🕰️ Time Machine
SHOO — Steven Madden, Ltd.
Price-Time Intelligence · decision-support only — not recommendations, not predictions · as of 23/10/2026
Last price (Close)
43.21 -2.72%
Next window · Cycle 30 · in window · in 2 days
27/10/2026
Last window · Fib 21 · 14/10/2026
since -3.42%
🕰️ Time Machine — see this symbol's past windows
Daily chart · hover for price & date
Reference points
Last major low · 15/09/2026
40.38
Days: 28 trading / 38 calendar · return since: +7.01%
Last major high · 06/08/2026
49.70
Days: 55 trading / 78 calendar · return since: -13.06%
Price-Time Watch Windows
| Reference point | Cycle | Counting | Target date | Distance | Status |
|---|
| High 06/08/2026 @ 49.70 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 09/10/2026 | -10 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 15/09/2026 @ 40.38 | Fib 21 | Trading | 📅 14/10/2026 | -7 (±1) | Passed |
| Low 15/09/2026 @ 40.38 | Cycle 30 | Calendar | 📅 15/10/2026 | -8 (±2) | Passed |
| Low 15/09/2026 @ 40.38 | Cycle 30 | Trading | 📅 27/10/2026 | +2 (±2) | In window |
| Low 15/09/2026 @ 40.38 | Cycle 45 | Calendar | 📅 30/10/2026 | +7 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 49.70 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 30/10/2026 | +5 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 49.70 | Cycle 90 | Calendar | 📅 04/11/2026 | +12 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/09/2026 @ 40.38 | Cycle 60 | Calendar | 📅 14/11/2026 | +22 (±2) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/09/2026 @ 40.38 | Cycle 45 | Trading | 📅 17/11/2026 | +17 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 49.70 | Cycle 120 | Calendar | 📅 04/12/2026 | +42 (±3) | Upcoming |
| Low 15/09/2026 @ 40.38 | Cycle 60 | Trading | 📅 09/12/2026 | +32 (±2) | Upcoming |
| High 06/08/2026 @ 49.70 | Cycle 90 | Trading | 📅 14/12/2026 | +35 (±3) | Upcoming |
Chronological: recent past → active → upcoming. The target date is the center of the watch window — it opens a few days before and stays relevant a few days after. 'Near a window' is context only, not a signal.
🔔 Recent Technical Events
Price-action events from the last 30 days. 🎯 marks events that landed near a cycle window — the combinations worth the closest look.
● NR7 Compression 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 27/10/2026
● Gap Day 23/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 27/10/2026
● Failed Breakout 15/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 30 window · 15/10/2026
● Doji After Run 09/10/2026🎯 near Cycle 45 window · 09/10/2026
● Bullish Engulfing 01/10/2026
● Bearish Engulfing 30/09/2026
● Failed Breakout 28/09/2026
Date Echo — seasonal anniversary
What happened around the same calendar date in prior years. n ≈ number of years — descriptive, not an edge. Each window separately, every number vs baseline.
Passed 09/10/2026 · High Cycle 45/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +1.81% · Win 67% · DD -3.10%20 days: Avg +9.46% · Win 67% · DD -4.13%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/10/2025 | 33.99 | far above SMA50 | +2.94% | +4.80% | +12.92% | -5.12% | +12.92% |
| 2024 | 09/10/2024 | 46.97 | neutral | +3.96% | -3.66% | -5.83% | -5.83% | +3.96% |
| 2023 | 09/10/2023 | 32.16 | neutral | +0.56% | +2.67% | +6.81% | -1.34% | +7.90% |
| 2022 | 10/10/2022 | 27.22 | near 52w low · far below SMA50 | +4.22% | +3.89% | +13.34% | +0.00% | +13.34% |
