+11.19%-4.31%+11.19%
202416/07/202445.01near 52w high-0.22%-1.22%-3.84%-7.60%+0.73%
202317/07/202332.52neutral+2.24%+2.64%+7.26%-1.11%+11.32%
202215/07/202231.84near 52w low · far below SMA50+9.52%-0.44%+5.81%-0.44%+10.55%
202116/07/202140.11neutral+5.53%+9.27%+4.46%-2.97%+9.42%
202016/07/202023.30neutral-1.29%-3.82%-1.76%-10.26%+0.00%
201916/07/201933.39neutral+1.89%+2.70%-9.31%-12.31%+3.35%
201816/07/201835.30near 52w high · volume x1.6+2.83%+1.51%+6.33%+0.00%+6.99%
201717/07/201726.00near 52w high+2.31%+5.13%+10.64%-0.77%+10.64%
In window 23/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.26% · Win 30% · DD -6.17%20 days: Avg -2.81% · Win 40% · DD -6.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202523/07/202527.00neutral-11.59%-4.26%-1.48%-12.89%+1.22%
202423/07/202444.91near 52w high-1.00%-5.08%-3.21%-7.39%+0.96%
202324/07/202333.25neutral+0.39%+6.29%+3.16%-0.66%+8.87%
202222/07/202234.87neutral-9.09%-6.60%-6.77%-9.09%+0.95%
202123/07/202142.33neutral+3.54%-0.33%-4.49%-6.33%+3.69%
202023/07/202023.00neutral-2.57%-6.87%-11.65%-11.65%+0.00%
201923/07/201934.02neutral+0.79%-10.20%-10.49%-13.93%+1.44%
201823/07/201836.30near 52w high-1.29%+1.29%+5.05%-1.65%+5.60%
201724/07/201726.60near 52w high · volume x1.5+2.76%+6.27%+0.50%+0.00%+8.15%
201627/07/201623.54near 52w high-4.36%-3.12%+1.27%-5.07%+3.57%
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.20% · Win 70% · DD -4.05%20 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 50% · DD -5.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202530/07/202523.87volume x2.5+8.29%+14.50%+23.08%-1.47%+23.08%
202430/07/202444.46near 52w high-4.12%-2.65%+0.00%-6.46%+1.98%
202331/07/202333.38neutral+5.87%+4.49%+2.01%-1.05%+8.45%
202229/07/202231.70near 52w low+2.74%+6.28%-2.33%-2.33%+9.24%
202130/07/202143.83near 52w high-3.74%-4.40%-5.59%-9.54%+0.00%
202030/07/202022.41neutral-4.42%+2.14%-7.05%-10.31%+2.50%
201930/07/201934.29volume x1.7-10.91%-11.69%-9.04%-14.61%+0.64%
201830/07/201835.83volume x2.2+2.60%+4.74%+6.33%+0.00%+8.93%
201731/07/201727.33near 52w high+3.41%+5.24%+2.07%-2.20%+5.24%
201629/07/201623.35near 52w high-1.20%+3.37%+1.46%-4.28%+4.43%
Upcoming 04/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.46% · Win 70% · DD -1.42%20 days: Avg +3.09% · Win 70% · DD -3.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/08/202525.10neutral-1.95%+7.25%+17.25%-1.95%+17.25%
202405/08/202441.59neutral+1.85%+6.28%+7.04%+0.00%+8.58%
202304/08/202336.18near 52w high · far above SMA50-3.32%-4.04%-3.01%-7.32%+0.00%
202204/08/202232.15near 52w low+4.91%+4.67%-9.74%-9.74%+7.71%
202104/08/202141.24neutral+4.58%-3.64%-3.15%-3.86%+5.02%
202004/08/202020.95far below SMA50+9.64%+2.48%+1.58%-4.06%+9.64%
201905/08/201929.49volume x1.6-0.71%+3.76%+10.72%-0.71%+12.65%
201803/08/201837.27near 52w high+1.34%+1.79%+4.03%-1.34%+4.74%
201704/08/201727.43near 52w high · volume x1.6+4.50%-0.24%+3.77%-2.55%+4.86%
201604/08/201622.67near 52w low+3.74%+6.32%+2.47%-0.50%+7.56%
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 30% · DD -4.44%20 days: Avg -0.83% · Win 30% · DD -6.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202514/08/202526.74neutral+1.46%+9.12%+17.27%-0.52%+18.89%
202414/08/202442.55neutral+4.79%+3.71%+3.67%+0.00%+6.13%
202314/08/202334.88neutral-1.66%-2.38%-8.11%-8.11%+1.03%
202215/08/202233.69neutral-5.73%-8.79%-14.04%-14.57%+2.79%
202113/08/202141.90neutral-3.51%-1.24%-6.85%-6.85%+0.00%
202014/08/202022.73neutral-11.57%-7.08%-8.36%-12.36%+0.00%
201914/08/201930.12neutral+3.82%+5.91%+19.89%-2.49%+20.29%
201814/08/201838.33near 52w high+0.17%-1.04%-2.09%-2.52%+1.83%
201714/08/201728.77near 52w high-7.07%-3.01%-3.13%-7.07%+0.00%
201615/08/201624.21near 52w high-0.47%-0.66%-6.58%-6.86%+0.72%
Upcoming 20/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 60% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +2.96% · Win 50% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202520/08/202526.60neutral+10.45%+13.23%+23.75%+0.00%+23.75%
