🕰️ Time Machine
SHOO — Steven Madden, Ltd.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 27/07/2026
Last price (Close)
43.53 +3.42%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in 3 days
30/07/2026
Last window · Cycle 90 · 23/07/2026
since +3.42%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 13/03/2026
31.33
Days: 91 trading / 136 calendar · return since: +38.94%
Last major high · 15/06/2026
47.11
Days: 27 trading / 42 calendar · return since: -7.60%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 16/07/2026 | -6 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 23/07/2026 | -1 (±3) | In window |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 30/07/2026 | +3 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33 | Cycle 144 | Calendar | 📅 04/08/2026 | +8 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 14/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 20/08/2026 | +18 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33 | Cycle 120 | Trading | 📅 04/09/2026 | +29 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 13/03/2026 @ 31.33 | Cycle 180 | Calendar | 📅 09/09/2026 | +44 (±3) | Upcoming |
| High 15/06/2026 @ 47.11 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 11/09/2026 | +33 (±2) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 30/07/2026
● Gap Day 27/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 30/07/2026
● NR7 Compression 22/07/2026🎯 near Cycle 90 window · 23/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 15/07/2026🎯 near Fib 21 window · 16/07/2026
● Failed Breakdown 06/07/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 26/06/2026
● Failed Breakdown 26/06/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 16/07/2026 · High Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 56% · DD -2.35%20 days: Avg +3.42% · Win 67% · DD -4.42%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 16/07/2025 | 24.58 | neutral | +9.85% | -2.89% | +11.19% | -4.31% | +11.19% |
| 2024 | 16/07/2024 | 45.01 | near 52w high | -0.22% | -1.22% | -3.84% | -7.60% | +0.73% |
| 2023 | 17/07/2023 | 32.52 | neutral | +2.24% | +2.64% | +7.26% | -1.11% | +11.32% |
| 2022 | 15/07/2022 | 31.84 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +9.52% | -0.44% | +5.81% | -0.44% | +10.55% |
| 2021 | 16/07/2021 | 40.11 | neutral | +5.53% | +9.27% | +4.46% | -2.97% | +9.42% |
| 2020 | 16/07/2020 | 23.30 | neutral | -1.29% | -3.82% | -1.76% | -10.26% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 16/07/2019 | 33.39 | neutral | +1.89% | +2.70% | -9.31% | -12.31% | +3.35% |
| 2018 | 16/07/2018 | 35.30 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +2.83% | +1.51% | +6.33% | +0.00% | +6.99% |
| 2017 | 17/07/2017 | 26.00 | near 52w high | +2.31% | +5.13% | +10.64% | -0.77% | +10.64% |
In window 23/07/2026 · Low Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -2.26% · Win 30% · DD -6.17%20 days: Avg -2.81% · Win 40% · DD -6.87%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 23/07/2025 | 27.00 | neutral | -11.59% | -4.26% | -1.48% | -12.89% | +1.22% |
| 2024 | 23/07/2024 | 44.91 | near 52w high | -1.00% | -5.08% | -3.21% | -7.39% | +0.96% |
| 2023 | 24/07/2023 | 33.25 | neutral | +0.39% | +6.29% | +3.16% | -0.66% | +8.87% |
| 2022 | 22/07/2022 | 34.87 | neutral | -9.09% | -6.60% | -6.77% | -9.09% | +0.95% |
| 2021 | 23/07/2021 | 42.33 | neutral | +3.54% | -0.33% | -4.49% | -6.33% | +3.69% |
| 2020 | 23/07/2020 | 23.00 | neutral | -2.57% | -6.87% | -11.65% | -11.65% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 23/07/2019 | 34.02 | neutral | +0.79% | -10.20% | -10.49% | -13.93% | +1.44% |
| 2018 | 23/07/2018 | 36.30 | near 52w high | -1.29% | +1.29% | +5.05% | -1.65% | +5.60% |
| 2017 | 24/07/2017 | 26.60 | near 52w high · volume x1.5 | +2.76% | +6.27% | +0.50% | +0.00% | +8.15% |
| 2016 | 27/07/2016 | 23.54 | near 52w high | -4.36% | -3.12% | +1.27% | -5.07% | +3.57% |
Upcoming 30/07/2026 · High Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.20% · Win 70% · DD -4.05%20 days: Avg +1.09% · Win 50% · DD -5.22%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/07/2025 | 23.87 | volume x2.5 | +8.29% | +14.50% | +23.08% | -1.47% | +23.08% |
| 2024 | 30/07/2024 | 44.46 | near 52w high | -4.12% | -2.65% | +0.00% | -6.46% | +1.98% |