| 2021 | 08/10/2021 | 41.60 | neutral | +2.93% | +6.92% | +19.64% | -0.91% | +19.74% |
| 2020 | 09/10/2020 | 21.00 | neutral | +7.48% | +8.00% | +22.57% | -1.00% | +23.14% |
| 2019 | 09/10/2019 | 33.74 | neutral | +6.70% | +6.34% | +26.11% | +0.00% | +26.73% |
| 2018 | 09/10/2018 | 32.51 | far below SMA50 | -5.74% | -11.68% | -1.44% | -13.56% | +0.00% |
| 2017 | 09/10/2017 | 27.90 | near 52w high | -2.03% | -0.96% | -8.96% | -9.44% | +5.50% |
Passed 14/10/2026 · Low Fib 21/Trading · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.52% · Win 56% · DD -1.61%20 days: Avg +11.40% · Win 78% · DD -3.22%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/10/2025 | 34.96 | far above SMA50 | +0.09% | -0.11% | +11.18% | -6.18% | +11.18% |
| 2024 | 14/10/2024 | 47.74 | near 52w high | -1.70% | -3.88% | -6.10% | -7.35% | +2.28% |
| 2023 | 13/10/2023 | 31.96 | neutral | +3.97% | -0.72% | +4.19% | -0.72% | +8.57% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 27.52 | near 52w low | +5.16% | +8.68% | +19.91% | +0.00% | +19.91% |
| 2021 | 14/10/2021 | 42.72 | neutral | +2.76% | +5.83% | +15.33% | -0.44% | +18.26% |
| 2020 | 14/10/2020 | 21.05 | neutral | +9.26% | +16.91% | +33.02% | +0.00% | +38.24% |
| 2019 | 14/10/2019 | 35.81 | near 52w high | +1.17% | +0.14% | +21.00% | +0.00% | +21.00% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 30.00 | far below SMA50 | -3.73% | -2.90% | +7.07% | -6.33% | +10.27% |
| 2017 | 13/10/2017 | 27.33 | neutral | +2.32% | +7.68% | -3.05% | -7.93% | +7.68% |
Passed 15/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Calendar · 9 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +2.73% · Win 67% · DD -2.34%20 days: Avg +9.92% · Win 78% · DD -3.89%
Open Date Echo · 9 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/10/2025 | 35.34 | far above SMA50 | -2.43% | -2.60% | +9.90% | -7.19% | +9.99% |
| 2024 | 15/10/2024 | 48.17 | near 52w high | -5.27% | -6.33% | -6.64% | -8.18% | +1.37% |
| 2023 | 16/10/2023 | 32.34 | neutral | +2.10% | +0.06% | +5.10% | -1.89% | +7.30% |
| 2022 | 14/10/2022 | 27.52 | near 52w low | +5.16% | +8.68% | +19.91% | +0.00% | +19.91% |
| 2021 | 15/10/2021 | 42.82 | neutral | +3.88% | +5.32% | +16.32% | -0.68% | +17.98% |
| 2020 | 15/10/2020 | 22.79 | volume x2.8 | +2.90% | +4.70% | +21.15% | -2.19% | +27.69% |
| 2019 | 15/10/2019 | 36.10 | near 52w high | +1.72% | +13.24% | +19.61% | -0.66% | +20.03% |
| 2018 | 15/10/2018 | 30.00 | far below SMA50 | -3.73% | -2.90% | +7.07% | -6.33% | +10.27% |
| 2017 | 16/10/2017 | 27.33 | neutral | +1.10% | +4.39% | -3.17% | -7.93% | +7.68% |
In window 27/10/2026 · Low Cycle 30/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +8.74% · Win 80% · DD -3.31%20 days: Avg +13.57% · Win 80% · DD -3.88%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 27/10/2025 | 35.44 | far above SMA50 | -7.45% | +6.41% | +14.70% | -7.45% | +14.70% |
| 2024 | 28/10/2024 | 45.89 | neutral | -2.18% | -2.31% | -1.05% | -9.37% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 27/10/2023 | 31.73 | neutral | +9.36% | +4.95% | +19.26% | +0.00% | +19.26% |
| 2022 | 27/10/2022 | 29.67 | neutral | -1.62% | +8.53% | +14.46% | -1.62% | +16.95% |
| 2021 | 27/10/2021 | 44.60 | near 52w high | +9.08% | +11.73% | +9.60% | +0.00% | +14.98% |
| 2020 | 27/10/2020 | 25.36 | far above SMA50 · volume x2.1 | -0.95% | +13.17% | +36.83% | -5.91% | +36.83% |