202420/08/202443.47neutral+2.28%+1.15%+9.70%-0.83%+9.70%
202321/08/202334.30neutral-0.73%-1.31%-6.55%-7.90%+2.30%
202219/08/202232.51near 52w low-4.77%-11.47%-9.12%-11.47%+0.40%
202120/08/202140.43neutral+2.35%-1.78%-2.79%-4.08%+2.79%
202020/08/202020.32far below SMA50 · volume x1.6+2.51%+5.51%-0.59%-1.97%+6.64%
201920/08/201930.45neutral+2.43%+9.16%+13.71%-1.44%+18.98%
201820/08/201838.13near 52w high-0.09%+0.79%+1.15%-2.19%+2.36%
201721/08/201726.73neutral+4.36%+5.24%+5.74%+0.00%+6.48%
201619/08/201624.35near 52w high-2.74%-4.63%-5.39%-7.58%+0.11%
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 60% · DD -2.66%20 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 50% · DD -4.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202504/09/202530.12far above SMA50+5.54%+9.29%+14.47%+0.00%+14.60%
202404/09/202443.97neutral-0.96%+8.45%+12.18%-1.96%+13.57%
202305/09/202333.85neutral-5.32%-5.31%-6.74%-8.28%+0.24%
202202/09/202228.78near 52w low · far below SMA50+9.42%+2.65%-3.96%-6.66%+9.42%
202103/09/202139.71neutral-1.71%-1.03%+3.37%-2.34%+7.44%
202004/09/202021.48neutral-3.03%-8.61%-5.54%-10.99%+0.00%
201904/09/201933.24neutral+9.00%+4.17%+3.59%+0.00%+9.00%
201804/09/201838.43near 52w high-1.47%+0.36%-12.16%-12.16%+1.58%
201705/09/201728.13near 52w high-0.95%+0.47%+2.37%-1.78%+2.61%
201602/09/201623.23neutral-1.21%-0.80%-0.69%-3.10%+0.63%
Upcoming 09/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 40% · DD -3.06%20 days: Avg -0.17% · Win 60% · DD -4.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202509/09/202530.28far above SMA50+4.82%+9.47%+10.47%+0.00%+14.46%
202409/09/202443.51neutral+5.67%+11.10%+8.81%-0.46%+14.77%
202308/09/202333.80neutral-5.29%-8.09%-6.54%-8.15%+0.00%
202209/09/202230.58neutral-3.59%-8.59%-9.35%-12.15%+2.98%
202109/09/202139.66neutral-2.22%+7.58%+5.73%-2.22%+7.58%
202009/09/202020.53neutral+2.48%-3.51%+1.80%-6.87%+2.48%
201909/09/201936.19far above SMA50 · volume x1.7-1.58%-2.80%-5.10%-5.10%+0.11%
201810/09/201837.87near 52w high+0.27%-1.67%-12.10%-13.16%+3.10%
201708/09/201727.97near 52w high+0.95%-0.24%+1.79%-1.19%+3.22%
201609/09/201622.55near 52w low+1.24%+3.67%+2.78%-0.18%+6.95%
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.56% · Win 50% · DD -3.82%20 days: Avg -0.84% · Win 50% · DD -5.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
YearActual dateCloseContext5d10d20dMax DD 20dMax Gain 20d
202511/09/202531.79far above SMA50+3.55%+3.55%+7.63%-1.36%+9.02%
202411/09/202443.55neutral+9.50%+10.31%+8.37%+0.00%+14.67%
202311/09/202333.49neutral-5.55%-6.55%-3.33%-7.30%+0.00%
202212/09/202231.49neutral-6.18%-14.43%-12.93%-14.69%+0.00%
202110/09/202139.55neutral+0.72%+6.84%+5.59%-1.95%+7.88%
202011/09/202019.92neutral+1.41%+0.25%+5.42%-4.02%+7.68%
201911/09/201936.23far above SMA50-4.43%-0.72%-6.51%-7.26%+0.00%
201811/09/201837.87near 52w high+1.86%-3.62%-13.85%-13.85%+3.10%
201711/09/201728.03near 52w high+1.31%-1.43%-0.48%-1.43%+2.97%
201612/09/201622.95neutral+0.41%+0.17%+1.69%-1.92%+5.08%

Questions to Watch

Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?

Interpretation & Scenarios

Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.

⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch
· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge
· Distance from 52w high: -7.6% · from 52w low: +95.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.

Current Snapshot

Returns & distances

5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days+0.25% · +3.62% · +4.94% · +16.79%
Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200+3.52% · +2.49% · +9.98%
Distance from 52w high / low-7.60% · +95.55%
ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg1.51 · 0.03x

Relative strength

vs QQQ (20d)+10.07%
vs SPY (20d)+4.49%
vs SMH (20d)+19.85%

Moving averages

SMA20 / 50 / 20042.05 · 42.47 · 39.58
52w high / low47.11 · 22.26