| 2023 | 31/07/2023 | 33.38 | neutral | +5.87% | +4.49% | +2.01% | -1.05% | +8.45% |
| 2022 | 29/07/2022 | 31.70 | near 52w low | +2.74% | +6.28% | -2.33% | -2.33% | +9.24% |
| 2021 | 30/07/2021 | 43.83 | near 52w high | -3.74% | -4.40% | -5.59% | -9.54% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 30/07/2020 | 22.41 | neutral | -4.42% | +2.14% | -7.05% | -10.31% | +2.50% |
| 2019 | 30/07/2019 | 34.29 | volume x1.7 | -10.91% | -11.69% | -9.04% | -14.61% | +0.64% |
| 2018 | 30/07/2018 | 35.83 | volume x2.2 | +2.60% | +4.74% | +6.33% | +0.00% | +8.93% |
| 2017 | 31/07/2017 | 27.33 | near 52w high | +3.41% | +5.24% | +2.07% | -2.20% | +5.24% |
| 2016 | 29/07/2016 | 23.35 | near 52w high | -1.20% | +3.37% | +1.46% | -4.28% | +4.43% |
Upcoming 04/08/2026 · Low Cycle 144/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.46% · Win 70% · DD -1.42%20 days: Avg +3.09% · Win 70% · DD -3.20%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/08/2025 | 25.10 | neutral | -1.95% | +7.25% | +17.25% | -1.95% | +17.25% |
| 2024 | 05/08/2024 | 41.59 | neutral | +1.85% | +6.28% | +7.04% | +0.00% | +8.58% |
| 2023 | 04/08/2023 | 36.18 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.32% | -4.04% | -3.01% | -7.32% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 04/08/2022 | 32.15 | near 52w low | +4.91% | +4.67% | -9.74% | -9.74% | +7.71% |
| 2021 | 04/08/2021 | 41.24 | neutral | +4.58% | -3.64% | -3.15% | -3.86% | +5.02% |
| 2020 | 04/08/2020 | 20.95 | far below SMA50 | +9.64% | +2.48% | +1.58% | -4.06% | +9.64% |
| 2019 | 05/08/2019 | 29.49 | volume x1.6 | -0.71% | +3.76% | +10.72% | -0.71% | +12.65% |
| 2018 | 03/08/2018 | 37.27 | near 52w high | +1.34% | +1.79% | +4.03% | -1.34% | +4.74% |
| 2017 | 04/08/2017 | 27.43 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +4.50% | -0.24% | +3.77% | -2.55% | +4.86% |
| 2016 | 04/08/2016 | 22.67 | near 52w low | +3.74% | +6.32% | +2.47% | -0.50% | +7.56% |
Upcoming 14/08/2026 · High Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 30% · DD -4.44%20 days: Avg -0.83% · Win 30% · DD -6.14%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/08/2025 | 26.74 | neutral | +1.46% | +9.12% | +17.27% | -0.52% | +18.89% |
| 2024 | 14/08/2024 | 42.55 | neutral | +4.79% | +3.71% | +3.67% | +0.00% | +6.13% |
| 2023 | 14/08/2023 | 34.88 | neutral | -1.66% | -2.38% | -8.11% | -8.11% | +1.03% |
| 2022 | 15/08/2022 | 33.69 | neutral | -5.73% | -8.79% | -14.04% | -14.57% | +2.79% |
| 2021 | 13/08/2021 | 41.90 | neutral | -3.51% | -1.24% | -6.85% | -6.85% | +0.00% |
| 2020 | 14/08/2020 | 22.73 | neutral | -11.57% | -7.08% | -8.36% | -12.36% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 14/08/2019 | 30.12 | neutral | +3.82% | +5.91% | +19.89% | -2.49% | +20.29% |
| 2018 | 14/08/2018 | 38.33 | near 52w high | +0.17% | -1.04% | -2.09% | -2.52% | +1.83% |
| 2017 | 14/08/2017 | 28.77 | near 52w high | -7.07% | -3.01% | -3.13% | -7.07% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 15/08/2016 | 24.21 | near 52w high | -0.47% | -0.66% | -6.58% | -6.86% | +0.72% |
Upcoming 20/08/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.59% · Win 60% · DD -2.32%20 days: Avg +2.96% · Win 50% · DD -3.75%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 20/08/2025 | 26.60 | neutral | +10.45% | +13.23% | +23.75% | +0.00% | +23.75% |
| 2024 | 20/08/2024 | 43.47 | neutral | +2.28% | +1.15% | +9.70% | -0.83% | +9.70% |
| 2023 | 21/08/2023 | 34.30 | neutral | -0.73% | -1.31% | -6.55% | -7.90% | +2.30% |
| 2022 | 19/08/2022 | 32.51 | near 52w low | -4.77% | -11.47% | -9.12% | -11.47% | +0.40% |
| 2021 | 20/08/2021 | 40.43 | neutral | +2.35% | -1.78% | -2.79% | -4.08% | +2.79% |
| 2020 | 20/08/2020 | 20.32 | far below SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +2.51% | +5.51% | -0.59% | -1.97% | +6.64% |
| 2019 | 20/08/2019 | 30.45 | neutral | +2.43% | +9.16% | +13.71% | -1.44% | +18.98% |
| 2018 | 20/08/2018 | 38.13 | near 52w high | -0.09% | +0.79% | +1.15% | -2.19% | +2.36% |
| 2017 | 21/08/2017 | 26.73 | neutral | +4.36% | +5.24% | +5.74% | +0.00% | +6.48% |
| 2016 | 19/08/2016 | 24.35 | near 52w high | -2.74% | -4.63% | -5.39% | -7.58% | +0.11% |