| 2019 | 28/10/2019 | 35.86 | near 52w high | +16.26% | +20.83% | +19.91% | +0.00% | +23.48% |
| 2018 | 26/10/2018 | 28.36 | far below SMA50 | +14.28% | +14.35% | +11.74% | +0.00% | +16.64% |
| 2017 | 27/10/2017 | 29.43 | near 52w high | -13.02% | -9.97% | -10.76% | -14.50% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 27/10/2016 | 21.71 | near 52w high | +8.75% | +19.74% | +20.97% | +0.00% | +22.20% |
Upcoming 30/10/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.86% · Win 80% · DD -2.36%20 days: Avg +9.95% · Win 70% · DD -3.15%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 30/10/2025 | 34.34 | neutral | +11.76% | +11.21% | +21.67% | -4.48% | +21.96% |
| 2024 | 30/10/2024 | 45.09 | neutral | -1.91% | -1.82% | -0.55% | -7.76% | +1.13% |
| 2023 | 30/10/2023 | 32.36 | neutral | +6.15% | +5.04% | +16.75% | -0.19% | +16.93% |
| 2022 | 31/10/2022 | 29.87 | neutral | +3.28% | +10.18% | +12.49% | -2.28% | +16.17% |
| 2021 | 29/10/2021 | 45.10 | near 52w high · volume x1.6 | +10.35% | +10.44% | +5.94% | -0.60% | +13.70% |
| 2020 | 30/10/2020 | 24.01 | far above SMA50 | +7.21% | +15.74% | +31.07% | +0.00% | +44.52% |
| 2019 | 30/10/2019 | 41.12 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.6 | +3.48% | +5.79% | +4.57% | +0.00% | +7.68% |
| 2018 | 30/10/2018 | 32.01 | neutral | +0.09% | +0.06% | -0.50% | -4.44% | +3.34% |
| 2017 | 30/10/2017 | 28.53 | near 52w high · volume x1.7 | -10.98% | -7.24% | -4.21% | -11.80% | +0.00% |
| 2016 | 31/10/2016 | 22.27 | near 52w high | +9.43% | +19.16% | +12.28% | +0.00% | +19.16% |
Upcoming 04/11/2026 · High Cycle 90/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +6.12% · Win 80% · DD -1.54%20 days: Avg +10.36% · Win 70% · DD -2.85%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/11/2025 | 32.84 | volume x1.9 | +18.36% | +13.19% | +34.32% | +0.00% | +34.32% |
| 2024 | 04/11/2024 | 44.89 | neutral | -0.13% | -4.68% | +2.49% | -7.35% | +2.87% |
| 2023 | 03/11/2023 | 34.70 | neutral | -4.03% | +5.30% | +14.55% | -4.03% | +14.55% |
| 2022 | 04/11/2022 | 30.06 | neutral | +9.78% | +11.88% | +14.70% | -0.67% | +16.60% |
| 2021 | 04/11/2021 | 49.81 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x1.7 | -1.08% | +1.73% | -7.59% | -7.59% | +2.95% |
| 2020 | 04/11/2020 | 25.05 | far above SMA50 | +11.78% | +22.75% | +31.18% | +0.00% | +38.52% |
| 2019 | 04/11/2019 | 41.69 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.93% | +6.21% | -1.18% | -1.18% | +6.21% |
| 2018 | 05/11/2018 | 32.07 | neutral | +0.16% | -3.21% | -5.96% | -5.96% | +3.15% |
| 2017 | 03/11/2017 | 25.60 | volume x1.8 | +3.52% | +2.34% | +13.67% | -1.69% | +13.67% |
| 2016 | 04/11/2016 | 24.00 | near 52w high | +9.58% | +5.69% | +7.36% | +0.00% | +10.56% |
Upcoming 14/11/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +3.35% · Win 60% · DD -2.73%20 days: Avg +4.32% · Win 50% · DD -3.94%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 14/11/2025 | 37.92 | far above SMA50 | +4.80% | +13.21% | +16.99% | -2.48% | +17.19% |
| 2024 | 14/11/2024 | 43.95 | neutral | -2.57% | +3.71% | -0.16% | -5.37% | +5.07% |
| 2023 | 14/11/2023 | 35.81 | neutral | +3.83% | +5.78% | +14.24% | +0.00% | +14.24% |
| 2022 | 14/11/2022 | 32.91 | far above SMA50 | +2.19% | +2.10% | +1.94% | +0.00% | +6.50% |
| 2021 | 15/11/2021 | 49.86 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -0.48% | -4.83% | -5.76% | -7.68% | +2.85% |
| 2020 | 13/11/2020 | 27.79 | far above SMA50 | +12.49% | +13.24% | +19.54% | +0.00% | +24.87% |
| 2019 | 14/11/2019 | 43.72 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.27% | -2.86% | -2.86% | -5.76% | +1.28% |
| 2018 | 14/11/2018 | 32.09 | neutral | -2.56% | -1.90% | -10.31% | -10.31% | +2.77% |
| 2017 | 14/11/2017 | 25.90 | neutral | +2.45% | +10.81% | +11.84% | -0.90% | +13.64% |
| 2016 | 14/11/2016 | 26.53 | near 52w high | -3.52% | -5.78% | -2.26% | -6.91% | +0.38% |
Upcoming 17/11/2026 · Low Cycle 45/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg +4.09% · Win 70% · DD -2.55%20 days: Avg +3.53% · Win 50% · DD -3.72%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 17/11/2025 | 36.98 | neutral | +9.92% | +12.76% | +18.83% | +0.00% | +20.17% |
| 2024 | 18/11/2024 | 42.79 | neutral | +6.12% | +7.53% | +1.59% | -2.80% | +7.92% |
| 2023 | 17/11/2023 | 36.54 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +3.56% | +8.78% | +16.72% | +0.00% | +16.72% |
| 2022 | 17/11/2022 | 33.32 | far above SMA50 | +1.92% | +5.19% | -4.23% | -4.23% | +5.19% |
| 2021 | 17/11/2021 | 50.53 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -3.27% | -7.10% | -10.64% | -10.64% | +0.28% |
| 2020 | 17/11/2020 | 30.20 | far above SMA50 | +14.90% | +6.72% | +12.68% | +0.00% | +14.90% |
| 2019 | 18/11/2019 | 44.28 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -2.89% | -6.96% | -3.86% | -6.96% | +0.00% |
| 2018 | 16/11/2018 | 32.01 | neutral | -1.00% | +3.03% | -8.22% | -10.09% | +3.03% |
| 2017 | 17/11/2017 | 26.20 | neutral | +0.25% | +11.07% | +14.50% | +0.00% | +14.50% |
| 2016 | 17/11/2016 | 25.33 | neutral | +3.68% | -0.13% | -2.11% | -2.50% | +5.13% |
Upcoming 04/12/2026 · High Cycle 120/Calendar · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.96% · Win 50% · DD -3.43%20 days: Avg -0.48% · Win 70% · DD -4.95%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 04/12/2025 | 43.09 | far above SMA50 | +3.13% | +0.04% | +1.81% | -2.90% | +3.13% |
| 2024 | 04/12/2024 | 45.81 | neutral | -3.93% | -6.58% | -8.07% | -8.07% | +0.00% |
| 2023 | 04/12/2023 | 39.75 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.78% | +7.29% | +3.40% | -3.25% | +9.85% |
| 2022 | 05/12/2022 | 34.48 | far above SMA50 | -3.71% | -7.25% | -7.98% | -8.74% | +0.00% |
| 2021 | 03/12/2021 | 46.03 | neutral | +5.34% | -2.80% | +1.61% | -6.33% | +5.50% |
| 2020 | 04/12/2020 | 33.88 | far above SMA50 | -3.16% | +0.24% | +1.36% | -3.16% | +4.25% |
| 2019 | 04/12/2019 | 41.96 | neutral | +0.38% | +3.18% | +3.32% | +0.00% | +4.11% |
| 2018 | 04/12/2018 | 30.16 | neutral | -0.99% | -2.32% | +3.28% | -6.95% | +3.28% |
| 2017 | 04/12/2017 | 29.10 | near 52w high | +0.34% | +3.09% | +4.01% | -1.95% | +7.79% |
| 2016 | 05/12/2016 | 25.77 | near 52w high | +0.13% | -4.53% | -7.50% | -8.15% | +3.36% |
Upcoming 09/12/2026 · Low Cycle 60/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.55% · Win 40% · DD -4.03%20 days: Avg +1.43% · Win 50% · DD -5.07%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 09/12/2025 | 43.57 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +0.85% | -1.50% | +5.14% | -3.97% | +5.14% |
| 2024 | 09/12/2024 | 43.84 | neutral | +0.44% | -2.66% | -5.59% | -5.59% | +0.44% |
| 2023 | 08/12/2023 | 39.26 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | +8.09% | +10.42% | +6.35% | +0.00% | +11.22% |
| 2022 | 09/12/2022 | 32.94 | neutral | -3.13% | -0.71% | -2.36% | -6.24% | +1.85% |