Upcoming 04/09/2026 · Low Cycle 120/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.96% · Win 60% · DD -2.66%20 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 50% · DD -4.73%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/09/2025 | 30.12 | far above SMA50 | +5.54% | +9.29% | +14.47% | +0.00% | +14.60% |
| 2024 | 04/09/2024 | 43.97 | neutral | -0.96% | +8.45% | +12.18% | -1.96% | +13.57% |
| 2023 | 05/09/2023 | 33.85 | neutral | -5.32% | -5.31% | -6.74% | -8.28% | +0.24% |
| 2022 | 02/09/2022 | 28.78 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +9.42% | +2.65% | -3.96% | -6.66% | +9.42% |
| 2021 | 03/09/2021 | 39.71 | neutral | -1.71% | -1.03% | +3.37% | -2.34% | +7.44% |
| 2020 | 04/09/2020 | 21.48 | neutral | -3.03% | -8.61% | -5.54% | -10.99% | +0.00% |
| 2019 | 04/09/2019 | 33.24 | neutral | +9.00% | +4.17% | +3.59% | +0.00% | +9.00% |
| 2018 | 04/09/2018 | 38.43 | near 52w high | -1.47% | +0.36% | -12.16% | -12.16% | +1.58% |
| 2017 | 05/09/2017 | 28.13 | near 52w high | -0.95% | +0.47% | +2.37% | -1.78% | +2.61% |
| 2016 | 02/09/2016 | 23.23 | neutral | -1.21% | -0.80% | -0.69% | -3.10% | +0.63% |
Upcoming 09/09/2026 · Low Cycle 180/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +0.69% · Win 40% · DD -3.06%20 days: Avg -0.17% · Win 60% · DD -4.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/09/2025 | 30.28 | far above SMA50 | +4.82% | +9.47% | +10.47% | +0.00% | +14.46% |
| 2024 | 09/09/2024 | 43.51 | neutral | +5.67% | +11.10% | +8.81% | -0.46% | +14.77% |
| 2023 | 08/09/2023 | 33.80 | neutral | -5.29% | -8.09% | -6.54% | -8.15% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 09/09/2022 | 30.58 | neutral | -3.59% | -8.59% | -9.35% | -12.15% | +2.98% |
| 2021 | 09/09/2021 | 39.66 | neutral | -2.22% | +7.58% | +5.73% | -2.22% | +7.58% |
| 2020 | 09/09/2020 | 20.53 | neutral | +2.48% | -3.51% | +1.80% | -6.87% | +2.48% |
| 2019 | 09/09/2019 | 36.19 | far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -1.58% | -2.80% | -5.10% | -5.10% | +0.11% |
| 2018 | 10/09/2018 | 37.87 | near 52w high | +0.27% | -1.67% | -12.10% | -13.16% | +3.10% |
| 2017 | 08/09/2017 | 27.97 | near 52w high | +0.95% | -0.24% | +1.79% | -1.19% | +3.22% |
| 2016 | 09/09/2016 | 22.55 | near 52w low | +1.24% | +3.67% | +2.78% | -0.18% | +6.95% |
Upcoming 11/09/2026 · High Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.56% · Win 50% · DD -3.82%20 days: Avg -0.84% · Win 50% · DD -5.38%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 11/09/2025 | 31.79 | far above SMA50 | +3.55% | +3.55% | +7.63% | -1.36% | +9.02% |
| 2024 | 11/09/2024 | 43.55 | neutral | +9.50% | +10.31% | +8.37% | +0.00% | +14.67% |
| 2023 | 11/09/2023 | 33.49 | neutral | -5.55% | -6.55% | -3.33% | -7.30% | +0.00% |
| 2022 | 12/09/2022 | 31.49 | neutral | -6.18% | -14.43% | -12.93% | -14.69% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 10/09/2021 | 39.55 | neutral | +0.72% | +6.84% | +5.59% | -1.95% | +7.88% |
| 2020 | 11/09/2020 | 19.92 | neutral | +1.41% | +0.25% | +5.42% | -4.02% | +7.68% |
| 2019 | 11/09/2019 | 36.23 | far above SMA50 | -4.43% | -0.72% | -6.51% | -7.26% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 11/09/2018 | 37.87 | near 52w high | +1.86% | -3.62% | -13.85% | -13.85% | +3.10% |
| 2017 | 11/09/2017 | 28.03 | near 52w high | +1.31% | -1.43% | -0.48% | -1.43% | +2.97% |
| 2016 | 12/09/2016 | 22.95 | neutral | +0.41% | +0.17% | +1.69% | -1.92% | +5.08% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· The broad trend (by MA stacking) is still up.
· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SPY, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (+2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· Distance from 52w high: -7.6% · from 52w low: +95.6%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | +0.25% · +3.62% · +4.94% · +16.79% |
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | +3.52% · +2.49% · +9.98% |
| Distance from 52w high / low | -7.60% · +95.55% |
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.51 · 0.03x |
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +10.07% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | +4.49% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +19.85% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 42.05 · 42.47 · 39.58 |
| 52w high / low | 47.11 · 22.26 |