| 2021 | 09/12/2021 | 47.98 | neutral | -5.89% | -7.08% | -8.15% | -10.13% | +1.06% |
| 2020 | 09/12/2020 | 34.40 | far above SMA50 | -1.08% | +1.66% | +6.02% | -4.62% | +6.02% |
| 2019 | 09/12/2019 | 42.87 | near 52w high | -0.63% | +1.41% | -0.28% | -1.75% | +1.90% |
| 2018 | 10/12/2018 | 29.05 | near 52w low | -0.34% | -3.40% | +11.75% | -3.40% | +12.34% |
| 2017 | 08/12/2017 | 29.40 | near 52w high | +0.11% | +5.44% | +7.03% | -2.95% | +7.03% |
| 2016 | 09/12/2016 | 26.30 | near 52w high | -5.70% | -9.13% | -5.58% | -12.04% | +0.00% |
Upcoming 14/12/2026 · High Cycle 90/Trading · 10 years — Small sample
10 days: Avg -0.26% · Win 40% · DD -3.15%20 days: Avg +0.85% · Win 50% · DD -4.89%
Open Date Echo · 10 years
| Year | Actual date | Close | Context | 5d | 10d | 20d | Max DD 20d | Max Gain 20d |
|---|
| 2025 | 15/12/2025 | 44.15 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 | -1.09% | -4.44% | +3.04% | -5.69% | +3.90% |
| 2024 | 13/12/2024 | 43.67 | neutral | -1.92% | -3.30% | -5.68% | -7.81% | +0.34% |
| 2023 | 14/12/2023 | 42.27 | near 52w high · far above SMA50 · volume x2.2 | +2.48% | -0.64% | -0.54% | -4.14% | +2.77% |
| 2022 | 14/12/2022 | 33.43 | neutral | -3.01% | -4.33% | +1.02% | -7.62% | +1.02% |
| 2021 | 14/12/2021 | 46.99 | neutral | -5.19% | -2.48% | -9.65% | -9.65% | +0.13% |
| 2020 | 14/12/2020 | 33.22 | far above SMA50 | +2.80% | +2.35% | +8.34% | +0.00% | +12.52% |
| 2019 | 13/12/2019 | 42.32 | neutral | +2.86% | +1.44% | -0.50% | -1.68% | +2.86% |
| 2018 | 14/12/2018 | 28.78 | near 52w low | -0.19% | +5.64% | +8.65% | -2.49% | +13.39% |
| 2017 | 14/12/2017 | 28.67 | near 52w high | +6.63% | +8.60% | +10.81% | +0.00% | +12.33% |
| 2016 | 14/12/2016 | 25.67 | neutral | -4.29% | -5.45% | -7.01% | -9.87% | +0.00% |
Questions to Watch
Is there a failed breakout above the window?Did an abnormal reversal candle appear?Is there an abnormal volume spike?Is the advance stalling (no follow-through)?Is short-term support breaking?Any change in relative strength vs QQQ/SPY/SMH?Is the leading sector weakening?
Interpretation & Scenarios
Careful wording — scenarios to watch, not forecasts. The decision is the trader's.
⬆️ Continuation (up) — to watch· Positive relative strength vs QQQ, SMH.
· If it holds above SMA50 (-2.5%) and breaks out on volume above the window — historically similar zones tended to continue. Technical confirmation needed.
⬇️ Weakness (down) — to watch· Relative weakness vs SPY.
· Sharp drop recently.
· If a breakout fails or it closes below SMA50 / a nearby low on volume — risk of continued weakness. Watch for fading volume and relative weakness.
↔️ Range / no clear edge· No active Price-Time Confluence right now.
· Distance from 52w high: -13.1% · from 52w low: +37.9%.
· Without confirmation either way — no clear edge; waiting for confirmation is reasonable.
Current Snapshot
Returns & distances
| 5 / 10 / 20 / 60 days | -4.55% · -2.46% · -4.11% · -9.20% |
|---|
| Distance from SMA20 / 50 / 200 | -3.86% · -2.50% · +4.32% |
|---|
| Distance from 52w high / low | -13.06% · +37.92% |
|---|
| ATR14 · volume vs 20-avg | 1.48 · 1.24x |
|---|
Relative strength
| vs QQQ (20d) | +1.28% |
|---|
| vs SPY (20d) | -2.63% |
|---|
| vs SMH (20d) | +8.98% |
|---|
Moving averages
| SMA20 / 50 / 200 | 44.94 · 44.32 · 41.42 |
|---|
| 52w high / low | 49.70 · 31.33 |
|---|
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